Tuesday 6/14/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, June 14

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CHICAGO CUBS (43 - 19) at WASHINGTON (40 - 24) - 7:05 PM
JOHN LACKEY (R) vs. GIO GONZALEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LACKEY is 63-84 (-27.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 144-89 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 25-11 (+12.2 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 71-47 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 39-22 (+15.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 144-89 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 82-50 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 72-43 (+23.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 123-103 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 122-102 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 76-70 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 92-82 (-10.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LACKEY is 2-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.224.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
GONZALEZ is 3-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.054.
His team's record is 4-4 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+1.0 units)

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PITTSBURGH (32 - 31) at NY METS (34 - 28) - 7:10 PM
JAMESON TAILLON (R) vs. JACOB DEGROM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 109-119 (+26.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 181-175 (+30.7 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JAMESON TAILLON vs. NY METS since 1997
TAILLON is 0-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JACOB DEGROM vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
DEGROM is 0-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.33 and a WHIP of 1.241.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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CINCINNATI (25 - 39) at ATLANTA (18 - 45) - 7:10 PM
BRANDON FINNEGAN (L) vs. JULIO TEHERAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 88-138 (-42.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 38-71 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 88-138 (-42.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 12-31 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 67-103 (-30.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 9-26 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 405-363 (+58.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
ATLANTA is 18-45 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 7-26 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 18-40 (-22.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 18-45 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 5-18 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 4-19 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 0-9 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TEHERAN is 0-7 (-7.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
TEHERAN is 0-7 (-7.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

BRANDON FINNEGAN vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

JULIO TEHERAN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
TEHERAN is 2-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.78 and a WHIP of 0.908.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

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LA DODGERS (33 - 32) at ARIZONA (29 - 37) - 9:40 PM
KENTA MAEDA (R) vs. ARCHIE BRADLEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 33-32 (-7.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 54-63 (-26.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 8-17 (-12.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 30-30 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 24-26 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 95-78 (-12.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 15-17 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BRADLEY is 6-0 (+8.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 8-18 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 13-23 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 5-12 (-9.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 4-10 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 13-23 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 564-514 (-71.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.
ARIZONA is 20-34 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 2-11 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 66-118 (-39.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-2 (+0.3 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

KENTA MAEDA vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MAEDA is 0-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

ARCHIE BRADLEY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
BRADLEY is 1-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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MIAMI (33 - 31) at SAN DIEGO (26 - 39) - 10:10 PM
TOM KOEHLER (R) vs. DREW POMERANZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 23-21 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 9-2 (+8.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
MIAMI is 35-24 (+16.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 27-18 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 418-411 (+43.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

TOM KOEHLER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
KOEHLER is 2-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.38 and a WHIP of 1.154.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

DREW POMERANZ vs. MIAMI since 1997
POMERANZ is 0-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.921.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

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MILWAUKEE (30 - 34) at SAN FRANCISCO (39 - 26) - 10:15 PM
MATT GARZA (R) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
GARZA is 70-83 (-28.5 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 223-183 (+26.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 223-183 (+26.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1101-923 (+121.8 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 72-51 (+17.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BUMGARNER is 34-12 (+19.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 14-23 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in home games in June games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

MATT GARZA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
GARZA is 1-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.528.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BUMGARNER is 6-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.116.
His team's record is 7-2 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.2 units)

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BALTIMORE (36 - 26) at BOSTON (36 - 26) - 7:10 PM
CHRIS TILLMAN (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 16-35 (-17.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 200-324 (-102.0 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
PRICE is 29-9 (+13.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 36-26 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 7-2 (+9.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 26-14 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 101-77 (+27.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 34-21 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 29-16 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TILLMAN is 11-2 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 21-14 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 10-2 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 38-21 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 48-34 (+26.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 96-98 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 38-54 (-26.5 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 163-179 (-34.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 69-73 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 45-52 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 33-57 (-34.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PRICE is 31-34 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-3 (+2.1 Units) against BOSTON this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. BOSTON since 1997
TILLMAN is 9-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.342.
His team's record is 12-6 (+6.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-10. (-2.2 units)

DAVID PRICE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
PRICE is 8-5 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.86 and a WHIP of 1.197.
His team's record is 11-10 (-7.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 13-8. (+3.3 units)

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SEATTLE (34 - 29) at TAMPA BAY (29 - 32) - 7:10 PM
TAIJUAN WALKER (R) vs. JAKE ODORIZZI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 110-115 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 19-11 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SEATTLE is 39-21 (+18.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-7 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-6 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 31-21 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 32-20 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 186-199 (-38.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 90-101 (-37.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 91-102 (-38.2 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 102-113 (-36.7 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 33-41 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-0 (+3.2 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

TAIJUAN WALKER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
WALKER is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.411.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. SEATTLE since 1997
ODORIZZI is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 0.52 and a WHIP of 0.866.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

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DETROIT (32 - 31) at CHI WHITE SOX (32 - 32) - 8:10 PM
JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) vs. MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
GONZALEZ is 18-8 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 51-43 (+11.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ZIMMERMANN is 79-47 (+26.5 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 43-58 (-20.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 37-49 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 (+2.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 2-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 1.83 and a WHIP of 1.068.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
GONZALEZ is 1-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 8.49 and a WHIP of 2.143.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.6 units)

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CLEVELAND (35 - 28) at KANSAS CITY (33 - 30) - 8:15 PM
JOSH TOMLIN (R) vs. CHRIS YOUNG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 109-105 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 139-102 (+30.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 16-7 (+10.3 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 20-7 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 25-11 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 60-42 (+11.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 20-7 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 95-76 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 16-5 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 80-60 (+15.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 48-30 (+17.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 39-19 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
YOUNG is 33-24 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
YOUNG is 32-23 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
YOUNG is 12-4 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 31-20 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TOMLIN is 10-1 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 7-0 (+7.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 9-1 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 7-0 (+7.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 7-0 (+7.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 10-1 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 8-1 (+7.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 8-1 (+7.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-2 (+3.7 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

JOSH TOMLIN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
TOMLIN is 7-4 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.71 and a WHIP of 1.214.
His team's record is 8-6 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-3. (+7.1 units)

CHRIS YOUNG vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
YOUNG is 3-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.141.
His team's record is 5-2 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.7 units)

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MINNESOTA (20 - 43) at LA ANGELS (27 - 37) - 10:05 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. JHOULYS CHACIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 20-43 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 8-26 (-18.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MINNESOTA is 8-22 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 20-43 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 11-25 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 14-34 (-17.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SANTANA is 1-10 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 1-10 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 54-49 (+12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 5-19 (-16.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-0 (+4.4 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
SANTANA is 1-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.87 and a WHIP of 0.766.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

JHOULYS CHACIN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
CHACIN is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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TEXAS (39 - 25) at OAKLAND (27 - 36) - 10:05 PM
MARTIN PEREZ (L) vs. ERIC SURKAMP (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 164-87 (+60.3 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
TEXAS is 39-25 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 49-34 (+25.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 62-52 (+32.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 28-21 (+17.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 23-12 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 23-13 (+13.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TEXAS is 38-22 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 28-18 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 47-40 (+18.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 10-3 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 15-9 (+8.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 20-13 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OAKLAND is 95-130 (-37.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 9-19 (-13.1 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 48-63 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 81-93 (-30.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 90-122 (-35.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 58-81 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 52-62 (-22.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-0 (+4.1 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

MARTIN PEREZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
PEREZ is 3-5 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.81 and a WHIP of 1.521.
His team's record is 4-5 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.1 units)

ERIC SURKAMP vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

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PHILADELPHIA (30 - 34) at TORONTO (35 - 31) - 12:35 PM
ZACH EFLIN (R) vs. MARCUS STROMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 44-48 (+11.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 42-50 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 (+1.6 Units) against TORONTO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

ZACH EFLIN vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

MARCUS STROMAN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (30 - 35) at ST LOUIS (35 - 28) - 8:15 PM
DOUG FISTER (R) vs. JAIME GARCIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 30-35 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 13-21 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 29-33 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 18-26 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 5-12 (-9.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 137-92 (+25.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 137-92 (+25.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 98-60 (+27.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 726-454 (+90.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.
HOUSTON is 18-9 (+12.8 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 20-30 (-17.4 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 5-10 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
GARCIA is 32-38 (-22.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DOUG FISTER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
FISTER is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

JAIME GARCIA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
GARCIA is 2-5 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 6.41 and a WHIP of 1.532.
His team's record is 2-7 (-8.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-7. (-5.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (31 - 32) at COLORADO (30 - 33) - 8:40 PM
NATHAN EOVALDI (R) vs. JORGE DE LA ROSA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 22-36 (-22.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
DE LA ROSA is 120-103 (+25.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 72-39 (+28.4 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 120-98 (+30.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
EOVALDI is 26-13 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
EOVALDI is 25-11 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 55-94 (-32.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NATHAN EOVALDI vs. COLORADO since 1997
EOVALDI is 2-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.376.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

JORGE DE LA ROSA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 3-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.176.
His team's record is 3-0 (+4.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, June 14


Texas @ Oakland

Game 923-924
June 14, 2016 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Perez) 14.899
Oakland
(Srkamp) 12.778
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-110
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-110); Under

Pittsburgh @ NY Mets

Game 903-904
June 14, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Taillon) 15.667
NY Mets
(deGrom) 14.750
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-170
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+150); Over

Philadelphia @ Toronto

Game 925-926
June 14, 2016 @ 12:37 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Eflin) 14.468
Toronto
(Stroman) 16.617
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-230
9
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-230); Over

Cincinnati @ Atlanta

Game 905-906
June 14, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Fnnegan) 14.123
Atlanta
(Teheran) 15.566
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-130
8
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-130); Under

Houston @ St. Louis

Game 927-928
June 14, 2016 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Fister) 14.119
St. Louis
(Garcia) 17.230
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 3
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-140
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-140); Under

LA Dodgers @ Arizona

Game 907-908
June 14, 2016 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Maeda) 15.029
Arizona
(Bradley) 13.582
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-145
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-145); Over

NY Yankees @ Colorado

Game 929-930
June 14, 2016 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Eovaldi) 14.351
Colorado
(DeLaRosa) 16.267
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-120
11 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+100); Under

Miami @ San Diego

Game 909-910
June 14, 2016 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Koehler) 15.167
San Diego
(Pmeranz) 12.670
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-130
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+110); Under

Milwaukee @ San Francisco

Game 911-912
June 14, 2016 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Garza) 15.648
San Francisco
(Bmgarner) 14.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-270
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+225); Over

Baltimore @ Boston

Game 913-914
June 14, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Tllman) 14.468
Boston
(Price) 17.515
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-175
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-175); Over

Seattle @ Tampa Bay

Game 915-916
June 14, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Walker) 14.795
Tampa Bay
(Odrizzi) 16.668
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-115
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-115); Under

Detroit @ Chicago White Sox

Game 917-918
June 14, 2016 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Zmmrmnn) 17.377
Chicago White Sox
(Gnzalez) 13.419
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 4
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-130
9
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-130); Over

Cleveland @ Kansas City

Game 919-920
June 14, 2016 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Tomlin) 16.398
Kansas City
(Young) 14.406
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-120); Under

Minnesota @ LA Angels

Game 921-922
June 14, 2016 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Santana) 14.268
LA Angels
(Chacin) 12.713
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-145
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+125); Over

Chicago Cubs @ Washington

Game 901-902
June 14, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Lackey) 14.730
Washington
(Gnzalez) 18.280
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-115
8
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-105); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Tuesday, June 14


Phillies 0-6 in last 6 games with Bill Miller behind home plate. PHI +222 at TOR with Miller there this afternoon

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tys Terrific Tips

MLB TIGERS ‑110

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Banks

MLB COLORADO ROCKIES / NY YANKEES u11

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Stallone Sports

MLB RANGERS TEAM TOTAL ‑110 o4

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Silvas Sports

MLB SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS ‑1.5 ‑120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tommy King Wins

MLB SAN DIEGO PADRES ‑130

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

R and R Totals

MLB NEW YORK YANKEES/COLORADO ‑105 u11.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pure Lock

MLB TORONTO ‑205

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wise Guy Insider

MLB ANGELS ‑125

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mr Profits Picks

MLB NY METS ‑125

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ace / Line Beaters

MLB METS ‑135

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeffrey Brandes

MLB CUBS ‑115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mikey Money

MLB RED SOX ‑155

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Moneyline Hunter

MLB HOUSTON +130

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Top Dog LB

MLB YANKEES ‑105

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Top Shelf Sports Pick

MLB GIANTS ‑235

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Larry Ness

Houston Astros at St Louis Cardinals
Pick: St Louis Cardinals

Inconsistent starting pitching and questionable defense play has left the Cards double digits behind the Chicago Cubs in the NL Central for parts of the season so far (Cards currently sit 8 1/2 games back of the Cubs). However, the Cardinals have spoken confidently about the run they believe will eventually come (remember, St Louis won a MLB-best 100 games in 2015). If last week was any indication, St Louis might be ready to pose a challenge to its longtime rivals from the Windy City. The Cards capped a season-high five-game winning streak with a sweep of Pittsburgh at PNC Park over the weekend, putting St Louis a season-high seven games over .500 at 35-28.

St Louis outscored Pittsburgh 22-7 in its just-completed series, teaming its powerful offense with better pitching and defense. Starters Michael Wacha, Carlos Martinez and Mike Leake each completed seven innings, with Martinez coming within two outs of his first complete game in the majors. As for the defense, a nagging weakness in April and May, it has given opponents fewer four-out innings in a stretch which has seen the Cardinals win 11 of their last 15 games. "Early in the season, we didn't figure it out, but right now, we are rolling," catcher Yadier Molina said after Sunday's 8-3 decision over the Pirates. "We're playing good baseball. We're doing the little things -- and we are pitching better. That's the key."

The Cards welcome the 30-35 Houston Astros to town Tuesday night for a two-game IL series. The Astros look NOTHING like the 86-win wild card team from 2015, which beat the Yankees and then lost in five games to the Royals in the ALDS. Houston is still searching to replicate the formula from last year. The team had won SIX of seven but then just as quickly, lost FIVE of seven. The most recent loss was a 5-0 decision Sunday at Tampa Bay, as 2015 AL Cy Young Award winner Dallas Keuchel fell to 3-9 with a 5.54 ERA (his moneyline mark of minus-$1,051 is dead-last among ALL starters in MLB!).

The good news for Houston is that it might regain the services of shortstop Carlos Correa Tuesday night. Correa missed the series in Tampa Bay with a sprained left ankle suffered Thursday at Texas. "He's feeling a lot better," Astros manager A.J. Hinch said to mlb.com. "I wanted to keep him off his feet one more day ... but we're certainly shooting for Tuesday." At least for this first game of the series, the Astros feature a starter who is on a roll. Doug Fister (6-3, 3.34 ERA) has won FIVE straight decisions, with Houston going a PERFECT 8-0 in his last eight starting assignments (his plus-$733 moneyline mark on the season ranks eighth-best among all starters). He enters this contest having allowed three runs or less in 10 straight starts, NINE of which have been quality ones.

Jaime García (4-5, 3.89 ERA) gets the nod for the Cards, coming off another abbreviated outing his last time out. He was shelled for five runs and a season-high 13 hits over 4.2 just innings at Cincinnati last Wednesday but managed to escape with a no-decision. He has failed to pitch beyond five innings in SIX of his last 10 starts, including a 2.1-inning debacle vs Arizona in his last home start on May 22. More bad news comes the Cards way in that Garcia is 2-5 with a 6.41 ERA in nine starts vs the Astros in his career (team is 2-7).

The Cardinals appear to have found their stride, ripping off five consecutive victories. St Louis is 3-0 in interleague play as it kicks off a stretch where 12 of the next 15 contests are against American League opponents, with a three-game set against the Chicago Cubs wedged between them. It’s time to get ‘busy.” I’ll back the Cards.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS WAGERS

Houston +128 over ST. LOUIS

The Cardinals are in contention every year. They are known as the “model-franchise” because of their structural approach to building a consistent winner year in and year out. The Cardinals are right where they usually are with a 35-28 record and in second place in the NL Central behind the mighty Cubs. That said, we find it a little curious that St. Louis opened as a small -130 favorite at home against the 30-35 Astros with Doug Fister going. In terms of the market, Fister is absolutely recognized as the inferior pitcher here and Houston is recognized as the inferior team, which makes the small opening price on the Cardinals even more curious. We’re suggesting being very cautious about betting the favorite here.

Fister has 44 K’s in 73 innings. He’s a finesse righty with 86 MPH heat. We are not for a second going to try and convince anyone that Fister is coming on because he’s not. His swing and miss rate is low at 6% and his control is below average. Once again we have to question the small line here, as Jaime Garcia has been winning games for the Cardinals and is coming off a great season last year. We smell a rat.

While injuries have disrupted what was once a promising career path for Jaime Garcia, he was able to throw 130 innings in 2015—his highest since 2011—while putting up career bests in ERA and WHIP. He already thrown 70 innings this year and it appears as though a heavy dose of fatigue is setting in. When fatigue sets in the first thing to go is control. Garcia has walked 10 batters over his past 24 frames with a 52% first-pitch strike rate over that span. His swing and miss rate over his last five starts was 6%. It is now time to back off this talented lefty time bomb. Garcia is battling everything including himself. When things are not going his way, he slows way down. That’s a bad sign on the mound that Garcia can’t get away from. Garcia has benefited from a trifecta of good fortune (hit%, strand%, hr/f) and while his actual ERA is still in decent shape, his xERA of 5.18 suggests a sharp ERA correction is looming. Garcia is running on fumes.

COLORADO +100 over N.Y. Yankees

Before losing the final two games of their weekend set with the Tigers, New York had reeled off five wins in a row while scoring 33 times over that span. That’s nice but four of those five victories occurred against the reeling Angels, who have the worst pitching staff in baseball. The Angels are so desperate for starting pitching that they gave David Huff a spot in the rotation. Every team that plays the Angels is putting up crooked numbers so New York’s four-game sweep over the Halos in the Bronx means jack. Everyone scores at Coors Field and maybe even this collection of aging vets will score a bunch too but we wouldn’t trust the Yankees to score more than the Rockies at Coors Field on our worst day.

Things seem to be going from bad to worse at the cold corner in New York. Mets fans are bummed out at the loss of Lucas Duda, but Yankees fans will raise their loss of a productive first baseman with this series of events: Mark Teixiera devolved into one of the worst hitters in the league and got injured, Dustin Ackley injured his shoulder and went down for the season, and Chris Parmelee suffered a tough hamstring injury as well. When you’re bummed about Chris Parmelee going down, things have already gotten dark. The next man up is Ike Davis–not former Yankee Nick Swisher, who’s toiling away ineffectively in Triple-A Scranton–who had been toiling away ineffectively in Triple-A Round Rock. Once a New York darling, Davis has had a fall from grace since those halcyon days of 2010. The current incarnation of the Arizona native has a minimal hit tool, little mobility on the field and base-paths, and simply not enough game power to make up for his deficiencies.The Yanks have not played here in five years. It’s not a favorable field to come in stone cold and expect to thrive. It’s a tricky venue and we could see a bunch of New York errors too.

Nathan Eovaldi is enjoying a nice campaign where he has seen significant skills growth (3.50 xERA, 8.3 K’s/9, 2.1 BB’s/9 65% first-pitch strike rate). This start however, comes with an incredible amount of risk, as he takes on a Rockies bunch that average 5.9 runs per game at home along with a .296 BA and MLB-best .882 OPS. This venue beats up every pitcher and takes names as it goes along. Eovaldi is showing signs of regressing too, as he’s been tagged for 24 hits and 11 runs over his last 16 innings. The knock on Eovaldi is that his fastball, despite being in the 95 MPH range, comes in flat. He added a splitter to his repertoire in August of last year, which has helped him tremendously but hitters are making adjustments to it and regression has kicked in. Not interested.

Jorge De La Rosa comes and goes. You see his name for a few starts and then you don’t. He’s a 35-year-old lefty that has been around for some time and it has been pretty much the same story year after year after year. De La Rosa is consistently the fill-in guy, the bullpen guy, the long relief guy or the emergency spot starter guy. Before your eyes glaze over, check out his trends in strikeouts and groundballs. He has 39 K’s in 32 innings this year. He had 134 K’s in 139 innings last year. De La Rosa has a nice groundball lean that was 71% in his last appearance when he went four, no-hit innings against the Pirates. Before you go, look at this three-year split: Home 23-5, 3.58 ERA, Road 16-19, 4.21 ERA. Thanks for your time.

Seattle +103 over TAMPA BAY

The Mariners struggled during their last home stand but they faced a pair of division leaders so we won't put much stock into a bad week. Seattle will send righty Taijuan Walker to the mound today and he'll look to build off his best start of the season. The Louisiana native scattered three hits, gave up no walks and struck out a season high 11 batters in eight full innings against Cleveland his last time out. Walker had been a victim of some bad luck prior to his last start but he has the goods to thrive at this level. He has 94 MPH heat and his mix of pitches has allowed him to drive his walk rate down this season. Walker has been throwing his secondary pitches in the strike zone and so far it's made the difference, as he's only walking two batters per nine innings. Walker is putting more balls in play this season but it's leading to more outs instead of walks which is a positive. His hard hit ball percentage is just 26% and that tells us while those balls are in play they aren't doing much damage. Aside from that, the Rays strike out a ton and have ugly numbers against righties. This is a good righty.

Much like his counterpart tonight, the Rays have been waiting for Jake Odorizzi to finally get over the hump and become a productive every day starter. While he's shown some flashes, the former first round pick is still having trouble pitching deep into games. Odorizzi only made it out of the fifth inning once in his last six starts. He was fortunate to get the win in Arizona last time out after racking up his pitch count by walking three and striking out eight in five innings of work. Odorizzi's 40.8% fly ball percentage is the second highest on the board today with the Royals' Chris Young leading the way. That's not company you want to keep. Tampa's suspect bullpen is in play tonight and even if Odorizzi pitches well, it guarantees northing. The Rays have proven to be a live pooch but this is not a team to trust as the chalk because of all their key injuries, weak defense, struggling pen and laboring offense.

Miami +119 over SAN DIEGO

Tom Koehler is a groundball specialist that can get hitters to swing at a lot of bad pitches. His swinging strike rate has shown a steady increase this year by going from 8% in the first month to 10% in May to 12% over his last two starts. Koehler has a 53% groundball rate and that’s precisely the type of pitcher we like to get behind in a pitcher’s park. Half of his 12 starts have been of the dominant variety and now he and the Marlins will take back a price against a beatable opponent.

We are of the buy-low//sell high mentality and that applies to Drew Pomeranz. We were backing this guy when he was being offered big prices over his first eight starts but now the market has caught on as to how good he’s been, which makes us sellers. Pomeranz was a dog in his first eight starts of the year and he was a significant dog in most of them. He now brings his 2.44 ERA into this game with 83 K’s in 70 innings. Pomeranz was a high draft pick that never fulfilled his promise but has come out of nowhere this season to thrive. Thing is, major-league hitters make adjustments, especially when a previously ordinary pitcher starts to thrive. Pomeranz has been greatly aided by fortunate hit and strand rates of 27% and 85% respectively. When his hit and strand rates begin normalizing, it will chip away at his shiny surface stats. Furthermore, the Marlins are one of the best hitting teams in the majors against southpaws. Now that there is plenty of film out on the “new” Drew Pomeranz, one can expect his actual ERA to start creeping more towards his xERA of 3.70. For the first time in his career, Pomeranz is way overvalued.