Sunday 11/9/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Steve Janus

Dallas Cowboys vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Sunday's NFL Free Pick ----Dallas Cowboys -7---

I'm expecting Tony Romo to play, but I like Dallas to win here by at least a touchdown even if he's sidelined. There's no denying that Brandon Weeden didn't play well against Arizona last week, but a lot of that had to do with how good Arizona was against the run. Jacksonville isn't going to be able to slow down DeMarco Murray and that's going to open up big plays in the passing game for Romo or Weeden. Coming off 2 straight losses, I'm expecting a full out effort. Jacksonville simply doesn't have the offensive fire-power to keep this game close and you can all but count on the Jaguars turning it over a couple times. I also don't trust the Jaguars to be mentally invested in this game. At 1-8 there's nothing here for Jacksonville to play for and I could see them treating the trip to London more as a vacation than a business trip. Dallas is the far superior team and it's going to show on the field Sunday. BET THE COWBOYS -7!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joseph D'Amico

Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders

Sunday's FREE NFL winner is Denver over Oakland

Denver comes in here a week after suffering an embarrassing, 43-21 loss in New England which stopped their 4-game win and cover streak. Oakland, at 0-8 is in trouble in this one as they are paper-thin at both the DL and DB positions. The vengeful Broncos will look to devour the Raiders and make a statement. Showing little pressure on Tom Brady last week, the Denver "D" will get to Derek Carr and the 31st ranked Oakland offense who averages a mere 16.1 PPG. The duo of Von Miller and DeMarcus Ware will add to their 17 combined sacks. Without a running game (32nd in the NFL), the Raiders will leave their QB out to dry here. There is no way Oakland can stay in pace with the Denver offensive juggernaut. The Road Team is 15-5-1 ATS their L21 meetings in this series. The Broncos are 4-0 ATS their L4 vs. the Raiders, 7-0 ATS their L7 following a SU loss, and 10-3 ATS their L13 vs. teams with a losing record. The Raiders are 3-8 ATS their L11 vs. the AFC, 3-13-1 ATS their L17 following an ATS win, and 1-7 ATS their L8 games played at home. Take Denver. Thank you.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Steve Williams

Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers

Over 53 or 54 for your Free NFL total from Steve Williams.

Take the over 53 in the Packers/Bears Sunday Night Primetime Matchup. Both teams coming off byes after losing on the road. Bears secondary beat up which is not good going into Lambeau to face Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers 19 Td's, 3 INT's. Cutler 17 and 8. So we know both QB's will be looking to punish the opposing defenses through the air.

Chicago is 4-0 to the over this year on the road. Packers 5-1 over last six at home. Primetime TV games have been flying over this year. No reason to think this one won't be the same.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe Gavazzi

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills

Bonus Play Kansas City Chiefs (-1-) at Buffalo Bills 1:00 ET

Never easy to fade 2nd year Chiefs HC Reid on the road, where he is 11-1 ATS in the regular season coaching Kansas City! That is an extension of one of the best road records for any coach in the NFL. No doubt the Chiefs have been a hot team, covering 7 straight games against the opening line, since their opening week misstep at home against Tennessee. It is shades of the KC hot start last year from which KC plummeted in the 2nd half of the season. KC had an undeserved cover in their 24-10 win last week against the Jets. They were outgained 364-309 and allowed the Jets 139 overland. Combined with the previous weeks’ 34-7 laugher over St. Louis, there is surely a bit of over confidence as they take to the road. In fact, road teams who allow 10 or less at home in their previous game are just a 33% play the following week. With a home game against defending Super Bowl champ, Seattle, on the horizon next week, this is an ideal sandwich spot. QB Orton has under the radar QB efficiency. The Bills have created momentum of their own with a pair of victories, have a week of rest and a notably improved rush defense allowing just 93/3.5 for the season. Mini-upset no surprise to this bureau in a strong situational spot favoring the home team!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bill Biles

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills

Free Pick Buffalo Bills +2

Since Kyle Orton has taken over for the Bills, they have been a very solid team. The Defense of the Bills should be able to limit the skill players of the Chiefs and win this one at home.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ari Atari

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills

NFL FREE PICK OF THE WEEK Kansas City Chiefs

Alex Smith is playing well enough to provide us with the consistency we’re looking for in a dependable QB. His passer rating and 67.1% pass completion coupled with the beast mode of Jamaal Charles with 435 yards, 5 rushing TDS, 17 receptions and 2 TDs in the air, carries this offense.

The Chiefs own the 2nd ranked defense in the league with the Bills coming in at 6th. The total is set pretty low here at 42 and it looks likely that both teams will keep it in the 17-21 point range or less.

Both teams are well versed in unfavorable weather conditions so a little cold air or rain will not affect their defense first approach. The spread is close but KC owns the edge in this one. KC has won 3 in a row and 4 out of 5. Orton is putting up decent numbers for the Bills but not enough to climb from second in the AFC East. EJ Manuel sits and watches as the 24th ranked offense in yards per game look to find more weapons, especially with CJ Spiller out for the season.

The Chiefs are 5-0 ATS over the AFC and 6-1 ATS in their last 7. The road team is covering between these 2 teams in 6 out of the last 7 games. I’m going with the better pass rush and the more consistent team overall. It also helps that they’re on a roll so let’s keep it rolling with KC.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jesse Schule

Dallas Cowboys vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Free NFL play Dallas Cowboys

As of Saturday night, it looks like Tony Romo will be healthy enough to start for the Cowboys when they take on Jacksonville in London. I'm expecting Dallas to win this game fairly easily, even if Romo suffers a setback.

DeMarco Murray was held in check by the Cardinals last week, but that really comes as no surprise, against an Arizona defense that allows opponents to average fewer than 80 rushing yards per game, ranking 3rd in the NFL against the run.

For the first time this season Murray was held under 100 yards, but he's still leading the league with 1,133 yards, 311 more than second place Arian Foster. He'll be matched against on of the league's weakest defenses, and Jacksonville allowed Bengals backup running back Jeremy Hill to run for 154 yards and two TDs in a 33-23 loss to Cincy last week.

Rookie quarterback Blake Bortles has had his moments for the Jags, but his 13 INTs are the most of any active QB in the league.

The Jaguars defense ranks 30th in the NFL allowing an average of 28 points per game, and it will be missing a few key players with LB Paul Posluszny and DBs Will Blackmon and Alan Ball done for the year.

No matter who plays QB for the Cowboys, they should have little trouble running up the score on these Jags.

Take Dallas Cowboys

GL

Jesse Schule

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

NY Giants vs. Seattle Seahawks

Play - New York Giants

Edges - Giants: Eli Manning 13-7 SU and 14-6 ATS in his NFL career versus NFC West opponents, including 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS away. Seahawks: 0-12 ATS with a winning record versus a non-division opponent seeking double revenge; and 3-15 ATS off a SU win versus a non-division opponent seeking double revenge-exact. With the Giants looking to avenge a 23-0 loss at home to the Seahawks last season, we recommend a 1-unit play on The NY Giants. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ray Monohan

Miami Dolphins vs. Detroit Lions

5* FREE NFL Play Detroit Lions -2.5

The Lions are a good football team. They lead the NFL in total defense and have an offense that can really bust out if they can stay healthy. The Lions are probably the surprise of the first half sitting in first in the NFC North.

Miami has been a pleasant surprise too at 5-3 but I am not putting much faith in them. I am not a Tanneyhill fan and other than an opening weak win against New England they have not beaten anybody of consequence. Getting the Lions at this number at home is a steal.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Carlo Campanella

Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens

10* Bonus Play Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens are 5-4 this season, but when they win, they really beat up on their opponent- In their 5 wins, they are also 5-0 ATS, winning those games by 2, 20, 22, 28 & 31 points! They come off back-to-back losses and a return home to host a 2-6 Titans team that is now starting rookie QB Zach Mettenberger. QB Mettenberger is 0-2 SU & ATS to kick off his career while only putting up 16 and 17 points in his two starts and doubt he'll get anything more than that going against a stingy Ravens defense that's holding foes to just 19 points per game. With two game films to study now, expect the Ravens to know enough about Mettenberger to shut him down all day.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

'Jets try to end skid'

New York Jets off it's eighth straight loss try to stop the bleeding when Pittsburgh Steelers pay a visit to MetLife Stadium. Jets allowing a league-high 24 touchdown passes face a nightmare challenge with sizzling 'Big Ben' coming to town. Clearly a bad omen, Roethlisberger has tossed 12 TD's on 862 passing yards the past two games. However, before you jump on Pittsburgh a few betting nuggets to ponder. The Steelers current three game win streak was on their own turf. The Steelers have been a bankroll killer playing a team with a losing record. Since 2009 the squad has a 16-22 ATS mark including 7-15 ATS when on the road. Given status of road chalk against these teams the Steelers are just 6-13 against the betting line. One final area in which Steelers have struggled against the number is after a two touchdown victory. Since 2009 Steelers are 2-10 ATS as chalk in the situation.

 

[mcot1016]

Leiner was good for me sat..

Oregon
Lou
texas ova ( bought it down 2 48)
TIA

 

[Rhilo]

Anyone got The Rainman yet?
Thx

 

[lolameraz]

Any Leiner 2000 ?

 

[CATWINS]

root or budin

 

[bukis1]

Kelso 50 chiefs, 15 Denver , 10 lions. Anyone have his 100 unit ? Thanks

What's ol kelso saying this am after losing about 600 units since last sat? I'm sure he has some great reasoning behind it

 

[Fritzz38]

ASA 8* NFL Total of the Year??

 

[logan1981]

cpaw sorry for the dupe. I didn't see your post.

 

[1wildturkey]

Totals 4 you? TY CPAW FOR ALL YOU HELP! And all others that have a hand in it!

 

[Drew_from_Philly]

Anybody have Matt Rivers or wayne root plays for today? TIA.