Yeah, the previous games with Chicago and SJ, there seems to be a grind and they normally hit mid-late nineties in points. Chicago has added key weapons on offense with a veteran QB and top 5 WR in the league. I got this feeling Cats come out ready and even in their first game against eachother last season, Cats got stopped 4 times which I doubt will happen again. I think Bonner/Grieb match ups were always high scoring but Chicago has a better defense than Arizona. Anything under 100 I think is low unless Bonner struggles with his new team out the gate which I doubt he will to the point of not putting up 45-50 points. I guess its me against the world on that game. Enjoy the game!! :toast:
Thanks for the wishes Dallas.
Stguchi, would I bet the game straight up at -11? I would personally pass. Good luck whatever you decide. :toast:
Ticket, not sure how this will impact the game. It will clutter red zone but the more you put the LB in coverage, the more open the running game will be. This will only affect the 1st and goal situations and not affect the other aspects of the game as LB are not fast enough to cover WR.
Vegas, I understand what runs do in AFL, they kill 40 seconds off the clock per run which is huge in totals. What I am saying is that the LB's in this league are not fast enough to affect the WR's unless it is a goal line situation. And even in yesterday's game when teams get to the 1st and goal areas, they almost always attempt a run or two or three depending on the team. In my opinion it will not affect the totals that dramatically. Yes it will be more than interesting to see how it affects the game but in my humble opinion, it won't affect it that dramatically as they normally run in the goal line areas anyways. How many TD's in this league are from a bomb from the 20 yard line? Probably 85% or some dumb number like that. This league they don't play for 1st downs like NFL, every play is designed to score and occasionally they have a route ran for the 10-15 yard gainer. Good luck this weekend!! :toast:
This is the AFL. Any team can lose.
But I don't see it. NO lost their best receiver in pre-season. They have a very weak receiving corps as well as a QB (Bellisari) with 1/2 season experience, who is fairly erratic at times. And their D does not look to be much better.
LA should be very good this year. Cumbie in his third year, Timon Marshall coming in to return kicks and play at WR, Kevin Ingram healthy, and Ken Jones on the line. LA should be formidable.
I made a small play on the under 106 on this game on Tuesday. Only thing really worrying me is the track record of NO HC Neu when he gets behind. He will onside kick every time in the 2H if he gets down two scores or so. That leads to quick scores.
But I don't see it. NO lost their best receiver in pre-season. They have a very weak receiving corps as well as a QB (Bellisari) with 1/2 season experience, who is fairly erratic at times. And their D does not look to be much better.
LA should be very good this year. Cumbie in his third year, Timon Marshall coming in to return kicks and play at WR, Kevin Ingram healthy, and Ken Jones on the line. LA should be formidable.
I made a small play on the under 106 on this game on Tuesday. Only thing really worrying me is the track record of NO HC Neu when he gets behind. He will onside kick every time in the 2H if he gets down two scores or so. That leads to quick scores.
Could not have said it any better than this. I think the moneyline should be more like -600 or -700 IMO but Arena typicallly carries lower moneylines. Neu said himself in an interview about tonights game we are working on a WR by commitee which doesn't show a lot of confidence with his offense. Should be an easy LA win but I have seen weirder things.
Jake: Do I think Avengers can lose this game? I say 1 out of 10 times so that warrants a -900. I personally would not take any LA moneyline action at -320 if I was a book. Good luck whatever you decide. :toast:
Yessir, indeed I got in at +1 but posted -1.5 cause that was what was available when I posted so I wanted to be fair to those who might follow. If they happen to lose by 1 or win by 1, I will count it as an L here at the Rx. This was the line I was referring to when I said there is one that is juicy off. Good luck to us, would love to win this one together with you!! Lets kick off the season on a positive note!! :toast:
Spart: Always good to see good people coming along for the ride. Will pop you an email sometime tomorrow. Good luck to us sir and hope all is well.
Railbird, how much do you really know about Arena football? If you knew and followed line movements you would know that SJ was a dog and you can't get plus points and parlay a dog unless you are willing to pay 10 cents a half point at Greek and then you get SJ +7 -360. If the LA Avengers tonight were -360 on the moneyline I think you would know enough about betting to know getting even money on this bet is tons of value. I believe you are to short sighted to evaluate this. Also you are a little behind as there has already been discussion in this exact same thread you respond in about the Linebacker rule. %^_
I know you know about betting so let me ask you this, -360 (LA Avengers moneyline) and San Jose +7 -360 = -160. $3200 to win $2000
OR
LA -2 & SJ +7 +100 = $2000 to win $2000
Which one would you perfer?
Thanks for coming by........ %^_
i think you are right with your play on dallas.i believe iam going to take team total dallas when it comes out.i believe clint will atleast have 8 tuchdowns[i hope].good luck with dallas and your teaser.i do want to ask you a question,have you had sucess with teasers in are:toast:na,and do you play alot of them?thank you,and good luck.
