Wed. Hoops +early injury report

[LowTide]

YTD 72-59 +8.5

Probably forced a play on Canisius.I am eliminating 5 and 6* plays from my system.Everything will be 1 to 4 from now on.

2*St.Peters-3.5(cris)
St.Peter's is off a drubbing from Manhattan,but should rebound nicely against Marist.

Also looking at Georgia Southern -4 at Wofford as they have already beaten them by 18 earlier in the year.Also waiting for the UConn line to maybe drop some-I think they will lay a beating on Pitt.

 

[LowTide]

YTD 73-59 +10.5

2*UAB-13.5(buy.5)
This number seems alittle high,but I think the Blazers will get it.The Blazers lead the conference in steals and will run at every opportunity.The Bulls have now lost Baxter and 2 others.They have 6 of their top 9 left.I see them tiring in the second half and getting run out of the gym.UAB off a loss to Depaul and South Florida seems to be in disarray so I like the spot for the Blazers.I will be at this game,but that is not why I am betting on it.

2*Rice-7.5(buy.5)
SMU has been difficult to get a handle on to say the least.On the other side,Rice has been very solid at home,destroying conference foes UTEP and Boise, but are off a loss to Tulsa.Rice is stronger in every major category and will bounce back strong.

1*Akron-7.5
Ohio has been competitive in most of their games,only losing a couple by double digits.Akron has played Kent and Western Michigan tough,but stand 1-4 in the conference.Akron has a go to guy with Tarver and I think they break out tonight.

 

[LowTide]

YTD 76-59 +15.5

2*Louisville-3.5(buy.5)
No question Cincy has the talent and the depth.It will be important for Louisville to take care of the ball against Cincy's pressure and I think they handle the ball well enough.Cincy's front court depth may be an issue although I am sure everyone will play.Maxiell(ankle),Kirkland(missed last 3,?),Hicks(flu),and Whaley(bit through his tongue in practice).Obviously,Maxiell's ankle is what we lould like to know about.Cincy has been dominating,but tonight will be the first time they play someone that looks them back in the eye.

Also leaning to Georgia,Creighton,Kent,Iowa State, and Southern Illinois.

 

[LowTide]

YTD 77-59 +17.5

1*Utah State -3.5-1st half
Morrill gave the Aggies the day off so they would play with some energy on this road trip.They have already won at UCSB and Cal-Poly.The Aggies tend to start fast,but Sow will be a difficult matchup so just the first half play for now.

 

[goatboy]

Nice win on Louisville last night. I will look at Utah St tonight

 

[thetexaskid]

utah st avg 28.4 points on rd in 1st giving up 30.8. but for game avg 65.4 and give up 61.6. seems they get stronger as game goes on. but i do like them 1st and game

good luck

 

[LowTide]

You are right,Texas kid.Lost the first half ,but now have just taken the lead.Goat boy,I hope you laid off.Sorry about my poor analysis.

 

[LowTide]

YTD 77-60 +16.4

2*Rutgers-6.5(buy.5
Neither team shoots the ball all that well,but this is a situational play.The Johnnies have been playing teams close,but will be playing their third straight road game.Rutgers is off 2 road losses but are tough at home.This game could be ugly for a while,but the Knights will pull away at the end.

1*Illinois +6
Illinois shot poorly and lost a couple of games,but they have enough talent to hang in this number.Owens was in a walking boot yesterday and is doubtful and with Tucker still out,I have to take the points.

Will have more later.

 

[LowTide]

1*Texas Tech-8(buy.5)
King is not 100% and it will not matter if the Aggies are "up" for this game.

1*Wyoming-3(buy.5)
Wyoming has been through a tough stretch of road games.Home cooking should cure them,though they must control Blankson.

 

[LowTide]

YTD 78-63 +14.9
Another shitty Saturday.As for today's plays-I now rate plays 1-4*s with a four star reserved for a game of the month/year type situation.I find too many reasons to not like games so kudos to those that consistently bet and win on highly rated plays on a daily basis.

3*Niagara-7
Rider beat Niagara last week in overtime by outscoring them by 18 from behind the arc.Castleberry will play for Rider,but his ankle will not be 100%.

2*Kansas-10
Everyone will be on Kansa today so why even discuss it.Doubt you are still reading at this point anyway.

Roddick+300
See if you can find a place that is still offering odds to win the Austarian Open.

 

[LowTide]

YTD 78-63 +14.9
Another shitty Saturday.As for today's plays-I now rate plays 1-4*s with a four star reserved for a game of the month/year type situation.I find too many reasons to not like games so kudos to those that consistently bet and win on highly rated plays on a daily basis.

3*Niagara-7
Rider beat Niagara last week in overtime by outscoring them by 18 from behind the arc.Castleberry will play for Rider,but his ankle will not be 100%.

2*Kansas-10
Everyone will be on Kansas today so why even discuss it.Doubt you are still reading at this point anyway.

Roddick+300
See if you can find a place that is still offering odds to win the Australian Open.

 

[LowTide]

YTD 80-63 + 19.9

2*Utah+6
Air Force's Princeton offense has been tough on MWC opponents,especially at home.The Falcons shoot 50% overall and 38% from three range.In what will be a low scoring half court game,I have to take the Utes as they shoot almost as well as the Falcons and will definitely win the rebounding battle.This game will be part of Big Monday and Air Force may very well win the game,but I have to take Majerus and the points.

 

[LowTide]

YTD 80-64+17.7
Memphis-18
The negativity on this board has steadily increased over the last month.No big surprise-it's always just a matter of time.

 

[LowTide]

YTD 80-65+16.6

3*Vandy-4.5 1*Vandy -2.5 1st half

Injury Update:

Louisville Dean and Garcia out

Drexel:King ?

Fordham:Haynes probable
UMass:Lee out

Oklahoma:Bookout out

St.Johns/West Virginia at Alumni Hall

Iowa State:Homan missed last game ?

Charlotte:Brown probable

Delaware:Nana and Lunn ?

Vandy:Smith will play

Wichita:Holman missed last game?

Drake:Joshua Robinson ?
Bradley:Marcello Robinson probable

Wisconsin:Owens?
Ohio State:Stockman expected to play

SWMissouri:Maclin missed last game ?

Tennessee:McFagdon ?(looks more like doubtful)

Kansasadgett probable
KSU:Martin missed last few games ?

USC:E.Craven expected to start

 

[jaypaw]

is there a holeman on iowa and wicita state?

 

[jaypaw]

haha

hole - man

as opposed to pole - man