Do you see how big of a douche bag you are when you come in acting all innocent with: "Curious to know, what do you think are key numbers?" When in reality, you were just trying to set yourself up for: "Hey, Hot Shot, you were the one that mentioned key numbers. I'd sidestep it too, if I were you. When you don't know what you're talking about, find an exit and avoid the subject."
And because you pulled this crap once before I caught you and now you're butt hurt. I'm pretty sure if you're online you have google, why don't you try using it. Key numbers are a part of betting value. If your opinion is somehow contradictory to the pure % of games that end up landing on a certain total score, then please, like I said originally, tell us. Because it sure looks like you're only in this for the 100% troll rating right now.
And because you pulled this crap once before I caught you and now you're butt hurt. I'm pretty sure if you're online you have google, why don't you try using it. Key numbers are a part of betting value. If your opinion is somehow contradictory to the pure % of games that end up landing on a certain total score, then please, like I said originally, tell us. Because it sure looks like you're only in this for the 100% troll rating right now.
Gonna' have to play against some Dr. Bob steam with...
1/2 Unit: WMU +31 @ OSU
Western Michigan hasn't looked good in FBS play this year. They've had almost no run game. They predictably lost to Michigan State, but then got absolutely gang banged at Georgia Southern against GASO's backup QB, no less. They could not stop GASO's run at all. Not being able to stop the run while not being able to run is pretty much the worst formula to winning football games ever, so let's back 'em! lol
Ohio State's offense has hit an early funk, and the loss of OC Tom Herman looks to be hurting them a lot more than they'd anticipated. HC Meyer might be 2nd guessing himself about the usefulness of this two starting QB failure. One thing is certain right now, though -- OSU's defense is playing tremendously well, as good as anyone in football right now. So though my number is almost right on the actual total, I'm still going to add...
1/2 Unit: WMU @ OSU Under 58
Sure the Buckeyes want to get on track offensively this week, but there's no magic cure for these kinds of things. Having one of your OL saying that teams playing a 3 man front hurts their offensive scheme probably doesn't help, though, lol. I'm not sure what WMU's defensive alignment is, but I'm pretty sure it's going to struggle this week whatever it is.
Western Michigan runs a pretty slow offense, and OSU is about average. As long as WMU can hang onto the ball for even a few semi-long drives I like their chances here. I'm hoping it's an either or both for these two bets, and not an either or none situation. WMU was a popular pick to win the MAC this year, which already looks like a long shot to happen the way they've started versus some of the other teams in the conference. It's still early in the season, though. If they can limit big plays and turnovers (and they haven't been at all good in the turnover department) I like them to cover in a 17-41 loss.
1/2 Unit: WMU +31 @ OSU
Western Michigan hasn't looked good in FBS play this year. They've had almost no run game. They predictably lost to Michigan State, but then got absolutely gang banged at Georgia Southern against GASO's backup QB, no less. They could not stop GASO's run at all. Not being able to stop the run while not being able to run is pretty much the worst formula to winning football games ever, so let's back 'em! lol
Ohio State's offense has hit an early funk, and the loss of OC Tom Herman looks to be hurting them a lot more than they'd anticipated. HC Meyer might be 2nd guessing himself about the usefulness of this two starting QB failure. One thing is certain right now, though -- OSU's defense is playing tremendously well, as good as anyone in football right now. So though my number is almost right on the actual total, I'm still going to add...
1/2 Unit: WMU @ OSU Under 58
Sure the Buckeyes want to get on track offensively this week, but there's no magic cure for these kinds of things. Having one of your OL saying that teams playing a 3 man front hurts their offensive scheme probably doesn't help, though, lol. I'm not sure what WMU's defensive alignment is, but I'm pretty sure it's going to struggle this week whatever it is.
Western Michigan runs a pretty slow offense, and OSU is about average. As long as WMU can hang onto the ball for even a few semi-long drives I like their chances here. I'm hoping it's an either or both for these two bets, and not an either or none situation. WMU was a popular pick to win the MAC this year, which already looks like a long shot to happen the way they've started versus some of the other teams in the conference. It's still early in the season, though. If they can limit big plays and turnovers (and they haven't been at all good in the turnover department) I like them to cover in a 17-41 loss.
Adding for 1/2 Unit: Bowling Green -2.5 @ Purdue
Even though I've given up value on the opening line when BGSU was a small dog I'm going to make a play on them, after comparing their games and Purdue's so far this year. BG has actually gotten better in the passing game in each successive week this season, while Purdue's pass defense made VT's back-up led pass offense look good last week. Then again, Purdue couldn't stop much of anything last week. Bad news for Purdue is that BG's running game is starting to come around to, and had it's first better than average game last week against Memphis. BG's run defense hasn't been good, to say the least, and Purdue rates to have it's offensive success running the ball, but BG did finally have a solid game of run defense last week for the first time this year.
Even though I've given up value on the opening line when BGSU was a small dog I'm going to make a play on them, after comparing their games and Purdue's so far this year. BG has actually gotten better in the passing game in each successive week this season, while Purdue's pass defense made VT's back-up led pass offense look good last week. Then again, Purdue couldn't stop much of anything last week. Bad news for Purdue is that BG's running game is starting to come around to, and had it's first better than average game last week against Memphis. BG's run defense hasn't been good, to say the least, and Purdue rates to have it's offensive success running the ball, but BG did finally have a solid game of run defense last week for the first time this year.
I'd be all over that Memphis Over if Cincinnati QB Kiel wasn't out this game. His replacement really struggled against a poor Miami of Ohio defense. He turned the ball over a ton and barely put one drive together at the end of the game to get the victory. Still, Cincinnati has a good running game and Memphis hasn't been particularly strong against the run this year.
1/2 Unit: VT @ ECU Under 56.5
Don't count on VT having another offensive explodegasm this week, and ECU passing game is still a notch below what it was last year.
1/2 Unit: FRES +4.5 @ SJSU
Fresno still has one good QB to play and a decent running game. SJSU has a terrible pass offense so far and a terrible run defense as well. Advantage Fresno.
Don't count on VT having another offensive explodegasm this week, and ECU passing game is still a notch below what it was last year.
1/2 Unit: FRES +4.5 @ SJSU
Fresno still has one good QB to play and a decent running game. SJSU has a terrible pass offense so far and a terrible run defense as well. Advantage Fresno.
NAVY @ CONN total jacked down to 48 just now, so I'm adding a 1/2 Unit on that Over, in a move that usually doesn't work out for me, lol. But hey, the market was wrong on the Navy total last week, and never liked the Over like I did. I've said it once and I'll say it again -- when there's a big difference between my totals and the market direction it usually involves a service academy team, and very often it's Navy.
Yes CONN has more experience than most in facing this offense -- they already played Army this year. Still, they did give up 5.5 yards per carry in that game. That's not going to slow down Navy terribly much, and Navy is going to be a hell of a lot better at converting their yards into scores than Army is.
On the flip side, CONN's passing game is much improved this year, and Navy's defense was pretty average last week against ECU.
On the not so good side, both teams do play slow, and CONN has played really slow this year. A run heavy game with the Over can be frustrating as you see whole half of quarters (see what I did there? lol) evaporate off the clock with one team methodically driving with little to no points to show for it sometimes.
I just don't think this Navy team will be denied, and will score a minimum of 28 points. CONN will have to pass to keep up, and will get a minimum of 21. At worst, that leave me hitting this added 1/2 while losing the original Over 50.5.
Yes CONN has more experience than most in facing this offense -- they already played Army this year. Still, they did give up 5.5 yards per carry in that game. That's not going to slow down Navy terribly much, and Navy is going to be a hell of a lot better at converting their yards into scores than Army is.
On the flip side, CONN's passing game is much improved this year, and Navy's defense was pretty average last week against ECU.
On the not so good side, both teams do play slow, and CONN has played really slow this year. A run heavy game with the Over can be frustrating as you see whole half of quarters (see what I did there? lol) evaporate off the clock with one team methodically driving with little to no points to show for it sometimes.
I just don't think this Navy team will be denied, and will score a minimum of 28 points. CONN will have to pass to keep up, and will get a minimum of 21. At worst, that leave me hitting this added 1/2 while losing the original Over 50.5.
