what would you think if

Search
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
44,999
Tokens
The better handicapper will do better over a longer period. Anyone can win a quickie contest. Even somebody like you.

No one is denying that Michelangelo "could win." We laughed hysterically that you said his losses gave him an advantage, and then you stuck with
your stupidity until this very minute.

Besides, as many posters pointed out, there was over 1,000 games left in the season you idiot.
 
Joined
Sep 24, 2009
Messages
2,924
Tokens
This is a good point to make.

That is a good point but in the contests I have been in that involves football the hot capper through the first half of the season almost always regresses and the cold cappers almost always catch up. The 60 - 70 % guys hit 40% and the 40% guys will hit 60%. Math doesn't explain it, it's what happens. I think if you cap a certain way it evens out and I think it's the way the lines change vs. the way a person caps a game. The linesmakers make the adjustments. Do those adjustments hurt Capper A and make it easier for Capper B? Why does it happen?
 

New member
Joined
Oct 29, 2010
Messages
40,880
Tokens
No one is denying that Michelangelo "could win." We laughed hysterically that you said his losses gave him an advantage, and then you stuck with
your stupidity until this very minute.

Besides, as many posters pointed out, there was over 1,000 games left in the season you idiot.

4 months of the season is over.....1200 games doesn't matter.

If we started when the season started.....he couldn't catch me....that's how much of the season is left dummy.
 
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
44,999
Tokens
That is a good point but in the contests I have been in that involves football the hot capper through the first half of the season almost always regresses and the cold cappers almost always catch up. The 60 - 70 % guys hit 40% and the 40% guys will hit 60%. Math doesn't explain it, it's what happens. I think if you cap a certain way it evens out and I think it's the way the lines change vs. the way a person caps a game. The linesmakers make the adjustments. Do those adjustments hurt Capper A and make it easier for Capper B? Why does it happen?

The 1/2 season results have 0 effect. They will regress towards their lifetime capping ability, doesn't matter what happened the first 1/2 of the season.
 
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
44,999
Tokens
4 months of the season is over.....1200 games doesn't matter.

If we started when the season started.....he couldn't catch me....that's how much of the season is left dummy.

The astute readers clearly see who the retard is. But, keep blathering away like a mindless idiot.
 

New member
Joined
Jun 29, 2015
Messages
293
Tokens
It isn't much different than the logic behind setting an NFL line. If the Panthers are 10-0 and their next game is against the 2-8 Bucs, which team do you expect would be favored by the books? Why?
Lol, you see this is why I usually lose betting football because if the Buc's are at home getting points I would probably take them.
Yes the Panthers are favored giving up at least 10 to 14 points.
 
Joined
Sep 24, 2009
Messages
2,924
Tokens
The 1/2 season results have 0 effect. They will regress towards their lifetime capping ability, doesn't matter what happened the first 1/2 of the season.

Ok then why does the other guy gain to his lifetime capping ability no matter what happened the first 1/2 of the season?
 

Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2007
Messages
31,625
Tokens
That is a good point but in the contests I have been in that involves football the hot capper through the first half of the season almost always regresses and the cold cappers almost always catch up. The 60 - 70 % guys hit 40% and the 40% guys will hit 60%. Math doesn't explain it, it's what happens. I think if you cap a certain way it evens out and I think it's the way the lines change vs. the way a person caps a game. The linesmakers make the adjustments. Do those adjustments hurt Capper A and make it easier for Capper B? Why does it happen?

Every season is different but I tend to think the earlier in the season the more inefficient the lines are for football. As the games go on and the oddsmakers have more data to draw from then they tend to get more efficient. Why win-totals, futures and other prop bets before the season starts can have a lot of value.

And I don't think market adjustments hit capper A vs capper B differently in a great majority of the situations. But it would be possible.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 29, 2010
Messages
40,880
Tokens
The astute readers clearly see who the retard is. But, keep blathering away like a mindless idiot.

You simply aren't capable of knowing who is astute and who isn't. Any group that agrees with you......should probably reconsider everything. I would because you're an idiot
 
Joined
Jan 24, 2012
Messages
6,748
Tokens
Ok then why does the other guy gain to his lifetime capping ability no matter what happened the first 1/2 of the season?

It's hard to argue this one with you because you're referring to your personal contests, but I would guess that you probably think they are dropping/rising more than they are.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
5,391
Tokens
Huh? That is nothing like what's going on here.


The percentages aren't the same, but the logic is 100% similar.

Using your logic, the 2-8 Bucs should be favored to beat the 10-0 Panthers since both should be expected to regress to the mean.
 

Banned
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
15,948
Tokens
Or, as many posters pointed out, you are lying about your results.
Aren't his results for this baseball season available in the pick thread here and in the baseball forum? With the prices he bet at? How is he lying about his results?
And aren't your pathetic Butt Buddies Casper and Lying WELCHING Ace on the job 24/7 to correct any innocent grading records he might make, and yell STEAM? Or have they given up since Vit is winning?
 

New member
Joined
Oct 29, 2010
Messages
40,880
Tokens
7.5 hours until you need to be back in here for a full day of trolling, and 200-400 posts.

Idiot.

You will be right here trolling and responding. Another Vitterd poll on the way? It's been almost 2 weeks for you.
 

Banned
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
15,948
Tokens
The percentages aren't the same, but the logic is 100% similar.

Using your logic, the 2-8 Bucs should be favored to beat the 10-0 Panthers since both should be expected to regress to the mean.
Congrats. You ARE the weakest link, with this silly statement.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 29, 2010
Messages
40,880
Tokens
The percentages aren't the same, but the logic is 100% similar.

Using your logic, the 2-8 Bucs should be favored to beat the 10-0 Panthers since both should be expected to regress to the mean.

So many different variables with sports teams, lines.....it cannot be compared to a handicapping contest.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,832
Messages
13,573,790
Members
100,876
Latest member
kiemt5385
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com