Robbie Gainous
Bonus Play
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers +115
The Texas Rangers and LA Angels square off for the final game of their three-game set on Wednesday night at Angels Stadium. The Rangers will send Vicente Padilla to the bump with his 6-4 W/L record and ERA of 4.75. Padilla has been solid when starting on the highway this season posting a record of 3-1 W/L with an ERA of 3.43. Padilla is 6-0 W/L (+7.4) in road games versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons, 6-1 W/L (+7.0) as an underdog of +100 or higher this season and 18-5 W/L (+18.9) in road games over the last 2 seasons. The Angels will counter with Ervin Santana who has a record of 1-4 W/L on the year with an ERA of 7.43. Santana is winless at home this season posting a record of 0-2 W/L with an ERA of 12.12. Santana is 9-17 W/L (-12.8) versus an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse the last 3 seasons and 5-13 W/L (-11.7) versus teams whose batters strike out 7 or more times per game the last 3 seasons. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects a Rangers win by 1.4 runs. The combination of all these factors translates in a Rangers win so we will play the underdog here as Texas grabs a get-away win tonight over the host Angels.
Graded Selection: 2* Texas Rangers 5 Los Angeles Angels 4
Bonus Play
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers +115
The Texas Rangers and LA Angels square off for the final game of their three-game set on Wednesday night at Angels Stadium. The Rangers will send Vicente Padilla to the bump with his 6-4 W/L record and ERA of 4.75. Padilla has been solid when starting on the highway this season posting a record of 3-1 W/L with an ERA of 3.43. Padilla is 6-0 W/L (+7.4) in road games versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons, 6-1 W/L (+7.0) as an underdog of +100 or higher this season and 18-5 W/L (+18.9) in road games over the last 2 seasons. The Angels will counter with Ervin Santana who has a record of 1-4 W/L on the year with an ERA of 7.43. Santana is winless at home this season posting a record of 0-2 W/L with an ERA of 12.12. Santana is 9-17 W/L (-12.8) versus an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse the last 3 seasons and 5-13 W/L (-11.7) versus teams whose batters strike out 7 or more times per game the last 3 seasons. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects a Rangers win by 1.4 runs. The combination of all these factors translates in a Rangers win so we will play the underdog here as Texas grabs a get-away win tonight over the host Angels.
Graded Selection: 2* Texas Rangers 5 Los Angeles Angels 4
Craig Trapp
Bonus Play
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers -143
Today his Bonus Play is a marquee matchup in the National league!
Neither one of these teams are short of big stories but the NYM are short of key players. The Mets are staggering into the all star break and trying to hang on until they get there injured players back. Love playing the favorite teams going into the all star break. LAD have been great all year and now with Manny back they have won in 3 of his 4 starts!!
The Mets have only won 2 our of last 10 and with O. Perez going today they can't be expecting to win. Perez is coming off the DL but has been horrible in recent starts giving up 15 runs in less than 11 innings in last three starts. Not good for a team that can't score more than three runs consistently.
For the LAD Kuroda goes today and even though he has not been great this year think today he will get the job done. Injuries have set him back this year but he has won 2 of last 3 and his fastball command has looked much better. Today he will go 7 innings and only allow 3 runs. The LAD lineup will be hot tonight and will be salivating to face Perez. Scoring will not be a problem for LAD as they get a minimum of 7 runs today.
SCORE LAD 7 - NYM 4
Bonus Play
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers -143
Today his Bonus Play is a marquee matchup in the National league!
Neither one of these teams are short of big stories but the NYM are short of key players. The Mets are staggering into the all star break and trying to hang on until they get there injured players back. Love playing the favorite teams going into the all star break. LAD have been great all year and now with Manny back they have won in 3 of his 4 starts!!
The Mets have only won 2 our of last 10 and with O. Perez going today they can't be expecting to win. Perez is coming off the DL but has been horrible in recent starts giving up 15 runs in less than 11 innings in last three starts. Not good for a team that can't score more than three runs consistently.
For the LAD Kuroda goes today and even though he has not been great this year think today he will get the job done. Injuries have set him back this year but he has won 2 of last 3 and his fastball command has looked much better. Today he will go 7 innings and only allow 3 runs. The LAD lineup will be hot tonight and will be salivating to face Perez. Scoring will not be a problem for LAD as they get a minimum of 7 runs today.
SCORE LAD 7 - NYM 4
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Free Pick MIN (+110) vs NYY
Analysis: Member Play: A situational value play on the Twins today. The New York Yankees have been dominating opponents the past two weeks. A.J. Burnett(notes) has done his share of that lately as well. Seeking their sixth win in as many tries against the Minnesota Twins this season, the Yankees send the red-hot Burnett to the mound Wednesday night at the Metrodome. However, the Twins (43-41) need victories in their next two games to win their fifth straight series. Minnesota entered Tuesday having won eight of 12. Glen Perkins (4-4, 4.38) pitched very well his past four starts, but his last appearance against the Yankees is one he?d rather forget. The left-hander faced New York on May 18 and retired only two batters while allowing six runs and seven hits in a 7-6 loss. Perkins, though, won his second consecutive start with another strong performance in a 5-1 victory at Kansas City on Wednesday. He allowed one run in seven innings, with 16 of his 21 outs coming on groundballs.
MINNESOTA is 14-8 at home when the total is 9 to 9 1/2!
Free Pick MIN (+110) vs NYY
Analysis: Member Play: A situational value play on the Twins today. The New York Yankees have been dominating opponents the past two weeks. A.J. Burnett(notes) has done his share of that lately as well. Seeking their sixth win in as many tries against the Minnesota Twins this season, the Yankees send the red-hot Burnett to the mound Wednesday night at the Metrodome. However, the Twins (43-41) need victories in their next two games to win their fifth straight series. Minnesota entered Tuesday having won eight of 12. Glen Perkins (4-4, 4.38) pitched very well his past four starts, but his last appearance against the Yankees is one he?d rather forget. The left-hander faced New York on May 18 and retired only two batters while allowing six runs and seven hits in a 7-6 loss. Perkins, though, won his second consecutive start with another strong performance in a 5-1 victory at Kansas City on Wednesday. He allowed one run in seven innings, with 16 of his 21 outs coming on groundballs.
MINNESOTA is 14-8 at home when the total is 9 to 9 1/2!
Marc Lawrence
Today’s Free Pick
St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers Jul 8, 2009 8:05PM
PICK: Milwaukee Brewers
REASON FOR PICK: Play On: Milwaukee w/Suppan vs. Wellemeyer
Note: The Brewers host the Cardinals in Game Two of this three game series when Jeff Suppan matches serves with Todd Wellemeyer in Milwaukee tonight. Suppan toes the rubber knowing he is 9-3 in his career team starts against the Redbirds, including 8-1 his last nine efforts. On the flip side, Wellemeyer is 1-4 in his career team starts against the Brew Crew.
Look for St. Louis to slip to 5-14 the last nineteen games against Milwaukee here this evening.
Today’s Free Pick
St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers Jul 8, 2009 8:05PM
PICK: Milwaukee Brewers
REASON FOR PICK: Play On: Milwaukee w/Suppan vs. Wellemeyer
Note: The Brewers host the Cardinals in Game Two of this three game series when Jeff Suppan matches serves with Todd Wellemeyer in Milwaukee tonight. Suppan toes the rubber knowing he is 9-3 in his career team starts against the Redbirds, including 8-1 his last nine efforts. On the flip side, Wellemeyer is 1-4 in his career team starts against the Brew Crew.
Look for St. Louis to slip to 5-14 the last nineteen games against Milwaukee here this evening.
Matt Fargo
Today’s Free Pick
St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers Jul 8, 2009 8:05PM
PICK: St. Louis Cardinals
REASON FOR PICK: St. Louis picked up a big win last night in the first game in this series behind a solid pitching effort from Adam Wainwright. The Cardinals have now own five of their last six games to build a two-game lead in the National League Central and they have improved to three games over .500 on the road this season. Milwaukee has been playing the exact opposite as it has dropped five of its last six games and it is just 6-11 over its last 17 games. The offense has been held in check with the exception of a couple games and the pitching has been having some rough games, allowing six runs or more in nine of those 17 contests. Looking at Todd Wellemeyer’s numbers and it shows that his season has been anything but good. However, he is coming off a quality start in his last game and that is important for a couple reasons. First, it brings a much needed boost of confidence that he has not seen much this season. The big factor however is what led to that quality start. He had a flawed delivery that was just discovered prior to that start. It was corrected and it resulted in one of his best outings this season. He allowed two runs on seven hits and one walk and that control correction will be vital moving forward. Even though his ERA is at 5.44 on the season, St. Louis has won 10 of his 17 starts including four of six on the road. In two previous start in Milwaukee Wellemeyer has posted a solid 1.59 ERA covering 11.1 innings. Jeff Suppan takes the ball for the Brewers and his season has been very inconsistent. Hew is also coming off a quality outing in his last start but there is no rationale for it other than he was able to finally get a good stretch going. That came on the road where he has done his best work. At home, it has been a different story as he is 1-5 with a 6.08 ERA and 1.73 WHIP in seven starts. The Brewers have given him only 3.1 rpg in those seven games at Miller Park. The Cardinals are 6-0 in Wellemeyer’s last six starts as a road underdog while the Brewers are 0-5 in Suppan’s last five home starts against a team with a winning record.
3* St. Louis Cardinals
Today’s Free Pick
St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers Jul 8, 2009 8:05PM
PICK: St. Louis Cardinals
REASON FOR PICK: St. Louis picked up a big win last night in the first game in this series behind a solid pitching effort from Adam Wainwright. The Cardinals have now own five of their last six games to build a two-game lead in the National League Central and they have improved to three games over .500 on the road this season. Milwaukee has been playing the exact opposite as it has dropped five of its last six games and it is just 6-11 over its last 17 games. The offense has been held in check with the exception of a couple games and the pitching has been having some rough games, allowing six runs or more in nine of those 17 contests. Looking at Todd Wellemeyer’s numbers and it shows that his season has been anything but good. However, he is coming off a quality start in his last game and that is important for a couple reasons. First, it brings a much needed boost of confidence that he has not seen much this season. The big factor however is what led to that quality start. He had a flawed delivery that was just discovered prior to that start. It was corrected and it resulted in one of his best outings this season. He allowed two runs on seven hits and one walk and that control correction will be vital moving forward. Even though his ERA is at 5.44 on the season, St. Louis has won 10 of his 17 starts including four of six on the road. In two previous start in Milwaukee Wellemeyer has posted a solid 1.59 ERA covering 11.1 innings. Jeff Suppan takes the ball for the Brewers and his season has been very inconsistent. Hew is also coming off a quality outing in his last start but there is no rationale for it other than he was able to finally get a good stretch going. That came on the road where he has done his best work. At home, it has been a different story as he is 1-5 with a 6.08 ERA and 1.73 WHIP in seven starts. The Brewers have given him only 3.1 rpg in those seven games at Miller Park. The Cardinals are 6-0 in Wellemeyer’s last six starts as a road underdog while the Brewers are 0-5 in Suppan’s last five home starts against a team with a winning record.
3* St. Louis Cardinals
Matt Rivers
Complimentary Pick
For Wednesday take the A's at Fenway.
Yes the A's are pretty bad and at times do not hit a lick but I have a sneaky suspicion that they are going to get to Tim Wakefield today.
The Boston knuckleballer has been great and was just announced to have made the All-Star team. Wakefield deserves that honor as much as anybody but if I have seen it once I have seen it a million times, a guy finally gets to the Mid Summer Classic like this, reads his press clippings and then goes out that next time and gets drilled.
Oakland does have some pop with Scott Hairston now around helping Jason Giambi and Matt Holliday. Obviously it's the Sox who are the clear cut superior team of these two but Boston has been struggling a bit as they lost two of three vs. Seattle and were completely shut down by Brett Anderson in the first game of this series on Monday.
It's asking a lot for Oakland to win this game as Trevor Cahill is far from being Cy Young, as evidenced by the dreadful last two outings, and the Athletics are really not very good overall but I like this number back in this situation and will give it a go.
1♦ A's on a 1♦ to 5♦ Scale
Complimentary Pick
For Wednesday take the A's at Fenway.
Yes the A's are pretty bad and at times do not hit a lick but I have a sneaky suspicion that they are going to get to Tim Wakefield today.
The Boston knuckleballer has been great and was just announced to have made the All-Star team. Wakefield deserves that honor as much as anybody but if I have seen it once I have seen it a million times, a guy finally gets to the Mid Summer Classic like this, reads his press clippings and then goes out that next time and gets drilled.
Oakland does have some pop with Scott Hairston now around helping Jason Giambi and Matt Holliday. Obviously it's the Sox who are the clear cut superior team of these two but Boston has been struggling a bit as they lost two of three vs. Seattle and were completely shut down by Brett Anderson in the first game of this series on Monday.
It's asking a lot for Oakland to win this game as Trevor Cahill is far from being Cy Young, as evidenced by the dreadful last two outings, and the Athletics are really not very good overall but I like this number back in this situation and will give it a go.
1♦ A's on a 1♦ to 5♦ Scale
Dominic Fazzini
Complimentary Selection
Zack Greinke (10-4, 2.00 ERA) might be the best pitcher in the American League this season, but he has been especially good against the Tigers.
The Royals right-hander has allowed just two runs (one earned) in two complete-game victories over Detroit this season, and is 3-0 with a 0.36 ERA in his last three outings vs. the Tigers. He also has won consecutive starts at Comerica Park, with a 0.64 ERA.
Greinke, who is headed to the All-Star Game next week, has complained recently of fatigue, but said that is normal for him this time of the season.
Rookie Luke French (0-0, 2.35) will take the mound for Detroit. The left-hander has pitched just 7 2/3 innings in three big-league appearances (one start), allowing two runs on six hits, and should have his hands full today trying to match Greinke pitch for pitch.
I think Kansas City has good value today as a slight favorite. Go with the Royals to gain a rare road win.
(Based on a 1♦ to 5♦ scale)
2♦ KANSAS CITY
Complimentary Selection
Zack Greinke (10-4, 2.00 ERA) might be the best pitcher in the American League this season, but he has been especially good against the Tigers.
The Royals right-hander has allowed just two runs (one earned) in two complete-game victories over Detroit this season, and is 3-0 with a 0.36 ERA in his last three outings vs. the Tigers. He also has won consecutive starts at Comerica Park, with a 0.64 ERA.
Greinke, who is headed to the All-Star Game next week, has complained recently of fatigue, but said that is normal for him this time of the season.
Rookie Luke French (0-0, 2.35) will take the mound for Detroit. The left-hander has pitched just 7 2/3 innings in three big-league appearances (one start), allowing two runs on six hits, and should have his hands full today trying to match Greinke pitch for pitch.
I think Kansas City has good value today as a slight favorite. Go with the Royals to gain a rare road win.
(Based on a 1♦ to 5♦ scale)
2♦ KANSAS CITY
The Sports Investing Professional
COMP.
Wednesday, July 8, 2009
The Sports Investing Professional - Wednesday
Tuesday Recap - It wasn't the prettiest of victories
but Detroit did their job and other than the 2nd inning
Verlander was un-hittable in the 1st, 3rd, 4th, and 5th.
So a good day as we collect another nickel from the man!
Wednesdays Play(s) - I've gone over every game and
matchup and can't find a single one worth investing
in so today......we rest. Enjoy your day off and we'll
see everyone back here tomorrow!
Record (11-3) + $3200
COMP.
Wednesday, July 8, 2009
The Sports Investing Professional - Wednesday
Tuesday Recap - It wasn't the prettiest of victories
but Detroit did their job and other than the 2nd inning
Verlander was un-hittable in the 1st, 3rd, 4th, and 5th.
So a good day as we collect another nickel from the man!
Wednesdays Play(s) - I've gone over every game and
matchup and can't find a single one worth investing
in so today......we rest. Enjoy your day off and we'll
see everyone back here tomorrow!
Record (11-3) + $3200
Jeff Alexander
Bonus Play for July 8, 2009
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays -143
I'll gladly pay the juice to get the much better starter on my side tonight. The Rays are 17-6 in Kazmir's last 23 home starts and a ridiculous 21-5 in his last 26 starts during game 2 of a series. The Blue Jays are 2-10 in the last 12 meetings in Tampa Bay and 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. The Blue Jays are 1-7 in Tallet's last 8 starts as an underdog and 0-5 in Tallet's last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter. With the edge at the plate and on the mound in this matchup, the Rays give us an excellent opportunity to cash tickets.
1 Unit on Tampa Bay Rays -143
Bonus Play for July 8, 2009
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays -143
I'll gladly pay the juice to get the much better starter on my side tonight. The Rays are 17-6 in Kazmir's last 23 home starts and a ridiculous 21-5 in his last 26 starts during game 2 of a series. The Blue Jays are 2-10 in the last 12 meetings in Tampa Bay and 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. The Blue Jays are 1-7 in Tallet's last 8 starts as an underdog and 0-5 in Tallet's last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter. With the edge at the plate and on the mound in this matchup, the Rays give us an excellent opportunity to cash tickets.
1 Unit on Tampa Bay Rays -143
LT Profits Sports Group
Bonus Play
Both Todd Wellemeyer and Jeff Suppan have an ERA over 5.00 in their last three starts, and although each pitched well last time out, that may be just an aberration. Go Over here tonight.
Todd Wellemeyer of the St. Louis Cardinals and Jeff Suppan of the Milwaukee Brewers are both off of their form right now, so look for these teams to reach double-digits combined tonight.
Now granted, Wellemeyer had a nice outing vs. the San Francisco Giants in his last start, but that snapped a string of seven straight starts without a Quality Start. He has a much tougher assignment tonight vs. a potent Milwaukee lineup that is batting .287 vs. right-handed pitching over the last 10 games. Wellemeyer has also been awful on the road this season despite his 3-2 away record, as he owns a poor 5.60 ERA and 1.67 WHIP when traveling.
Similarly, Suppan is also coming off of his best effort in a while vs. the Chicago Cubs, but he still has a 5.09 ERA and 1.64 WHIP over his last three starts. While one would think Suppan should have success vs. the Cardinals after pitching for them for so long, that was not the case the last time he faced them as he allowed five earned runs on seven hits while lasting only 3.2 innings here in Miller Park on May 26.
We look for both starter to bounce off of their improved outings last time out and revert back to their normal mediocre forms tonight.
Free Pick: Cardinals, Brewers Over 9½ (+100)
Bonus Play
Both Todd Wellemeyer and Jeff Suppan have an ERA over 5.00 in their last three starts, and although each pitched well last time out, that may be just an aberration. Go Over here tonight.
Todd Wellemeyer of the St. Louis Cardinals and Jeff Suppan of the Milwaukee Brewers are both off of their form right now, so look for these teams to reach double-digits combined tonight.
Now granted, Wellemeyer had a nice outing vs. the San Francisco Giants in his last start, but that snapped a string of seven straight starts without a Quality Start. He has a much tougher assignment tonight vs. a potent Milwaukee lineup that is batting .287 vs. right-handed pitching over the last 10 games. Wellemeyer has also been awful on the road this season despite his 3-2 away record, as he owns a poor 5.60 ERA and 1.67 WHIP when traveling.
Similarly, Suppan is also coming off of his best effort in a while vs. the Chicago Cubs, but he still has a 5.09 ERA and 1.64 WHIP over his last three starts. While one would think Suppan should have success vs. the Cardinals after pitching for them for so long, that was not the case the last time he faced them as he allowed five earned runs on seven hits while lasting only 3.2 innings here in Miller Park on May 26.
We look for both starter to bounce off of their improved outings last time out and revert back to their normal mediocre forms tonight.
Free Pick: Cardinals, Brewers Over 9½ (+100)
