Incubus, everyone, let's start the first block with the next posted play.. I need to run out and grab a new notebook for it (ha ha) and I'm going to adjust my bankroll and set it for the first 70 plays..
Remember, I'll still only keep my one 2016 record, Incubus will keep the block records.. OK we got a few hours to set this up and get everyone on board for it..
Falcon
Remember, I'll still only keep my one 2016 record, Incubus will keep the block records.. OK we got a few hours to set this up and get everyone on board for it..
Falcon
Okie dokie! Sounds great! You're the conductor of this revolutionary endeavor, and I'm simply grateful to be at your service!
We'll start this new project (70 Plays Block 1.0) with the next posted play.
I'll discontinue the "92 Plays - Special Edition" effective now.
Everyone on board?
First off i want to say thank you for doing what you do, I've been eyeing this thread for months but just recently started tailing you and learning what your program is about... I have one quick question for you and @incubus before we start this new block! Well first off you said upping your wagers aka your unit's to 3% of bankroll,,, so if mine is 1000 1U would be 30$ correct?
second thing is when you put 1U on a play that lets say is Mets ML (-173) are you waging 1U or 30$ or are you risking more to win the equivalent to 1U because the ML would be betting 30$ to win 17.34 or betting 51.90 to win 30 (1U)
second thing is when you put 1U on a play that lets say is Mets ML (-173) are you waging 1U or 30$ or are you risking more to win the equivalent to 1U because the ML would be betting 30$ to win 17.34 or betting 51.90 to win 30 (1U)
This is required reading for anyone getting involved in sports investing.
Also, PARLE-G, I'm pretty certain you'll rarely if ever see the Falcon post a play where the ML is a prohibitive
favorite (anything -150 or above?) Instead, he'll reduce his risk by making the play a RL -1.
For example, say you want to win $100 on a favorite but the ML is -175. You'd have to risk $175 to do so.
Most people automatically will look to use the conventional RL -1.5 to get better odds.
In this example, say the RL -1.5 is +130. You'd risk $100 to win $130.
What if the team only wins by 1 run? Yup. You lose your $100 on your RL -1.5 bet.
What you do is you split up your bet to create a hybrid RL -1.
If your book doesn't offer it RL -1 options on MLB, use this RL -1 calculater:
http://zcodesystem.com/runline_calc/
What if your team only wins by 1 run? The ML (win) and RL -1.5 (loss) bets will cancel each other other.
You significantly reduce your risk this way.
Here's an image from the calculator illustrating this example. Hopefully, this will help you and others
understand the RL -1 concept better.
....................................................................................................................................................................
favorite (anything -150 or above?) Instead, he'll reduce his risk by making the play a RL -1.
For example, say you want to win $100 on a favorite but the ML is -175. You'd have to risk $175 to do so.
Most people automatically will look to use the conventional RL -1.5 to get better odds.
In this example, say the RL -1.5 is +130. You'd risk $100 to win $130.
What if the team only wins by 1 run? Yup. You lose your $100 on your RL -1.5 bet.
What you do is you split up your bet to create a hybrid RL -1.
If your book doesn't offer it RL -1 options on MLB, use this RL -1 calculater:
http://zcodesystem.com/runline_calc/
What if your team only wins by 1 run? The ML (win) and RL -1.5 (loss) bets will cancel each other other.
You significantly reduce your risk this way.
Here's an image from the calculator illustrating this example. Hopefully, this will help you and others
understand the RL -1 concept better.
....................................................................................................................................................................
Thanks Inc for putting that up.. Also all Pushes will be dropped from any record keeping, they will not be a part of the 70 plays.. The 70 play block will include NHL and NBA plays as well.. I never gave those 2 programs the time that they deserved. Let's get ready for the 70 plays, its a great time to get on board.
Falcon
Falcon
Sorry for chiming in so late. Been following you guys for a while now but haven't had a chance to thank anyone for the hard work. I'm a big big baseball fan so I've been waiting for the season to begin to officially tail you guys (will also be following NBA picks during playoffs). My dog had super expensive hip surgery done recently and I used gambling to help pay for it and since then I've been a committed and disciplined gambler.
My only regret right now is missing out on the Toronto pick, great pick in my opinion but line moved before I could jump on it!
best of luck this season and looking forward to being part of this.
My only regret right now is missing out on the Toronto pick, great pick in my opinion but line moved before I could jump on it!
best of luck this season and looking forward to being part of this.
@Incubus thank you! Ive seen you post that numerous times before, but never knew how to work it lol....
So whenever I see one of his plays like Pirates -1 for example.....
(If $100 was my 3% BR) I would make both the plays: 76.09 on ML & 43.48 on -1.5?
and in my case for $30 it would be risk 22.83 ML & 13.05 on -1.5 spread.
thanks so much for taking time to explain this to me!!!!!!!
So whenever I see one of his plays like Pirates -1 for example.....
(If $100 was my 3% BR) I would make both the plays: 76.09 on ML & 43.48 on -1.5?
and in my case for $30 it would be risk 22.83 ML & 13.05 on -1.5 spread.
thanks so much for taking time to explain this to me!!!!!!!
