The Clown Show Starts With the Biggest Clown- Cruz is In -Fun Begins

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That is true, however, at this point what difference does it make?

Poll: Almost 60 Percent Of Democrats Think Socialism Is Great For America
Read more: http://dailycaller.com/2016/02/22/p...socialism-is-great-for-america/#ixzz40vCOR4pg

Ted Cruz isn't the problem and Donald Trump isn't the solution.

Rightwing Populism unabashedly explained - "Country X is stealing all of our money. Country Y is stealing all of our jobs. Country Z is sending their worst people across our border to steal your money and your job. Vote for me and I will have the toughest and smartest negotiators to see that all of that ends. And you won't have to pay for it."

Leftwing Populism unabashedly explained - "You hate to work and want to continue to sit on your ass and do nothing, but that requires money. There are a lot of taxpaying Americans who became wealthy by working hard. They pay a lot of money to the government in taxes. I'm going to raise taxes that require them to pay the government even more of their money and then give that money to you, so that you can continue to sit on your ass and do nothing."
 

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Yes. With a side of bacon.

kissofdeath.jpg


LOL that looks more like the entire Pig!
 

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That could just as easily be Rubio on the magazine than Cruz. Cruz is a big time liar and an unappealing candidate
but he's not as weasel like as Rubio. If Cruz was caught with dirty campaign tricks that's a given but I wouldn't consider him
weaselly. Rubio is without a doubt the most sophisticated liar of the bunch. Just take a look at Crane's take on
Rubio's true intentions in the 'Gang of Eight' debacle. That's serious stuff trying to discredit Crane of ICE & Breitbart,
taken with Rubio's strident warmongering neo-con stances & him obviously being a
puppet for those donors he's obviously beholding to this guy is trouble for America.
 

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Trump wins as many Nevada hispanics as Cruz & Rubio combined. So much for "they won't vote for him"
 

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Was an easy Call after this gem on Feb 17th by his fellow sick Canadian Psychpath.


quote_icon.png
Originally Posted by Sheriff Joe
This election is a lot more fluid than you want to believe.

Cruz has a MASSIVE grassroots army I have never witnessed before in every state and more money than all the candidates and the RNC combined. Trump lost more than a 1/4 of his support on election day in Iowa, so you better hope he's up YUGE in SC, and I'm not convinced he is.

When the dust settles, Ted Cruz will be the nominee
.
 
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Was an easy Call after this gem on Feb 17th by his fellow sick Canadian Psychpath.


quote_icon.png
Originally Posted by Sheriff Joe
This election is a lot more fluid than you want to believe.

Cruz has a MASSIVE grassroots army I have never witnessed before in every state and more money than all the candidates and the RNC combined. Trump lost more than a 1/4 of his support on election day in Iowa, so you better hope he's up YUGE in SC, and I'm not convinced he is.

When the dust settles, Ted Cruz will be the nominee
.

this guy doesn't think rationally when it comes to predicting. First and foremost the republican leaders know this guy has no
chance to beat the democrat, that has been known for a long time now. Joe treats politicians like people do their sports teams- fanatics! It clouds your thoughts and judgements, him predicting Cruz as the nominee would be = to me
saying Teddy Bridgewater is the best qb in football!
 

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Nevada Was Great For Donald Trump, Bad For Ted Cruz

By NATE SILVER and HARRY ENTEN

ap_630532777097.jpg
Donald Trump arrives for a caucus night rally on Tuesday in Las Vegas.
JAE C. HONG / AP


Let’s get right to the point: Donald Trump had a great night, easily winningthe Nevada GOP caucuses on Tuesday. The 46 percent of the vote he received is by far the highest share won by Trump, or any other Republican, in any state so far. Marco Rubio placed a distant second, with 24 percent of the vote, and Ted Cruz finished in third with 21 percent.
If South Carolina, which Trump won Saturday, provided some bits of good news for Trump skeptics — Trump faded over the course of the week and finished with less of the vote than he had in New Hampshire — his victory in Nevada was much more emphatic. Trump proved he could win in a relatively low-turnout environment,[SUP]1[/SUP] suggesting that his lack of a traditional “ground game” may not be that harmful to him.
The result underscores that preventing Trump from winning the nomination is likely to require both that anti-Trump Republicans coalesce around an alternative and that they adopt a much more aggressive strategy in probing Trump for signs of weakness. On the first point, anti-Trump Republicans have made some progress: Rubio, who narrowly finished second in both South Carolina and Nevada, has received a cavalcade of endorsements in recent days as Republican “party elites” have increasingly rallied around him as the top alternative to Trump.
But there are not yet many signs of a concerted effort to attack Trump. Instead, reports from Politico and other news organizations suggest that potential conservative donors are largely sitting on the sidelines. Remarkably little advertising money has been spent against Trump so far, especially given his position in the race. Rubio has also conspicuously avoided attacking Trump.
Here are a few other stray thoughts about the Nevada result — written early in the morning from New York and not, unfortunately, the New York-New York Hotel and Casino:

  • There were a lot of reports about voting irregularities. Although it’s hard to say exactly how widespread these issues were, they arenevertheless another reason to prefer primaries to caucuses — and they may put Nevada’s status as a “first four” state in jeopardy in 2020 and beyond. They don’t, however, invalidate Trump’s win. One of the functions of polling is to provide a check against profound voting irregularities, and the results in Nevada were reasonably in line with both pre-election polls and the entrance poll in the state.
  • Tuesday night’s results were very bad news for Cruz. It’s not just that it was his third third-place finish in a row. It’s also how Cruz lost. Hecarried only 27 percent of the white born-again and evangelical Christian vote, behind Trump’s 41 percent. Cruz also lost this group inNew Hampshire and South Carolina. But, unlike in South Carolina, Cruz also trailed among “very conservative” voters in Nevada, 34 percent to Trump’s 38 percent. Finally, Cruz continues to struggle among “somewhat conservative” and moderate voters. He earned just 16 percent and 7 percent among those groups, respectively, according to the entrance poll.
  • How about Rubio? Well, he just got blown out by Trump in a state thatwas once thought to be the most favorable for him of the first four contests. He’ll also have to suffer through a few news cycles of mockery over his second-place “victories.” The good news for Rubio: He beat Cruz for the second state in a row. No, second place is not winning, but Rubio would have better chances against Trump in a smaller field, and the fastest way to shrink the field is to beat Cruz. Rubio did beat his polling average for the third time in four states, although there were no Nevada polls conducted after South Carolina.
  • Did Trump win Hispanics in Nevada? You can be sure that Trump will tell us he did! There was a lot of nerd-fighting over who won theHispanic vote in the Democratic caucuses in Nevada, and we suspect there will be some over the Republican caucuses as well. Indeed, the entrance poll had Trump beating Rubio 45 percent to 28 percent among Hispanics. But keep in mind that the sample size on that result is somewhere between 100 and 200 people. That means the margin of sampling error for the Hispanic subgroup is near +/- 10 percentage points (or even higher). Perhaps more importantly, just 8 percent of Republican voters were Hispanic (or 1 percent of the Nevadan Hispanic population), and they are not politically representative of the larger Hispanic community.
  • One not-so-great sign for Trump: As was also the case in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina, he didn’t perform as well with late-deciding voters. Instead, Rubio easily won the plurality among people who decided whom to vote for in the past few days, according to the entrance poll. But in Nevada, the share of late-deciders was considerably lower than in the first three states, and Trump dominated among voters who decided early.
Lastly, we should keep in mind that this was just one state. Trump won 46 percent of the vote, blasting through his 33 percent (or thereabouts) ceiling, right? Not totally. It’s been clear for a while that Nevada Republicans loved Trump. As far back as October, polls have had Trump beating his national averages in Nevada. Meanwhile, Morning Consult polls, which have had Trump averaging 36 percent nationally over the course of the Republican primary, had Trump at 48 percent in Nevada. Believe it or not, states are not all the same! Recent polls have shown Trump getting anywhere from 50 percent of the Republican vote in Massachusetts to 18 percent in Utah. It’s certainly possible that Trump uses his momentum from Nevada to propel himself to even greater heights. But sometimes what’s billed as “momentum” is really just demographic and cultural variance among different states.

Footnotes


  • Nevada’s Republican turnout will be much higher than in 2012, but it will still be low compared with the other states that have voted thus far. ^

 

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To Stop Trump, The GOP Needs A Strong Cruz

It is by no means clear even that staunch Marco Rubio supporters should want Ted Cruz out of the 2016 presidential race.


By Jeffrey H. Anderson

FEBRUARY 25, 2016

It is now conventional wisdom that the best way for Republicans to avoid nominating Donald Trump is to have all but one other candidate drop out of the presidential race—and the sooner, the better. Then the anti-Trump vote can consolidate into that remaining candidate.

Conventional wisdom also holds that, among the three leading candidates—Trump, Ted Cruz, and Marco Rubio—Cruz is the one who should exit (or at least fade into irrelevance), as Rubio is the candidate with the best chance to consolidate the anti-Trump vote.

This conventional wisdom, however, appears to be wrong. Regardless of who might ultimately prevail as the GOP nominee, the party’s best shot of stopping Trump seems to be having a strong Cruz competing in the contest.

The main flaw in the conventional wisdom is that it’s based on an unduly optimistic assessment of Rubio’s chances of beating Trump head-to-head. So far, Rubio has an uninspiring medal haul of two silvers and one bronze (to Trump’s three golds and a silver, and Cruz’s gold and three bronzes).

Yes, this is partly because Jeb Bush, John Kasich, and Chris Christie have gotten a lot of potential Rubio votes. Still, to date, Rubio, Bush, Kasich, and Christie have received only a combined 38 percent of the vote. Trump, Cruz, Ben Carson, and Rand Paul have received a combined 60 percent (with the remaining 2 percent split among other candidates).

Cruz Competes Better against Trump

Trump himself has gotten 33 percent of the vote to date. To win an outright majority from this point forward, he would need to win only 37 percent of the non-Trump, non-Rubio vote. Rubio, meanwhile, would have to win 63 percent of the non-Trump, non-Rubio vote. Having to win more than five-eighths of that vote, while Trump needs less than three-eighths, would be a big challenge for Rubio—a challenge compounded by the fact that most (57 percent) of the non-Trump, non-Rubio vote to date has gone to Cruz or Carson. Does anyone really think that, among current Cruz and Carson supporters, Rubio would completely dominate Trump?

Does anyone really think that, among current Cruz and Carson supporters, Rubio would completely dominate Trump?

Even in an imaginary world in which Cruz—who so far has won more votes, more states (one to zero), and the same number of delegates as Rubio—Kasich, and Carson all went “poof” and immediately disappeared from the race, Rubio’s prospects would hardly look great. In that scenario, say Rubio could get the votes of 60 percent of Cruz and Carson supporters (perhaps an optimistic tally) while Trump got the remaining 40 percent. Rubio would still need to get the votes of more than two-thirds (68 percent) of the other candidates’ supporters to start outpacing Trump from that point forward.

That would be possible, but certainly not easy. Keep in mind that, among the one-sixth of South Carolina voters who called themselves “moderate”—that’s the group with which Bush and Kasich, in combination, did the best—Trump beat Rubio by 11 points (34 to 23 percent).

Immigration Makes Rubio’s Path Harder

Moreover, the difficulty of Rubio’s task in a two-man race would be compounded by two things: One, he hasn’t yet shown he can go toe-to-toe with Trump, as each has avoided the other. Two, Trump and Rubio represent something close to the party’s two poles on the important issue of immigration, and the center of the party is likely nearer to Trump.

Trump and Rubio represent something close to the party’s two poles on the important issue of immigration, and the center of the party is likely nearer to Trump.

Some supporters of a loose immigration policy viewed the results of the South Carolina exit polling—which found that 53 percent of Republican voters would give illegal-immigrant workers a path to legal status, while 44 percent would deport them—as suggesting that most Republicans are with them on this issue. In truth, those results showed the opposite and made Rubio’s challenge appear all the more daunting.


First off, the question asked only about illegal immigrants who are working in the U.S., not illegal immigrants generally. Second, the 53 percent didn’t want to grant them eventual citizenship, which is Rubio’s position, but rather “a chance to apply for legal status.” Third, the answer most people would presumably prefer to give for illegal immigrants who are working—leave them alone but don’t give them legal status—wasn’t even provided. Fourth, when given a choice between making them legal or booting them out of the country, almost as many people said they’d send them packing as would let them stay. That does not bode well for Rubio.

Indeed, the prospect of having the candidate who is most like Chris Christie in manner take dead aim at Rubio for his wildly unpopular (among GOP voters) efforts on this issue should not make the Republican establishment feel confident of victory.

Rubio Should Help Cruz Tank Trump

Then again, this would be the same Republican establishment that helped fuel Trump’s candidacy in the first place (by refusing to fight on much of anything or heed Main Street concerns), assured everyone that Trump wasn’t a serious threat, and now thinks the only thing needed to beat Trump is to get Cruz (and Kasich) out of the race.

Far more so than with Trump and Rubio, Trump and Cruz are competing for the same voters.

Rather than rooting for the establishment’s preferred scenario, those who would like to avoid a Trump nomination would presumably be better off hoping for another result. A more plausible scenario for beating Trump would be to have Cruz remain in the race and have him perform well.


Far more so than with Trump and Rubio, Trump and Cruz are competing for the same voters. If Cruz can pry some of those voters away from Trump, especially by emphasizing more effectively than he has to date how a Cruz presidency would undo much, if not most, of the Obama presidency—thereby portraying himself, rather than Trump, as the agent of change—that would help not only Cruz but also likely Rubio.

If Cruz also, with some overdue help from Rubio, could knock Trump down a peg or two, to where he is no longer claiming a third of the vote, then the Donald presumably wouldn’t become the nominee. In that scenario, Rubio or Cruz would prevail by June, or else the result would be decided at the convention.

In short, it is by no means clear even that staunch Rubio supporters should want Cruz out of the race. Better to have Cruz battle Trump, have Rubio finally start to train some of his fire on Trump, and let the best man win in a three-way contest.

http://thefederalist.com/2016/02/25/to-stop-trump-the-gop-needs-a-strong-cruz/
 

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GOD BLESS the great state of Texas!

Imagine what America would look like if Texas elected presidents...
 

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