i'd love to hear the logic behind this.
I explained it earlier in the thread. I keep a chart of common score differentials. I consider most of those #'s to be key & want to be in front or behind them. I don't buy to push, I buy to win. So I liked Alabama but would not take +10 as 11 is a very important # to me so I will buy just behind that.
I keep it within reason as I am not going to buy 4+ points. I also don't play teasers much so teasing with another team is out of the question. I like my wagers to focus on one game or set time period of a game.
If I liked Florida for instance, it would have been a no buy spot as I would have way too many key #'s to get below on a straight wager. When Florida went up 4, I felt 99% sure I was covering as 2 scores would be needed to beat me as compared to 1 for just about everyone else.
I usually am investing a lot into games I do this on so any win I steal in a way is large for me. I have benefited with this strategy a ton over the years. I only do it in football though.