Who do you think is going to win the Presidential Election?

[theMadMan]

WE should be able to wager on the Elections - in the states betting is legal

Would double handle instantly!!!

 

[REDEYE]

Bookmaker offering +300 on Minny , Wisky and Michigan. Great value folks

 

[REDEYE]

maybe getting one last good bump with betting markets.. fools out there gobbling up Sunday morning news shows rhetoric..

 

[crudebar]

maybe getting one last good bump with betting markets.. fools out there gobbling up Sunday morning news shows rhetoric..

want to add another $200 at+180? LMK

Fox News was all over that poll that had Trump up 7 in Iowa. Seemed to have misplaced the other polls coming in this morning that showed him losing even more ground in other battle ground states. Strange.

 

[REDEYE]

want to add another $200 at+180? LMK

Fox News was all over that poll that had Trump up 7 in Iowa. Seemed to have misplaced the other polls coming in this morning that showed him losing even more ground in other battle ground states. Strange.

thx.. been investing at Bookmaker for the time being..

 

[crudebar]

thx.. been investing at Bookmaker for the time being..

Sounds good.

 

[REDEYE]

Sounds good.

might hit you up after the football card today gets settled.. see if I have a balance left at Bookmaker.. lol

 

[RenoChazz]

WE should be able to wager on the Elections - in the states betting is legal

Would double handle instantly!!!

Nevada had a bill on it a few years back, and it got shot down by state legislators. People here were against it, I remember a lot of the fears being election fixing, which is ridiculous. It's just a matter of time though now that people's opinions of gambling are changing.

 

[metro]

WE should be able to wager on the Elections - in the states betting is legal

Would double handle instantly!!!

lol so true

 

[SheriffJoe]

Yeah, states with similar demographics are more correlated but all swing states somewhat correlated. If you outperform polls in 1 swing state then you are more likely to do so elsewhere.

No book would let you parlay states at the market prices.

Trump is the solid favorite at all books in FL and OH. Biden would then have to run the table in the Midwest AND PA to squeak out a EC victory.

So which odds are wrong - those two swing states or the overall election? And when was the last time the EC winner lost BOTH OH and FL?

Elections don't work that way because these swing states are correlated.

 

[kidman232]

what i dont get is, pinnacle has a line of ec votes over 310.5 and the over for biden is a slight favorite. if he held every state hillary won and flipped nc, pa, mich, az, and wisc i think thats 304 ec votes......

 

[crudebar]

what i dont get is, pinnacle has a line of ec votes over 310.5 and the over for biden is a slight favorite. if he held every state hillary won and flipped nc, pa, mich, az, and wisc i think thats 304 ec votes......

Because all Hilary's states are a lock. And there are numerous other ones he is likely to flip.

still it's 50/50 he will get there. Florida, Ohio, Texas are all in play. Though i think Trump takes the latter but the former is very close like in most elections.

 

[crudebar]

One quick fact but Texas was one of the states that Trump under performed his polling numbers. Polls had him +12 he won by 9. This year polls have Trump around a +2.

 

[Seymour]

Biden is a lock in PA?

RCP Average	10/27 - 11/2	--	--	49.2	46.3	Biden +2.9
Susquehanna*	11/1 - 11/2	499 LV	4.3	48	49	Trump +1
Rasmussen Reports	10/31 - 11/1	800 LV	3.5	50	47	Biden +3
Trafalgar Group (R)*	10/30 - 10/31	1062 LV	2.9	46	48	Trump +2
NBC News/Marist	10/29 - 11/1	772 LV	4.4	51	46	Biden +5
InsiderAdvantage*	10/30 - 10/31	500 LV	4.4	47	49	Trump +2
Monmouth*	10/28 - 11/1	502 LV	4.4	51	44	Biden +7
Emerson	10/29 - 10/30	823 LV	3.3	50	46	Biden +4
Reuters/Ipsos*	10/27 - 11/1	673 LV	4.3	51	45	Biden +6
NY Times/Siena*	10/27 - 10/31	1862 LV	2.4	49	43	Biden +6

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All Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden Polling Data​

 

[3peet]

 

[PatsFan1283]

Trump is the solid favorite at all books in FL and OH. Biden would then have to run the table in the Midwest AND PA to squeak out a EC victory.

So which odds are wrong - those two swing states or the overall election? And when was the last time the EC winner lost BOTH OH and FL?

Elections don't work that way because these swing states are correlated.

He could win WI/MI, lose PA and just win AZ though.

Seems like you aren't factoring AZ into that.

 

[SheriffJoe]

He could win WI/MI, lose PA and just win AZ though.

Seems like you aren't factoring AZ into that.

Biden is not winning AZ anymore than FL and OH.

Trump won AZ 48-41 in 2016.

Current early voting in AZ (according to targetsmart):

D: 1,108,499 (46.5%)
R: 1,119,831 (46.9%)

With the largest % of GOP voters yet to storm the polls tomorrow.

 

[brendanjack]

If trump wins Michigan and Wisconsin pa wouldn’t matter at least that’s what I’m praying for that attorney general in pa is about as biased as you can be

 

[SheriffJoe]

If trump wins Michigan and Wisconsin pa wouldn’t matter at least that’s what I’m praying for that attorney general in pa is about as biased as you can be

Works for me. MI and WI are looking better than PA right now so that shitbag AG and his fraud squad will throw in the towel.

 

[PatsFan1283]

Biden is not winning AZ anymore than FL and OH.

Trump won AZ 48-41 in 2016.

Current early voting in AZ (according to targetsmart):

D: 1,108,499 (46.5%)
R: 1,119,831 (46.9%)

With the largest % of GOP voters yet to storm the polls tomorrow.

No chance, eh?

Well then it is a good thing the NFL trade deadline is tomorrow and we'll have something interesting to pay attention to.