Wednesday 07/08/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Yanks]

We Cover Spreads

Bonus Play

Toronto is hitting .286 against southpaws this season and Scott Kazmir has been struggling for the Rays at home. Back the Blue Jays tonight against Tampa Bay.
If there is a team in the AL East Scott Kazmir hasn't had much luck against, it is the Toronto Blue Jays. The Rays are 0-5 in Kazmir's starts vs. Toronto at Tropicana Field. Since returning from his quad injury on June 27 he has yet to pitch more than five innings. He hasn't been going deep into games all season averaging a high 19.8 pitches per inning and leaving the Rays' pen to work four three or four innings in his starts.

Kazmir has been rocked at home this season with a 1-3 record and a 9.40 ERA. In 29.2 innings on the hill at Tropicana Field this year he has allowed 31 earned runs and 40 hits. Tonight he will face a Toronto team that is batting .286 vs. southpaws on the season.

With the All-Star break approaching the Blue Jays have managed to hang in the AL race despite a lot of injuries and they should close out the first half of the season feeling pretty good about things. Tonight they send Brain Tallet to face Tampa.

He has never started vs. the Rays but he has some solid relief performances under his belt. In 2008 he faced them six times in relief allowing just one hit, no earned runs, seven strikeouts and three walks. In 2007 he faced them four times allowing five hits, no earned runs, four strikeouts and three walks.

Tallet has done well overall since his switch from the pen to the starting rotation earlier this season. He had a rough April but his stamina showed major improvement by May and he has pitched deep in games with nine quality starts in 13 outings since May. In his last three starts against the Yankees, Phillies, and Reds he has given up just six earned runs and a 16/11 strike out/walk ratio.

He seems to do very well even when his control isn't on by not getting flustered when putting runners on base. He has pitched in a lot of tough stadiums on the highway this season and still has a decent 3.98 road ERA to show for it. The veteran lefty should do well tonight against the Devil Rays lineup.

We'll back Toronto tonight as a nice sized dog against the overpriced Scott Kazmir and the Rays.

Free Pick: Blue Jays +139

 

[Yanks]

Big Al McMordie

Bonus Play

The Rangers and Angels have combined to score 13 runs in each of the first two games of this series, and the offense will continue on Wednesday at the Big A.
Our Wednesday night selection is on the Texas Rangers and Los Angeles Angels going over the total in Anaheim.

Angels righthander Ervin Santana had his first start back in almost a month last Friday against the Orioles and pitched better than most of his previous starts this season. Despite yielding six runs (four earned) in five innings, there was more life on his fastball than in previous returns from issues involving his right elbow, forearm and triceps. He was in the 93-94 mph range, closer to the 94-96 range he held during his 2008 All-Star season. That's the good news.

The bad news is that despite this, Santana still lost the game and now has a 1-4 record on the season and a 7.43 ERA to go with it. The other bit of bad news for him and the Angels going into this start is that this is Santana's first appearance this season against the Rangers, but in 14 previous career starts against them, Santana holds a 7-5 record with an ERA of 6.46, which means that even when he was performing at his best, he was still having problems with the Texas hitters.

More bad news tonight: Santana has been awful at home this season, going 0-2 with a 12.12 ERA in four starts at Angel Stadium in 2009.

Currently the Rangers are scheduled to send righthander Vicente Padilla to the mound in his first start since June 29. Padilla missed some time with a sore shoulder and his most recent start seemed to reflect that as he got hit pretty hard in a loss against the Angels.

Although he is reportedly throwing without any pain, don't expect Padilla to be 100% for this one. Take the Over.

Free Pick: Rangers-Angels Over 10 (-113)

 

[Yanks]

Tom Freese

Bonus Play

Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox -135

Chicago starter Jose Contreras has a 9-1 strikeout to walk in his last 3 starts. Chicago is 25-10 their last 35 games vs. a team with a win percentage of under 40%. The White Sox are 8-2 their last 10 road games and they are 14-3 in Game 2 of a series. Cleveland starter Aaron Laffey has more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 starts. Cleveland is 17-35 vs. a team that allowed 5 or more runs in their last game. The Indians are 7-19 their last 26 games vs. winning teams and they are 20-41 their last 61 games when playing Game 2 of a series.

PLAY ON CHICAGO - (Contreras vs. Laffey)

 

[Yanks]

Vegas Experts

Bonus Play

Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies

The Philadelphia Phillies hammered the Cincinnati Reds last night 22-1 to open their three-game series last night. The Reds have lost their last two games by a combined score of 32-2 and it can only go up from here. Cincinnati is 9-0 over the past two seasons after losing back-to-back games with the opponent scoring eight or more runs. Not to mention they are 10-1 when coming off a loss by six or more runs. Go with the Reds

Play on: Cincinnati

 

[LocksRus]

Ness has a 20* Day Time GOY.

He lost a 20* last night.

May be fade material if anyone has this play.

He's been frigid lately.

 

[JMEYERS]

John Morrison (Bet/No bet)

When he sent me the email for his new v2 system he said that the team your betting on has to have a higher RPI then the team there playing..Well Yankees have a higher Rpi then the Twins,dont think this is a lagit play ~~:<<~~:<<~~:<<~~:<<~~:<<~~:<<

 

[goldencontender]

Wednesday comp play GC-

On Wednesday we go for 6 straight. The Bonus Play is on the Chicago Whitesox.Game 976 at 8:15.The Whitesox qualify in a solid 28-7 system tonight.Stick with me here this ones a bit intricate.What we want to do is play on certain home favorites if the total is 10 or higher if they won by 2 or more runs,scored 10 or more runs on 10+ hits and did not commit any errors,provided tonights opponent is off a road dog loss of 2 or more runs,scored 5 or more runs on 10+ hits and had 4 or more men left on base.These home teams win by 2.5 runs per game.The Sox also have a bit of a pitching advantage with Contreras over Cleveland lefty Laffey.Contreras has pitched 12 innings at home vs the Tribe allowing 4 runs.Laffey has allowed 6 runs in 12+ innings at Chicago.However he has a 7.27 road era this year.The Whitesox are scoring over 6 runs per game on .320 hitting over the last 7 games and are 9-3 in game 2 of a nhome series.Cleveland is just 4-10 in game 2 of a road series.Those looking to drop a bomb on their book consider a 5 unit non-divisional game of the month backed with a 13-1 system that wins by over 3 runs per game that heads tonights card..Back the Whitesox tonight as the Bonus Play. bol GC-

 

[Yanks]

EZWINNER'S

FREE SELECTION

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets

(963) Los Angeles Dodgers -$141

(Listing Kuroda and Perez)

We have an Oliver Perez sighting! Mets starting pitcher Oliver
Perez will return from the disabled list to start this game against
the Los Angeles Dodgers. Perez, sidelined since May with a right
knee injury, is 1-2 with a 9.97 ERA in five starts this season. The
Dodgers .293 average against left handed pitchers is third best in
the major leagues. I expect them to light up Perez. The Dodgers s
tarting pitcher Hiroki Kuroda should get the job done against the
minor league lineup that the Mets will run out there.
Play on Los Angeles.

2009 Free Selections Record 98-85 (53.6%)

 

[Yanks]

MTi Sports

Bonus Play

Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays

Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays are 13-0 since May 24, 2008 after scoring 3 runs or less and winning and it is not the first game of a series. Also Tampa is 7-0 after a win in which they allowed 1 or fewer walks. The Jays are 0-6 after a loss in which they were shut out in the first 6 innings.

Consider backing the Rays.

 

[Yanks]

Bobby Maxwell

Bonus Play

Texas at L.A. ANGELS -125

Tonight's FREE winner comes from the big series going on out west between the Rangers and Angels as I love the Angels to get the win in the series finale tonight.

Big game, big series, big spot for the Angels' Ervin Santana to make his arrival this season and give his team a strong outing and chance to win. The guy was a stud for Los Angeles last season, going 16-7 but he's had trouble battling back from injury this year. This is his time to shine and he knows his team is counting on him.

Santana is just 1-4 with a 7.43 ERA this season after the career year last season. He has given up four runs or more in four of his last five starts and the Angels have lost four of his seven starts. Against Baltimore on Friday he gave up six runs (four earned) in five innings of a 6-4 loss at home.

The Rangers counter with Vicente Padilla (6-4, 4.75) who got beat up by the Angels back on June 29, giving up five runs on 10 hits in just five innings. It was the second time this season they got to him, as he's allowed eight runs on 20 hits in 13 innings to Los Angeles.

The Angels are riding some nice streaks coming into this one, including 6-2 at home, 8-2 at home against teams with losing records and 38-14 in the third game of a series.

All this, plus the Angels dominate this series, winning 25 of the last 38 meetings. I love the Angels and their unstable pitcher. Play Los Angeles.

2? L.A. ANGELS

 

[Yanks]

Chris Jordan

Bonus Play

N.Y. Yankees -135 at MINNESOTA

Taking the Yankees with A.J. Burnett tonight, as it appears they’re looking to make a late run at the Red Sox as we close out the first half. Last night the Bronx Bombers were impressive in a 10-2 win, as C.C. Sabathia allowed one run on three hits in seven innings while the team’s bottom third of the Yankees order produces seven hits and six RBI.

Things are going that well for the Yankees, who scored their sixth straight road victory by jumping all over Minnesota starter Scott Baker for five runs on nine hits with two walks in three innings, his shortest outing of the season.

Things don’t get any easier for Glen Perkins, who is 1-3 with a 7.71 ERA in four career starts against the Bombers. I’d much rather bank on Burnett, who has surrendered just three earned runs in his last four starts. That includes two impressive wins in his last two starts, against the Mets and Blue Jays, as he’s lasted a minimum of seven innings and given up just two earned runs in both games combined.

We’re laying the road chalk tonight, as the Yankees get it done once again.

2? N.Y. YANKEES

 

[Yanks]

Karl Garrett

Bonus Play

NY Yankees at MINNESOTA

Now 7-2 the last 9 days with my comp plays!

Take the OVER on Wednesday night between the Yankees and Twins.

New York's bats continue to make major noise, plating double-digits in runs in last night's series opener, as 5 of the last 8 games played between these teams at the Metrodome have played OVER the posted total.

The Yankees have now played their last 3, and 4 of their last 6 OVER the total, and they did tattoo Minnesota starter Glen Perkins for 6 runs in just 1 inning of work in a May start in the Bronx.

AJ Burnett has certainly been in a groove for New York of late, but even if he shuts the Twins down, you can expect the Yankees' bats to once again carry this game OVER the posted total.
HIGH-SCORING affair tonight at the Metrodome.

1? OVER

 

[Yanks]

Jr Tips

Bonus Play

INDIANS vs. WHITE-SOX

Since being recalled from the minors last month, Chicago White Sox right-hander Jose Contreras has been outstanding and looks to lead the hot Chicago White Sox to a fifth straight victory over the last-place Indians tonight. Contreras (3-7, 4.84 ERA) is 3-2 with a 2.17 ERA in five starts since being called up from Triple-A on June 8th. He is pitching well right now and defeated Cleveland last Wednesday 6-2 striking out eight and walked one while allowing two runs and five hits over eight innings. Opponents are hitting .178 against him since he returned to the rotation. Contreras is 5-2 with a 3.23 ERA in 13 starts against the Indians, including 3-0 with a 2.03 ERA in his last four. Cleveland (33-51) has lost six of seven on the road and will start left-hander Aaron Laffey. Laffey (3-1, 3.93) makes his first start since May 22nd when he left in the eighth inning of a 3-1 loss at Cincinnati with a right oblique strain. His return has been delayed due to control issues in the minors and it"s gonna take a while for him to get comfortable against MLb hitters and this hot Chicago White Sox team who pounded the Indians last night will take advantage of his rust.

TAKE CHI-SOX-125

 

[Yanks]

Jimmy The Moose

Bonus Play

Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays

Prediction: Under

The under is 7-3-1 in the Jays last 11 games overall. In their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter the under is 4-1-1. The under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games as a dog. The under is 8-3 in Tallet's last 11 starts overall. His last 5 road starts have played under the total. Tampa has played under the total in 8 of their last 9 games. The under is 20-8-1 in their last 29 as a favorite. In their last 5 following a win the under is 5-0. The under is 7-1 in Kazmir's last 8 starts vs. the Jays. The under is 12-4 in Toronto's last 16 trips to Tampa. All 4 meetings this season have played the under.

Play the under.

 

[Yanks]

Brad Diamond Sports

Bonus Play

Play on: Seattle over Baltimore

Lefty Vargas has thrown into some real tough luck this season. In fact, the last outing against the Orioles he came down with the flu. However, this time around the hurler should be in outstanding form at home, while catching the Orioles on an extended road trip. Seattle is 8-1 last nine at home. Plus, the Mariners have won the last 5 of 6 in the series.

 

[Yanks]

Red Dog Sports

Bonus Play

Pittsburgh at Houston

Play: Under 8

Morton has an ERA of 2.65 in his last 3 while Wandy Rodriguez's ERA is 3.21. Pittsburgh has 10 unders and 2 overs in their last 12 games while Houston has played unders 13-5-2 in their last 20 overall.

Look for an under on Wednesday afternoon!

 

[Yanks]

Wunderdog

Bonus Play

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros

Houston Astros -159

The Astros have been waiting for Wandy Rodriguez to mature into the pitcher they believed he could be, and all of that has materialized this season. Rodriguez has pitched the Astros to an 11-6 mark in his 17 starts. Rodriguez has been especially tough at home. He had one big bump vs. the Colorado Rockies at home, but otherwise has been lights out and pitched to a 1.53 ERA in front of the hometown fans. Charlie Morton has logged 17 good innings for the Pirates, but it can?t be forgotten that Morton posted a 30-45 mark in the minors, before being brought up by the Braves a year ago, and went 4-8 with a 6.15 ERA. Morton's numbers are better than he is right now and I think the Astros catch up to him in this one.

I'm going with Houston here.

 

[Yanks]

Dave Price

Bonus Play for 7/8/09

Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers

Kansas City Royals -125

Have to back Zack here tonight. Greinke is 10-4 on the season with an ERA of 2.00 and a WHIP of 1.055. Plus, he is 9-4 lifetime when starting against Detroit with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.141. In fact, the Royals are 6-1 in Greinke's last 7 starts vs. the Tigers and 4-1 in his last 5 road starts vs. the Tigers. The Tigers are now 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win and they try to get the job done with a rookie tonight making his 2nd career start. His WHIP is 1.713 after his first start and the Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
I like Greinke and the Royals in this matchup.

1 Unit on Kansas City Royals -125

 

[Yanks]

Rob Vinciletti

Bonus Play

Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox -140

On Wednesday we go for 6 straight. The Bonus Play is on the Chicago Whitesox.Game 976 at 8:15.The Whitesox qualify in a solid 28-7 system tonight.Stick with me here this ones a bit intricate.What we want to do is play on certain home favorites if the total is 10 or higher if they won by 2 or more runs,scored 10 or more runs on 10+ hits and did not commit any errors,provided tonights opponent is off a road dog loss of 2 or more runs,scored 5 or more runs on 10+ hits and had 4 or more men left on base.These home teams win by 2.5 runs per game.The Sox also have a bit of a pitching advantage with Contreras over Cleveland lefty Laffey.Contreras has pitched 12 innings at home vs the Tribe allowing 4 runs.Laffey has allowed 6 runs in 12+ innings at Chicago.However he has a 7.27 road era this year.The Whitesox are scoring over 6 runs per game on .320 hitting over the last 7 games and are 9-3 in game 2 of a home series.Cleveland is just 4-10 in game 2 of a road series.Those looking to drop a bomb on their book consider a 5 unit non-divisional game of the month backed with a 13-1 system that wins by over 3 runs per game that heads tonights card.

Back the Whitesox tonight as the Bonus Play.

 

[Yanks]

Rocky Atkinson

Bonus Play

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers -115

St Louis @ Milwaukee 8:05 PM EST

Play On: Milwaukee (Wellmeyer/Suppan) Listed

Todd Wellmeyer comes in with a 7-7 record and a 5.44 ERA overall this year. Wellmeyer has a 5.60 ERA on the road and a 5.87 ERA his last 3 starts. Wellmeyer is 1-2 overall vs Milwaukee since 1997 and his team is 1-4 during those starts. Suppan is 7-3 with a 3.31 ERA overall vs St Louis since 1997. Cardinals are 3-9 in Wellemeyers last 12 starts vs. National League Central. Brewers are 14-5 in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Brewers are 43-18 in their last 61 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Brewers are 20-9 in their last 29 vs. a team with a winning record. Brewers are 6-1 in Suppans last 7 starts vs. Cardinals. Cardinals are 4-11 in the last 15 meetings.

We'll recommend a small play on Milwaukee tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky