The Falcons Top Program Plays

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Should the people that can't handicap at all, who come here and follow others that do....should they consider a different hobby?

Everyone has to start somewhere. Instead of ridiculing the newbies, how about we have a little patience with them and help them out??

I agree.
I have been betting on Basketball & football for a very long time. Not too much baseball, Maybe a few games a week. I only knew about the run line calculator since 6-7 seasons.

at the view rate this thread is getting , expect lots of folks to ask how to get it to -1.
 

Professional Handicapper
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Feb 20, 2008
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PerfectChump jinxed your TB pick. I knew it was doomed once he had a Bullshit Fix on it.
 

your worst nightmare
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nHMd57K.gif
92 PLAYS - SPECIAL EDITION
qjpKg6u.gif


Goal: 54-38 ATS at 58.70%

Friday 8 April 2016

Detroit ML -120 WIN +3.00 units
Colorado RL -1 +100 LOSS -3.00 units
Tampa Bay RL -1 +100 LOSS -3.00 units
Houston ML -115 LOSS -3.45 units


1-3 ATS = -6.45 units -$645

Third straight losing day! Despite this, we're still up big!

Overall = 23-13 ATS (+26.70 units +$26.70) at 63.88%

Note: 1 unit = $100

49 more plays to go! :)!/
 

your worst nightmare
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uGdcdYD.jpg


Friday 7 April 2016

SIDES

Detroit ML -120 WIN +3.00 units
Houston ML -115 LOSS -3.45 units

Today's Sides = 1-1 ATS (-0.45 units -$45) at 50%

Overall YTD Sides = 6-2 ATS (+11.85 units +$1185) at 75%

TOTALS

No Totals played today.T

Overall YTD Totals = 1-2 ATS (-3.45 units -$345) at 33.33%

RUNLINES

Colorado RL -1 +100 LOSS -3.00 units
Tampa Bay RL -1 +100 LOSS -3.00 units

Today's Runlines = 0-2 ATS (-6.00 units -$600) at 0%

Overall YTD Runlines = 2-3 ATS (-3.60 units -$360) at 40%

Note: calculator to create hybrid -1 RL can be found at: http://zcodesystem.com/runline_calc/

TZtY7xE.jpg


OVERALL 7 APRIL 2016 SESSION = 1-3 ATS (-6.45 units -$645) at 25%

OVERALL YTD SIDES & TOTALS & RUNLINES = 9-7 ATS (+4.70 units +$470) at 56.25%

Note: 1 unit = $100

Observation and Recommendation:

Third straight losing session in a row at 2-6 ATS (-10.05 units -$1005) at 25%.

Yes, this is a disturbing trend, but stay the course and keep betting EVERY play released by the Falcon!

Blindly tailing in light of the recent three days takes guts and belief in the Falcon's computer program!

Don't abandon ship! If you must, simply reduce the amount of your bets until the plays start to heat up again!

Again, this is a long MLB gambling season, there'll be rough patches every now and then just like there'll be hot streaks!

HOLD ON!

vil-vent.gif
 

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Good morning Falcon. Forgettable Friday Finished. Super Saturday on tap. BOL today!
 
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2016 Top Program Plays
141-103 (+75.85 units)
57.79% Winners
(-110) avg juice
3% of BR on each

April 9

Toronto Over 9 (-110)
Porcello/Dickey

3 units

As usual for Saturdays, there will be an additional card later today.


Falcon
 
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Guys, i was hoping to do reasonably well for the start of the season.. Here is what the next few weeks will look like..

Next week, we will jump right into the NHL and then the NBA playoffs. My programs will be updated at the ends of the seasons and will be ready to go for the playoffs.. I should do really well with these.

My 2016 mlb numbers will be ready, somewhere around the 18th-20th.. This will begin my transition to the 2016 only, program.

To be successful longterm in this business, I believe you need these 3 things.

1. Ability to pick winners
(My programs should hit 57.14% against -110 lines)
It doesn't get any better longterm.

2. Defined Bankroll
This is money strictly allocated for this, not for the house payment.
This is a business and should be treated as such.

3. Detailed Plan
With the supreme discipline to stick to it and not waver.

Three months into the year, I am right on track, I've posted almost 250 plays in this thread, I am right on track.


Get your business plan together guys and begin to win longterm.


Back later today, good luck to each of you.



Falcon
 
Joined
Oct 21, 2009
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Love your business plan Falcon, if we treat it as a business at the end of the year we should see our dividends pay us. Continued success and let's keep grinding away
 
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Thanks guys, as I've said before, I've been in this biz (almost daily) since August 1986.. I've done on almost everything involved in it, from both sides of the counter.

I started to dabble in programming in 2009 and became a fulltime programmer in 2011.. I have spent hundreds, if not thousands of hours in programming for sports wagering.

In this thread and for as long as it runs, I want to try and give back and I do emphasize the word try...

The last couple days have been a little rough but guess the april record,,,, (14-8) (63.64% winners)..

Here is how I think this thread may be very helpful to longterm players.. I really only want to speak to people that have a passion for this, I want to help people over the long run, I may or may not can help today...

I think we should start to look at this in 70 play blocks... I know incubus would be great in blocking the 70 plays.. We could start with april 1 or we could start today or we could start with the NHL playoffs. I'm a big believer in my programs going 40-30 or better over the 70 plays. I'm also a believer in playing either 2% or 3% on each selection. For several years I played 2% on each but as time has gone on, I've became more confident in my programs and I've since moved to 3%.

I believe if we set a bankroll, block the plays in 70 play groups and adjusting the wager amounts after 70 plays that we could really grow the bankrolls.

I'd like to get Incubus involved in blocking off the first set of 70 plays and would like opinions on when to start the first block of 70.. If you look at the thread, we are about 3.5 blocks in, we are running at 57.79%.. We also have a very good time approaching as we have the playoffs and my baseball program for 2016 will be starting..

Who wants in on the first block of 70 plays? Incubus I'll await your comments.

Falcon
 

your worst nightmare
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The methodical approach the Falcon takes to this endeavor is truly inspiring to me.

It should be to everyone who either posts or frequents this thread.

Falcon treats this endeavor like a business, and this attitude/mindset is what differentiates him from the rest.

He's a professional.

I implore everyone to follow what Falcon has written exactly as he's prescribed. Do not deviate!
 

your worst nightmare
Joined
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Messages
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Thanks guys, as I've said before, I've been in this biz (almost daily) since August 1986.. I've done on almost everything involved in it, from both sides of the counter.

I started to dabble in programming in 2009 and became a fulltime programmer in 2011.. I have spent hundreds, if not thousands of hours in programming for sports wagering.

In this thread and for as long as it runs, I want to try and give back and I do emphasize the word try...

The last couple days have been a little rough but guess the april record,,,, (14-8) (63.64% winners)..

Here is how I think this thread may be very helpful to longterm players.. I really only want to speak to people that have a passion for this, I want to help people over the long run, I may or may not can help today...

I think we should start to look at this in 70 play blocks... I know incubus would be great in blocking the 70 plays.. We could start with april 1 or we could start today or we could start with the NHL playoffs. I'm a big believer in my programs going 40-30 or better over the 70 plays. I'm also a believer in playing either 2% or 3% on each selection. For several years I played 2% on each but as time has gone on, I've became more confident in my programs and I've since moved to 3%.

I believe if we set a bankroll, block the plays in 70 play groups and adjusting the wager amounts after 70 plays that we could really grow the bankrolls.

I'd like to get Incubus involved in blocking off the first set of 70 plays and would like opinions on when to start the first block of 70.. If you look at the thread, we are about 3.5 blocks in, we are running at 57.79%.. We also have a very good time approaching as we have the playoffs and my baseball program for 2016 will be starting..

Who wants in on the first block of 70 plays? Incubus I'll await your comments.

Falcon

I'm definitely up for it for sure. 70 plays in a "block." I'll be more than happy to do the tracking and record keeping. The initial
70 Plays Block will run simultaneously with my "92 Play - Special Edition" and "MLB Plays" daily entries.

My question is when do you want to start? :think2:

Perhaps when your 2016 MLB computer program officially starts in in a week or so?

I prefer not to start it retroactively.

Let's start the "70 Plays Block 1.0" with a fresh 0-0 ATS slate.

I love the idea of adjusting the wagers. So far, we've been flat betting.

Thoughts?
 

Member
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Mar 27, 2016
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Guys, i was hoping to do reasonably well for the start of the season.. Here is what the next few weeks will look like..

Next week, we will jump right into the NHL and then the NBA playoffs. My programs will be updated at the ends of the seasons and will be ready to go for the playoffs.. I should do really well with these.

My 2016 mlb numbers will be ready, somewhere around the 18th-20th.. This will begin my transition to the 2016 only, program.

To be successful longterm in this business, I believe you need these 3 things.

1. Ability to pick winners
(My programs should hit 57.14% against -110 lines)
It doesn't get any better longterm.

2. Defined Bankroll
This is money strictly allocated for this, not for the house payment.
This is a business and should be treated as such.

3. Detailed Plan
With the supreme discipline to stick to it and not waver.

Three months into the year, I am right on track, I've posted almost 250 plays in this thread, I am right on track.


Get your business plan together guys and begin to win longterm.


Back later today, good luck to each of you.



Falcon

Thankyou)(&


I keep every unit the same...i do not parley....i have built a bankroll ..... thanks for the hard work.....

I been gambling my entire life....since 13....im now 38...took a longtime to smarten up in the world of sports gambling....its now become a very profitable hobby..... its because i realized its not a sprint...its a marathon.... and to be apart of something like this is great for us sports gamblers.... keep going falcon....im on board for the duration....
 

New member
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Sep 12, 2015
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I am on board. Very small bankroll compared to everyone else I am sure. I am also a newbie in my second year of sportz. I am on board and love the business aspect of what your doing Falcon. It is truly a learning experience and am thankful to be a part of it all....
 
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I only mentioned april 1 because it was start of a calendar month.. I don't want to wait a week or 2.. I'm a big believer in what I have planned for the NHL and NBA playoffs, so I definitely want those a part of the first block. If were going to do this, Incubus u could discontinue the 92 play effort.

I will still only be keeping my one 2016 record. Incubus can keep the 70 play blocks. Really no reason not to start today.

70 plays, goal will be as always (57.14%) against an average line of (-110).. 3% of bankroll on each selection... We can adjust the wager amounts after the first block of 70 is final.. I believe this will be a very profitable strategy and will fall right in line with my overall business plan.

What do you guys think? U ready to start the first block today. And I will stress that this will definately not be a baseball only block, it will include the NHL and nba playoffs..

Inc, u want to start with the toronto over 9 or u want to start with the next one..

Falcon
 

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