Wednesday 07/08/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Yanks]

Freddy Wills

Bonus Play

New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins

Total 9½ un-115

We are 17-8 in our last 25 free picks! How many handicappers will tell you their records on free picks? Along with that I am the #1 handicapper in win% of those who have more than 50 plays! I'm here everyday this is what I do for a living. Would you rather depend on someone who does this as a hobby or someone who does this everyday 15hours +.

Yankees throw Burnett out there 0.99ERA last 4 starts. Yankees are under 8-1 Last 9 on the road where the total is 9-10.5. I had the Under as my POD last night, but we had a little bad luck with 9 two out RBI's 8 coming from the Yankees.

Twins throw Perkins out there on 6 days rest against the Yankees who had 8IP 4H and 0ER at home here last year vs. NY. He has a 1.28ERA in his last 2 starts both coming on the road and he will come back home where he has pitched better. Twins are 5-0 on the under when Perkins pitches as a home dog.

Umpire Scott Barry has a large strike zone for pitchers and the under is 23-6-1 in his last 30 games behind home plate.

2 DIME PLAY: NYY/MIN UNDER9.5 @ -115

 

[up1]

any steve merrill

 

[eltigres]

Ness has a 20* Day Time GOY.

He lost a 20* last night.

May be fade material if anyone has this play.

He's been frigid lately.

Looks like he's chasing last night's loss with Seattle again.

Is he this bad in Football too?

 

[Yanks]

IndianCowboy

Tuesday's Comp Selection

11-6 Comp Winners

Take the Under between the NY Yankees @ Minnesota Twins (Tuesday @ 8:10pm est). The NY Yankees are 48-34 and yet they are still looking ahead to Boston as they look to take over the division lead prior to the All Star Break. The Yankees have won 8 of 10 games and they come off a 6-7 loss to the Jays at home as they were attempting to sweep them. CC comes off a non-quality start where he was roughed up for 6 runs in less than 6 innings as he lost to Seattle 4-8. Note, that he lost as a -315 favorite. He looks to bounce-back today against the Twins no the road and given that CC is 3-0 over his last 4 road starts and he as well as the Yankees are on a bounce-back, he should have a strong outing today. After struggling early, Baker has put together 6 straight quality starts and is 4-0 over his last 6 starts. He is part of the reason why the Twins are 3 games above .500 as they put together a run to topple the Tigers who are just in front of them. I look for both pitchers to have a strong outing today as the Under 8-1 for the Yankees when the total is set at this range and the Under is 4-0 when Baker starts at home as an Underdog.

 

[Tiznow214]

looks like he's chasing last night's loss with seattle again.

Is he this bad in football too?

i like seattle today with a 5 inning line if your books offer it, but thats it ... Seattle bullpen is hot garbage

 

[jnc750]

does anyone have burns early play today

 

[mp5070]

jnc,

its probably Astros -160, since everyone is on that play

 

[JDizzle311]

anyone interested in grabbing chris jordan 300 dimer?

 

[JimmieJ]

anyone interested in grabbing chris jordan 300 dimer?

Nope....but would take a little Malinsky $$

 

[Yanks]

IndianCowboy

Wednesday's Comp Selection

11-7 Comp Winners

11-7 Last 17 Comp Selections. Take Under 9.5 between NY Yankees @ Minnesota Twins (Wednesday @ 8:10pm). The total seems a bit on the high side as the Yankees continue their roll over the AL. Burnett has given up just 3 runs in his last 27 innings as he is 3-1 during that stretch as he slowly begins to reduce his ERA down to 3.83. I look for him to have another strong effort as the Yankees look to keep pace with the Redsox and vice-verca. Perkins has put together back to back solid starts both against the Royals and Cards on the road as he gave up just 2 runs in 14 innings helping his team win 5-1 and 3-1. He has pitched 3 of 4 quality starts and it seems he is getting things back in order as his era has come back down a bit to 4.38. I look for both pitchers to have a strong outing today likely as this game has a decent chance of dipping Under. The Under is 8-1 for the Yankees when the total is set at this range and the Under is 8-2 for the Twins Overall.

 

[AC2008]

does anyone have burns early play today

Football Jesus today?

he won again last night dudes

 

[Tiznow214]

if anyone get get Coglye's 12* it would be much appreciated 5-0 MTD, won yesterday with Boston RL. I should be receiving a free return on Bond from yesterday and will post as soon as i get it

 

[Yanks]

Michael Cannon

Bonus Play

St. Louis at MILWAUKEE -120

Take the Brewers for the home win over the Cardinals.

Milwaukee has had its troubles with St. Louis this year but I believe the Brew Crew will step it up tonight.

The Cardinals will start Todd Wellemeyer, who is 7-7 with a 5.44 ERA on the year. Ryan Braun has hit the right-hander well, going 7-for-13 with a homer and three walks in his career.

Milwaukee will send Jeff Suppan to the hill and he’s pitched well against St. Louis in his career.

The right-hander is 5-1 with a 2.44 ERA in seven starts since 2007.

Take the Brewers as they grab the home win.

2? MILWAUKEE

 

[Yanks]

Drew Gordon

Bonus Play

Florida +105 at SAN FRANCISCO

Now on a 22-13 roll with the plays I'm giving away! For today's complimentary play, we're looking at the Florida/San Francisco match-up.

No doubt the Giants are formidable at AT&T Park, but nonetheless, I'm looking for the Fish to avoid the sweep tonight behind Chris Volstad. True, he's been up-and-down over the last month, but there's a couple things I like about him in this match up...

He was rock-solid against them in his only career start, June 5th, allowing just 2 runs over 6 innings, despite taking the loss. That start came at home, where he's been more volatile, not only is Volstad been more effective on the road (2-3, 4.53 ERA), but he's been solid in afternoon games (3.63 ERA in 4 afternoon starts)! Coming off that ugly, rain-shortened effort against the Pirates, I expect the young righty to come out razor sharp this afternoon.

On the flip side, a lot of people are high on Ryan Sadowski, and with good reason, tossing 13 scoreless innings to begin his Major League career, but let's not get too carried away. Yes, he's been very good, but I'm not ready to declare he's the "next coming" or anything like that... Buyer beware, the rook will come down to Earth, and facing a Marlins team that prefers to hit righties is going to be tougher than most people think.

Bottom line, give me the Marlins at an excellent price, starting a motivated Chris Volstad, against a rookie the public is salivating over. Don't make the mistake of blindly following the herd in this one, as the Fish avoid the sweep Wednesday afternoon.

Take Florida behind Volstad over San Francisco and Sadowski in this MLB match up.

4? FLORIDA

 

[Yanks]

Jeff Benton

COMP.

San Diego at ARIZONA

Hope you enjoyed Tuesday’s free-play winner on the Rangers, who cashed as a big underdog at the Angels. For Wednesday, back the Diamondbacks on the run line (-1½ runs) in a late-afternoon affair in the desert against the freefalling Padres.

Arizona has taken the first two meetings of this series, but only by a single run. But I sense a blowout win today because of the pitching matchup of young DBacks right-hander Max Scherzer against San Diego’s Chad Gaudin. Scherzer’s ERA (3.73) is nearly two runs better than Gaudin’s ERA (5.35) and the main reason is Scherzer has dominated the Padres in two starts this season while Gaudin has gotten rocked twice by Arizona.

Scherzer has held the putrid Padres lineup to two runs and nine hits while striking out 16 over 12 innings of work (1.50 ERA). On the other hand, Gaudin has given up a combined 12 runs, 11 hits and nine walks in his two outings against the DBacks over just 10 1/3 innings (10.45 ERA).

Most recently, Scherzer has given up a total of just 10 earned runs in his last six starts covering 35 innings (2.57 ERA). Meanwhile, after three consecutive quality outings (2.14 ERA, 28 strikeouts, 5 walks), Gaudin came crashing back to earth on Friday against the Dodgers, allowing six runs on seven hits and four walks over five innings, losing 6-3.

The DBacks are now riding a four-game win streak, while the Padres have dropped three in a row, six of seven and 23 of their last 33 games. On top of that, Arizona is 4-1 against San Diego since the beginning of June and 63-30 in the last 93 meetings against the Padres in Arizona. Easy call here – take Scherzer and the Snakes on the run line.

4♦ Arizona -1 1/2

 

[Yanks]

Mike Rose

Bonus Play

Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs Over 9

Getting the starting nod for the 16th time this season will be 34-year old rookie right-hander Kenshin Kawakami. He was a bit rusty on eight-days rest his last time out against Washington where he surrendered six hits and four earned runs while striking out six and walking three through just 4.1 innings of work. Kawakami can best be described as a hurler with great stuff, but control seems to be an issue. Hes Kd 64 batters on the year through 82.2 total innings of work, but hes also walked 34. Hes been at his worst as a visitor where hes 2-3 with a 5.65 ERA and 1.77 WHIP with a K/BB ratio of 25/21. He faced the Cubs offense at the beginning of June and got thrashed, but got the no decision after the Braves pulled off some late inning heroics to tie it up and eventually win in extras.

Righty Kevin Hart makes his MLB debut as a starter this afternoon after Ryan Dempster was put on the DL just hours before his Tuesday night scheduled start. Hes given up a total of one run and three hits with a K/BB ratio of 1/5 through 5 2/3rd innings of relief this season. He did make his final six appearances at Iowa as a starter and went 3-0 with a 1.41 ERA during that stretch.

Neither offense has settled into a groove throughout the first two games of this series, but I look for that to change in this afternoons finale. Kawakami is wild at best, and Hart is making his big league debut as a starter. A much weaker line-up got to Kawakami in Atlanta the lone time they faced him this season, and I look for more of the same today. Chicago should put a juicy number on the scoreboard. I also look for Hart to struggle as well. With Joyces tight strike zone behind the dish (61.3% Ks per game/1.6 K/BB), look for both offenses to have numerous scoring opportunities early on; Im betting they cash them in!!!

 

[Yanks]

Nelly

Bonus Play

Chicago White Sox - over Cleveland

The White Sox are on a roll winning eight of the last ten with major production in that time, averaging around six runs scored per game. In that span the Sox are hitting .327 as a team including even stronger numbers against southpaws. Jose Contreras pitched extremely well in Cleveland just a week ago en route to a 6-2 win where he allowed just five hits over eight innings. Since returning to the rotation Contreras has posted dominant numbers yet he is still valued like a mediocre record as his early season struggles weigh down his statistics. Cleveland is 14-26 on the road this season and the Indians have won just five of the last 21 games in a season gone wrong. The Sox have taken ten of the last 14 at U.S. Cellular Field and Aaron Laffey could be in for a rough outing in his first start in over a month. Laffey has walked as many batters as he has struck out and his road ERA is 5.59. Unlike other AL contenders the White Sox rarely face steep prices but few teams are playing better than Chicago right now and the White Sox will also have a big edge in the late innings with one of the better bullpens in baseball as well.

 

[Yanks]

GREG SHAKER

Bonus Play

New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins

Play: Under 9.5

The New York Yankees exploded for 10 runs on Tuesday and coasted to another win. As much as I hate to admit it, they may very well be the best team in the Major League's right now and they are winning games in all sorts of ways. One of those ways is with Great Starting Pitching. The other thing that is evident is the fact that the Bullpen has caught fire and is maintaining an ERA well Under 2 runs over the last 15 games. Certainly the guy on the mound tonight is doing his share of throwing darts. He is Bullseye ON lately and has allowed the opposition to plate just 4 times over the last 4 games and just 10 times over the last 7 games. During this stretch, Burnett has demonstrated extraordinary K/BB Numbers and that is likely to continue tonight with Home Plate Ump Barry working the game. Barry has been a throwers dream this year. His K/BB Numbers are nearing 2-1, pitchers are enjoying a 3.8 ERA when he puts on the Big Chest Thing, and all of his games worked have seen just 7.8 Runs. That is going to help the Twins starter as well tonight and the fact is, Perkins has been pretty good here in the Dome this year. His last 4 thrown have been way over Average, with just 4 runs allowed in 3 of those contests and the last 3 going well UNDER the total. The Twins are also getting good work from their Pen of late with an ERA of just 2.63 over the last 10. This game is very Trend-Worthy as well. Burnett's last 11 thrown has seen UNDER at 8-2-1. His last 5 Road Starts are 4-0-1 UNDER and the last 7 Yankee Road games facing a Southpaw are 5-1-1 UNDER the total. The Twins are 8-2 UNDER last 10, 19-7 UNDER verses a righthander, and 9-4 UNDER the last 13 Perkin's Pitched Affairs.

 

[mp5070]

Football Jesus picks will be updated tonight

 

[Yanks]

Rob Homyak

Free Pick NYY (-130) vs MIN

Analysis: Rob Homyak MLB Freebie 7-0 + ESPN Game Winner 5-1 (83%) Last 6 Days

Wednesday, July 8th (All times eastern)

New York Yankees (49-34) at Minnesota Twins (43-41), 8:10 p.m.


Probable Starting Pitchers: New York - A.J. Burnett (7-4, 3.83) Minnesota - Glen Perkins (4-4, 4.38)


5* Play on New York Yankees


Brett Gardner was 3-for-5 with two runs batted in, as the Yankees drilled the Twins 10-2 on Tuesday night.

New York won as -150 road favorites as the teams played OVER the 9-run total listed by sportsbooks.

Francisco Cervelli went 2-for-4 with two RBIs for the Yankees, while winning pitcher CC Sabathia allowed only one run over seven innings to get the win for New York.

Michael Cuddyer went yard for Minnesota, as Scott Baker was tagged for five runs over three innings to take the loss for the Twins.

Burnett 3-1 last 4 and 7-4 with a 3.83 earned run average on the season. For Minnesota, Perkins is 1-3 with a 7.71 ERA lifetime versus the Yankees.


New York by picking up its 11th win in 13 games overall.


Head-to-Head Series History

NY YANKEES is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season


A.J. BURNETT vs. MINNESOTA since 1997

BURNETT is 1-1 when starting against MINNESTA with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.299.

His team's record is 3-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts.


GLEN PERKINS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997

PERKINS is 1-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 7.71 and a WHIP of 1.875.

His team's record is 1-3 (-2.1 units) in these starts.


BURNETT: NYY 41-21 after a win by 4+ runs

PERKINS: MIN 6-17 against AL East


Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150.

Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.

Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Yankees are 5-0 in Burnetts last 5 starts as a favorite.

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150.

Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.


Head to Head

Yankees are 45-16 in the last 61 meetings.