The Sports Cruncher's Week #11 NCAA Football Thread

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Chomping at the bits
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I bought a half unit on Tulsa -9.5 when it opened, and the line is now up to 14. Sure SMU is arguably the worst program in football right now, but Tulsa hasn't been two touchdowns better. Unless SMU has completely given up, there is value taking the points here. At the very least I'm buying back the 1/2 unit to go for the middle while I can still get +14 (-105) at BM.
 

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1/2 Unit: USU @ WYO Over 45
1/2 Unit: WYO +7

Hoping for a split at worst here. Both teams can score into the 20s in this match up. I don't know if USU's freshman QB from Texas has any cold weather experience. That, coupled with WYO's trouncing of FRES last week, I think make the Cowpokes a live dog in this one.
 

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I bought a half unit on Tulsa -9.5 when it opened, and the line is now up to 14. Sure SMU is arguably the worst program in football right now, but Tulsa hasn't been two touchdowns better. Unless SMU has completely given up, there is value taking the points here. At the very least I'm buying back the 1/2 unit to go for the middle while I can still get +14 (-105) at BM.

Phuck it, pulling the trigger tonight...NOW! BOL got it at 13+, teasing it down to 6 with three other games I can't live without. I watched that Tulsa/Memphis game and Tulsa actually played well for 3 quarters. SMU can't play well for three minutes. GL my friend, and that's nice you had a local with that much patience......My two in Tulsa, you started on the fifth game and the grunting began, lol.

~T~
 

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So yeah, really like the Under in the CLEM/ WAKE game tonight. My only concern is CLEM rates to have excellent starting field position all night long. I'll be interested to see how long it takes for WAKE to cross the 50 in this one. If WAKE turns it over deep in their own territory more than once the Under could be in jeopardy. I don't rate CLEM's offense (w/o Watson at QB) to get touchdowns on that many of it's forays into WAKE territory. I think if the Under is spoiled it will be with CLEM covering, and I do have a small insurance policy on them at -20, even with my lines not showing any value on the side. The Team Total Unders are both on the right side of key #'s as well, and worth peppering in if you want more action.
 

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How good you feel about that o45 in the Aggies/Cowboys game? RedL is on it I know, but think he got it a sckosh less. And how high is too high for Auburn, LOL. Gone to 23+ now, put it in the above referenced teaser, but I need a SU to put with Duke.

~T~
 

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I think AUB is too high when it gets to 28, lol, but raise of hands, who here would play A&M at +34, say? 52-14 final score prediction. A&M got out gained by ULM who has a terrible offense last week. At home. How's this freshman QB gonna' do in his first ever road game at Auburn? I don't care how highly rated he was in high school, he's 18 freaking years old leading a team that has to know they are going to get smoked, and they've shown zero resistance in the games that have gotten out of hand for them. I'm reluctant buy back any of the 4 units I put on AUB at -17, as I figure it will just be throwing money away, but we'll see where the line ends up.

Wyoming hasn't been terribly consistent on offense, but like RedL mentioned, they've been on serious uptick with that young RB getting lots of touches. Their passing game is good enough to get backdoors against even decent defenses like USU's. They had to do it several times in a row against CSU earlier this year as their defense kept giving up huge touchdown plays.
 

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That being said, my baseline total is only 48.5 on the game, as both teams have a slower than average pace of play, and none of the offensive match up advantages are overwhelming, though they are above average 3 of the 4. And weather -- you never know when it's freezing with a chance of snow.
 

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I think AUB is too high when it gets to 28, lol, but raise of hands, who here would play A&M at +34, say? 52-14 final score prediction. A&M got out gained by ULM who has a terrible offense last week. At home. How's this freshman QB gonna' do in his first ever road game at Auburn? I don't care how highly rated he was in high school, he's 18 freaking years old leading a team that has to know they are going to get smoked, and they've shown zero resistance in the games that have gotten out of hand for them. I'm reluctant buy back any of the 4 units I put on AUB at -17, as I figure it will just be throwing money away, but we'll see where the line ends up.

Yeah, ULM coming to Boone, NC this weekend to play Appy State and I'm gonna put a little on the Moutaineers, or Coonskins or whatever that guy with the Daniel Boone look is called, lol. Weather gonna play a factor again in the NC high country and don't see the coonasses enjoying the "brisk" atmosphere. Thanks for your input, just damn tough laying that kind of chalk, in the teaser got them at 16 which I'm extremely comfortable with, but over three TD's, only have done that once, years ago when of all teams, LOL, A&Sham was in Norman, laid 28 and I think the final was something like 70 or 73 to Zip, GS probably has that score on the tip of his tongue.

~T~
 

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Well, whaddya' know? WAKE did cross the 50 on their first drive, but didn't finish it there, lol.

And LMAO @ your Appy State mascot chatter!
 

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Well, whaddya' know? WAKE did cross the 50 on their first drive, but didn't finish it there, lol.

And LMAO @ your Appy State mascot chatter!

I'm not sure who's rendition of Daniel Boone is worse, Appy's or Morgantown's, LOL. Under 50 Clemson in that teaser gaining appeal power, LOL.

~T~
 

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On our way to getting through the first quarter scoreless. Not sure how CLEM is going to cover that small -20 bet I put on them, lol. Later in the week when adjusting my lines it didn't call for that play. Especially when Stoudt misses a wide open wide receiver like that.
 

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Seems like a lot of teams have come off of bye weeks with their offense a little more tuned up. Sure is the case for Wake so far tonight.
 

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Took some in-game Under 38.5 and WAKE +9.5 after their first score, lol. And on cue CLEM makes a big play. lol
 

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By offensive yards, there should've only been 17 points scored in that first half, just our luck that they scored double that, with literally every score coming because of short field on turnovers and drive saving penalties. Really still waiting for our luck to turn, lol.
 

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By offensive yards, there should've only been 17 points scored in that first half, just our luck that they scored double that, with literally every score coming because of short field on turnovers and drive saving penalties. Really still waiting for our luck to turn, lol.

Alright C, I don't ever make second half bets, but no way in hell Wake scores again....so what does Clemson score, lol, and we under or over the 2H total?

~T~
 

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I'm playing Under 20.5 unposted, and Clemson TT Under 17 unposted.

Arrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrgh! I think Clemson will hang 21 on these fools in the second half after making adjustments. Wake has no business even being in this thing, Christ, the Tigers gave them all three scores on a damn silver platter with danish, condiments, condoms, shit, you name it, LOL. Taking the Tigers -10, puck it.

~T~
 

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Here's to hoping all the bad luck is flushed out of the system before Saturday gets here, lol.
 

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And remember, all 34 points in the 1st half came with about 16-17 minutes left to play. Gross, lol.
 

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