Wednesday 07/01/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Red Dog Sports

Bonus Play

Tampa Bay at Toronto

Play under 8.5

Look for an under on Wednesday afternoon. In the last 21 meetings in Toronto there have been 15 unders and when Tampa Bay is favored they have 15 unders, 7 overs and a push in their last 23. Shields has an ERA of 3.41 with 5 overs and 10 unders this season while Romero has an ERA of 3.20 with 4 overs and 6 unders.

Look for a low scoring getaway game on Wednesday.
 

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Brad Diamond Sports

Bonus Play

Play: Phillies over Atlanta

Feel Phillies will come out of their funk now that the Inter-League play has come to an end. Lefty Cole Hamels struggled last time out, but the Phillies are 4-0 with the ace last four versus the Braves. In addition, the visitor is 22-4 with Hamels against a losing team.
 

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Bobby Maxwell

Bonus Play

L.A. Angels at TEXAS -110

Tonight's FREE winner comes to us from Arlington, Texas as we go with the Rangers at home to take care of the Angels in this American League West matchup.

Texas gets pumped up to play the Angels, don't they? They showed that with Tuesday's victory and they'll come out emotional again tonight with veteran hurler Kevin Millwood (8-5, 2.64 ERA) on the mound.

Millwood has been great in front of the home fans, going 6-1 with a 2.17 ERA in the Ballpark in Arlington, known for being one of the most hitter-friendly places in baseball. Friday he led the Rangers to a 12-2 beating of the Padres with six innings of work, allowing two runs on four hits. Millwood has held the opposition to three runs or less in seven straight outings and the Rangers have won four of his last five.

Millwood beat the Angels on May 15 when he allowed two runs in six innings of a 10-8 victory. Texas is on runs of 19-7 at home with the veteran on the hill.

Jered Weaver (8-3, 2.56) goes for Los Angeles tonight, but this youngster is coming off two bad outings, giving up nine runs on 14 hits in 11.1 innings, losing to the Dodgers and getting bailed out in Arizona on Friday by his offense. When he pitched against Texas on May 17, the Rangers got him for three runs on six hits in eight innings of a 3-0 win.

Texas is 18-5 agaisnt A.L. West competition and this team doesn't look like it's going away in the division race. We expect the Mariners to drop back and this will turn into a two-team race with the Angels and Rangers. But Texas wins this one tonight thanks to the consistent Millwood. Play the Rangers.

4? TEXAS
 

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Scott Spreitzer

Bonus Play

Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles

Play: Boston Red Sox

After the normally dependable and strong Red Sox bullpen blew a 10-1 lead last night, I expect them to come out all fired-up to atone for the loss. Chances are, the relievers won't see a lot of action though with Josh Beckett on the hill. Beckett is a serious innings-eater, having tossed 57 2/3 IP in his last eight starts. The BoSox are 8-2 in Beckett's last 10 starts and the righthander has held five of his last seven opponents to ZERO earned runs. In fact, even if you include his one weak outing in his last seven, Beckett's allowed just seven earned runs and 42 base runners in 50 2/3 IP for a 1.24 ERA & 0.83 WHIP. Beckett has owned Camden Yards in his six career starts. He's allowed just 14 earned runs and 45 base runners in 42 1/3 IP. He's averaging over 7 IP per start in this venue with a 2.98 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. Toss in his 8.51 K's per 9 IP ratio and you can see he's going to be tough to crack on Wednesday. Orioles' starter Brad Bergesen owns nice overall numbers, but he's truly struggled in afternoon action where he's been tagged for a 5.11 ERA and .287 BAA. I'm sure Boston is licking their chops to get back on the field after last night's collapse. I'm riding the roadie in this one.

Boston Red Sox are the play.
 

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Computer Baseball System

COMP.

Yesterday's Results
WON: ORIOLES +116, GIANTS +182, PIRATES +124, BREWERS +124, WHITE SOX +182.
FAIL: BLUE JAYS +119, REDS +128, ROYALS +124, ANGELS +103.

TODAY'S PICKS

Our systems say to go for:

Orioles (+136), Giants (+124), Pirates (+123),

Blue Jays (+115), White Sox (+110), Royals (+101).
 

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Computer Sports

WEDNESDAY FREE WINNER!!

ARIZONA/CINCINNATI UNDER 8.5
 

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Dr. Vegas

FREE Wednesday Selection

Cincinnati -150 over Arizona
 

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TV Hotline

Free Wednesday MLB Pick

White Sox +105 over Indians
 

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Dave Price

Bonus Play for 7/1/09

LAA Angels vs. Texas Rangers

Total 9½ un-120

Both Weaver and Millwood have had plenty of success when pitching in this division match with 2.64 and 3.75 ERA's respectively. In fact, the Under is 5-0 in Weavers last 5 road starts vs. the Rangers and 6-0-1 in Weavers last 7 starts vs. the Rangers overall. The Rangers offense is not as strong as it was early in the season and, in fact, the Under is 14-3 in the Rangers last 17 games as a home favorite and 11-2-1 in Millwood's last 14 home starts.
I'll take the Under here this evening.


1 Unit on Angels/Rangers UNDER 9.5
 

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Doc's Sports

Bonus Play from Doc's Sports

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

Take Under between the Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves (Wednesday @ 7pm est).

Let's take the Under today as the Braves host the Phillies. Yesterday's contest should have gone under but went to extras as there were just five runs scored up to the 8th inning. As per this game, bear in mind that it is a division game and Jurrjens has been huge for this team thus far. Although he is 5-6 he has a 2.93era and has put together 7 of 9 quailty starts. He comes off a 1-4 loss to Boston despite pitching well and looks to bounce-back at home against division rivals in the Phils. Cole Hamels, the California native lefty goes for the Phils today as they look to rebound from the 4-5 loss in extras yesterday. He has lost his last two efforts despite pitching relatively well including and I expect him to put forth a quality effort given those two losses plus the Phillies coming off a loss themselevs. As he comes off a non-quality start, Hamels has not put together back to back non-quality starts in over ten games so he too is on the bounce-back. The Under is 8-2 for Hamels when he starts as a road favorite and the Under is 8-2 when Jurrjens starts with a total set at this range.


Total 8 un-105
 

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Rob Vinciletti

Bonus Play

San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Total 7 ov-110

On Wednesday the Bonus Play is on the over in the ST.Louis Cards-SF.Giants game.Rotation numbers 913/14 at 8:15 eastern.Matt Cain goes for the Giants here tonight and he is having an outstanding season.However he has struggled vs the Cards.In his lone start in ST.Louis he has a 22.07 era.The Cards have A.Wainwright going tonight and they have flown over the total in 11 of his 15 starts this year.In the series in ST.Louis these two teams have gone over in 5 of the 8 games over the last 3 years.Its worth noting the Cards have gone over the total 10 of the last 11 times as a favorite off 2 losses in games they have never led in,if tonights games is not the first game of a series.On Wednesdays late phone card I have a solid double angle totals play that has cashed 19 times in a row Plus a big off shore steam side.Congrats to those with me on Tuesday as we cashed the big AL. total of the year with the Yanks and Mariners over the total.

For the Bonus Play take the over in the ST.louis-SF game bol
 

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