Sunday 11/9/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SNF - Bears at Packers

CHICAGO BEARS (3-5) at GREEN BAY PACKERS (5-3)
Line & Total: Green Bay -7, Total: 53.5

The Bears look to pick up a much-needed victory when they head to Lambeau Field Sunday to take on the Packers.

Both Chicago and Green Bay head into this game after a week of rest thanks to bye weeks. The Packers have dominated the Bears recently, winning 11 of the past 14 games (SU and ATS). Chicago is allowing 32.0 PPG over its past five contests where the club is 1-4 (SU and ATS), and this is not a sign facing QB Aaron Rodgers, who threw for 302 yards and four touchdowns in a 38-17 victory over the Bears in Week 4. He is 4-1 SU (3-2 ATS) with eight touchdowns and two interceptions in his past five home games versus Chicago.

The Bears are 44-24 ATS after scoring seven points or less in the first half of two straight games since 1992. They are, however, 1-10 ATS off a non-conference game over the past three seasons and Green Bay is 34-17 ATS in home games after having won five or six out of its previous seven games since 1992.

Even with last week's bye, both clubs have a long list of injuries, especially on the defensive side of the ball. CB Kyle Fuller (hip), S Danny McCray (knee), OT Jordan Mills (foot) and LBs Lance Briggs (ribs) and Jon Bostic (back) are all questionable for Chicago. For Green Bay, top CB Sam Shields (knee) and G T.J. Lang (ankle) are both questionable, but S Morgan Burnett (calf) and DE Datone Jones (ankle) are updated to probable.

The Bears have really struggled recently, losing two straight games before their bye and four of their past five overall. Things definitely won’t get much easier this week, as the team has really struggled in Green Bay in recent years. QB Jay Cutler (2,093 pass yards, 17 TD, 8 INT) is 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS when playing at Lambeau Field over the past five years. He’s thrown just two touchdowns with a miserable 10 interceptions in those losses. Cutler must take care of the football and avoid making the high-risk throws that he consistently attempts.

If Chicago is going to win this game, it will need to ride RB Matt Forte (562 rush yards, 3 TD). Forte is this team’s most talented player by a wide margin. He’s had more than 100 total yards in every single game since the Bears’ Week 3 meeting with the Jets.

Forte is capable of dominating on the ground, especially against a horrendous Green Bay run defense, but he’s also caught 58 passes for 490 yards and three touchdowns through the air. WRs Brandon Marshall (34 rec, 384 yards, 5 TD) and Alshon Jeffery (38 rec, 563 yards, 3 TD) are growing frustrated with Cutler’s erratic play. He needs to make more high-percentage throws and just let his talented wideouts make plays.

This defense is coming off a game in which it allowed 51 points to the Patriots, and now allows 27.8 PPG and 6.0 yards per play this year, which both rank fourth-worst in the NFL. If the Bears don’t correct a number of things, they could be in for a similar fate against this potent Packers offense.

Green Bay was demolished 44-23 in New Orleans before its bye week, but the club had looked excellent in four straight wins (SU and ATS) before that contest. QB Aaron Rodgers (2,092 pass yards, 19 TD, 3 INT) threw two picks that game, but still completed 28-of-39 passes (72%) for 418 yards and a touchdown. He should be in for a much better game against a defense that is allowing 262.3 passing yards per game (23rd in NFL) on the season and 39.0 PPG over the past two contests.

He’ll be targeting WRs Jordy Nelson (50 rec, 737 yards, 6 TD) and Randall Cobb (40 rec, 578 yards, 9 TD) often in this one, but he’ll also look for explosive No. 3 WR Davante Adams (24 rec, 263 yards, 2 TD). The rookie really emerged as a threat in this passing game with seven catches for 75 yards in the loss to the Saints.

RB Eddie Lacy (428 rush yards, 4 TD) rushed 17 times for 48 yards and a touchdown in the Packers’ win over the Bears earlier in the season. Lacy was much more productive with his touches in the two weeks before the bye, averaging 5.3 yards per carry with a touchdown against the Panthers followed by a game where he rushed for 4.5 YPC and caught eight passes for 123 yards in the loss to New Orleans.

Despite allowing Drew Brees to throw all over them in the last game, this Green Bay defense is allowing just 225.8 passing yards per game (9th in NFL), and could make life on Jay Cutler extremely difficult. However, the Packers own the league's worst run defense, allowing 153.5 rushing yards per game on 4.8 yards per carry (4th-worst in NFL).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sunday Night Football: Bears at Packers

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-7, 53)

Perhaps no team needed a bye week more than the Chicago Bears, who will attempt to bounce back from a pair of lopsided defeats and remain in contention in the NFC North race when they visit the archrival Green Bay Packers on Sunday night. Chicago has dropped four of five, including a 51-23 beating at New England prior to its bye, to fall into the division cellar. The Bears' spiral started with a 38-17 home loss to Green Bay on Sept. 28, their seventh loss in the past eight meetings against the Packers.

Green Bay also comes in off a bye, which followed a 44-23 drubbing at New Orleans that brought an end to an impressive four-game winning streak during which it averaged a shade over 36 points. Aaron Rodgers threw for a season-high 418 yards despite suffering a second-half hamstring injury against the Saints, but he practiced fully Wednesday and expects another high-scoring duel with Chicago. "Both teams executed pretty well last time with no punts," Rodgers said. "They just turned the ball over and we didn't."

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE HISTORY: Since opening at Green Bay -7.5, the line has shifted to -7. The opening total of 52 has jumped one point to 53.

INJURY REPORT: Bears - LB Lance Briggs (Prob-Ribs), TE Martellus Bennett (Ques-Ribs), CB Kyle Fuller (Ques-Hip) Packers - G Josh Sitton (Ques-Toe), CB Sam Shields (Ques-Knee), G T.J. Lang (Ques-Ankle).

POWER RANKINGS: Bears (+1) + Packers (-3.75) + home field (-3) = Packers (-7.75)

WEATHER REPORT: Scattered flurries will start in the early morning before changing to a snow/rain mix in the afternoon. Temperature at game time is expected to be 35°F.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Chicago headed into its bye week on a two-game slide. The Bears head to Green Bay in hopes of adding to the four-game road winning streak in the series. The Packers are fresh off their bye and look to rebound from their loss in New Orleans as they host Chicago Sunday night. 9-1 ATS L10 coming off a bye." - Matt Fargo

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Bears have been one of the more banged-up teams on the season and they still have some key members nursing injuries. Martellus Bennett (ribs) is questionable and LBs Lance Briggs (ribs) and Jon Bostic (back) are probable. Aaron Rodgers should have a big day as Chicago is already missing Charles "Peanut" Tillman and Corey Fuller is nursing a hip injury. Fuller is probable to play. Shop is gonna have huge decisions on both the spread and total. Eighty-three percent of cash and 84 percent of bets are on the Packers and 88 percent of cash and 86 percent of bets are on the OVER." Mike Jerome.

ABOUT THE BEARS (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS, 5-3 O/U): Chicago fell behind by 14 points at halftime in a 27-14 loss to Miami on Oct. 19 before getting pulverized by the Patriots - a game in which it trailed 38-7 at the break. Quarterback Jay Cutler has thrown six interceptions and lost three fumbles over the past five games, including a pair of second-half picks that allowed Green Bay to break the game open in Week 4. Running back Matt Forte has accounted for 1,052 yards from scrimmage (562 rushing, 490 receiving) and six touchdowns, but wideouts Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery have combined for 72 catches after amassing 189 last season. The Bears expect linebacker Lance Briggs to return from a three-game absence to help a defense that has been shredded for an average of 32 points during the 1-4 skid.

ABOUT THE PACKERS (5-3 SU, 4-3-1 ATS, 7-1 O/U): Rodgers had a streak of 212 passes without an interception halted with a pair against New Orleans - both coming after he hurt his hamstring at the end of a scramble. He had 13 touchdowns in the four-game winning streak, including four in a 302-yard effort against Chicago in the first meeting. Randall Cobb and Jordy Nelson each had a pair of scoring passes against the Bears and have combined for 90 catches and 15 touchdowns, but the running game has been spotty with second-year back Eddie Lacy limited to 63 yards or fewer in seven of the eight games. Green Bay could be without both starting guards, but three defensive starters could return the lineup to fortify a unit that was singed for 496 yards and 33 first downs by the Bears.

TRENDS:

*Over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 home games.
*Bears are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 meetings.
*Over is 19-7 in Bears last 26 road games.
*Favorite is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 65 percent of action is backing Green Bay.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL

Week 10

Browns (5-3) @ Bengals (5-2-1)—Cincy is 12-1-1 vs spread in last 14 home games, 9-1-1 in last 11 as home favorite; they won five of last seven series games, with home side winning last five. Browns lost last five visits here, losing by 9-2-3-7-21 points. Bengals scored 27-33 points in winning last two games; they’ve scored 20+ points in second half in three of last four games. Browns are 4-1 since their bye, 2-0 as road underdogs; only one of their three losses was by more than a FG. NFL-wide, home favorites in divisional games are 9-13 vs spread; dogs are 4-2 in AFC North games this season. Cleveland has eight takeaways (+8) in its last three games. Four of last five Bengal games went over total; last four Cleveland games stayed under.

Cowboys (6-3) vs Jaguars (1-8) (London)—Romo made trip across pond, figures to play after Weeden was 18-33/174 in dismal home loss to Arizona last week (Bryant’s first catch came with 1:55 left). Jaguars haven’t led at halftime since Week 1; in last five games, they’ve been outscored 48-26 in first half. Jags are 2-6-1 vs spread this season, 1-3-1 as road underdogs, 5-7-1 in 1.5 years under Bradley. Dallas is 11-29-1 as a favorite under Garrett, 4-7-1 on road; last week was first time this year Murray ran for less than 100 yards. Cowboys lost last two games after 6-1 start; they’re 2-3 overall vs Jaguars, with four of five games played in Dallas. NFC East non-divisional favorites are 5-5 vs spread; AFC South underdogs are 5-7. Four of last five Jax games stayed under.

Dolphins (5-3) @ Lions (6-2)—Detroit won last three games before its bye, last two by one point each; they were down 21-0 last game, 23-10 with 4:00 left in game before that, so they’re finding ways to win and now they expect back Johnson/Bush back for this game, with Bush facing old team. Miami also won its last three games, thrashing San Diego 27-0 last week; they’ve won last three road games, all by 13+ points and won five of last six games with Lions, but last visit to Motor City was in ’06. Miami is 5-3 in its last eight games as a road underdog. Detroit is 2-2 as a home favorite in ’14. AFC East non-divisional underdogs are 6-4 vs spread; NFC North home favorites are 3-5. Last seven Lion games, last three Miami games stayed under total.

Chiefs (5-3) @ Bills (5-3)—Chiefs are 3-0 since their bye, scoring 27 ppg; they’ve covered last seven games, are 2-2 SU on road, losing to Broncos/49ers. KC lost five of last seven games vs Buffalo, but won fluky 23-13 game (-4) here LY; they were outgained 470-210, but were +3 in turnovers, with two of three miscues run back for Chief TDs. Not many NFL teams run for 241 yards and lose, but Bills did that day. Bills won three of last four games before their bye, with two wins in last minute; they’re 2-2 SU at home, 3-1 with Orton the starting QB. Buffalo has 17 sacks in its last four games, Chiefs have 15. AFC West non-divisional favorites are 7-3 vs spread; AFC East underdogs are 6-4. Last four Chief games, six of eight Buffalo tilts stayed under.

49ers (4-4) @ Saints (4-4)—49ers lost last two games, scoring three TD’s on 23 drives; their 3.8 points/red zone drive is worst in NFL (eight empty trips out of 25, only 11 TDs). Niners are 2-2 on road, with three of those games (2-1) in dome; they’re 4-0 when scoring 22+ points, 0-4 when scoring less. NO had extra time to prep after Thursday win in Carolina; they’re 3-0 at home, winning by 11-6-21 points while scoring 33.7 ppg (12 TD’s/29 drives). Saints won seven of last nine series games, with three of last four decided by 4 or less points; Niners lost five of last six series games here, plus they also lost Super Bowl to the Ravens on this field- they’re 6-4-1 as road underdogs under Harbaugh, 0-1 this year. Six of eight 49er games stayed under total.

Titans (2-6) @ Ravens (5-4)—First road start for rookie QB Mettenberger (27-41/290 in first start, 30-16 home loss to Houston); Titans are 2-2 as road underdogs, losing by 26-24-2 points. Since ’06, they’re 26-19 as road dogs. Ravens gave up 70 points in losing last two games to AFC North rivals; they’re 3-1 as home favorites this year, winning last three at home by 20-28-22 points. Baltimore only has one division game left; they’re 3-1 vs spread outside division. Last 10+ years, Ravens are 28-13-1 as non-divisional home favorite (12-14-1 in division). Road team won four of last six series games, with Titans winning last two visits here, but last one was in ’08. Over is 4-1 in last five Tennessee games, 5-2 in last seven Baltimore games.

Steelers (6-3) @ Jets (1-8)—Big Ben is first-ever QB to throw 12 TD passes in two-game span, but Steelers are 2-2 away from home, scoring 17 or less in three of four games, only one of which (26-6 loss in Baltimore) was on carpet. Since ’09, Pitt is 8-11-1 vs spread on artificial turf. Steelers are 19-4 overall vs Jets, winning last three by 5-17-13 points. Gang Green lost last eight games; they’re lost at QB, using Matt Simms for while last week. Jets forced only three turnovers all year, none in last four games (-8). Last six series games played here, average total was 22.6. Last three Steeler games, three of last four Jet games went over the total. Weird things happen in NFL, but if you bet Jets in this game, you’re a masochist.

Falcons (2-6) @ Buccaneers (1-7)—Atlanta is 9-3 in last 12 series games, last of which was 56-14 (-6.5) pounding in Week 3 Thursday tilt, last game Glennon didn’t start for Bucs. Falcons had punt return for TD, a defensive score and three TD drives of less than 40 yards in game that was 35-nil at half- they’re 3-2 in last five visits here, with three of last four decided by 4 or less points. Last week was first time Bucs led at half; they’ve been blanked in four of eight first halves, are 0-4 at home, scoring 17 or less points in all four games. Last three Atlanta games stayed under total; they’re 1-7-1 vs spread in last nine NFC South road games. Bucs been more competitive since their bye, losing in OT to Vikings, 22-17 in Cleveland last week.

Broncos (6-2) @ Raiders (0-8)—Denver is 6-1 vs spread in game following a loss with Manning at QB; they got riddled in Foxboro last week, but have beaten Raiders five times in row, all by 13+ points. Denver won last three visits here by 14-13-20 points. Broncos are 12-6 as road favorites under Fox, 1-1 this year; in 27 red zone drives, they have 22 TDs, 4 FGs, once empty trip, by far best mark in NFL. Oakland hasn’t won but none of last four losses (four games Sparano coached) were by more than 11 points; Raiders are 6-12-1 in last 19 games as home underdogs, 1-2 this year. Second half last week was only second half Oakland outscored foe this year. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 7-9 against spread this season. Last five Denver games went over.

Rams (3-5) @ Cardinals (7-1)—Third road game in row for St Louis, traditional soft spot for NFL teams; Rams are just 7-23 on 3rd down last two games- their passing game misses Quick, their best WR. Fisher’s teams compete; Rams are 3-1 as road dogs this year, 12-8 in 2.5 years under Fisher. Last time Arizona was 7-1 was 40 years ago when Don Coryell was coaching the St Louis Cardinals; they’ve won/covered last four games, are 1-1 as home favorites this year, winning all four home games by 11-9-10-4 points- they’re 4-2-1 as home favorites under Arians, and have +10 turnover ratio. Rams won three of last four series games, splitting last four played here, with losses by 6-20 points; St Louis Last three Arizona games stayed under total.

Giants (3-5) @ Seahawks (5-3)—Nothing’s been easy for Seattle; they led winless Oakland 24-3 at half last week, but allowed punt block for TD and wound up hanging on for 30-24 win. Seahawks are 0-4 vs spread in last four games, winning last two by 4-6 points; they hammered Giants 23-0 in Swamp LY, picking off five passes, holding Giants to 181 yards, but their defense hasn’t been as dominant this year. Giants are 1-3 as road underdogs this year, losing away games by 21-27-10 points, with win at Washington. Giants won last visit here 41-7 in ’10, their one win in last five trips to Seattle. NFC West non-divisional home favorites are 7-2 vs spread; NFC East road underdogs are 3-4. Over is 4-1-1 in last six Giant games, 3-1 in last four Seattle tilts.

Bears (3-5) @ Packers (5-3)—Green Bay won/covered its last five post-bye games. Rodgers tweaked his hamstring in game before bye; no way of knowing if he is 100%. Green Bay is 5-0 on grass, 0-3 on turf, 2-1 as home favorites- they’re 25-15 in last 40 games as HF, with home wins this year by 7-32-21 points. Chicago lost four of last five games before its bye; they’re 0-5 when allowing 23+ points, 3-0 when allowing 20 or less. Bears are 3-6 as road underdogs under Trestman, 2-2 this year. Packers won eight of last nine series games, winning five of last six here (Rodgers was KO’d early in Bears’ win here LY), with three of five wins by 13+ points. Favorites are 5-0 vs spread in NFC North divisional games. Last five Packer games and four of last six Chicago games went over the total.

Panthers (3-5-1) @ Eagles (6-2)-- Sanchez gets first start at QB for Philly after Foles broke collarbone last week; he was 33-29 in four years as starter for Jets. Since 2010, Eagles are 11-19 as home favorites, 5-7 under Kelly, 2-2 this year, winning home games by 17-3-6-27 points. Philly turned ball over 16 times in last five games (-9) prompting rumors Eagle brass was souring on Foles even before he got hurt. Carolina is 1-5-1 in last seven games after its 2-0 start; they’ve lost last three games by 21-4-18 points, are 2-2 as road dog, losing away games by 28-21 points, with win at Tampa, tie in Cincinnati. Panthers have one TD, four turnovers in last two games. NFC East non-divisional home favorites are 3-4; NFC road underdogs are 4-5. Last three Carolina road games went over total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL Football: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders November 9, 04:05 EST

One of these weeks the Oakland Raiders (0-8, 4-4 ATS) are going to win one but not likely against a Broncos squad taken behind the woodshed spanked 43-21 by Patriots. Oddsmakers looking for Denver to right the ship against lowly Raiders have Broncos 11 point road favorites. Not a huge number considering Manning is 4-0 SU/ATS vs Raiders since arriving in Denver winning by an average 20 points/game. Broncos 4-1 ATS as double digit road favorite with Manning taking snaps, road favorites off a three touchdown beating a sparkling 12-3 ATS and Raiders 3-13-1 ATS following a ATS win the view from here, Broncos crush and cover.


Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers November 9, 08:30 EST

No need over thinking this one. Struggling Bears sink further into the NFC North Basement. Cutler is 1-9 (2-8 ATS) vs Packers, Rogers is 13 SU/ATS vs Chicago. Look for Pack to move to 10-1 ATS following a week of rest, Bears to fall to 1-6 (2-5 ATS) at Lambeau Field.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Week 10 Preview: Rams at Cardinals
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

St. Louis Rams (3-5) at Arizona Cardinals (7-1)

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, at University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, ariz. - TV: FOX

*TV announcers: Chris Myers, Ronde Barber, Jennifer Hale

*Keys to the game: The Rams have a slight edge in time of possession on the season despite sporting the league's 22nd-ranked run game and a third-string quarterback. The key is they have stayed committed to the ground game as long as possible to help protect QB Austin Davis. That formula will be difficult with an injury-shuffled offensive line tasked with handling the league's third-ranked run defense. Davis has completed 64.2 percent of his passes, but he has been picked off seven times and sacked 23 despite good mobility. If Arizona can back him into long passing downs, coordinator Todd Bowles will bring pressure looks Davis has never seen in game action.

After a shockingly slow start, the Rams' pass rush has dialed up the heat in recent weeks -- including eight sacks of mobile 49ers QB Colin Kaepernick last week. The Cardinals have a nice balance of RB Andre Ellington setting the table for QB Carson Palmer, who has thrown just two interceptions while enjoying much improved protection this season. St. Louis must force multiple mistakes by Palmer, who will pick apart the Rams' secondary given time.

Friday injury report:

ST. LOUIS RAMS

--Doubtful: LB Daren Bates (groin)

--Questionable: S Cody Davis (concussion), CB Janoris Jenkins (knee), CB Marcus Roberson (ankle)

--Probable: LB Jo-Lonn Dunbar (toe), CB E.J. Gaines (knee), TE Cory Harkey (knee), DE William Hayes (fibula), S Rodney McLeod (knee)

ARIZONA CARDINALS

--Out: LB Desmond Bishop (hamstring), RB Stepfan Taylor (calf)

--Questionable: DT Ed Stinson (groin)

--Probable: LB Lorenzo Alexander (knee), LB Marcus Benard (illness), RB Andre Ellington (foot), LB Larry Foote (back), T Bobby Massie (ankle, knee)

*Matchup to watch - Rams DE Robert Quinn vs. Cardinals LT Jared Veldheer: Quinn had three sacks in the 2013 opener, a big reason Levi Brown was traded three weeks later and the Cardinals threw $37.5 million at Veldheer in free agency. Veldheer has played well, rarely requiring help. After going sackless through five games, Quinn has exploded for five the past three weeks.

*Player spotlight - Cardinals CB Patrick Peterson: Peterson has been called for a league-high 10 penalties this season, nine of which have been accepted. But coach Bruce Arians insists he's not concerned as Peterson regularly shadows the opponents' top wideout.

*Fast facts: The Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 games and 14-3 in their last 17. They are also seeking their first 8-1 start since 1948. ... Davis has a 113.5 passer rating in the first quarter, compared to 80.3 in the second half.

WHO WILL WIN AND WHY

The Rams have picked off Seattle and San Francisco the past three weeks, so Arizona certainly won't look past their division rival. Arizona's run defense has backed far more experienced quarterbacks into dangerous situations than the inconsistent Davis.

*Our pick: Cardinals 24-13

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Under on fire in recent Chiefs matchups
Stephen Campbell

The Kansas City Chiefs have gone on a tear for Under bettors as of late, posting a perfect 0-4 O/U record in their last four contests.

Alex Smith's squad travels to Western New York for a date with the Buffalo Bills Sunday.

Buffalo is currently listed as 1-point home faves with a total of 42.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dolphins clicking, and covering as a result
Stephen Campbell

The Miami Dolphins have started clicking at precisely the right time, and as a result, have been covering the spread with ease.

The Dolphins sit tied with Buffalo for second place in the AFC East with a 5-3 record SU, and have won three in a row heading into their meeting with the Detroit Lions in the Motor City Sunday.

Miami is 4-1 ATS in their last five games. Oddsmakers have the 'Fins as +2.5 road dogs with a total of 43.5 for the affair.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cold and wind in forecast at Ralph Wilson Stadium
Andrew Avery

The Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills will have to compete with some temperatures and not just one another at Ralph Wilson Stadium Sunday.

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-30s with a small 21 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow across the field upwards of 10 mph during gametime.

The Bills are presently 1-point home dogs and the total is 42.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL roundup: Chiefs activate LB May
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

The Kansas City Chiefs activated linebacker Joe Mays from injured reserve Saturday and waived linebacker Jerry Franklin.

Mays has played 61 NFL games in six seasons with the Houston Texans (2013), Denver Broncos (2010-12) and Philadelphia Eagles (2008-09). He joined the Chiefs as a free agent in March and was placed on injured reserve Sept. 2 with a designation to return. His career numbers include 194 tackles (141 solo), 18 tackles for loss, 1.5 sacks, six pass breakups and one forced fumble.

Franklin has played 20 NFL games in three seasons with the Chiefs (2014) and Chicago Bears (2012-13). He has served primarily on special teams, recording 11 tackles.


---New York Giants starting running back Rashad Jennings did not make the team's trip to Seattle for Sunday's game against the Seahawks and was ruled out.

Jennings has been out for a month with a knee injury. Rookie Andre Williams will continue to fill in for Jennings.


---The Seahawks activated cornerback Jeremy Lane from the injured reserve/designated for return list, making him eligible to play against the Giants.

Lane was placed on injured reserve with the designation to return following the season opener against Green Bay when he sustained a groin injury. This was the first week he was eligible to return.

To make room for Lane on the roster, center Stephen Schilling (knee) was placed on injured reserve.


---The Green Bay Packers downgraded safety Morgan Burnett from probable to questionable for Sunday's game against the Chicago Bears.

Though the Packers made the announcement, they did not say if or when Burnett aggravated his calf injury. After starting the first seven games of the season, Burnett missed the Packers' last game against the New Orleans Saints. Green Bay is coming off a bye.

The Packers also signed offensive tackle Jamon Meredith to the active roster and placed wide receiver Kevin Dorsey on injured reserve.


---The Baltimore Ravens signed cornerback Rashaan Melvin off the Miami Dolphins' practice squad.

To make room for Melvin on the roster, the Ravens placed cornerback Jimmy Smith on injured reserve. Smith had season-ending foot surgery.


---Former New York Jets wide receiver Braylon Edwards told radio station WPEN-FM this week that the team "babied" quarterback Mark Sanchez, who is making his first start with the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday night against the Carolina Panthers.

After leading the Jets to consecutive AFC championship games in 2009 and '10, Sanchez fell out of favor with the Jets and he signed with the Eagles in March.

Edwards, a teammate of Sanchez during the Jets' playoff runs, said the team protected the quarterback by emphasizing a run-heavy offense.

"You have to remember Mark was 20 years old when he was drafted. He was a kid," Edwards said. "They babied him and never really allowed him to man-up in the NFL, which is a league full of men."



---Houston Texans linebackers coach Mike Vrabel wrote on Twitter that his three Super Bowl rings were stolen from his home. Vrabel won the rings as a linebacker for the New England Patriots.

"To all the Houston area pawn shops: 3 super bowl rings are headed your way. Courtesy of the (expletives) who smashed our back door in," Vrabel tweeted.

Vrabel helped the Patriots win Super Bowls during the 2001-02, 2003-04 and 2004-05 seasons.


---The San Francisco 49ers promoted linebacker Chase Thomas from the practice squad to the active roster.

Thomas originally signed with the New Orleans Saints as an undrafted rookie free agent in 2013 out of Stanford.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

High totals the norm in Saints contests
Stephen Campbell

After a slow start to the season, the New Orleans Saints appear to be looking like themselves again, winning three out of their last four matchups and sit atop of the weak NFC South with a 4-4 SU record.

Due to the Saints finding their groove, they've been putting up a ton of points on the board. The Over has gone 4-1 in New Orleans' last five games.

Drew Brees' club host San Franciso in the Bayou State Sunday. The Niners are presently listed as +5 dogs with an Over/Under of 49.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jets causing headaches for their spread backers
Stephen Campbell

The New York Jets have had a nightmare start to the regular campaign and are sitting in the basement of the AFC East as Week 10 approaches.

As a result, the Gang Green have been hurting the pockets of their backers as well. The Jets are just 1-7-1 against the spread in their past nine matchups.

New York faces off agains Ben Roethlisberger and the red-hot Pittsburgh Steelers at MetLife Stadium Sunday. Oddsmakers have the black and gold listed as 3.5-point road favorites with a total of 47.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Strong chance of rain as Seahawks host Giants
Andrew Avery

It could by typical Seattle weather Sunday afternoon as the Seahawks host the New York Giants at CenturyLink Field.

Forecasts are calling for an 83 percent chance of rain prior and during gametime Sunday. Temperatures will be in the low-50s and there will be a small 3 mph wind blowing toward the south endzone.

The Seahawks are currently 8.5-point home faves and oddsmakers have the total at 44.5.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tech Trends - Week 10
By Bruce Marshall

Sunday, Nov. 9

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

DALLAS vs. JACKSONVILLE (at Wembley Stadium, London)...Dallas no wins or covers last two TY, Jags have covered 3 of last 4 after 0-5 start vs. spread. Slight to Jags, based on team trends.

MIAMI at DETROIT...Dolphins 4-0-1 vs. line last four TY and have covered three straight on road. Philbin 10-3 last 13 as dog. Lions no covers last 2 or 3 of last 4 TY Lions "under" 4-1-1 TY, 7-1-1 last 9 since late 2013. Dolphins and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

KANSAS CITY at BUFFALO...Chiefs have covered last seven in 2014. Andy Reid now 11-1 vs. line as reg.-season visitor since LY. KC "under" 6-2 TY, Bills "under" 6-2 in 2014. Chiefs and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

SAN FRANCISCO at NEW ORLEANS...Sean Payton now 20-0 SU and 18-1-1 vs. line since 2011 at Superdome (tie vs. SF LY). Harbaugh 6-4-1 as dog with Niners since 2011. Saints "over" 5-2-1 TY. Saints and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

TENNESSEE at BALTIMORE...Ravens 3-1 vs. line at home TY and 10-4 last 14 vs. spread at M&T Bank Stadium. Titans on 1-6 spread skid, Ravens, based on team trends.

PITTSBURGH at NY JETS...Rexy no SU wins last eight TY and just 2-7 vs. spread overall. Jets also 0-5 vs. line at MetLife this season. Steel has won and covered comfortably vs. Rex the past two seasons by 17 and 13-point margins. Steel 5-2 last seven vs. line away. Steelers, based on team trends.

ATLANTA at TAMPA BAY...Bucs 0-4 SU and vs. line at home TY, no covers last 5 at home. Bucs lost 56-14 at Falcs on Sept. 18 (Atlanta's last SU win). Falcs 0-5 SU, 1-4 vs. line last five TY. Slight to Falcs, based on Bucs' home woes.

DENVER at OAKLAND...Broncos "over" last five TY, now "over" 50-26-1 in reg season since late in 2009. Seven of last nine "over" in series. Denver has won and covered last five vs. Raiders. Oakland 5-12 vs. spread last 17 at Coliseum. Broncos and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

ST. LOUIS at ARIZONA...Arians 13-3-1 vs. spread last 16 on board since mid 2013 for Big Red. Arians 9-3-1 vs. line in Glendale since LY. Rams 4-7-1 as road dog since LY. Cards, based on team trends.

NY GIANTS at SEATTLE...Seahawks no covers last four TY, longest spread skid since Pete Carroll arrived in 2010. Giants, based on recent trends..

CHICAGO at GREEN BAY...Bipolar Bears 1-4 vs. line last five TY, though 3-2 SU away. Cutler finally won at Green Bay LY after Bears had lost four in a row SU at Lambeau. Pack 7-1 vs. line last eight meetings. Bears "over" 4-0 away TY and "over" last six away. Pack "over" first 3 at home TY and "over" 5-1 last six at Lambeau. Pack and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.


Monday, Nov. 10

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

CAROLINA at PHILADELPHIA...Cam very erratic TY, but remember Panthers entered TY on 7-1 run as road dog, now 9-3 last 12 in role. Birds 4-1-1 vs. line last six at Linc. Slight to Panthers, based on extended road dog trend.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL

DALLAS (6 - 3) vs. JACKSONVILLE (1 - 8) - 11/9/2014, 1:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (5 - 3) at DETROIT (6 - 2) - 11/9/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 50-75 ATS (-32.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DETROIT is 34-56 ATS (-27.6 Units) in November games since 1992.
DETROIT is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (5 - 3) at BUFFALO (5 - 3) - 11/9/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
BUFFALO is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
BUFFALO is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (4 - 4) - 11/9/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-1 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (2 - 6) at BALTIMORE (5 - 4) - 11/9/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (6 - 3) at NY JETS (1 - 8) - 11/9/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 93-63 ATS (+23.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
NY JETS are 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
NY JETS are 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (2 - 6) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 7) - 11/9/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (6 - 2) at OAKLAND (0 - 8) - 11/9/2014, 4:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 65-90 ATS (-34.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 65-90 ATS (-34.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 23-42 ATS (-23.2 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (3 - 5) at ARIZONA (7 - 1) - 11/9/2014, 4:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 139-176 ATS (-54.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 139-176 ATS (-54.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 71-98 ATS (-36.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 101-138 ATS (-50.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
ARIZONA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-2 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 3-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (3 - 5) at SEATTLE (5 - 3) - 11/9/2014, 4:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 30-56 ATS (-31.6 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 29-51 ATS (-27.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
SEATTLE is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (3 - 5) at GREEN BAY (5 - 3) - 11/9/2014, 8:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 159-114 ATS (+33.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 4-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (3 - 5 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (6 - 2) - 11/10/2014, 8:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 159-125 ATS (+21.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL

Trends

ATLANTA vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Atlanta is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

KANSAS CITY vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 12 games when playing Buffalo
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Buffalo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City

MIAMI vs. DETROIT
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 15 games
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Detroit is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games

TENNESSEE vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Tennessee is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games
Baltimore is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home

DALLAS vs. JACKSONVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Jacksonville is 2-8-2 ATS in its last 12 games

PITTSBURGH vs. NY JETS
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 14 games when playing NY Jets
Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
NY Jets are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
NY Jets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

SAN FRANCISCO vs. NEW ORLEANS
San Francisco is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

DENVER vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 9 games when playing Oakland
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

NY GIANTS vs. SEATTLE
NY Giants are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Seattle
NY Giants are 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games
Seattle is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Giants

ST. LOUIS vs. ARIZONA
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Arizona's last 12 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home

CHICAGO vs. GREEN BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chicago's last 14 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay is 2-5-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Green Bay15-4-1 SU in its last 20 games at home

CAROLINA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Carolina is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,on the road
Carolina is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games ,
Philadelphia is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL Football Trends

NFL Football Betting Trends for Sunday, Nov. 9

Dallas at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
Dallas: 9-2 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games
Jacksonville: 1-8 ATS in non-conference games

Miami at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Miami: 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game
Detroit: 50-75 ATS (-32.5 Units) as a favorite

Kansas City at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Kansas City: 15-5 OVER (+9.5 Units) in road games off 3 or more consecutive unders
Buffalo: 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after allowing 150 or less passing yards in 2 straight games

San Francisco at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
San Francisco: 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game
New Orleans: 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games

Tennessee at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points
Baltimore: 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game

Pittsburgh at New York Jets, 1:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game
NY Jets: 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games

Atlanta at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after 4 or more consecutive losses
Tampa Bay: 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents

Denver at Oakland, 4:05 ET
Denver: 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games
Oakland: 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games off a road loss

St Louis at Arizona, 4:25 ET
St Louis: 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
Arizona: 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents

New York Giants at Seattle, 4:25 ET
NY Giants: 40-22 UNDER (+15.8 Units) off 2 or more consecutive overs
Seattle: 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a home win

Chicago at Green Bay, 8:30 ET
Chicago: 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games
Green Bay: 104-69 ATS (+28.1 Units) after playing their last game on the road


NFL Football Betting Trends for Monday, Nov. 10

Carolina at Philadelphia, 8:30 ET
Carolina: 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Philadelphia: 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

#1 Sports

Early Sunday's free selection: Dallas Cowboys - 7

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mike Wynn

Bonus Play: The Baltimore Ravens -9½ Over Tennessee

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Razor Sharp

FREE PICK FOR SUNDAY: Take KANSAS CITY/BUFFALO OVER the total of 42

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Totals4U

Early Sunday's Free Selection: Dallas Cowboys/Jacksonville Jaguars under 45 1/2