Your reasoning make lots of sense,however i saw Nadal yesterday and on his 2nd set with Ferrer he was really poor,clay or not.on other hand with that Davy the best bet is NO BET..hopefully he doesn't bite you in the arse today,I am surprise you risking so much for that kind of roi back,wishing you bol!!
Nadal won like 80 matches out of his last 81 matches on clay and I saw this one loss to Federer he should win this one in straight sets but something happened with him there mentally . He aint losing to Davy today trust me .
Also I might take Federer when Nadal beats Donkeydenko . I think Djokovic has to prove he can beat Fedex again especially on clay where I see Roger as a better player .
Also I might take Federer when Nadal beats Donkeydenko . I think Djokovic has to prove he can beat Fedex again especially on clay where I see Roger as a better player .
29 April
Wager Type : Parlay
BMW Open. Munich, Germany
Carlos Berlocq vs Marat Safin
My pick is Marat Safin to win
Odds : - 237
+
Benjamin Becker vs Steve Darcis
My pick is Steve Darcis to win
Odds : -240
Combined odds : 2.01
Bookmaker : pinnaclesports
5 units to win 5.05 units
Seriously ... if Safin cant beat this guy he should retire right away and not torture people coming to watch tennis .
Becker is like 20-100 on clay courts vs a very solid baseliner like Darcis should have no chance , not to speak they played this year already and hardcourt and Becker lost 0-6 1-6 :lol:
Wager Type : Parlay
BMW Open. Munich, Germany
Carlos Berlocq vs Marat Safin
My pick is Marat Safin to win
Odds : - 237
+
Benjamin Becker vs Steve Darcis
My pick is Steve Darcis to win
Odds : -240
Combined odds : 2.01
Bookmaker : pinnaclesports
5 units to win 5.05 units
Seriously ... if Safin cant beat this guy he should retire right away and not torture people coming to watch tennis .
Becker is like 20-100 on clay courts vs a very solid baseliner like Darcis should have no chance , not to speak they played this year already and hardcourt and Becker lost 0-6 1-6 :lol:
Still pending ... ^^
30 April
Wager Type : ATP fav Moneyline
Open Sabdell Atlantico. Barcelona, Spain
Start time : 10:15AM (EST)
Teimuraz Gabashvili vs Guillermo Canas
My pick is Guillermo Canas to win
Odds : - 380
Bookmaker : pinnaclesports
19 units to win 5 units
Full limit allowed to place at this bookie , placed with 99.90 confidence .
Gabashvili's record on clay in his last 50 matches : 26-24
Canas's record on clay in his last 50 matches : 40-10
Canas is finally over his injury this season and looks very solid in his matches . He beat Oscar Hernandez in the previous round who is a solid player on the red dirt however Canas had way too much for the spaniard beating him in straight sets without many problems . Today he will meet Gabashvili who barely came through with a win against a STILL not retired G.Coria who should really stop playing tennis and seeing how Gabashvili struggled in this match losing the first set and trailing in the deciding third set before Coria started making his patented doublefaults doesnt work for his confidence .
The Russian has poor shot selection and is mentally unstable, and too often he goes for the glory crowd-pleasing shots instead of playing the percentages. Canas is indeed a horrible match up for the Russian because he is a model of consistency from the back, is one of the better returners in the modern game and is a great counter-puncher who has great ability to turn defense into attack.
Canas was the finalist here last year where he lost to clay courts master Rafael Nadal which isnt a shame at all considering Nadal being so dominant on this surface . For me think is a no loss situation as this bet is placed at a bookie with the following rule :
Two full sets must be completed for wagers to stand. Less than 2 sets completed - all wagers will be considered void.
Example: Federer 6-3, 4-6, 2-0 (Roddick retired due to injury). All wagers stand. Federer declared the winner while Roddick is deemed the loser.
Example: Federer 6-3, 2-0 (Roddick retired due to injury). All wagers considered void.
Playwise I cant see Gabashvili beat Canas on clay courts only by a retirement .
30 April
Wager Type : ATP fav Moneyline
Open Sabdell Atlantico. Barcelona, Spain
Start time : 10:15AM (EST)
Teimuraz Gabashvili vs Guillermo Canas
My pick is Guillermo Canas to win
Odds : - 380
Bookmaker : pinnaclesports
19 units to win 5 units
Full limit allowed to place at this bookie , placed with 99.90 confidence .
Gabashvili's record on clay in his last 50 matches : 26-24
Canas's record on clay in his last 50 matches : 40-10
Canas is finally over his injury this season and looks very solid in his matches . He beat Oscar Hernandez in the previous round who is a solid player on the red dirt however Canas had way too much for the spaniard beating him in straight sets without many problems . Today he will meet Gabashvili who barely came through with a win against a STILL not retired G.Coria who should really stop playing tennis and seeing how Gabashvili struggled in this match losing the first set and trailing in the deciding third set before Coria started making his patented doublefaults doesnt work for his confidence .
The Russian has poor shot selection and is mentally unstable, and too often he goes for the glory crowd-pleasing shots instead of playing the percentages. Canas is indeed a horrible match up for the Russian because he is a model of consistency from the back, is one of the better returners in the modern game and is a great counter-puncher who has great ability to turn defense into attack.
Canas was the finalist here last year where he lost to clay courts master Rafael Nadal which isnt a shame at all considering Nadal being so dominant on this surface . For me think is a no loss situation as this bet is placed at a bookie with the following rule :
Two full sets must be completed for wagers to stand. Less than 2 sets completed - all wagers will be considered void.
Example: Federer 6-3, 4-6, 2-0 (Roddick retired due to injury). All wagers stand. Federer declared the winner while Roddick is deemed the loser.
Example: Federer 6-3, 2-0 (Roddick retired due to injury). All wagers considered void.
Playwise I cant see Gabashvili beat Canas on clay courts only by a retirement .
T. Gabashvili 1 2
G. Canas 6 6
Not a single breakpoint faced , total domination just as expected . Think I got the best line around in this match ( - 380 ) , closing line was at around - 550 .
ope:
Parlay cashed too but I am not betting on Safin anymore , way too much sweating .
G. Canas 6 6
Not a single breakpoint faced , total domination just as expected . Think I got the best line around in this match ( - 380 ) , closing line was at around - 550 .
ope:Parlay cashed too but I am not betting on Safin anymore , way too much sweating .
1 May
What can I say about the card today ?
There are many matches however there are not so many worth a bet because of the unknown factors with the players in the early rounds .
Sat there around 2 hours trying to pick the possible best bets and think I found few very decent plays for a parlay .
Wager Type : Parlay
Grand Prix de SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem. Fes, Morocco
Start time : 7:00AM (EST)
Arina Rodionova vs Alisa Kleybanova
My pick is Alisa Kleybanova to win
Odds : 1.20
+
ECM Prague Open. Prague, Czech Republic
Start time : 6:15AM (EST)
Melinda Czink vs Katarina Srebotnik
My pick is Katarina Srebotnik to win
Odds : 1.25
+
BMW Open. Munich, Germany
Start time : 7:15AM (EST)
Kristof Vliegen vs Fernando Gonzalez
My pick is Fernando Gonzalez to win
Odds : 1.28
+
Open Sabdell Atlantico. Barcelona, Spain
Start time : 5:45AM (EST)
Nicolas Lapentti vs David Ferrer
My pick is David Ferrer to win
Odds : 1.10
Combined odds : 2.11
Bookmaker : gamebookers
8 units to win 8.88 units
Arina Rodionova vs Alisa Kleybanova
Preview by : thedestroyer9
Alisa Kleybanova is a youngster with a big future and is now up to a career-high ranking of 69 two weeks ago. Some of you will remember her winning the first ITF tournament she entered as just a 14yo, and even though its taken a while for her to develop, she is now a very dangerous player especially at events like these. She has already claimed the scalps of Peng, Arvidsson, Szavay, K Bondarenko, Bacszinszky and amazingly Vaidisova this year, and has a fantastic winning record on clay of over 75% including making finals in 2 of her last 4 tournaments on the dirt. Arina Rodionova, who plays a majority of her tennis still at ITF level, won easily yesterday but against an unheralded and unlikely local which was her first victory at this level. She had not prevailed past the second round in her previous 6 claycourt tournaments and will be understrengthed here.
Melinda Czink vs Katarina Srebotnik
Preview by : me
Doubles specialist Srebotnik is having dream run in her singles campaign. She has played well on the American hard courts and made good transition to clay. She is good mover on the court and consistent from both sides . Srebotnik has a good record this season and maybe it would be even better if she had a little bit more luck with her tournament draws , her losses this season : Ivanovic x 2 , Hantuchova , Safina , Henin , Szavay and Serena Williams . Nothing to be ashamed of here especially when you consider that she was able to push most of these players to 3 sets .
I must admit I dont know much about M.Czink and only seen her play twice but from what I seen she doesnt seem to be even close to Srebotniks level . Most of her wins are from ITF tournaments against much weaker competition and I can hardly see her step up today and beat K.Srebotnik .
Kristof Vliegen vs Fernando Gonzalez
Preview by : me
Fernando Gonzalez seem to be playing pretty at the moment after few bad results despite his tournament win in Vina del Mar in January as he defeated D.Sela in the opening round without problems in straight sets not losing his serve once . He has a solid 35-15 record on clay in his last 50 matches and what is more important he has 3-0head to head advantage against his opponent today , two of these matches have been played on clay where Vliegen retired once and lost 6-2 6-1 in 2005 .
K.Vliegen has a decent serve and a solid game but this will not be enough to beat a superior clay courter like Fernando Gonzalez . Vliegen is 23-27 in his last 50 on clay courts and is not very suited for the slower surface . I watched both of his matches in Monte Carlo and from what I have seen I can hardly say he can beat Fernando . Vliegen beat a still not retired oldie F.Santoro in a not very convincing fashion before being destroyed by R.Gasquet 6-1 6-2 .
Anything but a straight sets win for Fernando Gonzalez would REALLY surprise me here .
Nicolas Lapentti vs David Ferrer
Preview by : thedestroyer9
Ferrer disposed of an unknown compatriot in the previous round with severe brutality, and is unlikely to relent. He is a semi-finallist here last year (therefore needs to defend his points), has won 9 of his past 11 inside Spain, and has one of the better return games in the business to negate the serve of Lapentti. He will run every ball down from the veteran who won't have the engine or the fitness to match the Spaniard, but most impressive is his ability to turn defense into attack when presented with a short ball and Lapentti's dream run is going to end here in 2 sets
What can I say about the card today ?
There are many matches however there are not so many worth a bet because of the unknown factors with the players in the early rounds .
Sat there around 2 hours trying to pick the possible best bets and think I found few very decent plays for a parlay .
Wager Type : Parlay
Grand Prix de SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem. Fes, Morocco
Start time : 7:00AM (EST)
Arina Rodionova vs Alisa Kleybanova
My pick is Alisa Kleybanova to win
Odds : 1.20
+
ECM Prague Open. Prague, Czech Republic
Start time : 6:15AM (EST)
Melinda Czink vs Katarina Srebotnik
My pick is Katarina Srebotnik to win
Odds : 1.25
+
BMW Open. Munich, Germany
Start time : 7:15AM (EST)
Kristof Vliegen vs Fernando Gonzalez
My pick is Fernando Gonzalez to win
Odds : 1.28
+
Open Sabdell Atlantico. Barcelona, Spain
Start time : 5:45AM (EST)
Nicolas Lapentti vs David Ferrer
My pick is David Ferrer to win
Odds : 1.10
Combined odds : 2.11
Bookmaker : gamebookers
8 units to win 8.88 units
Arina Rodionova vs Alisa Kleybanova
Preview by : thedestroyer9
Alisa Kleybanova is a youngster with a big future and is now up to a career-high ranking of 69 two weeks ago. Some of you will remember her winning the first ITF tournament she entered as just a 14yo, and even though its taken a while for her to develop, she is now a very dangerous player especially at events like these. She has already claimed the scalps of Peng, Arvidsson, Szavay, K Bondarenko, Bacszinszky and amazingly Vaidisova this year, and has a fantastic winning record on clay of over 75% including making finals in 2 of her last 4 tournaments on the dirt. Arina Rodionova, who plays a majority of her tennis still at ITF level, won easily yesterday but against an unheralded and unlikely local which was her first victory at this level. She had not prevailed past the second round in her previous 6 claycourt tournaments and will be understrengthed here.
Melinda Czink vs Katarina Srebotnik
Preview by : me
Doubles specialist Srebotnik is having dream run in her singles campaign. She has played well on the American hard courts and made good transition to clay. She is good mover on the court and consistent from both sides . Srebotnik has a good record this season and maybe it would be even better if she had a little bit more luck with her tournament draws , her losses this season : Ivanovic x 2 , Hantuchova , Safina , Henin , Szavay and Serena Williams . Nothing to be ashamed of here especially when you consider that she was able to push most of these players to 3 sets .
I must admit I dont know much about M.Czink and only seen her play twice but from what I seen she doesnt seem to be even close to Srebotniks level . Most of her wins are from ITF tournaments against much weaker competition and I can hardly see her step up today and beat K.Srebotnik .
Kristof Vliegen vs Fernando Gonzalez
Preview by : me
Fernando Gonzalez seem to be playing pretty at the moment after few bad results despite his tournament win in Vina del Mar in January as he defeated D.Sela in the opening round without problems in straight sets not losing his serve once . He has a solid 35-15 record on clay in his last 50 matches and what is more important he has 3-0head to head advantage against his opponent today , two of these matches have been played on clay where Vliegen retired once and lost 6-2 6-1 in 2005 .
K.Vliegen has a decent serve and a solid game but this will not be enough to beat a superior clay courter like Fernando Gonzalez . Vliegen is 23-27 in his last 50 on clay courts and is not very suited for the slower surface . I watched both of his matches in Monte Carlo and from what I have seen I can hardly say he can beat Fernando . Vliegen beat a still not retired oldie F.Santoro in a not very convincing fashion before being destroyed by R.Gasquet 6-1 6-2 .
Anything but a straight sets win for Fernando Gonzalez would REALLY surprise me here .
Nicolas Lapentti vs David Ferrer
Preview by : thedestroyer9
Ferrer disposed of an unknown compatriot in the previous round with severe brutality, and is unlikely to relent. He is a semi-finallist here last year (therefore needs to defend his points), has won 9 of his past 11 inside Spain, and has one of the better return games in the business to negate the serve of Lapentti. He will run every ball down from the veteran who won't have the engine or the fitness to match the Spaniard, but most impressive is his ability to turn defense into attack when presented with a short ball and Lapentti's dream run is going to end here in 2 sets
Cashed this one but Gonzalez is such a clown !
2 May
Wager Type : Parlay
Grand Prix de SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem. Fes, Morocco
Start time : 7:00AM (EST)
Sorana-Mihaela Cirstea vs Gisela Dulko
My pick is Gisela Dulko to win
Odds : -212
+
ECM Prague Open. Prague, Czech Republic
Start time : 7:15AM (EST)
Karolina Pliskova vs Victoria Azarenka
My pick is Victoria Azarenka to win
Odds : -1275
+
Open Sabdell Atlantico. Barcelona, Spain
Start time : 10:45AM (EST)
Juan Ignacio Chela vs Rafael Nadal
My pick is Rafael Nadal to win
Odds : -2975
+
Open Sabdell Atlantico. Barcelona, Spain
Start time : 12:15PM (EST)
Denis Gremelmayr vs Nicolas Almagro
My pick is Nicolas Almagro to win
Odds : -458
Combined odds : 2.00
Bookmaker : pinnaclesports
5 units to win 5 units
Short previews as I dont have much time today .
Nadal and Azarenka are there to boost the odds a little bit , very confident they will win their matches 2-0 sets without being troubled .
Cirstea is a solid clay courts player but Dulko is on a different level in my opinion and now she seem to be playing very well at the moment where she gained her confidence back .
Gremelmayr upset James Blake and D.Tursunov but there is almost no chance for him today to beat a clay courts Ace like Almagro .
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2 May
Wager Type : Parlay
Grand Prix de SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem. Fes, Morocco
Start time : 7:00AM (EST)
Sorana-Mihaela Cirstea vs Gisela Dulko
My pick is Gisela Dulko to win
Odds : -212
+
ECM Prague Open. Prague, Czech Republic
Start time : 7:15AM (EST)
Karolina Pliskova vs Victoria Azarenka
My pick is Victoria Azarenka to win
Odds : -1275
+
Open Sabdell Atlantico. Barcelona, Spain
Start time : 10:45AM (EST)
Juan Ignacio Chela vs Rafael Nadal
My pick is Rafael Nadal to win
Odds : -2975
+
Open Sabdell Atlantico. Barcelona, Spain
Start time : 12:15PM (EST)
Denis Gremelmayr vs Nicolas Almagro
My pick is Nicolas Almagro to win
Odds : -458
Combined odds : 2.00
Bookmaker : pinnaclesports
5 units to win 5 units
Short previews as I dont have much time today .
Nadal and Azarenka are there to boost the odds a little bit , very confident they will win their matches 2-0 sets without being troubled .
Cirstea is a solid clay courts player but Dulko is on a different level in my opinion and now she seem to be playing very well at the moment where she gained her confidence back .
Gremelmayr upset James Blake and D.Tursunov but there is almost no chance for him today to beat a clay courts Ace like Almagro .
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S. Cirstea 0 3
G. Dulko 6 6
Great performance by Dulko however Cirstea was really terrible .
R. Nadal 6 6
J. I. Chela 4 2
Nadal is few levels above everybody on clay courts .
Kar. Pliskova 2 1
V. Azarenka 6 6
Too good .
D. Gremelmayr 6 3 7
N. Almagro 2 6 6
Now this really sux to lose my parlay because of that poor performance by Almagro . First set Almagro looked like he is about to retire because I thought he was ill or injured by the way he played then in the second set he totally dominated Gremelmayr . In the deciding third set Almagro was up with a break twice and didnt manage to close it out but still he was up 5-3 in the tiebreak and only needed two more points to win the match , I guess he didnt want to face Rafael Nadal in the next round and just lost to this guy .
- 5 units for parlay
4 May
Wager Type : WTA fav Moneyline
ECM Prague Open. Prague, Czech Republic
Start time : 8:00AM (EST)
Victoria Azarenka vs Vera Zvonareva
My pick is Vera Zvonareva to win
Odds : - 300
Bookmaker : pinnaclesports
24 units to win 8 units
G. Dulko 6 6
Great performance by Dulko however Cirstea was really terrible .
R. Nadal 6 6
J. I. Chela 4 2
Nadal is few levels above everybody on clay courts .
Kar. Pliskova 2 1
V. Azarenka 6 6
Too good .
D. Gremelmayr 6 3 7
N. Almagro 2 6 6
Now this really sux to lose my parlay because of that poor performance by Almagro . First set Almagro looked like he is about to retire because I thought he was ill or injured by the way he played then in the second set he totally dominated Gremelmayr . In the deciding third set Almagro was up with a break twice and didnt manage to close it out but still he was up 5-3 in the tiebreak and only needed two more points to win the match , I guess he didnt want to face Rafael Nadal in the next round and just lost to this guy .
- 5 units for parlay
4 May
Wager Type : WTA fav Moneyline
ECM Prague Open. Prague, Czech Republic
Start time : 8:00AM (EST)
Victoria Azarenka vs Vera Zvonareva
My pick is Vera Zvonareva to win
Odds : - 300
Bookmaker : pinnaclesports
24 units to win 8 units
Vera Zvonareva is one of the hottest players on tour this season with a 26-7 record and this being her 4th final she is still looking for the first tournament victory this year . She had to retire without even playing 1 point once , lost to the best player this year Maria Sharapova and Serena Williams in tought 3 setter finals . Vera plays very well on any surface and has a strong 59-25 record on clay courts where the match will be played tomorrow , she is 9-1 on clay courts this season with only loss to Serena Williams in Charleston 2 weeks ago in a tough match . She had one match less than her opponent in this tournament as her 2nd round had to withdraw without playing , no trouble for Zvonareva at all so far . Vera has wins over the best girls in the business , on this surface she already beat Ivanovic , Jankovic and Dementieva in April .
Azarenka has a 10-7 record this season , this is her 4th career finals and she is still looking for her first tournament victory . I watched two of her finals and she was really nervous and wasnt able to play her usualy tennis style because of the pressure . Her record on clay courts looks nice at 38-15 however when you look at the names she faced you can get a clue why her record looks so well , she had to face much weaker opponents than Zvonareva in her career . No trouble for Azarenka in this tournament so far just like Zvonareva however I have Vera Zvonareva as higher caliber player and much more tougher mentally at this point of their careers which really means a lot in tennis .
Azarenka has a 10-7 record this season , this is her 4th career finals and she is still looking for her first tournament victory . I watched two of her finals and she was really nervous and wasnt able to play her usualy tennis style because of the pressure . Her record on clay courts looks nice at 38-15 however when you look at the names she faced you can get a clue why her record looks so well , she had to face much weaker opponents than Zvonareva in her career . No trouble for Azarenka in this tournament so far just like Zvonareva however I have Vera Zvonareva as higher caliber player and much more tougher mentally at this point of their careers which really means a lot in tennis .
V. Zvonareva 7 6
V. Azarenka 6 2
Solid performance by Vera Zvonareva , some great shots from the baseline in that match . First set was pretty close one but as predicted Azarenka couldnt keep her emotions under control and lost the first set on tiebreak . Second set Zvonareva played much better and secured her first tournament victory this season .
+ 8 units
V. Azarenka 6 2
Solid performance by Vera Zvonareva , some great shots from the baseline in that match . First set was pretty close one but as predicted Azarenka couldnt keep her emotions under control and lost the first set on tiebreak . Second set Zvonareva played much better and secured her first tournament victory this season .
+ 8 units
