The Sports Cruncher's Week #11 NCAA Football Thread

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Akron was not the better team. BG is way better overall it is obvious
 

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Akron didn't start the 3 rd with the wind at their backs. Sorry yes they did just can't tell as bad as they are
 

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Sure, none of the breaks have gone Akron's way and the weather has made them drop a billion balls, but they're still not winning at the line of scrimmage, by and large, so the play was not a good one, as far as I'm concerned now. Oh well, starting the week in the hole, all will be forgotten (mostly) by tomorrow, lol.
I've never been a fan of Terry Bowden. Not sure how much you factor coaching into your handicapping but ever since his demise at Auburn I find it very difficult to respect his coaching acumen. Their time management before halftime was embarrassing.
 

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Cruncher nice call in this one. This game could go either way. And expecting rain for this game just like last nights games. Going to ride my Under for this one. BOL
 

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I love the call on SJST +4. I was thinking the same but did not want to pull the trigger. Thanks Cruncher.
 

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Yes tough start I bought half my wager back after heritage had a 3 pt shift from -6.5 to -3 on Akron.
 

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This line starting to come down, and the match-ups do favor the Under

1/2 unit: MEM @ TEM Under 52.5 (-105 5D)
 

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Crunch would you like to post your Market pic for tonight, Thursday and Friday play?

as a fan of Clemson...I wouldn't touch the line....I lot of "what ifs"

Cole(QB) is the starter, DW (very good QB) is back heatlhy and will be suited up. He won't play unless he needs to or to get some reps late. Peake(our #1WR) will also dress(probably won't play). Leggett, our best TE is back. Dye our best running back is back. Both should help our struggling offense. Our line is the best it's been all year. Only missing 2 guys Thursday night.

i see Clemson only giving up points through a Clemson turnover or a punt return with good field position. Take the information for what it's worth...I will try to post this tomorrow or later tonight as a topic for others to see.
 

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Thanks, Toasted.

Wake has been held virtually scoreless until the 4th quarter of most of their recent games. BC gave up a couple of back to back 4th quarter touchdowns against them to blow the cover, but the total still stayed a half point below the opening Under I got. I don't see Clemson's superior defense allowing multiple garbage time scores to a pitiful Wake offense. I do think there's more value on the Under than a play on Clemson. I took Clemson at -20, I believe, but wouldn't play the 21 or worse that it's at now. Clemson's offense doesn't really have a match-up advantage in this game, so I don't see them as a threat to go Over the total by themselves. Like you say, Clemson shouldn't have a reason to play the marginally healthy offensive players in this game, which helps the Under.

I'm working on an updated Power Ratings system and a new game match-up chart to go along with the other charts. I'll post these a bit later today.
 

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"Later today?" Man, already posted I used my MAC coupon last night. Need you and a few others to step up and help a newbie out, lol. GL my friend.

~T~
 

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Well, I'm already on OHIO -2 and -3 for a 1/2 unit each, and Over 55.5 for another 1/2. Over 60 for a 1/2 unit on the BALL game. I think there's still value on OHIO & the Over. Banking on Vick at QB for OHIO being the difference maker versus the worst pass defense in FBS.
 

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Well, I'm already on OHIO -2 and -3 for a 1/2 unit each, and Over 55.5 for another 1/2. Over 60 for a 1/2 unit on the BALL game. I think there's still value on OHIO & the Over. Banking on Vick at QB for OHIO being the difference maker versus the worst pass defense in FBS.

SHIT, SHIT, SHIT!!! Wanting to tease Buff to 10, Ball State the same. Here we go again, more "stink." When the hell we gonna line up, lol.

~T~
 

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These coaching decisions continue to boggle the mind. Why not a Hail Mary try for Ohio there? Too bad they squandered the good field position, needed some kind of a score for any chance at the Over. At least Ohio is dominating, it will take an amazing reversal of fortunes for them to blow this one. Looking to play a 2nd half Under on any number 27 or higher, but I figure the number will be somewhere between 24.5 and 26.5.
 

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Posted all my lines for the week in my other thread.

Was really hoping for another TD in the last 7 minutes of the NIU/BALL first half, as this game is not playing out to an Over, currently. I wanted to middle/hedge out of the Over 60.

Good start OHIO 2nd half getting the ball in the red zone.
 

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Nice call on the N.ILL and big time on the Ohio Game. My saving grace is that I hit on the Under for both games.
 

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Here's the week #11 card I've got. Off to a rough "Smacked by the MAC" week so far, doubling down on Akron in the 2nd half only to have the dropped balls, turnovers and miscues continue. Akron statistically played a pretty even game with BGSU, but they gambled on their passing game and last, oh well.

n5oOLZH.jpg
 

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In the old days before on-line, my local would have told me to take up another vice, not enough time to book all that action and still cater to the other clientele, LOL. GL

~T~
 

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My unfortunate first bookie, lol - I used to read him off long lists of 5$ round robin parlays. Dude had the patience of a saint!

Adding for 1 Unit: Tulane +17.5

I project both teams to have similar decent success with the run game. Tulane's passing game rates to be pathetic, but Houston's has been so up and down (terrible last time out at USF), that as long as HOU doesn't have above average success with this match up it should be about a 10 point win for Houston. The line just bumped up to +18 but then got hard quick back down to +17.5.
 

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