WAMUQ -- Your Guide to Early Retirement

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I don't see this going up anytime soon. Mr. Market is selling off because he assumes no news from yesterday's hearing is negative. I wouldn't be surprised to see it go down 3 or 4 days in a row, if not more. Some people might jump in before the hearing on the 28th, but I highly doubt anything definitive will come out of that ruling either, so people will sell off after that as well.

I'm really kicking myself for not jumping out yesterday as soon as the judge said she wasn't going to rule. I knew that would freak people out. One thing I know for sure, if the judge doesn't rule in favor of WAMU on the $4B it's probably best to get the F out of this stock, at least in the short term. The stock will get absolutely CRUSHED if WAMU doesn't win the $4B.
 

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Don't know if it's true or not, but the investorshub board is reporting that WAMU wants a jury trial on this whole fiasco, not a settlement. I find that pretty amusing because all I have heard on that board is "JPM is clearly in the wrong, there's no way they want their dirty laundry aired in court, they will have to settle!!!" Well, apparently not. This is not good news at all for WAMUQ holders. It's entirely possible that WAMU loses this trial. People will probably point to the "mountain of evidence" that WAMU has, but keep in mind there was a mountain of evidence against OJ Simpson, Robert Blake, etc. Totally different trials, I know, but being the side who "should" win means nothing.

Also, again don't know if it's true, but that board says that JPM wants a jury trial on the $4B matter. Like I said, take it with a grain of salt coming from those guys. 99% of the posters over on that board are complete morons who refuse to look at things objectively, they just want to sell themselves and others on the fact that they can't lose because they're blinded by greed.

Sorry for the rant, I just think those guys could be costing people TONS of money by painting such a rosy picture and convincing people there's no way WAMU can lose. I see lots of people jumping into the stock headfirst based on their posts alone. Scary.

GL all... I hope everything works out in the end.
 

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No jury trials in the bankruptcy court and if it is appealed there will be none. I dont know where they are coming from.
 

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No jury trials in the bankruptcy court and if it is appealed there will be none. I dont know where they are coming from.

Yeah, wouldn't be surprised if they're wrong. There are numerous posts from a lot of different people on that board saying that both sides have requested jury trials (yet nobody provided a link).
 

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My Wife just said that rarely under extreme circumstances that there are jury trials within the bankruptcy court (she is a lawyer with several years in bankruptcy)
 

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Yeah, wouldn't be surprised if they're wrong. There are numerous posts from a lot of different people on that board saying that both sides have requested jury trials (yet nobody provided a link).


Most of the guys on that board are delusional. The few people's posts worth reading are: Mordicai, rickszy, fsshon, and Lawrence147. Brembo posts there too, I think he's from this board.

And, what Punter said is true from what I've discovered in my DD. I strongly believe this will be settled and no Jury will be involved.

All I can say is this is a lottery ticket worth having. Hell, had you bought it at .10 when I said, you couldve walked away at .40 and been happy. I didnt, ohh well ... in it 'til the end. It's a gamble worth taking IMO. Sit back and enjoy the show like me.

@)
 

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courtesy of modicia a lawyer from Ihub

The fdic has no power to take the deposits when Walrath rules in the [COLOR=blue !important][COLOR=blue !important]holding [COLOR=blue !important]company's[/COLOR][/COLOR][/COLOR] favor. Traders forget that when JPM filed its Adversary Complaint it had/has one count of Interpleader. (it is at paragraphs 110, 111, 112 of JPM's complaint). In that count JPM is interpleading the deposit into the bankruptcy court saying it has a claim to it, the [COLOR=blue !important][COLOR=blue !important]fdic[/COLOR][/COLOR] has a claim to it per paragraph 9.5 and the holding company is making a claim to it. JPM is asking the court to determine the dispute and to order JPM to pay it to the rightful claimant and hold it harmless from the claimants who turn out not to be the rightful owner. The fdic was served with a summons for the interpleader and originally filed a motion to dismiss. But afterwards upon [COLOR=blue !important][COLOR=blue !important]JPM[/COLOR][/COLOR] dismissing the fdic in its corporate capacity, the fdic in its receivership capacity answered the interpleader. It basically states that the court has no subject matter jurisdiction over the deposit, but that only holds [COLOR=blue !important][COLOR=blue !important]water[/COLOR][/COLOR] if the deposit was owned by the seized bank. When Walrath rules it is a deposit of the holding company within the Turnover action, all of fdic's claims to the money even under 9.5 goes out the [COLOR=blue !important][COLOR=blue !important]window[/COLOR][/COLOR] automatically. JPM is not going to turn over the money to the fdic at fdic's request, and it needs permission of the court to voluntarily dismiss the interpleader before it can do so. So this lawyer really made a complete idiot of himself. Even if the case is removed to the D.C. [COLOR=blue !important][COLOR=blue !important]district [/COLOR][COLOR=blue !important]court[/COLOR][/COLOR]
, by filing the interpleader action JPM basically barred the fdic from exercising 9.5 of the P & A. And to this date the fdic has never done so. The reason is because of the interpleader and the fact that right now JPM is on the hook to pay the 4 billion which is a liability to JPM. If fdic takes it back, JPM is off the hook and the fdic is on the hook to pay the 4 billion. Traders have been [COLOR=blue !important][COLOR=blue !important]hoodwinked[/COLOR][/COLOR]. Rest assured, Quinn and/or Walrath know that the fdic cannot do what it threatened.
 

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Agreed, FDIC has no say in the $4B ... they have no authority in Bankruptycy Court. The show is just beginning IMO. Now things get interesting with the Omnibus coming up this week.

@):mad:
 

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i am now starting to believe that someone is walking it down and starting to accumulate lots of shares. There is no reason the stock has continued to drop. Some people think this is an overnight wealth ticket and have got impatient. THis could very well take many years to settle.

I am buying more on the drop and have quite a solid position in this play. I have done my own DD and believe it is worth much more then it is trading at. i am prepared to wait 5 years if need be. Although i think there is way to much pressure on everyone involved to continue the senseless delays.

good luck to everyone and i look forward to one heck of a celebration someday on this.

THERE IS NO GUARANTEE on anything but my chips are betting on it. It could be worthless or it could be $30 a share. GAMBOL and decide what you feel.
 

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i am now starting to believe that someone is walking it down and starting to accumulate lots of shares. There is no reason the stock has continued to drop. Some people think this is an overnight wealth ticket and have got impatient. THis could very well take many years to settle.

I am buying more on the drop and have quite a solid position in this play. I have done my own DD and believe it is worth much more then it is trading at. i am prepared to wait 5 years if need be. Although i think there is way to much pressure on everyone involved to continue the senseless delays.

good luck to everyone and i look forward to one heck of a celebration someday on this.

THERE IS NO GUARANTEE on anything but my chips are betting on it. It could be worthless or it could be $30 a share. GAMBOL and decide what you feel.

This is nothing more than my opinion, so take it with a grain of salt, but I am not at all surprised to see the stock down today. Apparently, the judge is going to delay her ruling on the $4B. While this isn't a surprise to me, I think a lot of people assumed she would have a ruling quickly so they view this as negative news, and they are getting out. Like I said on Friday, IMO, the only way that the stock was going to go up is if she made a swift, favorable ruling in favor of WAMU. Anything short of that and people panic and sell-off. It's like that with every stock. Graham was right, Mr. Market is highly irrational and makes buying and selling decisions based on fear, panic, and rumors. Had she ruled in favor of WAMU on Friday, the stock would have absolutely exploded. But she didn't, so people automatically assume no news is bad news.

Again, just my opinion, but I think it will be years before any kind of resolution is achieved (on the WHOLE case, that is). We're talking about billions of dollars. Believe it or not, there was actually a good, informative post over at investorshub today. It was an article that noted there is a New England bank who has been in bankruptcy court for EIGHTEEN years over $140 million. I'm not saying this will drag out THAT long, but I think it's goingto be a very long battle.
 

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The case you're referring to is a bank in bankruptcy. WAMUQ is not a bank, it's a holding company. So that 18 year article someone thru up is of little relevance to the WaMu case we're involved in now.

On another note, I believe we're going to have some new developments coming out of the Omnibus hearing on Wednesday. All I know is a settlement can come at any time and there's no way to play the technicals of the charts on this one. WAMUQ moves with no news, in spurts, and has drastic swings.

Some believe in MMs walking the price up/down -- I'm not a big member of this camp, but I do know MMs have their way with stocks when they want to. When you start seeing 100 share trades on a .15 stock, you know something is going on that you cant prevent, and it's pure MM manipulation. But, what can you do? Nothing! NITE, one of the main MMs involved in virtually every stock I know of, has been fined millions and even billions of dollars over recent years, but they keep doing it. The SEC really doesnt care about Pinksheets or really even OTCBB for that matter. So, NITE capitalizes on any opportunity it can and sells shares back and forth to itself and does walk down the price from time to time.

No reason to worry here people. This is a gamble and it might take some time to play out. I dont think it'll be years, though. I've been in the camp that this gets resolved this year, but I'm starting to lean towards 1st/2nd Q 2010 at this rate. It all comes down to the $4B ruling. Once this is out of the way, things will progress much more smoothly IMO.

No reason to stress :smoking:
 

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The case you're referring to is a bank in bankruptcy. WAMUQ is not a bank, it's a holding company. So that 18 year article someone thru up is of little relevance to the WaMu case we're involved in now.

On another note, I believe we're going to have some new developments coming out of the Omnibus hearing on Wednesday. All I know is a settlement can come at any time and there's no way to play the technicals of the charts on this one. WAMUQ moves with no news, in spurts, and has drastic swings.

Some believe in MMs walking the price up/down -- I'm not a big member of this camp, but I do know MMs have their way with stocks when they want to. When you start seeing 100 share trades on a .15 stock, you know something is going on that you cant prevent, and it's pure MM manipulation. But, what can you do? Nothing! NITE, one of the main MMs involved in virtually every stock I know of, has been fined millions and even billions of dollars over recent years, but they keep doing it. The SEC really doesnt care about Pinksheets or really even OTCBB for that matter. So, NITE capitalizes on any opportunity it can and sells shares back and forth to itself and does walk down the price from time to time.

No reason to worry here people. This is a gamble and it might take some time to play out. I dont think it'll be years, though. I've been in the camp that this gets resolved this year, but I'm starting to lean towards 1st/2nd Q 2010 at this rate. It all comes down to the $4B ruling. Once this is out of the way, things will progress much more smoothly IMO.

No reason to stress :smoking:

You're right. About 15 minutes after I posted that I saw the correction on the investorshub board. Well, not so much a "correction," but somebody basically notified the original poster of what you notified me of.

What are your thoughts on the commons getting thrown out? I'm really beginning to wonder if it would be smarter to hold the preferreds. People who have held the commons for all this time would be devastated if that happened. I'm hoping it doesn't...
 

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You're right. About 15 minutes after I posted that I saw the correction on the investorshub board. Well, not so much a "correction," but somebody basically notified the original poster of what you notified me of.

What are your thoughts on the commons getting thrown out? I'm really beginning to wonder if it would be smarter to hold the preferreds. People who have held the commons for all this time would be devastated if that happened. I'm hoping it doesn't...


I dont see the commons getting whiped out when JPM offerred them $8/share last year. To me, this is all smoke and mirrors. We saw a few unknowing get shaken out in recent days, panic-sellers came out of the woods. I thought I updated the board on this, but FWIW my break-down of shares is as follows:

1/3 WAMKQ
2/3 WAMUQ

I like the WAMKQs because they have a face value, and that value is $25. So, from today's close you're looking at almost 35 times whatever you invest if they see full-face value (which they will if the commons get anything). I like the mixture because I have some certainty, and some uncertainty. The commons could get a range of numbers, but your % ROI could be significantly higher as a result because the current PPS. If the KQs get below .70, I will switch my account to 1/2 and 1/2.

I strongly believe this case will be resolved in the shareholder's best interest. They were screwed royally any way you look at it. And I think Quinn and Co. are looking out for us.
 

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why do you constantly bring up the 8 dollar offering price

WaMu management at the time turned it down!!

things change the value changed...what they offered before shit really hit the fan...is irrelevant

its like someone offering me 1035 for a gold coin today and i say nah no thanks

than coming back 6 months later with it trading at say 700 saying okay give me 1035 now...
 

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why do you constantly bring up the 8 dollar offering price

WaMu management at the time turned it down!!

things change the value changed...what they offered before shit really hit the fan...is irrelevant

its like someone offering me 1035 for a gold coin today and i say nah no thanks

than coming back 6 months later with it trading at say 700 saying okay give me 1035 now...


The reason I keep bringing it up is because nothing changed with WaMu from the time they were offered the $8 by JPM until the time they were seized by the FDIC, which coincidentally happened right before TARP was offered to failing institutions.

There is a very large picture here that I dont expect most to comprehend, especially the Bears of the world. It can be summed up with this (i bolded some of the important things):


On Sept. 25, 2008, the FDIC seized Washington Mutual Bank (WMB), placed it into receivership, and immediately sold all of its assets and some of its liabilities to JPM for $1.888 billion. JPM acquired WMB's deposit liabilities but not other liabilities. The FDIC reported that the seizure of WMB and sale to JPM was accomplished at zero cost to the FDIC. On Sept. 26, 2008, WMB's parent holding company, Washington Mutual Inc. (WMI), filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection.

At the time of its seizure, WMB had $307 billion in assets, $188 billion in deposits, 2239 branches, 4,932 owned and branded ATMs, two credit card divisions, and 43,198 employees. WMI was the sole stockholder of WMB, and WMI lost $26 billion when its WMB stock became worthless due to the seizure.

In April 2008, JPM had tried to purchase WMB from WMI. JPM was given extensive access to WMB's books and signed a confidentiality agreement, as well as an agreement to not purchase WMB from any other seller. JPM's offer of $8 per common share was rejected by WMI as too low. Shortly thereafter, a group of investors raised $7 billion for a capital injection into WMB.

In early September 2008, WMI reported that WMB continued to maintain a strong liquidity position and had capitalization ratios that were above the regulatory requirements for well capitalized institutions. Prior to the seizure of WMB, federal regulators (OTS) never ordered WMB to raise additional capital or increase its liquidity, and an OTS fact sheet released on the day of WMB's seizure noted that WMB was well capitalized at the time of seizure. WMI had access to $50 billion in short-term liquidity from the Fed's secondary window but never utilized it.

WMI's Chapter 11 legal team believes that the FDIC committed two major errors in the seizure of WMB: (1) some of the seized assets belonged to WMI, not WMB, and therefore the FDIC did not have legal right to seize these assets; and (2) the FDIC sold the assets of WMB, which it did have legal right to seize, for less than fair market (liquidation) value. The FDIC has a duty to maximize the value of a receivership’s assets when it liquidates a receivership estate; the FDI Act specifically commands the FDIC to maximize the value of such assets. WMI has received $0 compensation for the loss of WMB because the FDIC has retained the $1.888 billion paid by JPM.

WMI has backed up these beliefs with lawsuits against both FDIC and JPM. WMI has not challenged the legal right of the FDIC to seize WMB; it is clear that the FDIC did have this right. The major basis of WMI's claims is simple: WMI did not receive fair value for its assets which were seized by the FDIC, and WMI is therefore entitled to compensation for the difference between the fair value and the actual amount received ($0). Altogether the compensation requested for these two types of FDIC errors is in the tens of billions of dollars. WMB's book value at the time of seizure is estimated to have been well over $20 billion, and a going-concern valuation yields a figure even greater than this.
 

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So, to clarify, I keep going back to the $8 because it is VERY RELEVANT. If it was too low then, before the bank took additional steps to have more liquidity and received a cash infusion, then the bank was probably worth more than before they took these steps.

And when you add this in: Prior to the seizure of WMB, federal regulators (OTS) never ordered WMB to raise additional capital or increase its liquidity, and an OTS fact sheet released on the day of WMB's seizure noted that WMB was well-capitalized at the time of seizure.

FDIC and JPM have both admitted WMB was well-capitalized, so they should've never been seized. That about seals the deal for me.
 

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So, to clarify, I keep going back to the $8 because it is VERY RELEVANT. If it was too low then, before the bank took additional steps to have more liquidity and received a cash infusion, then the bank was probably worth more than before they took these steps.


Then again, I'm not here to convince or sway anyone. I've simply presented the facts and DD of myself and others for the forum to assess their own opinion. This is a gambling forum, and this is a gamble worth taking IMO considering all the evidence that has been presented.
 

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Since these trials apparently aren't enough to support the stocks, are you pulling out a large chunk to reposition at a later date? Or just avg'ing down when the time comes? I've been long commons since the collapse and preferred for 50 days but it seems like there is no bottom right now.

What's your prediction as to what happens on the hypothetical day she rules the 4Bil to WMI?
 

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why do you constantly bring up the 8 dollar offering price

WaMu management at the time turned it down!!

things change the value changed...what they offered before shit really hit the fan...is irrelevant

its like someone offering me 1035 for a gold coin today and i say nah no thanks

than coming back 6 months later with it trading at say 700 saying okay give me 1035 now...
Or lets say I offer you 1035 for a gold coin, you say no thanks...
So I have kuwlness steal it from you along with your house, car, business, and money in the bank and sell it all to me for $150.
And then you say I can't do that and I tie you up in the court system for the rest of your life.
Oh... and I sell your house and car and fire your employees in the meantime because I didn't want any of them to begin with... just your loyal customer base.
Hahaha you and your partners think you deserve more than $150. Rubbish!
 

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Since these trials apparently aren't enough to support the stocks, are you pulling out a large chunk to reposition at a later date? Or just avg'ing down when the time comes? I've been long commons since the collapse and preferred for 50 days but it seems like there is no bottom right now.

What's your prediction as to what happens on the hypothetical day she rules the 4Bil to WMI?


Well, I'm still kicking myself for not selling some in the .40s. It's always been my philosophy to buy and sell incrementally, but I didnt expect this to come crashing back down to these levels. So, alas, I'm still holding my original position and added some more today @ .13. I will add a more sizeable position once again at .10. Omnibus is tomorrow, so I'm expecting something positive (even if it's miniscule) to come out of the trial and help push the PPS back over .20.

As for the bottom, I'm just hoping it's .09 - .10 ... if .09 breaks, I'll probably dump and re-add around .05. I highly doubt this will be a possibility. This is now excessively oversold and is due for a bounce (even if it is a dead-cat bounce, lol).
 

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