Sunday 10/18/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Sunday

CARDINALS at STEELERS 1:00 PM

Take: CARDINALS -4

The Arizona Cardinals were the Bonus Play last Sunday, and I’m going to stay on that bus for another ride today. This team is playing outstanding football, and they’re doing it with great balance. Both the offense and defense have superb efficiency numbers, and we’ve now reached the point of the current season to have enough of a sample in place so that volatility is a decreasing element when sizing up the stats.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have had a multitude of problems when it comes to keeping some really good players on the football field, but in typical Steelers fashion, they’re mostly finding ways to post those W’s. But this might be a tough matchup for them. Michael Vick needs to be on the move to have success getting the team down the field, and I think that could play into a real strength for the Cardinals. This Arizona defense is fast and also quite precise. I have a hard time envisioning Vick being able to get through this game without being forced into a turnover or two.

The scheduling dynamics favor the visitors. It’s the second straight away for Arizona, but they had a really easy time last week against the blundering Lions. The Steelers were in a wild affair at San Diego on Monday night that was decided on the final play of the game. Even at the professional level, mental letdowns off crazy games like that are not unusual. Advantage Cardinals on this count.

What’s fascinating to me is that I’m still not sure the Cardinals are getting priced correctly. I have them as the second best team in the league right now on my power ratings, trailing only the world champion Patriots. I can tell you that with Ben Roethlisberger on the field for the Steelers, I’d have them among the upper echelon entries as well. But with Vick under center, there’s a definite downgrade. With Big Ben, I’d make this line Arizona -2. With Vick, I think it has to be considerably higher.

Factoring in the math, the scheduling and what I see in the matchup, the Cardinals look like winners again today. Add in the fact I was on them last week and got paid, and I like the idea of supporting the Arizona side again today.
 
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Jim Feist's Bonus Play for Sunday, Oct. 18, 2015 1:00 PM ET

(253) CINCINNATI BENGALS VS (254) BUFFALO BILLS

Take: OVER

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Sunday, October 18, 2015 is in the NFL scheduled contest between the Cincinnati Bengals and Buffalo Bills. The Cincinnati Bengals kept their perfect record intact last week with a big come-from-behind victory over the Seahawks in OT, 27-24. It was the second biggest comeback in Bengals' history. The Bengals have gone over in three straight games and four of five this year. They have the fourth rated scoring offense (29.6 ppg) and second rated offense in total yards (421 ypg). The Bills welcome back RB LeSean McCoy but may be without starting QB Tyrod Taylor. Taylor has played excellent, completing over 70% of his passes and tossing nine TD's and just four INT's. If Taylor can't startt, they will turn to EJ Manual. The Bengals defense hasn't been all that great, ranking 22nd against the pass and giving up 200 yards on the ground to the Seahawks last week. This one could turn into a shootout, especially if Taylor is behind center. I'm taking the OVER here on Sunday.
 
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Scott Spreitzer

Buffalo Bills

I'm recommending a play on the Buffalo Bills plus the points. We went against the Bengals last week and had to settle for a push after watching Seattle build and then lose a 24-7 lead, before falling, 27-24 as a 3-point underdog. Cincinnati allowed over 400 yards to each of their previous three opponents, then allowed another 397 yards last week to Seattle. They also gave up 169 yards to Thomas Rawls on 23 carries. The Bengals couldn't get a pass rush until they committed a LB and added a 5th man. I do believe Buffalo's offense will be able to churn out yardage even with EJ Manuel likely starting behind center. LeSean McCoy may even see action, upgraded to probable for this one. Meanwhile, this is going to be a test for QB Andy Dalton. The Bills' have the front four to hassle the Bengal QB and they also own the blitz packages to potentially bring out the past Andy Dalton on a few occasions rather than the one we have seen in 2015. The Bills enter on a 9-2 ATS run as an underdog and we'll back them here. I'm recommending a play on the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
 
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Bruce Marshall

Chiefs/Vikings Under

Andy Reid might resort to summoning Len Dawson and Otis Taylor for spiritual support against the Minnesota team their Chiefs upset in Super Bowl IV. Not sure if revenge will even be mentioned by current, intense Viking HC Mike Zimmer (longtime Vikes fans know Bud Grant's troops quickly avenged that "Supe" defeat in the opener of the subsequent 1970 merger season), but that might not be necessary. Especially with the 1-4 Chiefs having dug a deep hole in the AFC with their four-game slump and with key RB Jamaal Charles (knee) now out. Reaching a combined 45 looks a bit much for these two, especially with Vikes "under" 12-7-1 since last year for Zimmer.
 
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NFL TOP POWERLINES

NFL > (259) CHICAGO @ (260) DETROIT | 2015-10-18 13:00:00 - 2015-10-18 13:00:00
Line: DETROIT-3.5 BTB PowerLine: DETROIT-10
Edge On: DETROIT (6.5)

NFL > (251) DENVER @ (252) CLEVELAND | 2015-10-18 13:00:00 - 2015-10-18 13:00:00
Line: DENVER BTB PowerLine: DENVER11
Edge On: DENVER (7.5)

NFL > (261) WASHINGTON @ (262) NY JETS | 2015-10-18 13:00:00 - 2015-10-18 13:00:00
Line: NY JETS-7 BTB PowerLine: NY JETS-9
Edge On: NY JETS (2)

NFL > (253) CINCINNATI @ (254) BUFFALO | 2015-10-18 13:00:00 - 2015-10-18 13:00:00
Line: BUFFALO3 BTB PowerLine: BUFFALO-2
Edge On: BUFFALO (5)

NFL > (265) MIAMI @ (266) TENNESSEE | 2015-10-18 13:00:00 - 2015-10-18 13:00:00
Line: MIAMI BTB PowerLine: MIAMI0
Edge On: MIAMI (2)

NFL > (257) HOUSTON @ (258) JACKSONVILLE | 2015-10-18 13:00:00 - 2015-10-18 13:00:00
Line: HOUSTON BTB PowerLine: HOUSTON3
Edge On: HOUSTON (4.5)

NFL > (255) KANSAS CITY @ (256) MINNESOTA | 2015-10-18 13:00:00 - 2015-10-18 13:00:00
Line: KANSAS CITY BTB PowerLine: KANSAS CITY-2
Edge On: KANSAS CITY (1.5)

NFL > (263) ARIZONA @ (264) PITTSBURGH | 2015-10-18 13:00:00 - 2015-10-18 13:00:00
Line: PITTSBURGH4 BTB PowerLine: PITTSBURGH1
Edge On: PITTSBURGH (3)

NFL > (267) CAROLINA @ (268) SEATTLE | 2015-10-18 16:05:00 - 2015-10-18 16:05:00
Line: SEATTLE-7 BTB PowerLine: SEATTLE-10
Edge On: SEATTLE (3)

NFL > (271) BALTIMORE @ (272) SAN FRANCISCO | 2015-10-18 16:25:00 - 2015-10-18 16:25:00
Line: BALTIMORE BTB PowerLine: BALTIMORE3
Edge On: BALTIMORE (0.5)

NFL > (269) SAN DIEGO @ (270) GREEN BAY | 2015-10-18 16:25:00 - 2015-10-18 16:25:00
Line: GREEN BAY-10.5 BTB PowerLine: GREEN BAY-13
Edge On: GREEN BAY (2.5)

NFL > (273) NEW ENGLAND @ (274) INDIANAPOLIS | 2015-10-18 20:30:00 - 2015-10-18 20:30:00
Line: NEW ENGLAND BTB PowerLine: NEW ENGLAND15
Edge On: NEW ENGLAND (5.5)
 
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NFL ATS

NFL > (251) DENVER@ (252) CLEVELAND | 2015-10-18 13:00:00 - 2015-10-18 13:00:00
Play ON DENVER against the spread in games played on a grass field
The record is 9 Wins and 0 Losses for the last three seasons (+9 units)

NFL > (269) SAN DIEGO@ (270) GREEN BAY | 2015-10-18 16:25:00 - 2015-10-18 16:25:00
Play ON GREEN BAY against the spread when playing with 6 or less days rest
The record is 7 Wins and 0 Losses for the last two seasons (+7 units)

NFL > (265) MIAMI@ (266) TENNESSEE | 2015-10-18 13:00:00 - 2015-10-18 13:00:00
Play AGAINST TENNESSEE against the spread when playing with 6 or less days rest
The record is 2 Wins and 11 Losses for the last two seasons (-10.1 units)
 
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NFL MONEYLINE

NFL > (253) CINCINNATI@ (254) BUFFALO | 2015-10-18 13:00:00 - 2015-10-18 13:00:00
Play AGAINST CINCINNATI using money line against AFC East division opponents
The record is 12 Wins and 35 Losses for the since 1992 (-33.75 units)

NFL > (257) HOUSTON@ (258) JACKSONVILLE | 2015-10-18 13:00:00 - 2015-10-18 13:00:00
Play AGAINST HOUSTON using money line in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points
The record is 5 Wins and 15 Losses for the last three seasons (-18.5 units)

NFL > (273) NEW ENGLAND@ (274) INDIANAPOLIS | 2015-10-18 20:30:00 - 2015-10-18 20:30:00
Play ON NEW ENGLAND using money line against AFC South division opponents
The record is 27 Wins and 7 Losses for the since 1992 (+20.9 units)

NFL > (265) MIAMI@ (266) TENNESSEE | 2015-10-18 13:00:00 - 2015-10-18 13:00:00
Play AGAINST TENNESSEE using money line in home games
The record is 4 Wins and 14 Losses for the last three seasons (-15.65 units)

NFL > (275) NY GIANTS@ (276) PHILADELPHIA | 2015-10-19 20:30:00 - 2015-10-19 20:30:00
Play ON NY GIANTS using money line after 2 or more consecutive wins
The record is 36 Wins and 21 Losses for the since 1992 (+29.3 units)

NFL > (269) SAN DIEGO@ (270) GREEN BAY | 2015-10-18 16:25:00 - 2015-10-18 16:25:00
Play ON GREEN BAY using money line when playing with 6 or less days rest
The record is 113 Wins and 33 Losses for the since 1992 (+55.1 units)

NFL > (263) ARIZONA@ (264) PITTSBURGH | 2015-10-18 13:00:00 - 2015-10-18 13:00:00
Play ON PITTSBURGH using money line in October games
The record is 35 Wins and 8 Losses for the since 1992 (+22.95 units)
 
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NFL FIRST HALF


NFL > (263) ARIZONA@ (264) PITTSBURGH | 2015-10-18 13:00:00 - 2015-10-18 13:00:00
Play ON PITTSBURGH ?>in the first half in weeks 5 through 9
The record is 33 Wins and 12 Losses for the since 1992 (+19.8 units)

NFL > (269) SAN DIEGO@ (270) GREEN BAY | 2015-10-18 16:25:00 - 2015-10-18 16:25:00
Play AGAINST SAN DIEGO ?>in the first half versus the 1rst half line in road games
The record is 1 Wins and 9 Losses for the last two seasons (-8.9 units)
 
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NFL TOTALS

NFL > (267) CAROLINA@ (268) SEATTLE | 2015-10-18 16:05:00 - 2015-10-18 16:05:00
Play UNDER CAROLINA on the total off a win against a division rival
The record is 16 Overs and 45 Unders for the since 1992 (+27.4 units)

NFL > (261) WASHINGTON@ (262) NY JETS | 2015-10-18 13:00:00 - 2015-10-18 13:00:00
Play UNDER NY JETS on the total as a home favorite of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the 1rst half line
The record is 11 Overs and 31 Unders for the since 1992 (+18.9 units)

NFL > (253) CINCINNATI@ (254) BUFFALO | 2015-10-18 13:00:00 - 2015-10-18 13:00:00
Play UNDER CINCINNATI on the total when playing with 6 or less days rest
The record is 3 Overs and 13 Unders for the last two seasons (+9.7 units)

NFL > (259) CHICAGO@ (260) DETROIT | 2015-10-18 13:00:00 - 2015-10-18 13:00:00
Play UNDER DETROIT on the total in games where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5
The record is 1 Overs and 9 Unders for the last two seasons (+7.9 units)
 
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NFL
Dunkel

Week 6


Washington @ NY Jets

Game 261-262
October 18, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
127.020
NY Jets
135.195
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Jets
by 8
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Jets
by 6
41
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(-6); Under

Arizona @ Pittsburgh

Game 263-264
October 18, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
135.285
Pittsburgh
138.257
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 3 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+3 1/2); Over

Miami @ Tennessee

Game 265-266
October 18, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
129.845
Tennessee
128.776
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 2 1/2
43
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+2 1/2); Under

Carolina @ Seattle

Game 267-268
October 18, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
131.408
Seattle
141.886
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 10 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 7
41
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-7); Over

San Diego @ Green Bay

Game 269-270
October 18, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
133.425
Green Bay
140.912
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 7 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 10 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+10 1/2); Under

Baltimore @ San Francisco

Game 271-272
October 18, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
130.498
San Francisco
131.376
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 2 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+2 1/2); Over

Denver @ Cleveland

Game 251-252
October 18, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
140.263
Cleveland
128.457
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 12
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 4
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-4); Under

New England @ Indianapolis

Game 273-274
October 18, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
145.767
Indianapolis
132.545
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 13
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 7 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-7 1/2); Under

Cincinnati @ Buffalo

Game 253-254
October 18, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
135.423
Buffalo
136.223
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 1
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 3 1/2
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+3 1/2); Over

Kansas City @ Minnesota

Game 255-256
October 18, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
131.998
Minnesota
132.807
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
33
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 4
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+4); Under

Houston @ Jacksonville

Game 257-258
October 18, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
122.921
Jacksonville
126.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
by 3 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 1
43
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(+1); Under

Chicago @ Detroit

Game 259-260
October 18, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
123.031
Detroit
133.519
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 10 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 3
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-3); Over


NY Giants @ Philadelphia

Game 275-276
October 19, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
137.652
Philadelphia
134.711
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 3
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 4
49
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(+4); Over
 
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NFL injury report for Sunday's games


ARIZONA CARDINALS at PITTSBURGH STEELERS

ARIZONA CARDINALS

--Out: LB Alex Okafor (calf)

--Questionable: G Mike Iupati (back), S Rashad Johnson (thigh, hip), LB LaMarr Woodley (chest)

--Probable: CB Justin Bethel (foot), WR John Brown (hamstring), TE Darren Fells (hip), S Tony Jefferson (neck), S Tyrann Mathieu (heel), WR J.J. Nelson (shoulder), T Jared Veldheer (ribs)

PITTSBURGH STEELERS

--Out: S Will Allen (ankle), QB Ben Roethlisberger (knee, coach's decision to not practice Friday), LB Ryan Shazier (shoulder)

--Questionable: CB Cortez Allen (knee), LB Jarvis Jones (hip)

--Probable: LB James Harrison (illness), C Doug Legursky (back)

BALTIMORE RAVENS at SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

BALTIMORE RAVENS

--Out: S Terrence Brooks (thumb), DE Chris Canty (calf), WR Breshad Perriman (knee), WR Darren Waller (concussion)

--Doubtful: CB Lardarius Webb (thigh)

--Questionable: LB Elvis Dumervil (thigh), RB Justin Forsett (ankle), TE Crockett Gillmore (calf), WR Chris Givens (ankle), WR Steve Smith (back), G Marshal Yanda (ankle)

--Probable: LB Daryl Smith (not injury related)

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

--Doubtful: RB Reggie Bush (calf)

--Questionable: LB Ahmad Brooks (not injury related, shoulder), TE Vernon Davis (knee), WR Bruce Ellington (calf), LB Eli Harold (knee), RB Carlos Hyde (foot), G Brandon Thomas (ankle)

--Probable: G Alex Boone (shoulder), LB Navorro Bowman (not injury related), TE Vance McDonald (chest)

CAROLINA PANTHERS at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

CAROLINA PANTHERS

--Out: DE Jared Allen (back), LB A.J. Klein (concussion), T Daryl Williams (knee)

--Doubtful: TE Richie Brockel (hamstring)

--Questionable: G Amini Silatolu (ankle)

--Probable: WR Jerricho Cotchery (ankle), LB Luke Kuechly (concussion)

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

--Out: CB Marcus Burley (hand)

--Doubtful: DE Frank Clark (hamstring), DT Jordan Hill (quadricep), LB Nick Moody (ankle), CB Tye Smith (hip)

--Questionable: LB Brock Coyle (knee), DE Demarcus Dobbs (shoulder), RB Marshawn Lynch (hamstring), LB Bobby Wagner (pectoral)

--Probable: DE Michael Bennett (not injury related), LB Kevin Pierre-Louis (hamstring)

CHICAGO BEARS at DETROIT LIONS

CHICAGO BEARS

--Doubtful: DE Ego Ferguson (knee), LB Shea McClellin (knee), CB Terrance Mitchell (hamstring), S Antrel Rolle (ankle)

--Questionable: WR Josh Bellamy (groin), TE Martellus Bennett (quadricep), T Jermon Bushrod (shoulder), WR Alshon Jeffery (hamstring), LB Pernell McPhee (shoulder), G Patrick Omameh (ankle), DT Jay Ratliff (ankle), WR Eddie Royal (ankle), DE Will Sutton (elbow)

DETROIT LIONS

--Out: TE Eric Ebron (knee), LB DeAndre Levy (hip), DT Haloti Ngata (calf)

--Questionable: RB Joique Bell (ankle), S James Ihedigbo (quadricep), RB Theo Riddick (groin)

--Probable: DE Jason Jones (knee), CB Darius Slay (hip), DE Darryl Tapp (ankle), WR Golden Tate (hip), T LaAdrian Waddle (knee), G Larry Warford (ankle)

CINCINNATI BENGALS at BUFFALO BILLS

CINCINNATI BENGALS

--Questionable: CB Leon Hall (back)

--Probable: CB Adam Jones (groin), WR Marvin Jones (foot), CB Dre Kirkpatrick (hip), T Andre Smith (elbow), WR Brandon Tate (illness), G Kevin Zeitler (elbow)

BUFFALO BILLS

--Out: WR Marcus Easley (shoulder), RB Karlos Williams (concussion), RB Cierre Wood (knee)

--Questionable: WR Percy Harvin (hip), QB Tyrod Taylor (knee), WR Sammy Watkins (calf)

--Probable: CB Ron Brooks (thumb), TE Charles Clay (calf), DT Marcell Dareus (hip), T Cordy Glenn (ankle), WR Chris Hogan (hamstring), LB Randell Johnson (hand), T Cyrus Kouandjio (knee), RB LeSean McCoy (hamstring), G John Miller (groin), S Bacarri Rambo (quadricep)

DENVER BRONCOS at CLEVELAND BROWNS

DENVER BRONCOS

--Out: T Ty Sambrailo (shoulder), LB DeMarcus Ware (back)

--Questionable: G Evan Mathis (hamstring), CB Aqib Talib (ankle), WR Demaryius Thomas (neck), RB Juwan Thompson (hamstring)

--Probable: DE Kenny Anunike (knee), CB Omar Bolden (foot), TE Owen Daniels (not injury related), WR Bennie Fowler (hamstring), T Ryan Harris (knee), WR Cody Latimer (groin), QB Peyton Manning (not injury related), G Louis Vasquez (not injury related)

CLEVELAND BROWNS

--Out: S Tashaun Gipson (ankle), CB Joe Haden (concussion, finger), LB Craig Robertson (ankle)

--Questionable: DE Desmond Bryant (shoulder), RB Isaiah Crowell (toe), LB Karlos Dansby (ankle), RB Shaun Draughn (back), WR Marlon Moore (hamstring), RB Robert Turbin (ankle)

--Probable: WR Brian Hartline (thigh), QB Johnny Manziel (right elbow), QB Josh McCown (ankle), T Mitchell Schwartz (thumb)

HOUSTON TEXANS at JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

HOUSTON TEXANS

--Out: LB Jadeveon Clowney (ankle), S Quintin Demps (hamstring), WR Nate Washington (hamstring)

--Questionable: RB Alfred Blue (toe), DE Jared Crick (knee), LB Brian Peters (hamstring), WR Jaelen Strong (illness)

--Probable: G Oday Aboushi (toe), S Lonnie Ballentine (knee), CB A.J. Bouye (illness), T Duane Brown (hand), LB Brian Cushing (ankle), LB Akeem Dent (hamstring), TE C.J. Fiedorowicz (neck), RB Arian Foster (groin), RB Jonathan Grimes (hamstring), CB Kareem Jackson (not injury related), T Derek Newton (knee), RB Chris Polk (knee), WR Cecil Shorts (shoulder)

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

--Out: WR Marqise Lee (hamstring), RB Bernard Pierce (concussion, hamstring)

--Doubtful: S James Sample (shoulder)

--Questionable: RB T.J. Yeldon (groin)

--Probable: QB Blake Bortles (shoulder), C Luke Bowanko (neck), DE Chris Clemons (not injury related), CB Aaron Colvin (shoulder), CB Davon House (hip), WR Allen Hurns (ankle, thigh), DT Abry Jones (knee), DT Sen'Derrick Marks (knee), T Jermey Parnell (knee), LB Paul Posluszny (ankle), RB Denard Robinson (knee), TE Julius Thomas (hand), T Sam Young (illness)

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS at MINNESOTA VIKINGS

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

--Out: LB Joshua Mauga (groin, Achilles), DT Dontari Poe (ankle)

--Questionable: LB Tamba Hali (knee)

--Probable: CB Jamell Fleming (elbow), TE Travis Kelce (groin, neck), TE James O'Shaughnessy (hand), TE Brian Parker (finger)

MINNESOTA VIKINGS

--Out: DE Justin Trattou (foot)

--Questionable: WR Charles Johnson (rib), S Andrew Sendejo (knee)

--Probable: TE Rhett Ellison (knee), CB Jabari Price (shoulder), WR Mike Wallace (knee), WR Jarius Wright (shoulder)

MIAMI DOLPHINS at TENNESSEE TITANS

MIAMI DOLPHINS

--Questionable: T Branden Albert (hamstring), DT A.J. Francis (back), CB Brent Grimes (knee)

--Probable: CB Zackary Bowman (shoulder), LB Chris McCain (shoulder), TE Dion Sims (concussion), DE Cameron Wake (hamstring)

TENNESSEE TITANS

--Out: LB Deiontrez Mount (knee)

--Questionable: CB Perrish Cox (hamstring), TE Anthony Fasano (concussion), DT Sammie Lee Hill (illness, knee), LB Avery Williamson (hamstring)

--Probable: TE Chase Coffman (not injury related), S Michael Griffin (not injury related), T Taylor Lewan (shoulder), CB Cody Riggs (knee), G Chance Warmack (knee)

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS at GREEN BAY PACKERS

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS

--Out: T King Dunlap (concussion), CB Craig Mager (hamstring), DE Darius Philon (hip, thigh), C Chris Watt (groin, concussion), LB Tourek Williams (foot)

--Doubtful: WR Stevie Johnson (hamstring)

--Questionable: G D.J. Fluker (ankle), G Orlando Franklin (ankle), T Chris Hairston (ankle), LB Manti Te'o (ankle)

--Probable: LB Kyle Emanuel (shoulder)

GREEN BAY PACKERS

--Doubtful: LB Nick Perry (shoulder, hand), DT B.J. Raji (groin)

--Questionable: WR Davante Adams (ankle), S Morgan Burnett (calf), CB Ladarius Gunter (heel)

--Probable: T Bryan Bulaga (knee), WR Randall Cobb (shoulder), CB Demetri Goodson (hamstring), WR James Jones (hamstring), G T.J. Lang (knee), LB Jake Ryan (hamstring)

WASHINGTON REDSKINS at NEW YORK JETS

WASHINGTON REDSKINS

--Out: CB Chris Culliver (knee), CB DeAngelo Hall (toe), C Kory Lichtensteiger (shoulder, finger, neck), TE Jordan Reed (concussion), T Trent Williams (neck, concussion)

--Questionable: WR DeSean Jackson (hamstring), RB Matt Jones (toe), DE Stephen Paea (back), WR Andre Roberts (quadricep)

--Probable: CB Bashaud Breeland (shoulder), WR Pierre Garcon (knee), DE Kedric Golston (hand), C Josh LeRibeus (calf), G Spencer Long (knee), LB Perry Riley (calf), RB Chris Thompson (shoulder)

NEW YORK JETS

--Doubtful: S Jaiquawn Jarrett (knee), WR Chris Owusu (knee), CB Marcus Williams (hamstring)

--Questionable: G Willie Colon (knee), LB David Harris (quadricep), RB Bilal Powell (groin)

--Probable: S Dion Bailey (elbow), LB Quinton Coples (elbow), CB Antonio Cromartie (groin, not injury related), TE Jeff Cumberland (concussion), WR Eric Decker (knee), RB Chris Ivory (quadricep), LB Jamari Lattimore (concussion), S Calvin Pryor (knee), CB Darrin Walls (hamstring), DE Muhammad Wilkerson (ribs), DE Leonard Williams (ankle)

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS at INDIANAPOLIS COLTS on Sunday night

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

--Out: CB Tarell Brown (foot)

--Questionable: DE Trey Flowers (knee, shoulder), LB Dont'a Hightower (ribs), RB Dion Lewis (abdomen)

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

--Questionable: LB Jerrell Freeman (groin), LB Nate Irving (knee), QB Andrew Luck (right shoulder)

--Probable: LB Trent Cole (back), WR T.Y. Hilton (groin), LB Bjoern Werner (hamstring), DT Billy Winn (eye)
 
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Total Talk - Week 6

Even though bettors saw totals go 7-7 last week, some of the outcomes were rewarding for some and very tough to stomach for others.

The infamous “Bad Beats” in Week 5 started early on Thursday as the Colts and Texans watched the first-half (20) go ‘over’ with a Hail Mary touchdown. While that was tough ‘under’ to lose, so was the Saints-Eagles outcome on Sunday, which was a 10-7 game at halftime. Those having the ‘over’ in that game can thank New Orleans QB Drew Brees for looking to pad his stats while trailing 32-10. Right after handing seven points to the Eagles from an interception, he decided to run hurry-up and tack on a meaningless score at the end with no time left. Final score 39-17 and the ‘over’ (49.5) connects.

Bettors chasing the ‘over’ in the second half last weekend watched the ‘over’ go 10-4 in Week 5, three of those winners coming in the primetime games.

After five weeks of action, we’re still locked in an ‘over/under’ stalemate (38-38-1) through 77 games.

System Oversight

The Jaguars and Buccaneers were the easiest ‘over’ on Sunday and I posted the ‘under’ in my Fearless Predictions. A few solid users notified me that Jacksonville was playing its third straight road game, which played into a solid total angle that I should’ve followed more closely.

You play the ‘over’ in any game when the visitor is playing their third consecutive road game

Unfortunately I overlooked the angle this season while putting together last week’s installment. Including Sunday’s result this angle has produced a record of 38-17-1 (69%) over the last 11 seasons.

There are three more pending matchups this season and I’ll be sure to remind you of each week:

Week 10 – Miami at Philadelphia
Week 13 – Buffalo at Kansas City
Week 15 – Atlanta at Jacksonville

Off the Bye

New England and Tennessee were both off the bye last week and each team put up a great defensive effort, which helped the ‘under’ cash in each game. For Week 6, we have four teams playing with rest and I’m not sure if it’s a coincidence but two of them are the lowest numbers on the board.

Carolina at Seattle (41)
Miami at Tennessee (43)
Minnesota vs. Kansas City (44)
N.Y. Jets vs. Washington (40.5)

Six Shooters?

The Browns and Cardinals have both seen all their first five games go ‘over’ the number this season and they’ll look to keep those streaks rolling this weekend.

Cleveland vs. Denver: Last regular season, Cleveland went 11-5 to the ‘under’ while Denver was a solid ‘over’ lean, going 10-6. The tides have turned for both teams with the Browns playing to shootouts while the Broncos have been better on defense (15.8 PPG) than offense (22.6 PPG). Cleveland’s offense has been better than expected but this is a serious step up in class for the unit. When the Browns played a comparable unit in Week 1, the Jets held them to 10 points. I believe the Broncos will ground and pound the Browns on both sides of the ball and have this clock running all day. The pair met in Denver in 2012 and the Broncos blasted the Browns 34-12 as the ‘over’ (44) barely connected.

Arizona at Pittsburgh: This total is hovering around 44 ½ points and I believe this game will fall right around this numbers. The Cardinals are facing the travel factor in this game but Bruce Arians team has averaged 28.3 PPG in its last six games in Eastern or Central time zones. And if you take two games last year without QB Carson Palmer, that average goes to 35.8 PPG. Without Big Ben at QB, it’s hard to lean on past trends with the Steelers. However, Pittsburgh has watched the ‘over’ go 9-2 in its last 11 games versus the NFC. Make a note that the ‘under’ is 2-0 with games Michael Vick started and 3-0 if you include the outcome versus the Rams when Roethlisberger left early.

Divisional Battles

Chicago at Detroit: Bettors are looking at a total of 44 points for this game and the last three encounters between this pair at Ford Field have all gone ‘over’ the number with Detroit scoring 24, 40 and 34 points. The Lions have struggled offensively this season and are ranked 30th in PPG (16.6) and 26th in yards per game (321 YPG). The Bears have seen the ‘under’ cash in three straight and have scored 18 points in two road games this season.

Houston at Jacksonville: The last three seasons, we’ve seen the ‘over/under’ produce a 1-1 mark in this matchup. Last season, both games ended with a combined 40 points. This week’s total is 43 and this game does fit into the Thursday Night Total System since Houston played at home on Thursday in Week 5. That angle is 2-2 this season and facing a 0-3 run in this spot.

N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia: (See Below)

Non-Conference Affairs

Total bettors saw a stalemate (2-2) in the AFC-NFC matchups last week and all of the results were clear-cut. After 20 games played, the ‘under’ is 13-7 (65%). We have five non-conference games scheduled for Week 6.

Kansas City at Minnesota
Washington at N.Y. Jets
Arizona at Pittsburgh
San Diego at Green Bay
Baltimore at San Francisco

Under the Lights

This past Thursday’s total between the Saints and Falcons hit the middle as the line opened 51 and closed 52 ½. It wasn’t easy but those savvy bettors who played both ways were fortunate to get a late score from the Falcons and make the final score 31-21. Based on closing numbers, the ‘under’ has gone 11-6 (64%) in primetime games this season and the best result thus far has been the ‘under’ (5-1) in MNF games.

New England at Indianapolis: This is the highest total (55) on the board and bettors should make a note that the ‘under’ has gone 6-1 this season with games listed in the fifties. Not to mention, the lone ‘over’ was the Giants-Cowboys fortunate result in Week 1. This series has seen the ‘over’ cash in seven straight games and New England has been a machine in the last four (47 PPG). If Luck doesn’t go Sunday, the Colts will do everything they can to shorten this game. That will be very difficult to do against the Patriots, especially when you’ve been outgained in every game this season. New England is receiving a ton of attention this week and most will be chasing Patriots-Over on Sunday and we all know that if it looks that easy, it’s usually not.

N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia: This total opened 50 and dropped to 49 earlier this week but has creeped back up to 50 and 50 ½ as of Saturday. Since Chip Kelly arrived, he’s beaten the Giants three of four times and the two games played in Philadelphia were clear-cut ‘under’ winners. New York has gone 3-2 to the ‘over’ this season but a couple of those tickets were helped with second-half surges. On the other hand, Philadelphia is 4-1 to the ‘under’ and it could be 5-0 if last week’s game didn’t get a late punch. Both teams have been sound against the run and the Giants offense is still dealing with key injuries on the outside.

Fearless Predictions

When it rains it pours and that was the case last week. Both total players were clear-cut losers and while I can complain about the Rams leaving points off the board, that’s gambling. Fortunately, the teaser saved us a little face but the deficit was $230 in Week 5 and the bankroll is down on the season ($30). As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

Best Over: Chicago-Detroit 44
Best Under: Baltimore-San Francisco 44
Best Team Total: Under 17 Washington

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100)
Under Baltimore-San Francisco 53
Under Kansas City-Minnesota 52 ½
Under Washington-N.Y. Jets 49 ½
 
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Gridiron Angles - Week 6

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

-- The Vikings are 10-0 ATS (7.4 ppg) since September 2014 after a game where they allowed fewer points than expected.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

-- The Lions are 0-11 ATS (-5.8 ppg) since November 24, 2011 after allowing at least seven points more than expected.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

-- The 49ers are 0-9-1 OU (-8.0 ppg) since Oct 06, 2013 at home after a game in which Anquan Boldin had at least 5 receptions.

NFL O/U UNDER TREND:

-- The Ravens are 0-11 OU (-8.9 ppg) since 2007 after a home game where they allowed at least 300 passing yards.

NFL O/U OVER TREND:

-- The Lions are 11-0 OU (13.0 ppg) since September 30, 2007 at home after throwing for at least 300 yards as an underdog last game.

NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- Since Ron Rivera became their coach in 2011, the Panthers are 12-0 OU as a dog of more than six points -- hence the nickname Riverboat Ron.

NFL ATS SYSTEM:

-- Teams which allowed at least a 72 yard run last game are 58-41-1 ATS. Active on Minnesota.
 
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SuperContest Picks - Week 6

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest is the biggest, most prestigious, challenging pro football handicapping contest in the country. The fees are $1,500 per entry, and it’s all a 100% payback. Contestants must pick 5 pro football games against the spread each week for the entire 17-week season. The individual that has the best record after the season will be deemed the winner.

The LVH Casino at Westgate Las Vegas Resort is a hotel, casino, and convention center, which is located in Las Vegas, Nevada. LVH SuperBook vice-president Jay Kornegay is in charge of the SuperContest.

This year's contest has 1,727 entries, which is an all-time record. The winner of this year's top prize will be given a check for $906,675, plus the top 50 finishers will collect cash prizes too.

Each week throughout the season, we'll post the Top 5 Consensus Picks in the SuperContest on Saturday afternoon and list all of the selections for each matchup.

Week 1 · Week 2 · Week 3 · Week 4 · Week 5


Through five weeks of the season, the Top 5 Consensus Picks have gone 17-7-1 (71%) in the SuperContest.

Week 6

1) New England (849)

2) Arizona (768)

3) Minnesota (547)

4) Buffalo (470)

5) Detroit (412)



SUPERCONTEST WEEK 6 MATCHUPS & ODDS

Away Team Selections Home Team Selections

Atlanta (-3.5) 150 New Orleans (+3.5) 117

Denver (-4.5) 331 Cleveland (+4.5) 353

Cincinnati (-3.5) 309 Buffalo (+3.5) 470

Kansas City (+4) 193 Minnesota (-4) 547

Houston (PK) 201 Jacksonville (PK) 195

Chicago (+3) 121 Detroit (-3) 412

Washington (+6) 248 N.Y. Jets (-6) 361

Arizona (-3) 768 Pittsburgh (+3) 120

Miami (+2) 404 Tennessee (-2) 163

Carolina (+7) 325 Seattle (-7) 267

San Diego (+10.5) 285 Green Bay (-10.5) 204

Baltimore (-2.5) 160 San Francisco (+2.5) 236

New England (-7.5) 849 Indianapolis (+7.5) 152

N.Y. Giants (+4.5) 384 Philadelphia (-4.5) 240
 
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Week 6 Tip Sheet

Chiefs at Vikings (-4, 43 ½) – 1:00 PM EST

It seems like it’s been forever since Kansas City has won a game, as the Chiefs look for their first victory since opening day. Andy Reid’s club has dropped four in a row since winning at Houston, including two losses to NFC foes Green Bay and Chicago. Last week’s home loss to the Bears especially stung, as Kansas City gave away a 17-6 lead in an 18-17 defeat as 10-point favorites, but what hurt even worse was losing star running back Jamaal Charles to a season-ending knee injury. The Chiefs actually put up their best defensive effort of the season against Chicago, stopping a three-game streak of allowing at least 31 points, while cashing its first ‘under’ following four straight ‘overs.’

The Vikings are fresh off the bye week, as Minnesota couldn’t quite complete the comeback from a 13-point deficit two weeks ago in a 23-20 defeat at Denver as seven-point underdogs. Minnesota owns the worst passing game in the league from a yardage standpoint (165 yards a game), but has picked up a pair of double-digit victories at home against Detroit and San Diego. The Vikings own a perfect 4-0 mark to the ‘under,’ while winning six of their last seven games at TCF Bank Stadium since last November.

Broncos (-4, 42 ½) at Browns – 1:00 PM EST

Denver is the only team in the league to pick up three road wins so far, as the Broncos will be halfway done with their away slate after this Sunday. The Broncos go for a 6-0 start, coming off last Sunday’s 16-10 triumph at Oakland, barely covering as five-point favorites, aided by an interception return for a score by Chris Harris, the third defensive touchdown for Denver this season. Denver has won all six meetings against Cleveland since the Browns re-entered the league in 1999, while making its first trip to Northern Ohio since 2008.

The Browns are seeking their first two-game winning streak of the season after rallying past the rival Ravens in overtime, 33-30. Josh McCown torched Baltimore’s defense for 457 yards and two touchdowns, as the Browns improved to 7-2 ATS as a road underdog since the start of 2014. Cleveland has lost four of its past five home games since last November with the lone victory in this span coming against Tennessee in Week 2 by a 28-14 count. The Browns are one of two teams in the league (Cardinals) that has yet to register an ‘under,’ going 5-0 to the ‘over’ through five weeks.

Redskins at Jets (-6, 40 ½) – 1:00 PM EST

The Jets return to the field following a bye week, as New York has won all three of its games by double-digits. The last time the Jets took the field in London, New York destroyed Miami, 27-14 as 2 ½-point favorites, while outgaining the Dolphins by nearly 200 yards as Chris Ivory rushed for 166 yards and a touchdown. The Jets own the league’s second-best defense, yielding 280.3 yards per game, while giving up 14 points or less in all three victories. New York has struggled against NFC foes the last few seasons, going winless in their last six tries, including three straight home losses.

The Redskins have alternated wins and losses through the first five weeks, coming off a crushing overtime loss at Atlanta, allowing an interception return for a score in a 25-19 setback as 7 ½-point underdogs. Washington has covered three of the past four games since failing to cash in the season-opening loss to Miami, as Jay Gruden’s club has given up 20 points or less in regulation four times. The Redskins have dropped six of their last nine against AFC opponents since 2013, including double-digit losses at Houston and Indianapolis last season.

Panthers at Seahawks (-7, 40 ½) – 4:05 PM EST

Seattle knocked out Carolina in the divisional playoffs last season, 31-14 to cash as 13 ½-point favorites and eventually advance to the Super Bowl. Through five weeks, the Panthers have the upper-hand over the Seahawks in the NFC as Carolina is rolling at 4-0, while Seattle has stumbled to a 2-3 mark after squandering a 17-point fourth quarter lead in a 27-24 overtime loss at Cincinnati last Sunday. The Seahawks are expected to get running back Marshawn Lynch back in the lineup after missing the last two games with a hamstring injury. Seattle has allowed just 10 points in two home victories over Chicago and Detroit, while owning a 14-1 SU and 9-5-1 ATS the last 15 games at CenturyLink Field.

The Panthers may be 4-0, but they haven’t exactly been tested so far, facing the Jaguars, Texans, Saints, and Buccaneers, who own a combined record of 6-15. Carolina is listed as an underdog for the first time this season, while going 6-6 ATS in this role last season. The Panthers have struggled with the Seahawks the last few seasons, dropping five straight meetings since 2010, while scoring 12 points or less three times with Cam Newton at quarterback.

Chargers at Packers (-10 ½, 50 ½) – 4:25 PM EST

San Diego is traveling east for the third time this season, already losing twice at Cincinnati and Minnesota. The Chargers have a sour taste in their mouths after falling on the final play of Monday night’s 24-20 setback to the Steelers. The Lightning Bolts have been horrible against the number of late, failing to cover the last four weeks since holding off the Lions in Week 1, while scoring 20 points or less in all three losses. San Diego is listed as a double-digit underdog for the first time since Week 15 of 2013 when the Chargers handed Peyton Manning his last regular season home loss in a 27-20 triumph.

The Packers haven’t done much wrong this season, winning and covering all five games, including three victories at Lambeau Field by 10 points or more. Green Bay held off St. Louis last Sunday, 24-10, as the Rams missed three field goals, while Aaron Rodgers was intercepted twice. However, the Packers’ defense picked off Nick Foles four times, including returning one for a touchdown to help cash as 8 ½-point favorites. The last time Rodgers lost at home to an AFC opponent came in 2010, falling in overtime to the Dolphins, 23-20.
 
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Redskins WR DeSean Jackson out

ASHBURN, Va. (AP) The Washington Redskins have downgraded wide receiver DeSean Jackson to out against the New York Jets on Sunday because of a left hamstring injury.

The Redskins initially had indicated there was a chance that Jackson might be able to play, but they announced on Saturday he didn't travel with the team to face the Jets.

Jackson hurt his hamstring during Washington's first game this season.
 

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