Tuesday 06/23/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Dr. Vegas

FREE Tuesday Selection

Atlanta -115 over NY Yankees
 

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Mike Wynn

Bonus Play: MLB

San Francisco w/Lincecum -115 Over Oakland
 

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al demarco

5 dime - colorado

the rockies, fresh off an 11-1 pounding of the angels in anaheim last night, have won 17 of their last 18 games, including nine in a row on the road, improving to 19-5 since jim tracy took over as manager. They?ve outscored their foes 118-61 during their 17-1 run.

Tonight they send ubaldo jimenez to the mound. While winning his last three starts, the righthander has compiled a 2.66 era while holding his opponents to a combined .207 batting average. Although just 6-6 in 14 starts this season, jimenez, despite pitching at hitter-friendly coors field, has a more than respectable 3.73 overall era on the year.





The angels have followed a seven-game winning streak with a three-game losing skid, losing the final two games of their weekend series to the dodgers by scores of 6-4 and 5-3, before getting routed last night, 11-1. Tonight they're starting rookie sean o?sullivan, filling in for ervin santana. The righthander was impressive against the giants last tuesday, winning his first major league start, holding san francisco to one run on five hits in seven innings. But, keep in mind the giants are one of the weakest hitting teams in the major leagues while colorado is on an offensive tear, averaging 6.9 runs per game during its 17-1 run.

Considering their recent success, the rockies are considerably underpriced in this spot; i would have expected them to be a -145 favorite at minimum.



is this confirmed????
 

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Rocky Atkinson

Bonus Play

Cleveland Indians vs. Pittsburgh Pirates:

Pittsburgh Pirates +100


Play On: Pittsburgh (Huff/Snell) Listed

Cleveland is 18-30 last 3 years and 3-9 this year in Interleague play. Cleveland has lost six games in a row heading into tonight's contest. Cleveland bullpen has a 5.35 ERA on the road this year. Pittsburgh is hitting .293 as a team at home this year. David Huff is 2-2 with a 7.09 ERA overall this year and 1-2 with a 10.80 ERA on the road this season. Ian Snell has a 3.32 ERA his last 3 starts. Snell is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA overall vs Cleveland since 1997.

We'll recommend a small play on Pittsburgh tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
 

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JR O'Donnell

Bonus Play

New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves:

Atlanta Braves -110

Tell me more about Yankees Chien-Ming Wang !!! He brings a 0-5 mark & a 12.30 ERA and control problems that will add to the Yankees woes ....

Look for the Braves to outslug the Yankees

like the OVER also
 

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EZ'S FREE SELECTION

(918) Milwaukee Brewers -$116

(Listing Suppan and Liriano)

The Brewers starting pitcher Jeff Suppan has been pitching
very well, giving up just five earned runs in his last three starts
covering 18 innings. The Twins starting pitcher Francisco
Liriano continues to have trouble during the second time
through a lineup, and doesn't dominate the way he did as a
rookie before his elbow problem flared up. I'll fade him here
on the road where Liriano is 1-4 with a 6.43 ERA and he will
also have to swing the bat in this game. Play on the Brewers
to pick up the win here.

2009 Free Selections Record 89-79 (53.0%)
 

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Scott Rickenbach

Today’s Free Pick

San Francisco Giants @ Oakland Athletics

SPORT:MLB

PICK: Over

REASON FOR PICK: Scott Rickenbach's Free Pick Opinion Play for MLB Tuesday: OVER the total in Oakland vs San Francisco @ 10:05 PM ET - Mazzaro vs Lincecum - This line dropped as low as a 6.5 this morning and, while we understand the move that does not mean that we agree with it! These guys just faced off in San Francisco less than two weeks ago and that means this is a quick second look for both lineups. Also, since the rematch is an American League park we get the added benefit of the designated hitter here. The A's actually hit Lincecum quite well when they faced him even though weren't able to push a run across. San Francisco had a good read on a lot of his pitches but the ball bounced Lincecum's way that night. Also, the Giants didn't have too much trouble with Mazzaro that night and he's a little over-rated at this early point in his career.

Mazzaro has been fortunate so far in that most of the lineups he's faced in his four career starts have been clubs that had injuries or had been slumping at the plate. The team that hit him the hardest, the Giants, is who he must face tonight and we feel there is excellent line value with the over here. The "quick second look" is a key factor giving the hitters a little better edge over the pitchers and we feel Lincecum won't be as fortunate as he was in the first match-up when he got out of some key jams.


Consider a small play on OVER the total in Oakland Tuesday.
 
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GC MLB comp play

On Tuesday the mlb comp play is on the over in the Mets-Cards game.Rotation numbers 901/2 at 7:10 eastern.The Cards are hitting .302 over their last 7 games and scoring over 7 runs per game in the process.They have gone over the total in 4 of their last 5.The Mets have also hit well over the last 7 games even with all the injuries.NY.is hitting .290 over the last 7 and have gone over 3 of 4 times as a home dog in this range.ST.Louis has gone over the total all 3 times as a road favorite in this range.The pitching matchup also suggests an over as the Cards have Righty J.Pinerio and his 5.27 road era tonight vs the Mets and L.Hernandez, who has been better than expected this year but was roughed up pretty bad vs ST.Louis earlier in the year.Those looking for something to pound good on Tuesday I have 3 plays on tonights card one a 12-1 system play that wins by over 3 runs per game and plays on a modest favorite plus two offshore plays.As for the Bonus Play Im going over the 9.5 in the Mets-Cards game with listed pitchers Pinerio and Hernandez.Bol GC-
 

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Jack Jones

Bonus Play

Red Sox/Nationals UNDER 9

The Under is almost always a good play when John Lannan is pitching for the Nationals. In 14 starts this season, 11 have stayed under the total. Lannan carries a 3.38 ERA into tonight's game, but he has a 1.72 ERA in Washington this season and a 1.16 ERA over his last 3 starts. Brad Penny hasn't had as much luck with the under in his starts (6 of 12), but he has pitched well over his last three games, earning a 2.70 ERA (all three stayed under the total) and throwing in two straight games without allowing an earned run.

Stick with the under in tonight's game.
 

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Jake Timlin

Bonus Play

No passing up the Braves tonight as they will take full advantage of a struggling Wang and New York team.

Things don’t look good for the Yankees who have lost 4 of their last 5 games. Well with Chin-Ming Wang at 0-5 with an ERA of 17.18 pitching I look for New York’s struggles to continue at Turner Field tonight.

Tommy Hanson will counter for the Brave making his fourth big league start after winning his last two starts for a 2-0 record in his three starts.

The mixture of the Braves playing at home and against a sliding team in New York with the worst starting pitcher in the league I like for Atlanta to open up the series a winner.

2* Atlanta Braves
 

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Lenny Del Genio

Bonus Play

San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners

Prediction: Over

The Padres and Mariners played Under in all three meetings earlier this month and that helped kickstart a run of Unders for both teams. Seattle has now gone Under in seven of eight while San Diego has done the same in five of their last seven. However, you can look for plenty of runs this evening with Chad Gaudin on the hill for the Fathers. Gaudin has posted a 10.29 ERA over his last three starts and in seven road starts his ERA is 6.87. Furthermore, over the last three seasons, San Diego is 17-6 Over when playing with a day off.

Take the Over
 

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Rob Vinciletti

Bonus Play

St Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets

Play: Over 9

The Cards are hitting .302 over their last 7 games and scoring over 7 runs per game in the process.They have gone over the total in 4 of their last 5.The Mets have also hit well over the last 7 games even with all the injuries.NY.is hitting .290 over the last 7 and have gone over 3 of 4 times as a home dog in this range.ST.Louis has gone over the total all 3 times as a road favorite in this range.The pitching matchup also suggests an over as the Cards have Righty J.Pinerio and his 5.27 road era tonight vs the Mets and L.Hernandez, who has been better than expected this year but was roughed up pretty bad vs ST.Louis earlier in the year.

Over 9
 

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Michael Cannon

Bonus Play

Chicago Cubs at DETROIT -125

I’m 4-1 with my last five overall Bonus Plays!

Take the Tigers tonight at home over the Cubs.

Detroit is riding a four-game winning streak and will send one of the league’s leaders in ERA in Edwin Jackson. The right-hander is 6-4 with a 2.39 ERA on the year.

The Tigers are also in the midst of a five-game home winning streak.

The Cubs will send Carlos Zambrano to the hill and he hasn’t been as dominating in interleague play as he’s been in NL action. The right-hander is 4-2 with a 3.44 ERA on the year, but owns a 7-5 mark with a 4.81 ERA in 17 lifetime interleague starts.

Take the Tigers as they grab the home win.

3* DETROIT
 

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Evan Altemus

Bonus Play

Colorado at LA Angels

Selection: Colorado -119

This selection is mainly based on one of the strongest trends in predicting short-term baseball winners. That trend is hot and cold streaks. Colorado is the hottest team in baseball, and I am looking to take them every chance I get. Their bats are absolutely red hot right now, as they have hit well over .300 as a team in 7 of their last 9 games, including an 11 run explosion last night. The Rockies also have a good pitching advantage here with Ubaldo Jimenez. He has pitched well on the road, and he has allowed 2 runs or less in 6 of his last 9 starts. Look for the Rockies to continue their hot hitting and get the win.

Colorado -119
 

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GoodFella

Bonus Play

COL (-115) vs ANA

I suggest riding the RED HOT Rockies tonight, as they are just smashing the baseball & they have both a starting pitching advantage & a bullpen advantage. The Angels went through a flurry of relief pitchers last night as Palmer didnt get out of the 5th inning. Ride the RED HOT Rockies tonight fellas.
 

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Jimmy Boyd

Bonus Play

1 Unit on Chicago Cubs +118

I know Edwin Jackson has been good for the Tigers this season, but I have to go with the more proven Carlos Zambrano who has been better. The Cubs are 8-3 in Big Z's starts this season. He is 3-1 on the road with a 2.58 ERA and 1-0 over his last 3 starts with a 1.66 ERA. The Cubs are 40-16 in Zambrano's last 56 road starts, 10-2 in his last 12 starts during game 1 of a series, and 7-1 in his last 8 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The Cubs have won 4 of 5, and did not go all out last night in a make up game with Atlanta as Piniella held out Soriano. Expect a rested Soriano to have a big game tonight as the Cubs steal one on the road in interleague play.
 

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