Your stuff is great - and I have been wrong before - but how can you not like the fins - at least a little bit?
Here's what I'm thinking - feel free to laugh out loud if it's ridiculous - and I don't mean to infringe upon your page...
The Jets lost 12 games last season, but 7 were by a touchdown or less. They lost absolutely nobody important (maybe Chad's leadership, one could argue - but not very man people would argue that - right). They added a solid quarterback that can stretch the field. I'm not ready to give Favre an MVP or even call him a Top 8 quarterback in the league at this point in his career - but you can't argue, he is a solid leader with a great arm that can really open up a field. But he's not the kicker. The Jets solid young offensive line corps is a year older. That's a huge help. They also won't have defenses forgetting about the deep pass - that should help them. Oh, and they picked up this guy named Alan Faneca, one of the best guards in the NFL. You have to admit, when All-Pro offensive linemen replace career back-ups, the entire offensive unit gets that much better. The Jets will still struggle defensively, but I'm not sure if that's going to be a huge problem against the fins.
Anyway, this is what I think about Miami: They lost 15 games last year and didn't only fail to get much better in the off-season - they got worse. I like Pennington more than anything they had last season at the position - but it's not like he's Brett Favre or even a Top 20 signal caller. They lost their best tackler (Thomas) and their best player (Taylor). Jerry Porter has been a bust and he's hurt going into this game. Ronnie Brown is a very good back, but everyone knows he's not 100% and won't even start. I'm all for Ricky coming back and playing well at his age, but is that a guy you want to put your money on to carry the team? The Dolphins have some nice young players, but their secondary is really shaky and their run defense isn't much better.
That's why I think the Jets are a nice bet, but I do understand their are a lot of people seeing value in that bet, and I may be missing something - but even on the road I like the Jets to win by 7-10 points.
Don't underestimate the changing of the guard.... (corny joke i know)hno:
If I had to bet this game I am saying it would be on the Dolphins. Parcells has worked miracles before. I see the Dolphins finishing around 5/6 wins and Jets finishing 7/8. I don't think the Jets are going to be that great because most of this propaganda is due to Favre. They still have tremendous holes in their team. I don't like their running game. Jones and Washington are average backs at best and I like Washington more then Jones but Washington is not ready to be an everydown back. I also don't like their DB's. I think they are a year or two away from being real solid corners. They will make plays but they will get beat a lot as well. I just feel like this game is going to be close and the divisional dog at home is never a bad bet.
Not sure how will Jets will adapt to the offense. Not sure Mangini will go out and let him chuck it like they did in Green Bay. I'm not sold on the Jets yet.
