Tuesday 06/23/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Yanks]

Ennis Macklin

Bonus Play

Boston Red Sox at Washington Nationals

Prediction: Boston Red Sox

The Nasty Nats are 4-1 in their L5 but face the real deal tonight in the Red Sox. Brad Penny got off to a rough start (6-2, 4.74) but has found his form with 2.70 ERA in L3. John Lannan is as good as it gets for Wash at 4-5 and a 3.38 ERA. He's 2-0 and 1.16 in L3 but Penny has always handled Nats easily (12-4, 2.54) and BoSox are in best spot, 9-0this year after off day. Lay it with the intruders.

Boston Red Sox

 

[Yanks]

Mike Rose

Bonus Play

Chicago Cubs @ Detroit Tigers Under 8.5

Carlos Zambrano tossed his fourth straight quality start his last time out against the Chicago White Sox. He threw seven innings of three-run ball allowing six hits (1 HR) while striking out three and walking just as many. Big Z is 1-1 with a 2.20 ERA in five starts since returning from the DL. Surprisingly, hes been at his best away from Wrigley Field where he sports a 3-1 mark with a 2.58 ERA allowing 28 hits and just 11 ERs in 38.1 total innings of work. The Cubs are 4-2 in his six road outings, and this will be the first time hes ever stared back at a Detroit line-up.

Edwin Jackson has been a godsend for the Tigers rotation in 09. Coming off a 14 win season for the Tampa Bay Rays a year ago, Jackson has flourished donning the Tigers uniform as he stands 6-4 with miniscule 2.39 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 14 overall starts. What a 1-2 punch with Mr. Verlander! Hes 3-1 carrying a 3.00 ERA allowing 33 hits and just 14 ERs with a K/BB ratio of 32/12 in 42 total innings of work at Comerica. He pitched well enough to win his last outing at St. Louis, but his offense let him down once again. Overall this season, the Tigers attack has averaged scoring just 3.79 runs in his 14 overall starts.

What a match-up of power righties we have in store for us tonight! Both Zambrano and Jackson have been dealing of late. With the under 12-18-2 in Chicagos 32 road games and it going 13-16-2 in Tigers home games this year, expect another pitchers duel tonight! The unders also cashed in four of Zambranos six starts as a visitor, and its a $$$-making 9-3-2 in Jacksons 14 overall starts. Pitching dominates Game 1 of this three-game baseball betting set!!!

 

[Yanks]

LARRY NESS

Bonus Play

San Diego Padres @ Seattle Mariners

PICK: Seattle Mariners

Seattle won the first two games at San Diego last week, before falling 4-3 in 10 innings on Thursday. The Mariners followed that series win by sweeping three games from last-place Arizona this past weekend in Seattle and now get set to host the struggling Padres again. Seattle is now back above .500 (35-34), climbing to within 1 1/2 games of the Angels and 2 1/2 games of the first-place Rangers in the AL West. As for the 30-38 Padres, they are 15 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West and their 9-23 road record is better than only the Nationals' 8-24 mark. The Padres are a ML-worst 2-7 in interleague play and own a ML-worst .235 team batting average. Other than that, the Padres are "hitting on all cylinders." The Padres will start Chad Gaudin, who is 2-6 with a 5.98 ERA this year and has yet to win in June. He's 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA in four appearances (three starts), since winning 5-2 at Colorado on May 31. His road ERA is 6.87 and there is little reason to think he will have much success here, as Gaudin has lost his last three starts against the Mariners, posting a 5.00 ERA. The Mariners will go with Garrett Olson (2-1, 4.23 ERA), who did pitch two-thirds of an inning in relief just two days ago. The lefty allowed three ERs on two hits (both HRs) in six innings of last Wednesday's 4-3 win at San Diego. Olson is 2-1 with a 4.76 ERA in five starts (Mariners are 2-3) and 0-0 with a 2.70 ERA in seven relief outings so far in 2009. I've never been a big fan of playing on pitchers being shuttled in and out of a rotation but the Padres are such a mess on the road plus in Gaudin, start a pitcher who looks to be "going nowhere." Meanwhile, the Mariners are playing well and figure to take advantage of the sad-sack Padres fairly easily in this game and maybe the whole series. However, that's getting ahead of myself.

For tonight, play the Mariners.

 

[Yanks]

RJ Robbins

Bonus Play

Texas Rangers vs. Arizona D-Backs

Play: Under 9

We are taking the Under. Texas is scoring 4.6 rpg on the road and Arizona is scoring 3.4 rpg against LHP. When playing a losing team the Rangers are 18-6 Under.

UNDER 9

 

[Yanks]

ROCKETMAN

Bonus Play

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh

Play: Pittsburgh

Cleveland is 18-30 last 3 years and 3-9 this year in Interleague play. Cleveland has lost six games in a row heading into tonight's contest. Cleveland bullpen has a 5.35 ERA on the road this year. Pittsburgh is hitting .293 as a team at home this year. David Huff is 2-2 with a 7.09 ERA overall this year and 1-2 with a 10.80 ERA on the road this season. Ian Snell has a 3.32 ERA his last 3 starts. Snell is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA overall vs Cleveland since 1997.

We'll recommend a small play on Pittsburgh tonight!

 

[Yanks]

Wunderdog

Bonus Play

San Francisco at Oakland

Pick: UNDER 7

A pair of top notch young righthanders square off in Oakland tonight with Tim Lincecum facing rookie Vin Mazzaro. Lincecum has been lights out for the Giants this season with a 2.72 ERA on the season, but has been even better of late with a 1.91 ERA in his last four starts. Vin Mazzaro has been even better. Mazzaro has made four starts and has pitched to a 1.75 ERA. These two pitchers battled each other less than two weeks ago in a game that featured a total score of three runs. The Giants have been 24-9-3 to the under vs teams with a losing record, while the A's have been 6-1 in their last seven as a home dog. All four of Mazzaro's starts have gone under, and I look for this one to do the same.

The UNDER gets the nod.

 

[Yanks]

Drew Gordon

Bonus Play

LA Dodgers at CHI. WHITE SOX -115

Now on a 20-7 roll with the plays I'm giving away. For tonight's complimentary play, we're looking at the LA Dodgers/Chi. White Sox match-up.

Good spot here for the White Sox, who finished their road trip with back-to-back wins at Cincinnati. They return home to face the the cream of the crop, as they host the Dodgers for a 3-game set. However, before you go jumping on LA, note that both history and a solid pitching match up are on the White Sox side...

Not only are the White Sox an outstanding 8-1 over their L9 interleague home games, but the Dodgers are also a piss-poor 1-7 in their L8 meetings with the White Sox! In fact, the last time these two teams saw each other, none other than John Danks was on the hill, throwing 6 scoreless innings for the win
Speaking of Danks, the White Sox lefty gets the nod in this one, and if you saw him pitch over his L2 starts, you know he's been on point! Danks has allowed 3 runs on 10 hits over his last 14 1/3 innings, striking out 16 along the way! He may be just 1-3 at the Cell, but his ERA is a rock-solid 3.89, and I expect he'll build off his last two starts with another strong effort tonight. Also of note, he's been outstanding against the NL, posting an 0.72 ERA in his last 25 innings against them (4 starts).

On the flip side, the Dodgers Hiroki Kuroda has been anything but good lately, getting tagged for 9 runs over his last 11 1/3 innings. He was anything but effective in his last road start, at Texas, and that does not bode well tonight at the Cell. True, the White Sox offense isn't exactly a juggernaut, but the return of Jim thome to the lineup is definately a much needed boost. In the end, the Dodgers are damn good, but they've been vulnerable on the road in certain spots, and I expect this will be one of them.

Take the Chicago White Sox behind Danks over the LA Dodgers and Kuroda in this MLB match up.

2* CHI. WHITE SOX

 

[Yanks]

Jr Tips

Bonus Play

LA DODGERS vs. CHI-WHITE SOX

The Chicago White Sox will welcome the return of slugger Jim Thome to the starting lineup. Thome had gone deep in three of his last four home gamesand is second on the club with 12 homers. The White Sox (33-36) are 16-18 at home this season and return home after a 4-1 victory Sunday over Cincinnati. Thome and the White Sox will get their first look at Hiroki Kuroda, who hasn't won since coming off the disabled list on June 1st.The right-hander is 0-3 with a 4.43 ERA in his last four starts. He's also 0-3 with a 6.11 ERA in three starts against the AL. Kuroda was tagged for five runs and seven hits in six innings allowing two homers and surrendered nine earned runs in 11 1/3 innings over his last two starts. Chicago's John Danks (5-5, 4.48) is coming off one of his best games of the season as the left-hander held the Cubs to one run and five hits with no walks and nine strikeouts in seven-plus innings to give Chicago a 4-1 victory over the Cubs in his last game. In Danks' only career start against Los Angeles, he allowed four hits and walked four in six innings of a 2-0 victory at Dodger Stadium.Over his last four starts against NL clubs, Danks has given up two runs in 25 innings for an 0.72 ERA. Kuroda is having a lot of problems finding his location and have been struggling of late. The White Sox will a plenty runners on the basepads tonight which will be trouble with slugger Jim Thome back in the lineback meanwhile danks has been automatic as of late.

TAKE CHI-SOX-120

 

[Yanks]

Jimmy The Moose

Bonus Play

Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay

Play: Under

The under is 6-0 in the Phillies last 6 interleague road games. In their last 11 games as a road dog the under is 8-3. The under is 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter. Philadelphia has played under the total in Moyer's last 6 starts. The under is 4-0-1 in his last 5 interleague starts. The under is 8-3-1 in Tampa's last 12 home games. The under is 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a left-handed starter. In their last 17 games as a favorite the under is 12-4-1. The under is 4-1-1 in Philadelphia's last 6 trips to Tampa.

Play the under.

 

[Yanks]

Steve Merril

Bonus Play

Chicago Cubs vs. Detroit Tigers:

Total 8½ un-120



The Cubs continue their road trip as they begin a series in Detroit against the Tigers. Carlos Zambrano goes for Chicago and he's 4-2 with a 3.44 ERA this season with six Unders in 11 outings. In his last three starts Zambrano has been able to go 1-0 with a 1.66 ERA going under in two of the three. Zambrano is missing more bats averaging 7.51 K/9IP while his home-run rate has been reduced to a career best 0.64 HR/9IP thru 11 starts this season. He hasn't faced the Tigers but has had great success against Adam Everett (3-29), Miguel Cabrera (4-18), Placido Polanco (1-10), Magglio Ordonez (1-5) and Matt Treanor (1-5).

Going for the Tigers is Edwin Jackson who is 6-4 with a 2.39 ERA and nine Unders in 14 starts. In his last three starts Jackson has gone 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA and three Unders. He's been a surprise for the Tigers this season. He's only faced three Cubs in his career with Aaron Miles (3-7), Reed Johnson (0-2) and Alfonso Soriano (0-1) being the three. Jackson will face a Cubs team that is 13-19 on the road having gone under the total in 18 of the 32 road games in total. They are hitting .233 in those games and are fresh off a shutout in Atlanta last night.

Total 8½ un-120

 

[ggon]

millionaire's club anyone?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamehunter
ST. LOUIS -115 (2 UNITS)

CLEVELAND +100 (2 UNITS)

LA DODGERS +106 (1.5 UNITS)

COLORADO -117 (1.5 UNITS)

OAKALND +108 (1.5 UNITS)

SAN DIEGO +129 (1.5 UNITS)

CINCINNATI +138 (1.75 UNITS)

YANKEES +106 (1.5 UNITS)

CUBS +122 (1.5 UNITS)

OVER CINCY/TOR 9 RUNS (-118) (1.75 UNITS)

UNDER BOS/WASH 1ST 5 INNS 5 RUNS (-115) (1.25 UNITS)*

 

[cohen59]

thinking about fading TC big ticket today... what do you guys think??

I wouldn't do that look at the play do your homework go to a website and check out the stats between both teams but go for it if you think its the right play!

 

[cohen59]

millionaire's club anyone?

Ggon turn your Private Messages on go to user cp options and turn on private messaging i have the answer to your question!

 

[ggon]

Ggon turn your Private Messages on go to user cp options and turn on private messaging i have the answer to your question!

sorry, i can't find that option..:think2: if you can't post in the forum, that's ok. Just wondering what's their pick because their 93 are good, i'm not following them regularly.
thanks for your answer !

 

[cohen59]

sorry, i can't find that option..:think2: if you can't post in the forum, that's ok. Just wondering what's their pick because their 93 are good, i'm not following them regularly.
thanks for your answer !

The Millionaires Club's # are very solid this year:

Wins: 64
Loss: 27
Winning %: 70%

I have tracked every pick that they have had this year if you change your mind or if anyone else wants in just PM me!

 

[LEFTCOASTSHARP]

@)wow ... red sox ML continues to FALL now @ -115 @ most books despite close to 87% of the public coming in on the red sox . i believe it opened @ -135 last night . ..


yikes now back up to -125 right before first pitch ...