Dave Cokin
Bonus Play Sunday
PANTHERS at TITANS 1:00 PM
Take: TITANS +4.5 (lots of +4 right now as well)
The Titans were very good to me as last Sunday’s Bonus Play in the NFL, and I’ll cast my lot with them again today. The reasoning is pretty much the same, but I’ll also add there are a few other variables I find attractive as well.
First, the confidence and energy levels for the Titans are both as high as they’ve been in some time. That happens sometimes when a team makes a coaching change and gets an immediate good result. It’s as if the past just melts away. These spikes don’t generally last all that long, as the regression to the norm is usually inevitable. But I lost track long ago of the number of times I’ve decided to jump on a team that makes a major organizational change, and I’ve been rewarded more often than not.
The Titans should certainly be revved up for today’s game with the Panthers. They’re off a thrilling win at New Orleans and have a chance to knock off one of the three remaining unbeaten entries in the NFL.
As for Carolina, it’s a dangerous spot. The Panthers are obviously playing well and are the superior team. But there’s a reason almost no one stays perfect in the NFL. That target on the jersey gets larger by the week and the pressure to remain spotless continues to build. The Panthers also have to be wary of falling prey to a letdown today. Carolina is off a statement win against Green Bay, and going on the road to face an also-ran like the Titans is the type of spot where road chalk can get knocked off.
If you’re just working off the math, it’s difficult to generate much support for backing the Titans here. But it beating the NFL was simply all about the math, the favorites would never lose and the sports books would cease to exist. On this particular game, the masses will be on the Panthers, especially now that the number has gone down to a point where Carolina really looks inviting. But I will look to ride the Titans train after cashing a ticket with them last week. I expect them to battle the Panthers tooth and nail, and I’ll take the points today with Tennessee.