tease Tampa Bay above the key number of seven a touchdown in by 2+8, 8 1/2 or 7 1/2 I am teasing Tampa Bay +16 and over 40 and Kansas City Buffalo under 55 1/2 best bet Kansas City and Buffalo under 22 1/2 in the second half repeat in the second, Kansas City is gone under the second half nine of their last 10 gamesThe Pick: My 100 Dime winner is the Tampa Bay Bucs.
The Line: The current line is +6 in Vegas and offshore as of 9:00 am EST. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.
Note: If your line is anywhere from +6 to +7 1/2 I advise buying the 1/2 point up on the Tampa.
This dude must be so dumb. You post his winning record that’s over .500 for the year. And yes followers down just a bit but you forgot that faders are down bigger. U should do the math with your 20% juice like you do for followers and see how much faders are down. I have faders down over 500 units for the year and that’s just 10% juice. What a effin . You should think before u run your mouth slow ass boiLangs down 225 and more. Faders are green as usual. Been this way like 19 out of 20 years
And this doosh says he plays NFL for LANG
make sure guns unloaded before you put it mouth
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My Analysis
Going to back them as a dog again.
Week 6 in Tampa, I backed the Bucs as a 3-point home dog and watched them lose the game 20-6.
It was one of the most frustrating games I watched all year long.
The Lions scored their first touchdown on a 3rd and 13 and scored their 2nd touchdown on a 3rd and 10.
All told, Detroit was 9 of 16 on 3rd down for the game.
As for Tampa Bay offensively, Baker Mayfield didn't have one of his best days, as he finished 19 of 37 for 206 yards and 1 INT.
There were plays to be made and bottom line, he didn't make them.
As he said this week, "I missed a ton of throws in that game. Obviously, I have to play better. When their's plays to be had, we have to take advantage of them."
From what I have seen of Baker lately, I'm confident he will play well today and I believe this Tampa offense is going to attack this Lions secondary.
The Bucs are on a current 6-1 run SU (5-2 ATS) and in this current run, they have won road games at Atlanta 29-25, Green Bay 34-20 and Carolina 9-0.
Funny thing about that Carolina game, people wanted to focus on the offense only scoring 9 points and not about the defense that just pitched a shutout.
You know how hard it is in the NFL to pitch a shutout on the road???? It's fucking hard!!!
This Tampa defense is as healthy as they have been all year long and it shows holding Jacksonville to 12, shutting out Carolina and holding the Eagles to 9.
As for Baker, I'm not worried about him. The Tampa offense went into Green Bay, put up 34 and had a perfect passer rating while doing it.
The offense put up 30 on the Jags.
All told, they have scored 29 points or more in 4 of their last 6 games. Simply put, they have found their rhythm.
Bottom line: I just don't see Tampa getting blown out today and I will gladly grab the dog here all day long.
Listen, the Lions were lucky to beat the Rams last week. Sean McVay's play calling in the red zone was atrocious.
And late in the game on a critical 3rd and 13, Detroit got away with a hold that was a game changer.
In my opinion, this game is going to go right down to the wire and for my money, I have to take the points based on what Tampa has shown me down the stretch.
This doggy barks loud and clear early today.
It gives you the best chance to win the game. If you make the 2pter you win with an extra pt. If you miss you try again. Note extra points are 95% so they can be missed. When you kick the extra pt twice, you still are less than 50-50 being the dog in the game.ot Question:
Can someone explain the logic of Tampa Bay going for two points when the late touchdown cut the lead to 8?
I understand that if they made it, and got another touchdown, all they had to do to win would be to kick the extra point.
But if they missed as they did and scored a late touchdown, the pressure to make the two-point conversion would
be enormous against the home team!!
I know this is probably going overboard but could the betting line of 6 or 6 1/2 have anything to do for going for the two points??
tia if anyone wants to weigh in on this or just reading it.
I believe either Mike Tirico or Chris Collinsworth or someone on the broadcast said this verbatim.It gives you the best chance to win the game. If you make the 2pter you win with an extra pt. If you miss you try again. Note extra points are 95% so they can be missed. When you kick the extra pt twice, you still are less than 50-50 being the dog in the game.
Ok-thanks for responding but imo if you miss the initial two-point conversion as they did and score again, you need to make the twoIt gives you the best chance to win the game. If you make the 2pter you win with an extra pt. If you miss you try again. Note extra points are 95% so they can be missed. When you kick the extra pt twice, you still are less than 50-50 being the dog in the game.