These Total4U guys have been Red Hot!
We can just ride them a little, before they go the other way!
***** 2015 AFC North Division Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Cleveland/Pittsburgh over 41 1/2
You Win or we'll email you Tonight's NFL Winner Free of Charge!!!
Early NFL Best Bets
*Detroit/Green Bay under 49
*New Orleans/Washington under 50
*Miami/Philadelphia under 49 1/2
*Jacksonville/Baltimore under 47 1/2
Best of Luck and Thank You!!!!!
NEXT UPDATE AVAILABLE: Sunday Night at 11 PM EST for Monday's Winners!!!
We can just ride them a little, before they go the other way!
***** 2015 AFC North Division Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Cleveland/Pittsburgh over 41 1/2
You Win or we'll email you Tonight's NFL Winner Free of Charge!!!
Early NFL Best Bets
*Detroit/Green Bay under 49
*New Orleans/Washington under 50
*Miami/Philadelphia under 49 1/2
*Jacksonville/Baltimore under 47 1/2
Best of Luck and Thank You!!!!!
NEXT UPDATE AVAILABLE: Sunday Night at 11 PM EST for Monday's Winners!!!
NBA
Sunday, November 15
Trend Report
12:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing New York
New Orleans is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 13 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games at home
3:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games when playing Memphis
5:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Portland is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Charlotte is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Portland
6:00 PM
UTAH vs. ATLANTA
Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Utah is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games
Atlanta is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Boston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
9:00 PM
TORONTO vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
9:30 PM
DETROIT vs. LA LAKERS
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
LA Lakers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Detroit
Sunday, November 15
Trend Report
12:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing New York
New Orleans is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 13 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games at home
3:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games when playing Memphis
5:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Portland is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Charlotte is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Portland
6:00 PM
UTAH vs. ATLANTA
Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Utah is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games
Atlanta is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Boston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
9:00 PM
TORONTO vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
9:30 PM
DETROIT vs. LA LAKERS
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
LA Lakers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Detroit
NHL
Sunday, November 15
Trend Report
7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. NY RANGERS
Toronto is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of the NY Rangers last 12 games when playing at home against Toronto
8:30 PM
CALGARY vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Calgary is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games
Sunday, November 15
Trend Report
7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. NY RANGERS
Toronto is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of the NY Rangers last 12 games when playing at home against Toronto
8:30 PM
CALGARY vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Calgary is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games
SPORTS WAGERS
PHILADELPHIA -6 over Miami
Coming out of their bye with a couple of blowout wins, it looked like the Miami Dolphins were ready to get their season back on track. After an embarrassing loss to the Jets in London, the Fish promoted Dan Campbell to interim head coach and it looked like maybe former HC Joe Philbin was the problem. Fast forward after playing two marshmallows and Miami gets lit up in New England in a game that was never in doubt. They follow that up with a mistake-filled game in Buffalo and lose by 16. These slow starts are concerning. Miami was able to run the ball and play some defense against the trash that litters the AFC South but two tough division games has this team licking their wounds. They gave up 266 yards on the ground at the Bills and their D could be in for a long day as they head up the East Coast for a road date in Philadelphia.
The Eagles overcame some questionable calls on the field and were able to cover a field goal spread versus the Cowboys with an overtime touchdown. Philly is 3-1 straight up and against the spread the last four games. The Eagles are in contention for the NFC East title while the Dolphins are sunk. This is the rare game when Philadelphia coach Chip Kelly will be the smartest guy on the sidelines. The Eagles have some playmakers on offense and a decent running back rotation featuring Demarco Murray, Ryan Mathews and the shifty Darren Sproles, who can break one for a big gain at any time. Sproles is also a key part of the return game and he is capable of giving the Eagles great field position every time he returns a kick.
Coach Campbell appears to be in over his head and everyone knows he’s just a place holder for Sean Payton or the other high profile coaches Miami ownership will be courting in the off season. The players know this too and one has to wonder how they’ll respond to a coach that has one foot in the gutter and doesn’t know what the f**k he’s doing anyway. Tack on the loss of Pro Bowl defensive end Camron Wake and the fact the Dolphins must travel north for the 3rd straight week and this looks like a completely daunting task for them. Miami's D gassed late last week and with the Eagles high tempo offense it’s not going to get any easier here. The Dolphins have only covered three times this season and we don’t anticipate that changing this week.
OAKLAND -3 over Minnesota
Oakland signal caller Derek Carr is quickly becoming the head of the 2014 QB class. The Raiders have covered three straight including a hard fought loss to the Steelers last week. They pounded the Chargers and Jets by a combined 22 points the previous two weeks as an underdog in both games. Unlike Bridgewater, Carr is tearing it up this year and has Raider fans excited about the future. He has an 8-1 TD/INT ratio the last two games while throwing for over 300 yards in each contest. Oakland has had concussion troubles as well. Breakout running back Latavius Murray is recovering after suffering one last week in Pittsburgh. Even if Murray sits, Carr has a nice cast of offensive weapons around him.
The Vikings are riding high and for the first time in a couple of seasons there’s some real excitement behind these guys. The lasting image from last week’s game was a late, dirty hit to QB Teddy Bridgewater that left him out cold on the field. He’s completed the first stages of the leagues concussion protocol and is expected to start Sunday at Oakland. Minnesota is tied atop the NFC North with Green Bay and will battle the Packers at home next week. Bridgewater isn’t lighting up the stat sheet but he’s led his team to a 6-2 record and the Vikings have covered their last seven games with three of those coming on the road. That run of success against the number and overall has Minnesota’s stock much higher than it should be. That makes us sellers
This is a tough one for the Vikings. They’re in the hunt for the division and a home date with the Packers is on deck next week. We can’t help but think an 8th straight cover might be too much to ask here. Minnesota must travel out west and this game could be an afterthought. Next week’s game vs the Packers is a big one for a franchise looking to step out from the long, looming shadow of Aaron Rodgers and the Pack. The Raiders are still in the Wild Card hunt and they figure to be ready to go this week. This is an awful scheduling spot for the Vikings. They have been living a charmed life by having to face a slew of weak QB’s like Matt Stafford (x2) Colin Kaepernick, Nick Foles and Alex Smith among others. They now get a real taste of what a great QB looks like and we highly doubt they know what’s coming. .
TENNESSEE +5½ over Carolina
We’re not going to try and make a case for the Titans here. Tennessee is a bad football team that has very little upside. They also have perhaps the least amount of skilled players in the NFL. The Titans are 0-4 at home and prior to last week’s stunning win over in New Orleans, the team had scored 14 or less in four straight. We would pay more money to attend a quilt festival than to watch the Titans play football.
Situational betting is one of the key criterions we employ when choosing games and so that is what this wager is all about. This is strictly a situational wager against the Panthers. Carolina is coming off that high-profile game against the Packers last week one week after the Pack got destroyed in Denver. Over the past four weeks, the Panthers have been involved in four high profile games that started in Seattle when they won as an eight-point dog. That victory in Seattle put a stamp of legitimacy on their season but the Panthers did not stop there. In back-to-back prime time games, Carolina defeated Philadelphia and Indianapolis before their win over Green Bay last week. They now take their 8-0 record and a lot of celebratory victories to play in Tennessee, where they are expected to run over this host. This is simply one of those very tricky spots in which a team fails to show up and either loses outright or fails to cover. It is near impossible to maintain a high level of intensity in this sport every week. The Carolina Panthers are in huge danger here of breathing a sigh of relief and showing up in body only. We urge you to be very cautious if you were thinking of spotting the points. It’s very likely the wrong approach.
PHILADELPHIA -6 over Miami
Coming out of their bye with a couple of blowout wins, it looked like the Miami Dolphins were ready to get their season back on track. After an embarrassing loss to the Jets in London, the Fish promoted Dan Campbell to interim head coach and it looked like maybe former HC Joe Philbin was the problem. Fast forward after playing two marshmallows and Miami gets lit up in New England in a game that was never in doubt. They follow that up with a mistake-filled game in Buffalo and lose by 16. These slow starts are concerning. Miami was able to run the ball and play some defense against the trash that litters the AFC South but two tough division games has this team licking their wounds. They gave up 266 yards on the ground at the Bills and their D could be in for a long day as they head up the East Coast for a road date in Philadelphia.
The Eagles overcame some questionable calls on the field and were able to cover a field goal spread versus the Cowboys with an overtime touchdown. Philly is 3-1 straight up and against the spread the last four games. The Eagles are in contention for the NFC East title while the Dolphins are sunk. This is the rare game when Philadelphia coach Chip Kelly will be the smartest guy on the sidelines. The Eagles have some playmakers on offense and a decent running back rotation featuring Demarco Murray, Ryan Mathews and the shifty Darren Sproles, who can break one for a big gain at any time. Sproles is also a key part of the return game and he is capable of giving the Eagles great field position every time he returns a kick.
Coach Campbell appears to be in over his head and everyone knows he’s just a place holder for Sean Payton or the other high profile coaches Miami ownership will be courting in the off season. The players know this too and one has to wonder how they’ll respond to a coach that has one foot in the gutter and doesn’t know what the f**k he’s doing anyway. Tack on the loss of Pro Bowl defensive end Camron Wake and the fact the Dolphins must travel north for the 3rd straight week and this looks like a completely daunting task for them. Miami's D gassed late last week and with the Eagles high tempo offense it’s not going to get any easier here. The Dolphins have only covered three times this season and we don’t anticipate that changing this week.
OAKLAND -3 over Minnesota
Oakland signal caller Derek Carr is quickly becoming the head of the 2014 QB class. The Raiders have covered three straight including a hard fought loss to the Steelers last week. They pounded the Chargers and Jets by a combined 22 points the previous two weeks as an underdog in both games. Unlike Bridgewater, Carr is tearing it up this year and has Raider fans excited about the future. He has an 8-1 TD/INT ratio the last two games while throwing for over 300 yards in each contest. Oakland has had concussion troubles as well. Breakout running back Latavius Murray is recovering after suffering one last week in Pittsburgh. Even if Murray sits, Carr has a nice cast of offensive weapons around him.
The Vikings are riding high and for the first time in a couple of seasons there’s some real excitement behind these guys. The lasting image from last week’s game was a late, dirty hit to QB Teddy Bridgewater that left him out cold on the field. He’s completed the first stages of the leagues concussion protocol and is expected to start Sunday at Oakland. Minnesota is tied atop the NFC North with Green Bay and will battle the Packers at home next week. Bridgewater isn’t lighting up the stat sheet but he’s led his team to a 6-2 record and the Vikings have covered their last seven games with three of those coming on the road. That run of success against the number and overall has Minnesota’s stock much higher than it should be. That makes us sellers
This is a tough one for the Vikings. They’re in the hunt for the division and a home date with the Packers is on deck next week. We can’t help but think an 8th straight cover might be too much to ask here. Minnesota must travel out west and this game could be an afterthought. Next week’s game vs the Packers is a big one for a franchise looking to step out from the long, looming shadow of Aaron Rodgers and the Pack. The Raiders are still in the Wild Card hunt and they figure to be ready to go this week. This is an awful scheduling spot for the Vikings. They have been living a charmed life by having to face a slew of weak QB’s like Matt Stafford (x2) Colin Kaepernick, Nick Foles and Alex Smith among others. They now get a real taste of what a great QB looks like and we highly doubt they know what’s coming. .
TENNESSEE +5½ over Carolina
We’re not going to try and make a case for the Titans here. Tennessee is a bad football team that has very little upside. They also have perhaps the least amount of skilled players in the NFL. The Titans are 0-4 at home and prior to last week’s stunning win over in New Orleans, the team had scored 14 or less in four straight. We would pay more money to attend a quilt festival than to watch the Titans play football.
Situational betting is one of the key criterions we employ when choosing games and so that is what this wager is all about. This is strictly a situational wager against the Panthers. Carolina is coming off that high-profile game against the Packers last week one week after the Pack got destroyed in Denver. Over the past four weeks, the Panthers have been involved in four high profile games that started in Seattle when they won as an eight-point dog. That victory in Seattle put a stamp of legitimacy on their season but the Panthers did not stop there. In back-to-back prime time games, Carolina defeated Philadelphia and Indianapolis before their win over Green Bay last week. They now take their 8-0 record and a lot of celebratory victories to play in Tennessee, where they are expected to run over this host. This is simply one of those very tricky spots in which a team fails to show up and either loses outright or fails to cover. It is near impossible to maintain a high level of intensity in this sport every week. The Carolina Panthers are in huge danger here of breathing a sigh of relief and showing up in body only. We urge you to be very cautious if you were thinking of spotting the points. It’s very likely the wrong approach.
Joe Gavazzi
Steelers -5.5
At first glance, this seems like an odd call for our NFL STEAMROLLER of the week. QB McCown, a far better choice than QB Manziel the last two weeks, takes over the signal caller spot for the Browns in this one. The Steelers, meanwhile, are most probably without their starting Center, Pouncey, starting RB, Bell, and starting QB in Roethlisberger. In baseball terms, that makes the Steelers weak up the middle. That thrusts third string QB Landry Jones into the signal caller spot, with RB Deangelo Williams toting the rock. That is exactly what the game plan must be for a 5-4 SU Pittsburgh team who believes they have a Wild Card in their grasp, against a 2-7 SU, 3-6 ATS Cleveland Browns team who has lost four consecutive starts, and scored only 36 points combined in their most recent three games. But let’s get back to those numbers that make this game plan of QB Jones handing the ball to RB William so successful. At the point of attack, Cleveland is allowing opponents to run 31 times a game for 148/4.7. THAT IS THE WORST RUSH DEFENSE IN THE NFL. The Steelers are averaging 133/5.1 overland. They would be crazy to do anything other than run the football against this opponent. Especially after seeing division foe Cincinnati crush Cleveland 31-10 last Thursday night with a 152-69 overland advantage. It’s not like the Browns aren’t losing on this field, which has happened 11 straight times by an average of 14 PPG.
Steelers -5.5
At first glance, this seems like an odd call for our NFL STEAMROLLER of the week. QB McCown, a far better choice than QB Manziel the last two weeks, takes over the signal caller spot for the Browns in this one. The Steelers, meanwhile, are most probably without their starting Center, Pouncey, starting RB, Bell, and starting QB in Roethlisberger. In baseball terms, that makes the Steelers weak up the middle. That thrusts third string QB Landry Jones into the signal caller spot, with RB Deangelo Williams toting the rock. That is exactly what the game plan must be for a 5-4 SU Pittsburgh team who believes they have a Wild Card in their grasp, against a 2-7 SU, 3-6 ATS Cleveland Browns team who has lost four consecutive starts, and scored only 36 points combined in their most recent three games. But let’s get back to those numbers that make this game plan of QB Jones handing the ball to RB William so successful. At the point of attack, Cleveland is allowing opponents to run 31 times a game for 148/4.7. THAT IS THE WORST RUSH DEFENSE IN THE NFL. The Steelers are averaging 133/5.1 overland. They would be crazy to do anything other than run the football against this opponent. Especially after seeing division foe Cincinnati crush Cleveland 31-10 last Thursday night with a 152-69 overland advantage. It’s not like the Browns aren’t losing on this field, which has happened 11 straight times by an average of 14 PPG.
Wunderdog
Saints/Redskins Over 50
New Orleans has a strong offense that is on a 3-1-1 run OVER the total as well as 3-1-1 ATS against the NFC. On defense, New Orleans' 29.8 points and 414.8 yards allowed per game are among the league's worst. The Redskins defense is also weak, allowing 24.4 points per contest. The Redskins gave up a season-high 479 to Tampa Bay last month, and 460 yards to New England last Sunday in a 27-10 road loss -- so good luck against QB Drew Brees! Safety Dashon Goldson injured his hamstring late last week, too. The OVER is 6-1 when these teams meet. The Redskins are tied for #27 with 13 sacks. The three teams New Orleans beat during its win streak -- Atlanta, Indianapolis and the Giants -- all have 13 sacks or fewer. The OVER is 4-0 when they play at Washington.
Saints/Redskins Over 50
New Orleans has a strong offense that is on a 3-1-1 run OVER the total as well as 3-1-1 ATS against the NFC. On defense, New Orleans' 29.8 points and 414.8 yards allowed per game are among the league's worst. The Redskins defense is also weak, allowing 24.4 points per contest. The Redskins gave up a season-high 479 to Tampa Bay last month, and 460 yards to New England last Sunday in a 27-10 road loss -- so good luck against QB Drew Brees! Safety Dashon Goldson injured his hamstring late last week, too. The OVER is 6-1 when these teams meet. The Redskins are tied for #27 with 13 sacks. The three teams New Orleans beat during its win streak -- Atlanta, Indianapolis and the Giants -- all have 13 sacks or fewer. The OVER is 4-0 when they play at Washington.
King Creole
Chiefs +4.5
Kansas City could very well be the SHARPEST play of the Day on Sunday in Week Ten NFL action. If you've followed the line move, then you already know what we are talking about. As we type this on Saturday afternoon, the Denver Broncos are getting 70% to 75% of all public action on this game. That's a lot. But check this out: Despite the one-sided action on the Broncos, the LINE in the game has gone from Denver -7 to it's current line of Denver -4.5! So who is driving the line DOWNWARD by 2.5 points? It's not the squares. It is the SHARPS. That aspect is as revealing as it gets.Quite simply: Squares = Denver… Sharps = Kansas City!
I usually save the best ATS situation from our database for last. But not this time. We gotta let it out of the bag. This AFC WEST Division is one in which home favorites have absolutely SUCKED over the last ten years. Particularly home favorites of less than a touchdown, like Denver. So we are COMPELLED to follow along with this extremely profitable 'division-specifc' pattern…
AFC WEST DIVISION home favorites of -6 or LESS points (Broncos) have gone 2-23-1 ATS since the 2007 season against a fellow division opponent (CHIEFS). In GAME 13 or less, these teams have gone an unbelieveable PERFECT 0-19-1 ATS. That's ZERO 'covers'… and NINETEEN freakin' losses!
Our actual first query into the database looks at what has been the most profitable THIS season for underdogs. And Kansas City falls right into line… So far THIS year, NF underdogs off back-to-back SU wins (like the CHIEFS) have gone 6-1-1 ATS versus any opponent off a SU loss (like the Broncos).
Don't forget that the Chiefs are rested… relaxed… and confident after beating up on the Lions in London Town in their last game. Two weeks ago, they exploded for 45 points in that big win… 6-0 ATS since 2007: All road teams off their BYE WEEK who scored 45 > points in their last game (CHIEFS) versus any opponent off a SU loss (Broncos).
Denver finds themselves with a 'burst bubble'. They were UNDEFEATED last week as they hit the road as a favorite agains the Indy Colts. They came away with their first loss of the year. And we ALWAYS look to fade teams off their first loss… 1-8 ATS since 2007 / 0-4 ATS last 3 years: All GAME SEVEN or greater favorite sod< 9 points off their FIRST loss of the season (Denver).
The Broncos come in at 7-1 SU on the year.. . while Kansas City is 3-5 SU… 2-10 ATS last four years: All .800 > division favorites of < 13 points (Denver) versus any .400 < division opponent (KANSAS CITY).
Chiefs +4.5
Kansas City could very well be the SHARPEST play of the Day on Sunday in Week Ten NFL action. If you've followed the line move, then you already know what we are talking about. As we type this on Saturday afternoon, the Denver Broncos are getting 70% to 75% of all public action on this game. That's a lot. But check this out: Despite the one-sided action on the Broncos, the LINE in the game has gone from Denver -7 to it's current line of Denver -4.5! So who is driving the line DOWNWARD by 2.5 points? It's not the squares. It is the SHARPS. That aspect is as revealing as it gets.Quite simply: Squares = Denver… Sharps = Kansas City!
I usually save the best ATS situation from our database for last. But not this time. We gotta let it out of the bag. This AFC WEST Division is one in which home favorites have absolutely SUCKED over the last ten years. Particularly home favorites of less than a touchdown, like Denver. So we are COMPELLED to follow along with this extremely profitable 'division-specifc' pattern…
AFC WEST DIVISION home favorites of -6 or LESS points (Broncos) have gone 2-23-1 ATS since the 2007 season against a fellow division opponent (CHIEFS). In GAME 13 or less, these teams have gone an unbelieveable PERFECT 0-19-1 ATS. That's ZERO 'covers'… and NINETEEN freakin' losses!
Our actual first query into the database looks at what has been the most profitable THIS season for underdogs. And Kansas City falls right into line… So far THIS year, NF underdogs off back-to-back SU wins (like the CHIEFS) have gone 6-1-1 ATS versus any opponent off a SU loss (like the Broncos).
Don't forget that the Chiefs are rested… relaxed… and confident after beating up on the Lions in London Town in their last game. Two weeks ago, they exploded for 45 points in that big win… 6-0 ATS since 2007: All road teams off their BYE WEEK who scored 45 > points in their last game (CHIEFS) versus any opponent off a SU loss (Broncos).
Denver finds themselves with a 'burst bubble'. They were UNDEFEATED last week as they hit the road as a favorite agains the Indy Colts. They came away with their first loss of the year. And we ALWAYS look to fade teams off their first loss… 1-8 ATS since 2007 / 0-4 ATS last 3 years: All GAME SEVEN or greater favorite sod< 9 points off their FIRST loss of the season (Denver).
The Broncos come in at 7-1 SU on the year.. . while Kansas City is 3-5 SU… 2-10 ATS last four years: All .800 > division favorites of < 13 points (Denver) versus any .400 < division opponent (KANSAS CITY).
SLEEPYJ
Dallas +2
Dallas should be the favorite here..Cowboys season hangs on this very game..A loss will crush them for the playoff race..The NFC East is still very tight right now..Eagles and Giants are not very far ahead..Cowboys will find a way to win this game..I had this one Dallas -2, so i find great value in getting points here..Aside from pure handicapping, do you really think the NFL will let Dallas fall to 2-7 with Tampa and Cleve on deck...The NFC East will be the talk of the town in two weeks when Dallas is 4-6 with Romo coming back...It is what it is in the NFL today...Dallas will get every call they need off the primetime spotlight this week and next....The Cowboys have enough talent on offense and defense right now to get the job done...Cassell should be much better with another full start under his belt...Take the Cowboys.
Dallas +2
Dallas should be the favorite here..Cowboys season hangs on this very game..A loss will crush them for the playoff race..The NFC East is still very tight right now..Eagles and Giants are not very far ahead..Cowboys will find a way to win this game..I had this one Dallas -2, so i find great value in getting points here..Aside from pure handicapping, do you really think the NFL will let Dallas fall to 2-7 with Tampa and Cleve on deck...The NFC East will be the talk of the town in two weeks when Dallas is 4-6 with Romo coming back...It is what it is in the NFL today...Dallas will get every call they need off the primetime spotlight this week and next....The Cowboys have enough talent on offense and defense right now to get the job done...Cassell should be much better with another full start under his belt...Take the Cowboys.
JR ODonnell
SEA / ARI UNDER 44
Analysis: FREE UNDER SEAHAWKS/CARDS NBC SUNDAY NIGHT .... POWER RATED AT 39.22 POINTS... We have the side as a best bet and the free under 44 right here .......
Cards 14-6 to the under as a dog... Seattle /Cards Under as we grind out a W with the UNDER 44........... Booooom
SEA / ARI UNDER 44
Analysis: FREE UNDER SEAHAWKS/CARDS NBC SUNDAY NIGHT .... POWER RATED AT 39.22 POINTS... We have the side as a best bet and the free under 44 right here .......
Cards 14-6 to the under as a dog... Seattle /Cards Under as we grind out a W with the UNDER 44........... Booooom
