arty:
If anybody is interested here is the physics behind the Knuckleball.
http://www.oddball-mall.com/knuckleball/mego.htm
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/tracking-r-a-dickeys-knuckleball/
http://www.oddball-mall.com/knuckleball/mego.htm
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/tracking-r-a-dickeys-knuckleball/
I prefer to use the ML and the 3way line ML, provides good value and team doesn't have to win by 2 to win both bets.Also, PARLE-G, I'm pretty certain you'll rarely if ever see the Falcon post a play where the ML is a prohibitive
favorite (anything -150 or above?) Instead, he'll reduce his risk by making the play a RL -1.
For example, say you want to win $100 on a favorite but the ML is -175. You'd have to risk $175 to do so.
Most people automatically will look to use the conventional RL -1.5 to get better odds.
In this example, say the RL -1.5 is +130. You'd risk $100 to win $130.
What if the team only wins by 1 run? Yup. You lose your $100 on your RL -1.5 bet.
What you do is you split up your bet to create a hybrid RL -1.
If your book doesn't offer it RL -1 options on MLB, use this RL -1 calculater:
http://zcodesystem.com/runline_calc/
What if your team only wins by 1 run? The ML (win) and RL -1.5 (loss) bets will cancel each other other.
You significantly reduce your risk this way.
Here's an image from the calculator illustrating this example. Hopefully, this will help you and others
understand the RL -1 concept better.
....................................................................................................................................................................
2016 Top Program Plays
142-103 (+78.85 units)
57.96% Winners
(-110) avg juice on losses
3% BR on each
April 9 (Saturday night)
Cardinals -1 (-110)
Martinez/Teheran
Texas Over 7 (-105)
Hamel's/Richard
Edmonton Over 5 (-130)
3 units each
Guys this is the start of a 70 play block of my program plays. This block will probably take less than a month to complete and will include selections from baseball as well as the NHL and NBA. I ask that all Pushes, not be included in any record or count toward the 70 plays.
The goal will be as always for my programs (57.14% Winners) against an average (-110) line.
Incubus is going to be keeping the block record, I will still only keep one record and that u can see at the top of this post. I suggest you set your bankroll and flatbet the 70 plays. We can adjust the wager amounts at the start of the next block of 70 plays.
I'm going to go silent for a while, as I do better, the less I speak... I suggest you follow all 70 plays and not pick and choose.
If you have questions, ask me before we begin, after that I'll refer the questions to Incubus or someone else, or u can PM me.. Also let's keep the clutter out of the thread, please...
I think we are 10-7 (58.82%) in baseball and 15-8 (65.22%) overall in April...
I'll examine this publicly at the conclusion of the 70 plays..
Good luck to each of you..
Falcon
142-103 (+78.85 units)
57.96% Winners
(-110) avg juice on losses
3% BR on each
April 9 (Saturday night)
Cardinals -1 (-110)
Martinez/Teheran
Texas Over 7 (-105)
Hamel's/Richard
Edmonton Over 5 (-130)
3 units each
Guys this is the start of a 70 play block of my program plays. This block will probably take less than a month to complete and will include selections from baseball as well as the NHL and NBA. I ask that all Pushes, not be included in any record or count toward the 70 plays.
The goal will be as always for my programs (57.14% Winners) against an average (-110) line.
Incubus is going to be keeping the block record, I will still only keep one record and that u can see at the top of this post. I suggest you set your bankroll and flatbet the 70 plays. We can adjust the wager amounts at the start of the next block of 70 plays.
I'm going to go silent for a while, as I do better, the less I speak... I suggest you follow all 70 plays and not pick and choose.
If you have questions, ask me before we begin, after that I'll refer the questions to Incubus or someone else, or u can PM me.. Also let's keep the clutter out of the thread, please...
I think we are 10-7 (58.82%) in baseball and 15-8 (65.22%) overall in April...
I'll examine this publicly at the conclusion of the 70 plays..
Good luck to each of you..
Falcon
