Knightrofins I have a question, is what you posted in the last 1-2 pages of the thread your own theory or did you get it from somewhere?
Regarding the lines going up for Trump? My own theory.
Look, i have a desk job where i enjoy taking breaks from work and looking at a few websites and looking at my gambling account with the live betting odds. I like to watch live betting odds get jacked up bigly to manipulate the better to see that its "easy money".
There have been times i've been "on tilt" where i need to win some $$ back and will check the live betting odds. Many times i'll see a -500 with an 8 pt lead with 4 min left (i'm exaggerting a little but hopefully u get the drift) and consider playing the chalk to win some $$ back. Tennis matches are the CRAZIEST.
Anyways, i could see those live odds Tuesday nite fool many Trump betters.
Look, the Trump plus money line has been up for months. We've discussed on this site for month that plus money is GREAT value (win or lose). If you took Trump at plus money, you had PLENTY of time to think it over.
Now lets go back to Tuesday nite. Trump is now the favorite. You consider making a wager but need to think quick. Line keeps going up. Line keeps going up. Line keeps going up. You say "fuck it, i'm in". You get -500 odds as the moment is getting to you.
You took the bet but really didnt know why Trump was the favorite. If you handicapped this, at best, Trump is a -140 favorite maybe? But you decided to get in at -300, -400, -500, or higher. The Trump better (possibly with drinks in him) was duped into betting.
With all this being said, i was upset that my book did NOT offer live betting Tuesday night. I was a little surprised. When Biden was +450, I could have seen myself throw in a few bucks on Biden (nothing crazy)