The polls were wrong yet again...

Search

Conservatives, Patriots & Huskies return to glory
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 9, 2005
Messages
86,987
Tokens
what did the incorrect polls have?

A landslide
A blue wave
Democrats picking up seats across the boards
Lindsey Graham in trouble, not even competitive
Mitch McConnell in trouble, not even competitive

A Quinnipiac poll even had Susan Collins down 15, she won by 8. How does that happen?
 

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
7,878
Tokens
A landslide
A blue wave
Democrats picking up seats across the boards
Lindsey Graham in trouble, not even competitive
Mitch McConnell in trouble, not even competitive

A Quinnipiac poll even had Susan Collins down 15, she won by 8. How does that happen?

I agree on points 2, 3, 4 and especially 6! Collins was a dead Senator walking.The polling was adjusted from 4 years ago but they have a long way to go or one can put them into extinction. One has too go out and vote no matter what.
 

New member
Joined
Jan 18, 2005
Messages
6,890
Tokens
Whoever wins, it's pretty clear the polls were wrong again.

What's your theory on why?

The polls were wrong on purpose, that is what the Democrats/DS wanted. It was part of their plan to steal the election.
Make it look like Biden was going to run away, people think Biden is going to win easy, come election night Trump is going to win but they are going to cheat all over the place to win. the vote is close but people expected Biden to win based off the polls they saw for months. So the public don't think anything of the election being close and Biden winning whether by cheating or not as they all thought he would win anyway so the public won't believe that he cheated since he was so far ahead

A very nice psy-ops on the public Goebbels would be proud. Media and Dems totally mind fucking the public who are morons for the most part
 

EV Whore
Joined
Apr 18, 2006
Messages
19,918
Tokens
Not really.

They had Biden as a NICE favorite BEGGING Republicans to bet on their boy.

Then, when Trump was winning those red states that he was supposed to win anyways, Republicans got cocky and started taking those BIG money lines for Trump to win b/c he won those states that he was SUPPOSED to win anyways.

In sports terms, lets say its a 7 game series of a 4 vs 5 first round matchup and Trump is the home team. Trump won the first 2 games (as expected) so you bet BIG money lines that Trump would win the series.

Low and behold, Biden holds serve at home and then wins the road game 5 (Biden flips Arizona) and now Biden is favored again.

Ya'll got cocky with a few cocktails in ya and started betting Trump at -300, -400, -500 and so forth. I hope people who had Trump at plus money odds hedged to take Biden at plus money as well. The smart people did. The blowhards didnt. The sportsbooks played you.

So not sure how sportsbooks cant forecast or track. Their asses are laughing at you all today.

Luckily we have Crudebar the russian spy in this forum haha

That makes zero sense. Your typical die hard Trump supporter who dabbles in political gambling likely already had Trump +150 or more. They weren't waiting for the live betting to pile in with both hands at -400 cause he won Florida, I don't care how dumb you think they are.

A book like Pinnacle takes plenty of sharp action. They hung Biden +400ish out there for an hour or more when Trump had yet to flip a single state. You don't think they opened themselves up to some liability there?

You seem like a good enough guy sometimes but your brain is fuckin fried or something.
 
Joined
Nov 8, 2012
Messages
11,541
Tokens
That makes zero sense. Your typical die hard Trump supporter who dabbles in political gambling likely already had Trump +150 or more. They weren't waiting for the live betting to pile in with both hands at -400 cause he won Florida, I don't care how dumb you think they are.

A book like Pinnacle takes plenty of sharp action. They hung Biden +400ish out there for an hour or more when Trump had yet to flip a single state. You don't think they opened themselves up to some liability there?

You seem like a good enough guy sometimes but your brain is fuckin fried or something.

many took Trump +150 or better as I thought it was a good bet based on value. Nothing wrong with taking that play. If I truly thought Trunp was gonna win, I probably wound have taken that bet plus bet with Crudebar

I’m taking about the live betting odds when Trunp was -300 or better. Republicans saw early results of success and started to unload at -300, -400, and higher to win a “quick buck”

what they didn’t realize was that Trunp won states where he was the chalk

the sports books did a GREAT job on manipulating the Trump better during live betting
 

New member
Joined
Apr 7, 2016
Messages
6,600
Tokens
many took Trump +150 or better as I thought it was a good bet based on value. Nothing wrong with taking that play. If I truly thought Trunp was gonna win, I probably wound have taken that bet plus bet with Crudebar

I’m taking about the live betting odds when Trunp was -300 or better. Republicans saw early results of success and started to unload at -300, -400, and higher to win a “quick buck”

what they didn’t realize was that Trunp won states where he was the chalk

the sports books did a GREAT job on manipulating the Trump better during live betting
c'mon man..if they didn't bet trump at +150- +200...why would they vote trump -300...didn't happen
 

Word.
Joined
Nov 1, 2007
Messages
2,052
Tokens
They only poll the willing. Who is more willing to answer polls - the side who is skeptical of the media and polls or the side who is constantly touting and analyzing poll results?

I'll give you as much time as you need.
 
Joined
Nov 8, 2012
Messages
11,541
Tokens
c'mon man..if they didn't bet trump at +150- +200...why would they vote trump -300...didn't happen

I'm only talking about LIVE betting.

If you bet prior to the polls closing on November 3rd for Trump at plus money, then I have no problem with that and i'm NOT talking about those person. They thought Trump would win and got plus money. They are most likely going to lose but it wasnt a bad bet.

I'm talking about the ones who were LIVE BETTING Trump at 10pm EST as they were counting the votes and betting him at -300, -400, -500, etc.

They were most likely Trump voters who saw the high odds, figured he'd win by midnight so they figured they'd pick up a quick hundy by laying 3-1, 4-1, 5-1, or higher.

My take is that Trump hasnt won any states yet that we was not supposed to. Republican betters saw Trump winning Florida, Georgia, Ohio, NC (all predicted to go red anyways) and figured he was going to win.
 

Rx Normal
Joined
Oct 23, 2013
Messages
52,057
Tokens
I'm only talking about LIVE betting.

If you bet prior to the polls closing on November 3rd for Trump at plus money, then I have no problem with that and i'm NOT talking about those person. They thought Trump would win and got plus money. They are most likely going to lose but it wasnt a bad bet.

I'm talking about the ones who were LIVE BETTING Trump at 10pm EST as they were counting the votes and betting him at -300, -400, -500, etc.

They were most likely Trump voters who saw the high odds, figured he'd win by midnight so they figured they'd pick up a quick hundy by laying 3-1, 4-1, 5-1, or higher.

My take is that Trump hasnt won any states yet that we was not supposed to. Republican betters saw Trump winning Florida, Georgia, Ohio, NC (all predicted to go red anyways) and figured he was going to win.

This is laughable.

Your fake news did not EVER predict Trump to win FL, OH and NC...although anyone who followed my thread knew otherwise days in advance cashing in BIG!

"Biden landslide"
"Big blue wave!"
"Biden up double digits!"

:Carcajada:
 
Joined
Nov 8, 2012
Messages
11,541
Tokens
This is laughable.

Your fake news did not EVER predict Trump to win FL, OH and NC...although anyone who followed my thread knew otherwise days in advance cashing in BIG!

"Biden landslide"
"Big blue wave!"
"Biden up 17pts"

:Carcajada:

Me personally? Please tell me where i said that Biden was going to win those 3 states mentioned above? Please tell me where i said Biden was going to win in a land slide?

I'm a pretty rational guy unlike your crybaby wanna be alpha dog Canadian ass.

I have been tinkering with the 270 to win website. On the day of the election, My final tally was Biden 279 and Trump 259. The only 2 states I was incorrect on (if nothing else changes) is AZ and PA.

Thats why i was confused on why Trump was a heavy favorite to win as he didnt flip any of my blue states. It was the equivalent of the home team winning the first 2 games of a 7 game series.

Now maybe you can go back to telling us how many chicks that you used to pound during the Jimmy Carter/Early Reagan years while you're collecting those social security checks in which i contribute over $8,500 a year to
 

Member
Joined
Jun 4, 2015
Messages
2,710
Tokens
The same idiots who believe exit poll numbers are accurate also believe pre game betting splits info published by books.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,459
Tokens
This is laughable.

Your fake news did not EVER predict Trump to win FL, OH and NC...although anyone who followed my thread knew otherwise days in advance cashing in BIG!

"Biden landslide"
"Big blue wave!"
"Biden up double digits!"

:Carcajada:
No you are a joke. Cashing big? Trump was the favorite in all three of the states you just referenced. FL Trump was -220, OH Trump was -330, and NC Trump was -135. So stop acting like you had some great insight because the polls were wrong.You are a Fraud.
 

Banned
Joined
Nov 4, 2020
Messages
77
Tokens
Sheriff lil weiner gonna cry about fraud all day on here for the next four years lol
 

Rx Normal
Joined
Oct 23, 2013
Messages
52,057
Tokens
No you are a joke. Cashing big? Trump was the favorite in all three of the states you just referenced. FL Trump was -220, OH Trump was -330, and NC Trump was -135. So stop acting like you had some great insight because the polls were wrong.You are a Fraud.

Wrong.

FL was slight fav before the election.

Go back and check. I had all those those states nailed a week in advance with early voting data using REAL analytics (as opposed to your garbage Nate Silver analytics).

I also nailed WI, PA and MI, but did not predict the massive widespread voter fraud. I predicted Trump would exceed his 2016 totals in those states and assumed his margins would be large enough to overcome the corruption in your disgusting evil party. I was wrong on that front.

Mind you, it ain't over yet...
 

Rx Normal
Joined
Oct 23, 2013
Messages
52,057
Tokens
Me personally? Please tell me where i said that Biden was going to win those 3 states mentioned above? Please tell me where i said Biden was going to win in a land slide?

I'm a pretty rational guy unlike your crybaby wanna be alpha dog Canadian ass.

I have been tinkering with the 270 to win website. On the day of the election, My final tally was Biden 279 and Trump 259. The only 2 states I was incorrect on (if nothing else changes) is AZ and PA.

Thats why i was confused on why Trump was a heavy favorite to win as he didnt flip any of my blue states. It was the equivalent of the home team winning the first 2 games of a 7 game series.

Now maybe you can go back to telling us how many chicks that you used to pound during the Jimmy Carter/Early Reagan years while you're collecting those social security checks in which i contribute over $8,500 a year to

Sounds like you still need lots therapy from your mean ol' boss who still haunts you in your dreams.

:):)
 

New member
Joined
Nov 21, 2013
Messages
5,412
Tokens
Joined
Nov 8, 2012
Messages
11,541
Tokens
Sounds like you still need lots therapy from your mean ol' boss who still haunts you in your dreams.

:):)


Nah....

Havent worked for that mean ol' boss in MANY years and my life is 100000x better

Looks like the other mean ol' boss is leaving in January. Cant wait for my life to be still be awesome.

Still Grateful for having that mean ol' boss in both South Florida and Washington DC but I see a BETTER life with them in the rearview mirror
 

EV Whore
Joined
Apr 18, 2006
Messages
19,918
Tokens
many took Trump +150 or better as I thought it was a good bet based on value. Nothing wrong with taking that play. If I truly thought Trunp was gonna win, I probably wound have taken that bet plus bet with Crudebar

I’m taking about the live betting odds when Trunp was -300 or better. Republicans saw early results of success and started to unload at -300, -400, and higher to win a “quick buck”

what they didn’t realize was that Trunp won states where he was the chalk

the sports books did a GREAT job on manipulating the Trump better during live betting

You are just not very smart, I'll leave it at that
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,149
Messages
13,564,578
Members
100,752
Latest member
gamebet888host
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com