If you want to crack the code and access those elusive "shy Trump voters", ask people who they think will win the election or who their neighbors are voting for, NOT who they are voting for, as is the case with these laughable polls.
Oh look, The RX forum is picking Trump by 2/1... a +170 dog. What a surprise! When do you EVER see that?
You bet mainstream polls are wrong and the current line is nothing more than a reflection of that simplistic flawed view from the air, as opposed to what is actually happening on the ground.
RED EYE put the actual line at -300 Trump? I'd say that's pretty accurate based on real data we're seeing in early voting.
Because REAL polls (like this one) don't lie.
This poll isn't remotely scientific as the RX voters are overwhelmingly Republican.
As far as the silent Trump voters and the neighbors question. It is interesting, but I also think it may be a function of the 5 year media/politics narrative that Trump's base is the silent majority. If you say something enough times, people tend to believe it. I'd also say so much of Trump's support is tangible, you can see it in the rallies, the gatherings, the signs/bumper stickers, flags on trucks, etc so it is easy to feel he has more support than he does. Maybe this is relevant or maybe it is entirely anecdotal and can't be backed up by numbers.
Money raised, voter registration from young people and early voting trends would all be indicative of Dem enthusiasm.
But if people just think data is BS then I guess we'll see. Obviously there is no way to prove it isn't besides the final results.