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Sharp Bettor

Sharp Bettor's Free Pick for Tuesday, June 7, 2016 8:05 PM

(967) HOUSTON ASTROS (KEUCHEL) VS (968) TEXAS (HAMELS)

Play Texas.
 
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Roz Wins

Roz's Tuesday, June 7, 2016, Free MLB Pick: 9:40 PM

(977) TAMPA BAY (MOORE) VS (978) ARIZONA (GREINKE)

Play UNDER the total.
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Tuesday

NATIONALS (Ross) at WHITE SOX (Latos) 8:10 PM

Take: NATIONALS -135

This one is a bit chalky for me, as my preference in baseball is small favorites or underdogs. But I found the numbers here pretty compelling as far as the starting pitchers are concerned, and the team data supports Washington as the right side as well as the Nats open a set with the White Sox tonight.

Joe Ross continues to be consistently adequate or better for Washington. His splits are considerably stronger on the road, which bodes well for him against a White Sox team that has hit the skids. The Pale Hose are another losing streak, dropping their last three and Mat Latos is hardly a stopper. Latos is still 6-1, but you can make an argument he’s been about the luckiest starting pitcher in the game this season. Big edge for Ross on the mound in this one.

This game also features a substantial H/R offensive splits edge for the Nationals. Basically, we’re looking at an overall one-run edge for the Washington side, and factoring in current form, that advantage increases. The White Sox just aren’t hitting, and Ross doesn’t figure to be the best guy to suddenly cut loose against.

Laying close to 7:5 is not exactly a bargain. But with the White Sox is very poor form and the Nationals arriving off a needed win in the series finale at Cincinnati, I see the chalk as the way to play this one, and I’ll therefore make Washington the choice as tonight’s Bonus Play.
 
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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp MLB Pick, Tuesday, June 7, 2016

Your Bonus Play is in the MLB scheduled contest between the Colorado Rockies and Los Angeles from Dodger stadium. Colorado has a strong offense, fifth in baseball in runs scored, second in slugging, on a 10-4 run over the total. Starter Eddie Butler (2-3, 5.65 ERA) is struggling, off three straight losses 11-4, 8-3 and 10-5. Butler gave up eight runs on 11 hits and two walks while striking out three batters over four innings in a loss to the Reds on Thursday. The Dodgers go with the young phenom, Julio Urias (9.39 ERA), though the kid doesn't look ready for the big leagues yet surrendering 13 hits, 5 walks and 8 runs in 12+ innings. The Over is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings between these division rivals, including 10-4 at Los Angeles.

Play the Rockies/Dodgers OVER the total.
 
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Red Dog Sports

Canada vs Uzbekistan

Free Soccer Play Draw at +225

when Canada plays Uzbekistan in soccer on Tuesday.

Can 1

UZB 1
 
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Matt Josephs

KC vs BAL

Bonus Play OVER 9

Ubaldo Jimenez continues to be the gift that keeps on giving when it comes to overs. The righty has allowed 17 runs and 19 hits in his last three starts and has a 6.59 ERA overall. Jimenez is 4-5 with a 5.19 ERA and a WHIP of 1.552 in 12 career starts against the Royals. Lorenzo Cain (8-17) and Eric Hosmer (10-29) have good numbers against the Orioles starter. KC has gone over in nine of their last 12 games. It is a bit concerning that they struggled with Mike Wright on Monday, but the potential is there. Yordano Ventura is 1-3 with a 5.06 ERA in six road starts for KC. He has 17 strikeouts and 23 walks in 32 innings. Ventura beat the Orioles at home back in April, but struggled with them at their place last September. Baltimore has scored four runs or more in five of their last six and have an offense that should be able to hit almost anyone. These two have played six overs in their last nine meetings in Baltimore. I like this one to go over too.
 
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Mike Lundin

Marlins vs Twins

8* MLB Free Pick Miami Marlins

The MLB-worst Minnesota Twins have dropped six of their past seven games, and this looks like a good spot to back the Miami Marlins in the opener of a three-game series at Target Field Tuesday night.

The Marlins give the ball to left-hander Adam Conley (3-3, 3.72 ERA) who has posted a 2-0 mark with a 2.93 ERA in five road starts this season. He impressed home in Miami his last time out by holding the Pirates to two hits over six scoreless innings while fanning nine hitters in a 3-2 Marlins win. This will mark his first career start against Minnesota.

The Twins turn to a southpaw as well as Pat Dean (1-2, 4.15) will take the mound for the home team. Dean surrendered four runs on nine hits in five innings of a 5-1 loss at Oakland his last start when he surrendered a homer for a fourth consecutive start.

The Marlins .274 batting average against lefties is the fourth best mark in the majors. They're 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.
 
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Art Aronson

A's vs Brewers

1* Bonus Play OVER A’s/Brewers

The visitors hand the ball to Sean Manaea (2-3, 6.16 ERA) who continued his up-and-down season with a 5-1 win over the anemic Twins on Wednesday, giving up just one run off five hits over six innings. Manaea has looked horrible on the road, going 0-1 with a 27.00 ERA. The home side counters with Zach Davies (3-3, 4.53) who threw eight shutout innings in a 3-1 victory over the Cards on Wednesday. It was clearly the best start of Davies career and suffice it to say, we’re expecting an immediate return to mediocrity. Note that Davies has looked pretty ordinary in this spot this season, going 2-2 with a pedestrian 4.98 ERA in all “night” games thus far. We’re not reading too much into a couple of decent outings and look for these inconsistent hurlers to get chased early, indeed making the OVER a very legitimate investment opportunity in this matchup.

AAA Sports
 
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Marc Lawrence

Astros vs Rangers

Play - Texas Rangers w/Hamels

Edges - Rangers: Cole Hamels 9-4 career team starts versus Houston, including 4-0 the last four, and 10-2 last twelve overall home team starts. Astros: Dallas Keuchel 2-7 with 5.98 ERA last seven overall team starts. With Texas 14-2 in its last sixteen overall games in this series, including 10-0 at home, we recommend a 1* play on Texas. Thank you and good luck as always.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 56

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 PROSPECTING ROAD 3/2

# 4 RIDE THE SHARK 4/1

# 1 ALLIED KID 3/1

I have to support PROSPECTING ROAD here. Looks very good against this group and will probably be one of the leaders. In this field, this one is at the top in earnings per start in dirt sprint events. Expect a reliable attempt with the class drop. ALLIED KID - Trainers don't bring mounts back this soon just for exercise. She should have a good showing versus this softer field.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Allowance - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 87

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR PA BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 6 ALLOWED 3 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 LADY OAK (IRE) 7/2

# 1A CAVALIA 5/2

# 7 BEKKI'S DANCE 3/1

LADY OAK (IRE) has a strong shot to take this race. Is tough not to consider based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been quite good - 83 avg - of late. This animal enters today's competition on Lasix. Could beat this group given the 90 speed rating garnered in her last outing. CAVALIA - Strong gains over time for this jockey and handler duo. Trainers don't bring horses back this quickly just for fun. BEKKI'S DANCE - Put up a solid speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this affair. She ought to be given a shot given the very good speed numbers.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Thistledown - Race #6 - Post: 3:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 57

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 FLY ME TO DUBAI (ML=3/1)
#1 CASH HEAVY (ML=10/1)


FLY ME TO DUBAI - This filly is in exceptional form right now. Ended up second last race out and comes back quickly. This horse is at the top in earnings per start. She looks sharp in today's race. The recent fig of 54 is the highest last race speed rating in the field. CASH HEAVY - Early zip is always important in horse racing, but the lone speed horse is always dangerous.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 MADAM ADELE (ML=7/2), #8 THE CAKE AND I (ML=5/1), #6 WHITEARL (ML=6/1),

MADAM ADELE - A rallier like this one needs an early speed duel to set things up and she isn't likely to get one this time out. Difficult to bet on any mount in a sprint race at 7/2 when she hasn't shown any positive results in sprints in the last sixty days. THE CAKE AND I - Substandard speed figure in the last race at Thistledown at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this less than sharp equine will improve too much in today's race. WHITEARL - Difficult to play any horse to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the chance. Not probable for this participant to make an impact with no recent success in a sprint affair.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#2 FLY ME TO DUBAI is the play if we get odds of 3/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Delaware Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:45pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 UNIQUE GREATNESS (ML=8/1)
#4 LIL' SMARTIEPANTS (ML=7/2)
#6 BETAMERICA BABE (ML=6/1)


UNIQUE GREATNESS - This jockey and trainer have a profitable ROI when they combine forces. Widely used handicapping angle - 3rd or 4th start after a layoff generally leads to a big effort. Should run big today. LIL' SMARTIEPANTS - Vega drops her down to this class. You don't need too much more handicapping data to figure that this one should have a chance to win at this level. Last raced at Gulfstream Park carrying 6 lbs more. The lower weight assigned right here in this race should serve her well. BETAMERICA BABE - This racer coming off a good try in the last thirty days is a serious competitor in my opinion. Generally accepted angle - 3rd or 4th start after a vacation generally leads to a big effort. This one is live today. 48-52-67 are last three Equibase speed figures. Improving each time out is something she should do again today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 STARSHIP STACHE (ML=9/5), #2 RUN HARTER (ML=5/2), #3 MICHELLE (ML=8/1),

STARSHIP STACHE - 9/5 is just not enough of a price to take on this entrant. RUN HARTER - This youngster isn't going to beat the veterans today, maybe another time. MICHELLE - I find it hard to invest in this runner in today's event. Make her show you something in a sprint contest before you play her in a race of 5 1/2 furlongs. Be apprehensive of this three-year old versus the older ones. Will do better with more experience.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 UNIQUE GREATNESS is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[4,5,6] with [4,5,6] with [2,3,4,5,6] with [2,3,4,5,6] Total Cost: $36
 
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Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Grand River Raceway

CompuBet Free Pick!

CompuBet 06/06 GRAND RIVER RCY
Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
Race#: 4- - PACE 06/06 GRAND RIVER RCY
3 The Avenger 8/5 501.98 100 40.0 77.8 1:57.3 Carroll, Alfred G 30
2 Dance With Joe 7/2 464.65 70 73.3 64.0 1:59.1 Shepherd, Robert H 23
6 Weapon To Win 2/1 462.32 80 63.3 70.9 B/F 1:57.9 Mackenzie, Paul G 20
5 Totally Great 5/1 437.08 80 25.0 73.9 1:59.3 Henry, Travis J 21
8 Machcellerator 12/1 436.99 80 61.7 76.9 1:58.7 Young, Scott R 15
 
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BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Tuesday, June 7 is:

Los Angeles Dodgers (Urias) over Colorado Rockies (Butler).
 
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WNBA

Tuesday, June 7

Trend Report

8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Phoenix's last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Phoenix is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home

10:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. LOS ANGELES
New York is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
New York is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing at home against New York
 

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