Dave Cokin
Bonus Play Sunday
The Saturday Bonus Play on Washington State looked good into the third quarter but Colorado really wore down that small Wazzu defensive front and proved to be the clear right side. The Cougars are a solid team but if they want to take that next step to superpower level, I think they’re simply going to have to get bigger on defense. Here’s my NFL Bonus Play for this week.
BILLS at BENGALS 1:00 PM
Take: BILLS +2.5
I think you can stick a fork in the Bengals if they get beat today, and I definitely feel that’s a possibility.
Buffalo is now a Top 10 team on the efficiency numbers. The Bills are also +57 on point differential when stacked up against the Bengals. That’s not always the single most reliable variable when sizing up an individual game, but it certainly indicates which team is probably the better entry.
Buffalo has been its own worst enemy, which is why they’re 4-5 and losers of three straight. But I think that’s also getting us a favorable number here.
The Bengals are pretty much doing what I suspected they might do this season, which is fall back to the pack. I thought the window might have closed following yet another playoff disaster to end the 2015 season. I stated at the time that it was my belief that there needed to be a coaching change or else the team ran the risk of getting stale. That definitely seems to be taking place as this year’s Cincinnati entry is an underachiever.
I’m looking at this as a very winnable game for Buffalo. They might simply be the better team, but beyond that, I like the situation as Cincinnati is shaping up as a down the stretch fade possibility. I’ll grab the available points with the Bills.