I haven't been around for a bit but Thankyou)(&
Falcon,
You said San Jose was a terrible bet last night per your numbers. I know you said you only play the positive numbers, but have you tracked what would happen if you played against the worst number? Maybe finding a certain profitable subset? Dogs of a certain price for example??
You said San Jose was a terrible bet last night per your numbers. I know you said you only play the positive numbers, but have you tracked what would happen if you played against the worst number? Maybe finding a certain profitable subset? Dogs of a certain price for example??
Biz, the program that I use selects a winning side, I also have an exact win %%% for the selected side, from that I can compare the books line and get my SRS number. When the SRS number is a negative, it does indicate value on the other side, I have not tracked these..
For me, it stops and starts with the selected side... Ideally what I'm looking is a high win %%% followed by a positive SRS number. I've worked with this question for about three years now and that being..
Do I play the team selected with the greatest chance to win or do I play the selection with the highest SRS rating, most of the time they are not the same.
Back later, maybe I'll win one sometime today.
Falcon
For me, it stops and starts with the selected side... Ideally what I'm looking is a high win %%% followed by a positive SRS number. I've worked with this question for about three years now and that being..
Do I play the team selected with the greatest chance to win or do I play the selection with the highest SRS rating, most of the time they are not the same.
Back later, maybe I'll win one sometime today.
Falcon
I'll be honest, I'm completely surprised the computer program went 0-4 in college hoops today. I expected to have at least 1 winner. Definitely a brutal bloody day to blindly tail.
Someone had done an analysis on how the program's done before and after the Super Bowl. If I recall, it was quite the glaring contrast. Post SB, results have been truly sub-par and mediocre at best.
Quite a bit of overall profit has been eroded these last several weeks, I'll go upstream and tabulate the findings to reflect an up to date record before/after the SB.
!/
Someone had done an analysis on how the program's done before and after the Super Bowl. If I recall, it was quite the glaring contrast. Post SB, results have been truly sub-par and mediocre at best.
Quite a bit of overall profit has been eroded these last several weeks, I'll go upstream and tabulate the findings to reflect an up to date record before/after the SB.
!/
2016 Top Program Plays
75-56 (+33.25 units) (+$3325)
57.25% Winners
Sat night
Ark LR Over 120
Calgary (+105)
To win 2.50 units on cbb and risking 2.50 on the dog.
What a disaster today.
SRS numbers sat night
Mont +5.30
Det +14.20
Cal +31.20
LA -20.40
Days like today brings you right back down to earth. This thread has ran since Jan 12, numbers are right where I projected. If you were going to follow, now would be a good time.
Good luck tonight guys.
Falcon
75-56 (+33.25 units) (+$3325)
57.25% Winners
Sat night
Ark LR Over 120
Calgary (+105)
To win 2.50 units on cbb and risking 2.50 on the dog.
What a disaster today.
SRS numbers sat night
Mont +5.30
Det +14.20
Cal +31.20
LA -20.40
Days like today brings you right back down to earth. This thread has ran since Jan 12, numbers are right where I projected. If you were going to follow, now would be a good time.
Good luck tonight guys.
Falcon
GK, this is the reason the "REPORT" button is on each post. Not taking sides, it is simply up to the people who run this Forum what is acceptable or not. I have been told by a few moderators that it is is rarely used. I hope that has changed or will change. If you already did so than no real need to post.
Falcon, continued success with your program.
Cheers!
