DUNKEL
Green Bay at Detroit
The Packers look to build on their 9-4 ATS record in their last 13 games as a road favorite. Green Bay is the pick (-11) according to Dunkel, which has the Packers favored by 14 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-11).
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 26
Time Posted: 11:30 p.m. EST (11/25)
Game 103-104: Green Bay at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 132.898; Detroit 118.183
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 14 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 11; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-11); Under
Game 105-106: Oakland at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 123.187; Dallas 137.441
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 14 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Dallas by 13 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-13 1/2); Under
Game 107-108: NY Giants at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 131.398; Denver 134.088
Dunkel Line: Denver by 2 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 6 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+6 1/2); Over
Green Bay at Detroit
The Packers look to build on their 9-4 ATS record in their last 13 games as a road favorite. Green Bay is the pick (-11) according to Dunkel, which has the Packers favored by 14 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-11).
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 26
Time Posted: 11:30 p.m. EST (11/25)
Game 103-104: Green Bay at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 132.898; Detroit 118.183
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 14 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 11; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-11); Under
Game 105-106: Oakland at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 123.187; Dallas 137.441
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 14 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Dallas by 13 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-13 1/2); Under
Game 107-108: NY Giants at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 131.398; Denver 134.088
Dunkel Line: Denver by 2 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 6 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+6 1/2); Over
DUNKEL
Texas at Texas A&M
The Aggies look to build on their 7-2 ATS record in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 10 1/2 points or more. Texas A&M is the pick (+21) according to Dunkel, which has Texas favored by only 19. Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+21).
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 26
Time Posted: 10:00 p.m. EST (11/25)
Game 109-110: Texas at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 114.188; Texas A&M 95.335
Dunkel Line: Texas by 19; 58
Vegas Line: Texas by 21; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+21); Under
Texas at Texas A&M
The Aggies look to build on their 7-2 ATS record in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 10 1/2 points or more. Texas A&M is the pick (+21) according to Dunkel, which has Texas favored by only 19. Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+21).
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 26
Time Posted: 10:00 p.m. EST (11/25)
Game 109-110: Texas at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 114.188; Texas A&M 95.335
Dunkel Line: Texas by 19; 58
Vegas Line: Texas by 21; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+21); Under
Thaksgiving Day College hoops Tourney play GC-
On Thursday the Bonus Play is on TexasA@M. Game 515 at 4:30 eastern. The Aggies are a solid 21-4 after scoring 60 or less points. They bounce back big from these low scoring affairs. In the month of November they are a solid 15-1 the last few years. On neutral courts they have been a formidable foe covering 10 of the last 13 times,as well as 14 of the last 21 times as an underdog. Clemson is just 1-4 su-ats as a neutral court favorite recently. On Thursday its the start of the annual Thanksgiving day package. The last 2 years this package has won real nice.. On Thursday I have solid 90% system plays on 2 of the NFL games on Thursdays card. Plus a solid college hoops Triple Angle play. Any NBA will be on Thursday morning report as well. Take TexasA@M on Thursday bol and Happy Thanksgiving from Golden Contender Sports.
On Thursday the Bonus Play is on TexasA@M. Game 515 at 4:30 eastern. The Aggies are a solid 21-4 after scoring 60 or less points. They bounce back big from these low scoring affairs. In the month of November they are a solid 15-1 the last few years. On neutral courts they have been a formidable foe covering 10 of the last 13 times,as well as 14 of the last 21 times as an underdog. Clemson is just 1-4 su-ats as a neutral court favorite recently. On Thursday its the start of the annual Thanksgiving day package. The last 2 years this package has won real nice.. On Thursday I have solid 90% system plays on 2 of the NFL games on Thursdays card. Plus a solid college hoops Triple Angle play. Any NBA will be on Thursday morning report as well. Take TexasA@M on Thursday bol and Happy Thanksgiving from Golden Contender Sports.
Doc Sports
“The Magnificent 7” Week of November 27th-28th, 2009
6 Unit Play. #69 Take Oklahoma State +9 ½ over Oklahoma (Saturday 12:30 pm FSN) Rivalry Game of the Year. Both teams could be playing without their quarterback for this game. However, QB Robinson will likely see action. He did dress last week but was held out since they were playing a weak opponent in Colorado. QB Bradford has been out for most of the season and the Sooners are just not explosive with him out of the line-up. 1st and Ten. The Cowboys have a lot more to play for in this game as a win here will likely mean a BCS bid. Coach Gundy and his seniors have never beaten Oklahoma but this is the first time they have better talent. The Cowboys are really playing defense this season and have not allowed a 100 yard rusher all year. They currently rank 6th in the nation in rush defense.
Being blown out last week against Texas Tech leads some to believe that the Sooners have packed it in for the 2009 season. I do not believe that is the case, but the Cowboys will give them all that they can handle. Ok State 24, Oklahoma 21.
5 Unit Play. #28 Take Colorado +10 over Nebraska (Friday 3:30 pm ABC) Top Underdog Play. One might consider this as a bowl game for Colorado since this could be the last game for Coach Hawkins. 1st and Ten. The Buffaloes played well against the Cowboys last Thursday on the road. This is the last home game of the season for the Buffaloes and expect their seniors to go all out.
Nebraska will be looking ahead to Texas next week for the championship game. They have won three straight games, but have been outgained in two of those victories. They will not be up for this game and Colorado wants this game badly. Coach Hawkins enjoys an upset in a low-scoring affair. Colorado 21, Nebraska 17.
4 Unit Play. #18 Take Ohio U +3 over Temple (Friday 11 am ESPN U) The winner of this game will represent the MAC East in Detroit next week and play Central Michigan. Temple has had an unbelievable season thus far and Coach Golden will likely be named the MAC Coach of the Year. The Owls have now played ten straight weeks and this will be a tough game, especially since they are a favorite on the road. Sensational RB Pierce will be out for Temple and that leaves a major void in their offense.
The Bobcats will be looking for revenge after losing 14-10 in 2008. A note on that game: Ohio was playing their third straight road game. 1st and Ten. A lot of seniors play for the Bobcats, especially on defense, and they will end the regular season on a high note. Ohio U 24, Temple 20.
4 Unit Play. #25 Take Nevada +14 over Boise State (Friday 10 pm ESPN 2) What a game this should be and it could go over the posted total by halftime. Boise State is playing as good as anyone in the country. However, they have more talent than most of the teams in the WAC. Their only real tests came early in the season against Oregon and Fresno State.
Nevada started the season 0-3 with their opening loss to Notre Dame carrying over into their next two games. Since then, Nevada has been on a tear, winning eight straight games. The last two meetings between these two teams have been close with the 2007 game going into 4 OTs, with Boise State winning, 69-67. Nevada has lost the last nine games to Boise State straight-up, but this year they have the talent to keep up with them. Getting double digits it too good to pass up and this will be tight throughout and go down to the wire. Boise State 42, Nevada 38.
4 Unit Play. #37 Take Illinois +20 ½ over Cincinnati (Friday 12 pm ABC) Top Big Ten Play. A rare non-conference game featuring BCS teams takes place Friday in Cincinnati. It has been a disappointing year for the Illini to say the least. They brought back a large nucleus and were expected to challenge for a Big Ten title. Despite this poor season, it appears Coach Zook will return next season.
As for the Bearcats, they will enter undefeated and what a great job Coach Kelly has done. Many believe that he is in line for the Notre Dame job. As bad as Illinois has looked at times, the talent is still there. Yet another team with a lot of seniors and a win here would salvage their season. This is a perfect spot to play against Cincinnati since they still have to beat Pittsburgh next week to clinch the Big East. Illinois will either get blown out or take it down to the wire. Pride will allow them to do the latter. Cincy 31, Illinois 21.
4 Unit Play. #80 Take Houston -29 ½ over Rice (Saturday 8 pm CSS) I realize that this is a lot of points to be laying in a cross-town rivalry game. However, this year’s Cougars completely out talent the Owls. Granted, Rice has played well the last two weeks. They did beat UTEP but were outgained by 150 yards.
Houston will be looking for revenge after losing, 56-42, in 2008. That loss kept Houston from winning the CUSA West. QB Keenum threw five touchdowns last week and looks for more of the same in this affair. Houston gets close to sixty and we collect in the process as well. Houston 56, Rice 20.
4 Unit Play. #95 Take Arizona -3 over Arizona State (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Normally would not go with a team coming off a heartbreaking game that kept them from going to the Rose Bowl. But this is a state rival and the U of A will have no problem getting up for this game in Tempe. ASU lost to UCLA last week and that made sure that they will be home for the holidays. Speaking of staying home, the injury report for the Sun Devils cold fill up a roster. Parlay that with the fact that Arizona is still not solid at quarterback and it is hard not to like the Wildcats. Arizona still has a chance to go to the Holiday Bowl and look for them to easily put away their rivals. U of A 28, ASU 20.
5 Unit Play. #120 Take Tennessee -2 over Arizona (Sunday 4:15 pm Fox) Top NFL Play of the Week. The Titans have been a new team since Vince Young started calling plays under center and will enter this game having won four straight. The Cardinals have all but locked up the NFC West and will be making their second straight long road trip, having played at St. Louis last week. Arizona is 5-0 on the road this season but that is fools gold and most of that came against weak teams. They will face Minnesota next week and that game means much more to them than this one. The Titans continue to roll and we will collect big in the process as well. Tennessee 27, Arizona 20.
4 Unit Play. #104 Take Over 46 in Tampa Bay @ Atlanta (Sunday 1 pm Fox) Top Totals Play. We have used the over in the Falcons the last two weeks and collected and we fully expect to complete the trifecta on Sunday with another high-scoring game. The Falcons are still banged up at the running back position and thus will likely have to move the ball through the air. That sets up a perfect play with the over with numerous clock stoppages. The Falcons have been terrible on defense allowing 62 points in their last two games. Play the over and watch your money grow. ATL 34, Tampa Bay 17.
4 Unit Play. #128 Take New Orleans -3 over New England (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) The Patriots are getting too much respect and this writer is certainly not buying into them just yet. They face an undefeated Saints squad in the Big Easy, and are just a field goal dog? That is not right, since New Orleans is 8-0 straight-up and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite. DC Williams has turned around the Saints defense 180 degrees and this unit can now hold their own. 1st and Ten. Throw in QB Brees and a high powered offense and you will hear from this team for quite some time. This line is way too low and we will collect big in the process as well. New Orleans 37, New England 30.
Strong Opinion Plays:
#24 Take Auburn +10 over Alabama
#50 Take Kentucky +3 over Tennessee
#10 Take Denver +7 over NY Giants
“The Magnificent 7” Week of November 27th-28th, 2009
6 Unit Play. #69 Take Oklahoma State +9 ½ over Oklahoma (Saturday 12:30 pm FSN) Rivalry Game of the Year. Both teams could be playing without their quarterback for this game. However, QB Robinson will likely see action. He did dress last week but was held out since they were playing a weak opponent in Colorado. QB Bradford has been out for most of the season and the Sooners are just not explosive with him out of the line-up. 1st and Ten. The Cowboys have a lot more to play for in this game as a win here will likely mean a BCS bid. Coach Gundy and his seniors have never beaten Oklahoma but this is the first time they have better talent. The Cowboys are really playing defense this season and have not allowed a 100 yard rusher all year. They currently rank 6th in the nation in rush defense.
Being blown out last week against Texas Tech leads some to believe that the Sooners have packed it in for the 2009 season. I do not believe that is the case, but the Cowboys will give them all that they can handle. Ok State 24, Oklahoma 21.
5 Unit Play. #28 Take Colorado +10 over Nebraska (Friday 3:30 pm ABC) Top Underdog Play. One might consider this as a bowl game for Colorado since this could be the last game for Coach Hawkins. 1st and Ten. The Buffaloes played well against the Cowboys last Thursday on the road. This is the last home game of the season for the Buffaloes and expect their seniors to go all out.
Nebraska will be looking ahead to Texas next week for the championship game. They have won three straight games, but have been outgained in two of those victories. They will not be up for this game and Colorado wants this game badly. Coach Hawkins enjoys an upset in a low-scoring affair. Colorado 21, Nebraska 17.
4 Unit Play. #18 Take Ohio U +3 over Temple (Friday 11 am ESPN U) The winner of this game will represent the MAC East in Detroit next week and play Central Michigan. Temple has had an unbelievable season thus far and Coach Golden will likely be named the MAC Coach of the Year. The Owls have now played ten straight weeks and this will be a tough game, especially since they are a favorite on the road. Sensational RB Pierce will be out for Temple and that leaves a major void in their offense.
The Bobcats will be looking for revenge after losing 14-10 in 2008. A note on that game: Ohio was playing their third straight road game. 1st and Ten. A lot of seniors play for the Bobcats, especially on defense, and they will end the regular season on a high note. Ohio U 24, Temple 20.
4 Unit Play. #25 Take Nevada +14 over Boise State (Friday 10 pm ESPN 2) What a game this should be and it could go over the posted total by halftime. Boise State is playing as good as anyone in the country. However, they have more talent than most of the teams in the WAC. Their only real tests came early in the season against Oregon and Fresno State.
Nevada started the season 0-3 with their opening loss to Notre Dame carrying over into their next two games. Since then, Nevada has been on a tear, winning eight straight games. The last two meetings between these two teams have been close with the 2007 game going into 4 OTs, with Boise State winning, 69-67. Nevada has lost the last nine games to Boise State straight-up, but this year they have the talent to keep up with them. Getting double digits it too good to pass up and this will be tight throughout and go down to the wire. Boise State 42, Nevada 38.
4 Unit Play. #37 Take Illinois +20 ½ over Cincinnati (Friday 12 pm ABC) Top Big Ten Play. A rare non-conference game featuring BCS teams takes place Friday in Cincinnati. It has been a disappointing year for the Illini to say the least. They brought back a large nucleus and were expected to challenge for a Big Ten title. Despite this poor season, it appears Coach Zook will return next season.
As for the Bearcats, they will enter undefeated and what a great job Coach Kelly has done. Many believe that he is in line for the Notre Dame job. As bad as Illinois has looked at times, the talent is still there. Yet another team with a lot of seniors and a win here would salvage their season. This is a perfect spot to play against Cincinnati since they still have to beat Pittsburgh next week to clinch the Big East. Illinois will either get blown out or take it down to the wire. Pride will allow them to do the latter. Cincy 31, Illinois 21.
4 Unit Play. #80 Take Houston -29 ½ over Rice (Saturday 8 pm CSS) I realize that this is a lot of points to be laying in a cross-town rivalry game. However, this year’s Cougars completely out talent the Owls. Granted, Rice has played well the last two weeks. They did beat UTEP but were outgained by 150 yards.
Houston will be looking for revenge after losing, 56-42, in 2008. That loss kept Houston from winning the CUSA West. QB Keenum threw five touchdowns last week and looks for more of the same in this affair. Houston gets close to sixty and we collect in the process as well. Houston 56, Rice 20.
4 Unit Play. #95 Take Arizona -3 over Arizona State (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Normally would not go with a team coming off a heartbreaking game that kept them from going to the Rose Bowl. But this is a state rival and the U of A will have no problem getting up for this game in Tempe. ASU lost to UCLA last week and that made sure that they will be home for the holidays. Speaking of staying home, the injury report for the Sun Devils cold fill up a roster. Parlay that with the fact that Arizona is still not solid at quarterback and it is hard not to like the Wildcats. Arizona still has a chance to go to the Holiday Bowl and look for them to easily put away their rivals. U of A 28, ASU 20.
5 Unit Play. #120 Take Tennessee -2 over Arizona (Sunday 4:15 pm Fox) Top NFL Play of the Week. The Titans have been a new team since Vince Young started calling plays under center and will enter this game having won four straight. The Cardinals have all but locked up the NFC West and will be making their second straight long road trip, having played at St. Louis last week. Arizona is 5-0 on the road this season but that is fools gold and most of that came against weak teams. They will face Minnesota next week and that game means much more to them than this one. The Titans continue to roll and we will collect big in the process as well. Tennessee 27, Arizona 20.
4 Unit Play. #104 Take Over 46 in Tampa Bay @ Atlanta (Sunday 1 pm Fox) Top Totals Play. We have used the over in the Falcons the last two weeks and collected and we fully expect to complete the trifecta on Sunday with another high-scoring game. The Falcons are still banged up at the running back position and thus will likely have to move the ball through the air. That sets up a perfect play with the over with numerous clock stoppages. The Falcons have been terrible on defense allowing 62 points in their last two games. Play the over and watch your money grow. ATL 34, Tampa Bay 17.
4 Unit Play. #128 Take New Orleans -3 over New England (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) The Patriots are getting too much respect and this writer is certainly not buying into them just yet. They face an undefeated Saints squad in the Big Easy, and are just a field goal dog? That is not right, since New Orleans is 8-0 straight-up and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite. DC Williams has turned around the Saints defense 180 degrees and this unit can now hold their own. 1st and Ten. Throw in QB Brees and a high powered offense and you will hear from this team for quite some time. This line is way too low and we will collect big in the process as well. New Orleans 37, New England 30.
Strong Opinion Plays:
#24 Take Auburn +10 over Alabama
#50 Take Kentucky +3 over Tennessee
#10 Take Denver +7 over NY Giants
Mr A from Sports Rumble
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday, November 26, 2009 12:30 PM EST.
Green Bay Packers (6-4) at Detroit Lions (2-8)
Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
Green Bay Packers beat the Detroit Lions 26-0 last month at Lambeau Field. Expect a similar outcome. Green Bay is 4-1 both straight-up and against the spread in its last 5 games against the Lions in Detroit.
Oddsmakers: Green Bay as a -10 point road favorite with the total listed at 49 'over'.
Green Bay Packers -10
Thursday, November 26, 2009 4:15 PM EST.
Oakland Raiders(3-7) at Dallas Cowboys (7-3)
Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Thanksgiving Day: Turkey, Stuffing, Cranberries, Cider and the Dallas Cowboys. Take the Cowboys. Dallas usually plays their best and wins on Turkey Day. The Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Oddsmakers: Dallas as a -13½ point home favorite with the total listed at 49½ 'over'.
Dallas Cowboys -13½
Thursday, November 26, 2009 8:20 PM EST.
New York Giants (6-4) at Denver Broncos (6-4)
Invesco Field, Denver, Colorado
New York Giants and Denver Broncos both got off to swift starts, but both have tumble. Expect a close game in Denver. The Giants are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite, but the Broncos are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 as a home underdog. Take the points between two unreliable teams.
Oddsmakers: New York as a -6½ point road favorite with the total listed at 42 'over'.
New York Giants -6½
Thursday, November 26th, 2009 8:00 PM EST.
(3) Texas Longhorns (11-0) at Texas A&M Aggies (6-5)
Kyle Field - College Station, Texas
Texas A&M Aggies could possibly make this Turkey day contest against No. 3 ranked Texas Longhorns a tougher fight than expected, but don’t expect a shocking upset. The Longhorns are a superior team.
The Aggies have improved this season and are playing sound at home, going 5-1 straight up and 4-1-1 against the spread at home. Take the home dog. The home team in this rivalry has covered 9 of the last 11 meetings.
Oddsmakers: Texas as a -21 point road favorite with the total listed at 62½ 'over'.
Texas A&M Aggies +21
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday, November 26, 2009 12:30 PM EST.
Green Bay Packers (6-4) at Detroit Lions (2-8)
Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
Green Bay Packers beat the Detroit Lions 26-0 last month at Lambeau Field. Expect a similar outcome. Green Bay is 4-1 both straight-up and against the spread in its last 5 games against the Lions in Detroit.
Oddsmakers: Green Bay as a -10 point road favorite with the total listed at 49 'over'.
Green Bay Packers -10
Thursday, November 26, 2009 4:15 PM EST.
Oakland Raiders(3-7) at Dallas Cowboys (7-3)
Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Thanksgiving Day: Turkey, Stuffing, Cranberries, Cider and the Dallas Cowboys. Take the Cowboys. Dallas usually plays their best and wins on Turkey Day. The Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Oddsmakers: Dallas as a -13½ point home favorite with the total listed at 49½ 'over'.
Dallas Cowboys -13½
Thursday, November 26, 2009 8:20 PM EST.
New York Giants (6-4) at Denver Broncos (6-4)
Invesco Field, Denver, Colorado
New York Giants and Denver Broncos both got off to swift starts, but both have tumble. Expect a close game in Denver. The Giants are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite, but the Broncos are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 as a home underdog. Take the points between two unreliable teams.
Oddsmakers: New York as a -6½ point road favorite with the total listed at 42 'over'.
New York Giants -6½
Thursday, November 26th, 2009 8:00 PM EST.
(3) Texas Longhorns (11-0) at Texas A&M Aggies (6-5)
Kyle Field - College Station, Texas
Texas A&M Aggies could possibly make this Turkey day contest against No. 3 ranked Texas Longhorns a tougher fight than expected, but don’t expect a shocking upset. The Longhorns are a superior team.
The Aggies have improved this season and are playing sound at home, going 5-1 straight up and 4-1-1 against the spread at home. Take the home dog. The home team in this rivalry has covered 9 of the last 11 meetings.
Oddsmakers: Texas as a -21 point road favorite with the total listed at 62½ 'over'.
Texas A&M Aggies +21
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
6* W ido w W iseg uy 2 0 0 9 NFL T hur sday G AM E OF THE Y EA R on D env er B ron cos +7(-105 at bodog)
The Denver Broncos should not be catching this many points at home on Thursday. Yes, they have lost 4 straight and have been blown out in the process, but now the value is clearly on Denver. This team is still 6-4 and right in the middle of the playoff race, and we feel this short week should help them get over their loss to the Chargers very quickly and to get back on the winning track. They host a New York Giants' team that has also struggled, going 1-4 in their last 5 games and needing a field goal in overtime to beat the Falcons at home last week. New York is getting way too much respect here from the odds makers, and we'll capitalize. The Giants have a very long list of injuries right now, and they are playing without their defensive leader in MLB Antonio Pierce. Without him, they gave up 31 points to the Falcons last week. They also have plenty of injuries in their defensive secondary, which will allow Kyle Orton and company to have a big day through the air. The Giants have given up 21 or more points in 5 straight games, and they are allowing an average of 32.8 points/game during this span. In their last 2 road games, the Giants lost 27-48 at New Orleans and 17-40 at Philadelphia. Once again, it's hard to imagine how they could possibly be a touchdown favorite on the road with the evidence presented. The Giants are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Denver is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. Take Denver and the points.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
6* W ido w W iseg uy 2 0 0 9 NFL T hur sday G AM E OF THE Y EA R on D env er B ron cos +7(-105 at bodog)
The Denver Broncos should not be catching this many points at home on Thursday. Yes, they have lost 4 straight and have been blown out in the process, but now the value is clearly on Denver. This team is still 6-4 and right in the middle of the playoff race, and we feel this short week should help them get over their loss to the Chargers very quickly and to get back on the winning track. They host a New York Giants' team that has also struggled, going 1-4 in their last 5 games and needing a field goal in overtime to beat the Falcons at home last week. New York is getting way too much respect here from the odds makers, and we'll capitalize. The Giants have a very long list of injuries right now, and they are playing without their defensive leader in MLB Antonio Pierce. Without him, they gave up 31 points to the Falcons last week. They also have plenty of injuries in their defensive secondary, which will allow Kyle Orton and company to have a big day through the air. The Giants have given up 21 or more points in 5 straight games, and they are allowing an average of 32.8 points/game during this span. In their last 2 road games, the Giants lost 27-48 at New Orleans and 17-40 at Philadelphia. Once again, it's hard to imagine how they could possibly be a touchdown favorite on the road with the evidence presented. The Giants are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Denver is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. Take Denver and the points.
LANG
Enjoy being with your family and friends. I realize as I get older how important these holidays are. To take a moment and embrace them just a little while longer than I would in my younger days.
And speaking about embracing something, how about embracing 13-1-2 the last 3 weeks in the NFL including a perfect 7-0-2 run the last 3 Sundays?
Or how about my 2nd biggest NFL release in 2 years banging home the 75 dime winner on the Colts over the Ravens last Sunday?
Just flat out dialed in right now and I am seeing the board with a very nice clarity. I have been in "zones" like this in the past, been doing this way to long not to know when I am in the "zone".
13-1-2 tells you I am in another one of those "zones" and over the next 4 days I feel I am going to expand the zone he best way I know how right now.
BY WINNING.
Let's push it to 14-1-2 in the NFL with this Thursday night winner.
20 DIME - DENVER BRONCOS - (Buy up the 1/2 point if you have 6, or 6 1/2 on Denver)
Oh how the mighty have fallen. Or have they?
After starting 6-0 the Broncos were the toast of the NFL. Their 33-year old head coach attained immediate rock star status. He was the media's flavor of the month as far as coaches were concerned.
Then came a trip to Baltimore off a bye week against a Ravens team that had lost 3 in a row, and they too were coming off a bye week.
Bottom line is Denver was just at the wrong place at the wrong time versus the Ravens. In fact, I'm not so sure any team who played the Ravens that day wouldn't have suffered the same fate.
Off their first defeat the Broncos come home to face the Steelers on Monday night and just flat out got beat by a better team.
All of a sudden at 6-2 they have to travel to Washington and battle the Redskins and I don't care who you are, any team loses their starting QB on the road in the NFL in the first quarter, you are going to struggle.
And finally, now at 6-3, the Chargers come to town facing back up Chris Simms. It is safe to say Simms wasn't the answer as the first drive of the game would lead you to believe.
Winning the coin toss and getting the ball first at their own 26 the Broncos run the ball 7 straight times picking up 3 first downs and arriving at a 2nd and 2 at the San Diego 17 yard line.
They decide to drop Simms back to pass for the first time and he is sacked, fumbles, and the Chargers recover.
The next 2 Broncos drives are stalled by penalties while the 4th, with Kyle Orton pulling a Willis Reed off the bench with the bad ankle, immediately sparks the offense.
Starting from his own 36 he completes a 22 yarder to Marshall, 38 yarder to Gaffney and had them at 1st and goal at the 4 yard line. Touchdown here and game on.
Nope. Rookie Moreno fumbles and pretty much all the momentum in the world was gone with it.
So as you can see, it may look like 4 straight losses, but it wasn't as if those 4 losses were against the Lions, Browns, Bucs or Rams.
The world is all wrapped up in this 4 game losing streak but as you can see, little more to it than that.
Who are the Giants, on an 0-5 ATS run their last 5 and who's defense still can consistently stop anybody for an entire 60 minutes, to be laying a full touchdown on the road against an AFC opponent?
It's not like Denver is going to just lay down in this spot here. Quite to the contrary. I believe they are going to step up and play one of their best games of the year.
The points are too good to pass up for me and it wouldn't suprise me to see the Broncos get consistent pressure on Eli Manning and for Eli to throw up a Thanksgiving clunker and for Denver to win the game outright.
FREE SELECTION - TEXAS-TEXAS A&M OVER
Enjoy being with your family and friends. I realize as I get older how important these holidays are. To take a moment and embrace them just a little while longer than I would in my younger days.
And speaking about embracing something, how about embracing 13-1-2 the last 3 weeks in the NFL including a perfect 7-0-2 run the last 3 Sundays?
Or how about my 2nd biggest NFL release in 2 years banging home the 75 dime winner on the Colts over the Ravens last Sunday?
Just flat out dialed in right now and I am seeing the board with a very nice clarity. I have been in "zones" like this in the past, been doing this way to long not to know when I am in the "zone".
13-1-2 tells you I am in another one of those "zones" and over the next 4 days I feel I am going to expand the zone he best way I know how right now.
BY WINNING.
Let's push it to 14-1-2 in the NFL with this Thursday night winner.
20 DIME - DENVER BRONCOS - (Buy up the 1/2 point if you have 6, or 6 1/2 on Denver)
Oh how the mighty have fallen. Or have they?
After starting 6-0 the Broncos were the toast of the NFL. Their 33-year old head coach attained immediate rock star status. He was the media's flavor of the month as far as coaches were concerned.
Then came a trip to Baltimore off a bye week against a Ravens team that had lost 3 in a row, and they too were coming off a bye week.
Bottom line is Denver was just at the wrong place at the wrong time versus the Ravens. In fact, I'm not so sure any team who played the Ravens that day wouldn't have suffered the same fate.
Off their first defeat the Broncos come home to face the Steelers on Monday night and just flat out got beat by a better team.
All of a sudden at 6-2 they have to travel to Washington and battle the Redskins and I don't care who you are, any team loses their starting QB on the road in the NFL in the first quarter, you are going to struggle.
And finally, now at 6-3, the Chargers come to town facing back up Chris Simms. It is safe to say Simms wasn't the answer as the first drive of the game would lead you to believe.
Winning the coin toss and getting the ball first at their own 26 the Broncos run the ball 7 straight times picking up 3 first downs and arriving at a 2nd and 2 at the San Diego 17 yard line.
They decide to drop Simms back to pass for the first time and he is sacked, fumbles, and the Chargers recover.
The next 2 Broncos drives are stalled by penalties while the 4th, with Kyle Orton pulling a Willis Reed off the bench with the bad ankle, immediately sparks the offense.
Starting from his own 36 he completes a 22 yarder to Marshall, 38 yarder to Gaffney and had them at 1st and goal at the 4 yard line. Touchdown here and game on.
Nope. Rookie Moreno fumbles and pretty much all the momentum in the world was gone with it.
So as you can see, it may look like 4 straight losses, but it wasn't as if those 4 losses were against the Lions, Browns, Bucs or Rams.
The world is all wrapped up in this 4 game losing streak but as you can see, little more to it than that.
Who are the Giants, on an 0-5 ATS run their last 5 and who's defense still can consistently stop anybody for an entire 60 minutes, to be laying a full touchdown on the road against an AFC opponent?
It's not like Denver is going to just lay down in this spot here. Quite to the contrary. I believe they are going to step up and play one of their best games of the year.
The points are too good to pass up for me and it wouldn't suprise me to see the Broncos get consistent pressure on Eli Manning and for Eli to throw up a Thanksgiving clunker and for Denver to win the game outright.
FREE SELECTION - TEXAS-TEXAS A&M OVER
Gina from Sports Rumble
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gina's NFL Predictions
Thursday, October 26th, 12:30 p.m. est.
Green Bay Packers (6-4) at Detroit Lions (2-8)
Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
Look for the Green Bay Packers to be in be in command of the struggling Detroit Lions. The Lions have dropped 23 of its last 25 games overall and 11 of its last 13 at home. Detroit is 1-4 both straight-up and against the spread ATS in its last 5 games versus Green Bay at home.
Green Bay Packers -11
Thursday, October 26th, 4:15 p.m. est.
Oakland Raiders(3-7) at Dallas Cowboys (7-3)
Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Oakland Raiders will have a tough Turkey day against the Dallas Cowboys at Cowboys Stadium. Two touchdowns seems to be a bit high, but Dallas wins almost all the time on Thanksgiving Day.
Dallas Cowboys -14
Thursday, October 26th, 8:20 p.m. est.
New York Giants (6-4) at Denver Broncos (6-4)
Invesco Field, Denver, Colorado
Denver at home with quarterback Kyle Orton back in the starting lineup this week, wins a close battle at Mile High. The home team in this series is 7-2 in the regular season. Take the points!
Denver Broncos +7
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gina's NFL Predictions
Thursday, October 26th, 12:30 p.m. est.
Green Bay Packers (6-4) at Detroit Lions (2-8)
Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
Look for the Green Bay Packers to be in be in command of the struggling Detroit Lions. The Lions have dropped 23 of its last 25 games overall and 11 of its last 13 at home. Detroit is 1-4 both straight-up and against the spread ATS in its last 5 games versus Green Bay at home.
Green Bay Packers -11
Thursday, October 26th, 4:15 p.m. est.
Oakland Raiders(3-7) at Dallas Cowboys (7-3)
Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Oakland Raiders will have a tough Turkey day against the Dallas Cowboys at Cowboys Stadium. Two touchdowns seems to be a bit high, but Dallas wins almost all the time on Thanksgiving Day.
Dallas Cowboys -14
Thursday, October 26th, 8:20 p.m. est.
New York Giants (6-4) at Denver Broncos (6-4)
Invesco Field, Denver, Colorado
Denver at home with quarterback Kyle Orton back in the starting lineup this week, wins a close battle at Mile High. The home team in this series is 7-2 in the regular season. Take the points!
Denver Broncos +7
