The Sports Cruncher's 2015 CFB Week 09 Lines & Market Plays

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Chomping at the bits
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Well, I guess it's me against the market in the first game of the week, lol. UNC sat at -3 for most of the week, but now they're dropping to -2 and lower. I'm going to buy back just one of the 3 units w/ PITT +2 (-105 5D).
 

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Cruncher - Thanks for all the hard work you do!

I'm seeing unc down to -1 at some places. You think that's general public betting driving that number down (or a major service of some kind)? Ranked team at home getting points, etc.? Seems odd to me...as I though it would go to 4 before 1. Crazy.

Either way, go heels!
 

Chomping at the bits
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Yeah, I'm not wrong on line moves very often when I really like a side. I don't think it was a service, I think it was just "Hey, a ranked team at home as an underdog? No way, I'll take Pitt!" kind of thing...I'm hoping, lol.

Grr. Pitt converting first two 3rd downs here...
 

Chomping at the bits
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Good God, what kind of defense was that? They didn't even cover Boyd at all on that play??? lol
 

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Logging plays and I just realized I put two units on Georgia Southern -19.5 initially, to set up some buy back. Missed the +21, have to settle for TXST +20.5 for .5 unit.
 

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I hear ya. The fact that more bets were placed on Pitt (from various sites I look at), it didn't concern me as much. If all the action was on unc that would be a different story.

This tcu/wvu line is interesting. Down to 12 at some shops. That definitely makes me lean wvu (with the majority of the action on the frogs, from what I can tell anyway).
 

Chomping at the bits
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+1.25 Units on the night. Still can't win totals in spite of overall line rapage, lol. Top plays 2-0.

Did a write up on the current AP Top 25 compared to my Top 25. Top blog post here, in case you missed it: http://bit.ly/thesportscruncher
 

Chomping at the bits
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I have 3 units on LOU -9.5 (-115) later today. I'm buying back 1 unit on Wake +11.5 (-105 5D). Not sure if this one will go up much today, or wrongly down like the UNC-PITT line did yesterday, lol. Anyway, with more dead space available above than below, I'll just lock in the buy back now and live with it.
 

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I have 3 units on LOU -9.5 (-115) later today. I'm buying back 1 unit on Wake +11.5 (-105 5D). Not sure if this one will go up much today, or wrongly down like the UNC-PITT line did yesterday, lol. Anyway, with more dead space available above than below, I'll just lock in the buy back now and live with it.

I got two bottles of Mac 18 on the Cardinals tonight, one already down the hatch, LOL. My mother's 76th B-day today, she hatched me at 20. Knowing you're on Pac time and snoring right now, told ya UNC was good, LOL. King Louis is pissed off at this time, something about some hookers and recruits, LOL. The smokers in Winston-Salem won't know what hit them by the time it's too late. BOL my good friend, we're instigating a gathering in Vegas for MM, would be honored with your presence.

~T~
 

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Friendly font advice noted, lol.

Tomater, would love a Vegas trip, but seeing's how I had my kids later in life I've got to wait at least another handful of years until they can be trusted to be by themselves at home, lol.

Couple of teaser funsies to spice up this Friday.

To win .5 unit each:

8 points, ties win, 2 teams (-158 5D)

LOU -3, ND -3

7.5 points, ties win, 2 teams (-143 5D)

STAN -3, LT -3

Good luck tonight and go Cardinals...and Cardinal!
 

Chomping at the bits
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Adding for 0.6 Unit: UGA +0.5 1st half vs FLA

Adding for .5 Unit: UGA vs FLA Over 23 1st half (-115)
 

Chomping at the bits
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Looks like some of the big early moving lines have peaked and the buy backs are starting to come in...

I have CIN -20.5 for 2 units, buying back 0.5 with UCF +27 (-115 BOL)
 

Chomping at the bits
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Threw down some in game Under 38.5 in the LOU@Wake game after that Wake FG.
 

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Friendly font advice noted, lol.

Tomater, would love a Vegas trip, but seeing's how I had my kids later in life I've got to wait at least another handful of years until they can be trusted to be by themselves at home, lol.

Couple of teaser funsies to spice up this Friday.

To win .5 unit each:

8 points, ties win, 2 teams (-158 5D)

LOU -3, ND -3

7.5 points, ties win, 2 teams (-143 5D)

STAN -3, LT -3

Good luck tonight and go Cardinals...and Cardinal!

I'll pay for the damn nanny for the week, how's that sound? Just not sure I can pick ya up, might have to fly commercial myself. I've got three other buds that went in on the Gulfstream with me, and I wasn't thinking ahead, think I'm toast for the first round and I never stay out there long enough to go past first two rounds. In any event, would hate like hell not to have you in the party, and PARTY it will be. I'll look at the dates and get back at ya, but mid-March is a good starting point. Ya want to meet and have a good time with a bunch of great guys, this will be IT! Don't have to book anything until after X-Mas, but I get comp'd so like to give them heads up as soon as I can. Ya gotta come out and play with the big boys, trust me, nothing like it.

~T~
 

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