Tuesday 8/1/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[NewYorkKnight]

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, August 1


Minnesota @ San Diego

Game 979-980
August 1, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Berrios) 12.143
San Diego
(Chacin) 15.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-115
8
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(-105); Over

Philadelphia @ LA Angels

Game 977-978
August 1, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Nola) 16.636
LA Angels
(Nolasco) 15.253
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-115
8
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-105); Over

San Francisco @ Oakland

Game 975-976
August 1, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Smrdzja) 13.864
Oakland
(Manaea) 15.354
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-120); Under

Tampa Bay @ Houston

Game 973-974
August 1, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Archer) 15.960
Houston
(Fiers) 12.964
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-105); Over

Toronto @ Chicago White Sox

Game 971-972
August 1, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Stroman) 13.319
Chicago White Sox
(Pelfrey) 15.247
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-240
10
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+200); Under

Seattle @ Texas

Game 969-970
August 1, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Ramirez) 13.454
Texas
(Mrtinez) 14.660
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
N/A

Cleveland @ Boston

Game 967-968
August 1, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Carrasco) 17.523
Boston
(Sale) 14.351
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 3
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-155
8
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+135); Under

Detroit @ NY Yankees

Game 965-966
August 1, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Sanchez) 17.578
NY Yankees
(Sabathia) 14.057
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-180
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+160); Over

Kansas City @ Baltimore

Game 963-964
August 1, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Kennedy) 14.803
Baltimore
(Bundy) 16.899
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-120
10
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-120); Under

NY Mets @ Colorado

Game 961-962
August 1, 2017 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Matz) 15.492
Colorado
(Hoffman) 14.489
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-140
12 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(+120); Under

Arizona @ Chicago Cubs

Game 961-962
August 1, 2017 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Corbin) 15.388
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 17.782
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-180
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-180); N/A

St. Louis @ Milwaukee

Game 957-958
August 1, 2017 @ 7:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Mrtinez) 14.199
Milwaukee
(Nelson) 16.424
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-120); Under

LA Dodgers @ Atlanta

Game 955-956
August 1, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Maeda) 16.115
Atlanta
(Sims) 14.894
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-185
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-185); Over

Washington @ Miami

Game 953-954
August 1, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Scherzer) 16.286
Miami
(O'Grady) 14.819
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-210
8
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-210); Under

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh

Game 951-952
August 1, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Bailey) 13.304
Pittsburgh
(Taillon) 15.264
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-165
9
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-165); Over

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Totals bettors can expect jump in MLB scoring when calendar flips to August

The New York Mets are one of the best Over teams in baseball but there's reason to believe their bats will really heat up in the month of August.

August is a month when the mercury is bursting out of thermometers and big league pitchers are longing or offseason favorites like boating, beer and fried chicken. That’s because year after year, August proves to be a month where batters get the better of their counterparts on the mound.

We examined the average number of runs scored per game in July compared to August over the last 10 years and found August outscored July in five of the last six seasons. The last two years have been the most pronounced in the trend.

Last season the average number of runs scored in July 8.7 and the average in August was 9.2. In 2015, July games averaged 8.2 runs while August averaged 8.9 runs per game.

The Over is 870-750-68 combined in the last two years in August and, conversely, 650-782-84 in July 2016 and 2015. Heading into Monday’s games, the Over is 308-347-34 this month in the majors.

There could be a number of reasons for the bump in runs scored in August. The fatigue of the season could perhaps affect pitchers more than every day players. The weather is warm in August but not much if any hotter than July.

The non-waiver trade deadline might be the most telling fact. Selling teams are trading away their best talent – often starting and relief pitching – to contenders and then have to fill those holes with minor leaguers who aren’t as good.

Just look at the Chicago White Sox. They traded away their best starting pitcher (Jose Quintana) and their two of their top relievers (Dave Robertson and Tommy Kahnle) in just the last few weeks.

“As we’ve made no secret about over the last several months, we’re preparing ourselves for the future,” White Sox GM Rick Hahn told reporters after trading away Melky Cabrera over the weekend.

The trend for more runs scored in August is most dramatic for the following clubs over the last two seasons:

New York Mets

Combined Over/Under record in August 2015 and 2016: 37-19

It’s hard to imagine the Mets becoming an even better Over bet this season. New York is cashing Over in 66.3 percent of its games and averaging 1.6 more runs per game than its average closing Over/Under line.

Still, the Mets went from bottom third offenses in July in 2015 and 2016 to among the top 10 best scoring teams in the month of August of both years.

Their sell-off started on deadline day with the Mets shipping their closer Addison Reed to the Boston Red Sox.

Washington Nationals

Combined Over/Under record in August 2015 and 2016: 32-22-2

The Nats own the second best offense in the majors at 5.6 runs scored per game and they finished in the top 10 in runs scored in each of the last two seasons. The club scores a little over one run more per game in August than July over the last two years.

Washington enjoys a comfortable lead in the NL East division which means staff ace Stephen Strasburg won’t be rushed back from the disabled list.

Tampa Bay Rays

Combined Over/Under record in August 2015 and 2016: 37-19

The Rays changed their approach at the plate from cautious, work the count to now swing early and swing often. They’ve become one of the worst strikeout teams but also one of the best power-hitting sides in the majors.

Tampa Bay is tinkering with its roster in the hopes of either catching up with the Yankees and Red Sox in the AL East standings or keep pace with the Kansas City Royals in the wildcard.