Sunday 1/17/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp NBA Pick, Sunday, Jan. 17, 2016 8:05 PM ET

(857) INDIANA PACERS VS (858) DENVER NUGGETS

Take: (857) INDIANA PACERS Reason: Your Bonus Play for Sunday, January 17, 2016 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Indiana Pacers and Denver Nuggets. The Pacers look to snap a two game losing streak here on Sunday at Denver. Indiana is 22-18 S/U and ATS this season, but has lost three of the last four games. The Pacers have the option to go to big lineup, with Lavoy Allen and CJ miles off the bench. This bigger lineup makes them one of the best defensive teams and was a big reason the club was 11-2 in November. The Pacers are on a West Coast road trip, and with the exception of the Warriors, they face teams that have losing records. Indiana will not be happy with less than a 2-2 road swing here and probably a 3-1 trip. Denver is just 14-26 on the season, but can be a scrappy bunch. The Nuggets gave the Warriors all they could handle last Wednesday, handing the Warriors just their third loss of the season at the time. However, after that big win, the Nuggets lost at home to Miami, 98-95 as a 1 1/2 point dog. The Nuggets have shown signs of excellent play at times, but those are few and far between. The Pacers big lineup can shutdown the Nuggets here on Sunday. Your free play is on the Pacers.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Heath Mac

Steelers vs Broncos

Bonus Play UNDER 41

A low total here that dropped a few points once it was confirmed that Antonio Brown was out. Big Ben is injured and obviously would not be playing if it was still a regular season game. Last week the Steelers were rolling until Ben got injured and it just got worse from there. Ben couldn’t throw anything further than 10 yards and rightly went off the field. However Landry Jones came on and made McCarron look like Tom Brady. The Steelers couldn’t get anything going and while we know that Landry has been heavily involved this week (as you would expect) and the offense will benefit from a week’s training, the fact is that the Steelers will now have no more than half of Ben and none of Angelo Williams or Antonio Brown. Throw in the fact that the Broncos secondary is ranked 1st in home yards allowed in the air, 5th in yards on the ground and 4th in overall points allowed and we’re wondering where the Steeler’s points are going to come from.

The Broncos come into this with revenge on their mind and will be eager to atone for previous year’s failures. The Broncos have transitioned from offensive powerhouse behind Peyton Manning to defensive juggernaut over the past couple of years. As age has caught up with Manning and the offense has been a victim of its success with players signing for big contracts with other teams, the secondary has improved to the point where the Broncos no longer need to put up big scores to win games. Just as well really, when they own the 19th ranked offense for ppg, 20th in home passing yards and 11th in home yards on the ground. The Steelers secondary has been solid all season and probably don’t get enough credit with the focus on their potent offense. The allow 19.9 ppg (ranked 11th) and allow just 89 ypg on the road (ranked 5th) with their main weakness being in the air. However with Peyton Manning scheduled to start after a month or so on the sidelines, we doubt he will come out and dominate. Don’t forget that before his injury, Manning was a shadow of his former self and was throwing picks on a level only seen by Bears fans (sorry Bears fans). The Broncos have put up 103 points in their last 5 games at just over 20 ppg – not great.

This game will be a defensive battle and we expect points to be at a premium. The Steelers were 6-10 O/U on the season while the Broncos were 6-8-2 O/U. The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 15 games. The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games on the road.

For our free pick, take the UNDER 41 points here and enjoy the game!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tony George

AFC Divisional Playoff Game Steelers vs Broncos

Bonus Play Denver Broncos

The publics love of the Steelers from a betting perspective, puts this line currently at -7 at -120 with Denver as a home favorite, in Krystal Clear light for anyone who knows sports betting. The public loves to bet the Steelers in any circumstance and oddsmakers in Vegas know they are going to get Steelers money no matter what, and they still gave them 7 points on Sunday. To be honest that will not be enough based on the injury report and injury news out of Pittsburgh this week.

The only 2 reasons why the Steelers are still playing is number one, the Bengals gave the game away last week by losing their poise and cool, and the other reason is Big Ben and Antonio Brown are out or injured. Well, Brown is not playing with a concussion as ruled out by the medical staff on Friday, and Big Ben has a sprained AC joint in his throwing shoulder, and knowing a little about that injury myself after some research, any 30 yard long or shorter passes with any zip on them are going to be few and far between. I also can assure you backup QB Jones is very involved in the game planning as Big Ben will not make it the full game no matter how much painkiller they pump in him.

Did I mention #18 for the Bronco’s is playing this Sunday, and is well rested? While Manning’s Playoff record of losing 9 times in the first round of the playoffs is well documented, I doubt he gets to double digits this weekend folks. The Denver defense is going to want to stuff the run and blitz the passer, especially if Big Ben is back there, they will be looking to bring the pain and get him out early. The Steelers are also without RB Williams, and while they did manage over 100 yards rushing last week, the Bronco’s will be looking for the run and looking to shut down the rushing attack and force them to throw into a great secondary.

I do not expect a lot of fireworks or scoring here but I do expect a Peyton Manning led Bronco’s team who is well rested playing a team in the altitude who is off a brutal game last week to prevail and win this by the margin. With a healthy Big Ben and Brown the narrative would be far different, but you cannot win on reputation alone and the lack of talent at skill positions of the Steelers in this game is huge.

Denver 24 Steelers 14 Lay the 7 points with Denver early, this line will go up and you are already paying -120 for the 7 on Friday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tony Karpinski

Suns vs Wolves

Bonus Play UNDER 207

Markieff Morris has the left hand, the right hand, he has some great game down in the box. The big PF has been frustrated, but I expect him to do what he can do, to show the Suns that they have some talent here. I really like his game. Minnesota struggles shooting the ball and in particular from behind the arc. They aren't aggressive defensively, and they cannot make the plays when needed to stop the other team from getting into rhythm. The Under is 4-0 in the Suns last 4 Sunday games. Take the UNDER 207 here on Sunday afternoon.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Xander Locke

Seahawks vs Panthers

NFL Free Div Playoff Total Dominator Under

There are a number of reasons why this will be a low scoring game. First of all, the Seahawks are ranked #1 in the NFL in points against at 17.3 per game. Although, during their last five games Seattle has only allowed an average of just under 12 points per game. Carolina is ranked 6th in the NFL in points against at 19.3 per game. Plus, Carolina will be rusty after having two weeks off. On the other hand Seattle is wore out from their battle with Minnesota in the freezing cold. This total won't go over 40 points.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Will Rogers

Seahawks vs Panthers

Bonus Play UNDER

The Seattle Seahawks were given a gift when Blair Walsh missed what should have been a game winning field goal last Sunday in Minnesota. They are facing a daunting task on the road at Carolina this Sunday, in a game between two of the NFL's top defenses. I expect to see a low scoring game in Carolina, and my money is on the under.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Quarterbacks - Russell Wilson was on a roll at the end of the regular season, but he was held in check against the Vikings last Sunday. He threw for just 142 yards with a TD and an INT on 13-of-26 passing. Cam Newton was the hero in the last meeting between these two teams, but he was also picked off twice while throwing for 269 yards and a TD.

2. Previous History - Seattle has gone under in five of it's last six road games, and the Seahawks haven't reach the total in each of their last five overall.

3. X-Factor - These teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last five meetings in Carolina.

Selection: This is a play on the Seahawks@Panthers to go UNDER the total (Free)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Spreitzer

Creighton vs DePaul

Bonus Play Creighton

I'm recommending a play on the Creighton Blue Jays on Sunday. Creighton will match last year's conference win total with one more win and they'll enter this one 12-6 SU, overall. They're in their second year of a rebuilding project and while the Jays have improved a great deal over last year's ill-shooting squad, they will suffer growing pains from time-to-time. However, those pains will come against teams like Villanova and Providence, but I don't believe they'll slip-up against DePaul. The Blue Demons have struggled on the defensive end, allowing 76.6 ppg on 44% shooting during their current five-game skid. DePaul hasn't been getting to the FT line, averaging nine fewer attempts per game than their opponents during the losing streak and they're upside down in assist-turnover ratio, while allowing their opponents a 1.60 ratio. That'll fit the Jays well, who're carrying a 1.31 ratio over their last five games. Creighton enters on a 10-2 ATS run off a SU loss and they're on a 10-2-1 ATS run in conference action. Meanwhile, DePaul has covered just three of their last 12 at home. I believe the Jays will get back on track on the offensive end after a poor showing...some growing pains, if you will, last time out. I'm recommending a play on Creighton minus the points. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ben Burns

Suns vs Wolves

Bonus Play Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota gets a quick pit stop at home against the Phoenix Suns Sunday, bookended between road games. The Timberwolves will be looking to make the most of this home spot after dropping back-to-back games on the road which extended their losing skid to nine games – going just 2-7 ATS in that span. However, we see added value with them as hosts Sunday, especially against the Suns. Phoenix is one of the few Western Conference opponents in a worse spot that Minnesota. The Suns have one win in their last 13 games including some bad losses to the likes of the 76ers and Lakers. This game will conclude a three-game road trip for Phoenix, which is a NBA-worst 7-14 ATS away from home this season.

I’m playing on Minnesota as my Bonus Play Sunday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sam Martin

Seahawks vs Panthers

5* Bonus Play on Carolina -1.5

Panthers finished the regular season with a near-perfect 15-1 straight up record, but still aren't getting respect from the linesmakers and are listed as a small favorite on Sunday at home against Seattle. Panthers were a big seven-point underdog the first time these teams faced each other (in Seattle), but the Panthers were able to play "their game" - putting up 135 yards rushing and winning outright by four points.

That 135 yards rushing was the most Seattle has given up this season, and when the Seahawks allow at least 100 yards rushing this year they have not done well. Seattle has given up at least 100 yards on the ground six times this year, losing five of those games with the sixth occurrence coming in a one-point win against Dallas. More importantly, Seattle did not cover the spread once in those six games. With Carolina reaching triple-digits in rushing in all 16 games this year, and averaging 145 yards on the ground here at home, we have to lay the small number with the Panthers on Sunday. 5* Bonus Play on Carolina.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Seahawks vs Panthers

Play - Panthers-Seahawks UNDER

Edges - Panthers: 1-4 UNDER in this series with O/U total o f42 or more points. Seahawks: 0-5 UNDER last five overall games. With Carolina having held 3 of its last 7 foes to season low yards, and Seattle having held 7 opponents to season low yards this season, we recommend a 1* play in the UNDER total in this game. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo fizzles after fast start

Hondo roared out of the gate Saturday, sweeping with his spread and Over/Under selections in the Chiefs-Texans. And that was it — from there, Mr. Aitch swirled down the drain with an 0-for-6 that made him feel like he’d just enjoyed a sumptuous Chipotle meal.

As for the divisionals, he hopes to get well with:

CHIEFS-PATRIOTS: The Patsies stagger in with losses in four of their past six. Injuries abound, Belichick’s keen eye for detail could be affected by his mysterious shiner and DE Chandler Jones went to the hospital Sunday because he allegedly smoked some “synthetic marijuana” — a clear indication they aren’t for real. Go with the red-hot and healthier Chiefs to make it 12 in a row. Sad to say, but for the Hoodie, it’s on to Pebble Beach for some free swing analysis from Peter Kostis, while Brady gets extra time to work on the upcoming Deflategate appeal.

Chiefs 24-23

PACKERS-CARDINALS: Mr. Rodgers doesn’t do so well when he leaves his neighborhood and visits Glendale, as was proven in the Packers’ 38-8 thrashing three weeks ago. Don’t be dissuaded by Green Bay’s seeming resurgence on Sunday. The well-rested Cards’ defense is far more stingy and manly than the Redskins’. As long as the Manitowoc County (Wisc.) Sheriff’s Office doesn’t engage in some sort of game-altering subterfuge, Arizona should slay the Pack again.

Cards 31-13

SEAHAWKS-PANTHERS: Camelot versus Kamelot. The Seahawks’ charmed life ends Sunday when Kuechly & Co. dominate, Graham Gano doesn’t miss any point-blank field goals and Jonathan Stewart holds onto the football. Count on Newton’s law — for every action … — to prevail: Cam’s profuse dabbing will trigger much misery from the Seahags.

Panthers 27-20

STEELERS-BRONCOS: Don’t be scared off by Peyton Manning’s nine one-and-done playoff appearances or his 0-5 record in sub-40 temperatures or the rust he has developed from not having started since Week 10. Do be scared off by the Steelers’ dire injury situation, namely Ben Roethlisberger’s sprained AC joint and torn shoulder ligaments, Antonio Brown’s concussion and DeAngelo Williams’ injured right foot. The general handicapping rule of thumb is: When a team with a totally depleted offense goes up against the league’s No. 1 defense, follow “D” money. The celebratory doobies will burn through the night in Colorado.

Broncos 23-10

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL DUNKEL

Pittsburgh @ Denver

Game 307-308
January 17, 2016 @ 4:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
134.281
Denver
143.614
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 9 1/2
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 6 1/2
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-6 1/2); Under

Seattle @ Carolina

Game 305-306
January 17, 2016 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
142.882
Carolina
141.326
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 3
44
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+3); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL
LONG SHEET

Sunday, January 17

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SEATTLE (11 - 6) at CAROLINA (15 - 1) - 1/17/2016, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 this season.
CAROLINA is 72-48 ATS (+19.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CAROLINA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-1 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (11 - 6) at DENVER (12 - 4) - 1/17/2016, 4:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
DENVER is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
DENVER is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 0-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL TRENDS

Sunday, January 17

1:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. CAROLINA
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games
Carolina is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games

4:40 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. DENVER
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Denver
Denver is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Denver is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL
SHORT SHEET

SUNDAY- Jan, 17

Seattle at Carolina, 1:05 ET
Seattle: 7-0 UNDER revenging a loss against opponent
Carolina: 6-0 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3

Pittsburgh at Denver, 4:40 ET
Pittsburgh: 1-5 ATS off 3 or more consecutive unders
Denver: 7-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of last 4 games

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS WAGERS

CAROLINA -2½ over Seattle

Over here, we’re all about finding value in the numbers as oppose to breaking down the X’s and O’s. We’re all about over and under-reactions, public perceptions and market tendencies. We can take all those factors and apply it to this game here. Last season, Seattle went 13-3 and hosted Carolina in the Divisional Round of the playoffs. The Seahawks closed as a 13½-point choice and ended up winning 31-17 and covering the number in the process. However, that game was 14-10 in favor of the Seahawks going to the fourth quarter. Most would have sold their bet for 20 cents on the dollar at that point because it looked like an upset was in the making. By some miracle, Seattle scored two TD’s inside of six minutes left and those that backed the Seahawks got a gift that they have forgotten about. Well, this year the venue switches, the Seahawks are worse and the Panthers are much better. Carolina now comes into this game after a 15-1 season and if the roles were reversed, that being Seattle being 15-1 and hosting this playoff game, the oddsmakers would have been forced to make Seattle at least a 7-point choice.

Much is being made about the Seahawks defense over the past six weeks so let’s have a closer look at that. Seattle held five of the last six teams they faced to nine points or fewer. You’ll have to excuse us while we crap in our pants in awe of that defense. The five teams they faced were Minnesota, Cleveland, Baltimore (minus Flacco), a completely disinterested Arizona squad in the final week of the season and finally Minnesota again last week in frigid temperatures. Right in the middle of those games, Seattle faced an anemic St. Louis offense and surrendered 23 points in a six-point loss. Prior to that, Seattle was torched for a combined 69 points by Pittsburgh and Arizona. We’re not saying that the Seahawks defense is poor but we are saying the media is overplaying a lot of grossly skewed numbers and because if it, all we have to spot is 2½ points.

Carolina went 8-0 at home. In their last four home games, the Panthers scored 37, 44, 38 and 38 points respectively. That came against Green Bay, Washington, Atlanta and Tampa Bay. Yeah, we know you’re thinking those numbers are skewed also and they probably are. The difference, however, is that the market gives all the credit in the world to the Seahawks for skewed defensive numbers and none to the Panthers for skewed offensive numbers. In other words, those skewed numbers get applied to the Panthers but not to the Seahawks.

The knock on Carolina was that it couldn't beat a physical, downhill team, couldn't win a big game away from Bank of America Stadium and couldn't conquer the postseason. Big wins all season both at home and on the road have slewed those demons and now they have one more to slew with that being a post-season win. From our view, Carolina has been the better team all season long. They were on the verge of defeating the Seahawks last year in Seattle in the playoffs and so they have paid their dues. It’s time to recognize that Cam Newton is as good as any QB in the league and superior to Russell Wilson. If Newton doesn’t get you with his arm, he’ll get you with his feet. We won't deny that this game could go either way, as it’s football and strange things that no crystal ball in the world can predict might occur. However, if we’re sticking to playing value, then the right bet here is the home team spotting 2½ points because of all the factors mentioned above. This market loves the Seahawks to pieces and we’ll attempt to take advantage of that.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MMA OddsBreaker

Latifi/ O'Connell Over 1.5

Both Ilir Latifi and Sean O'Connell hit hard, so it's not a surprise that the round total for the fight is set at 1 1/2, but I expect both men to be a bit extra cautious early, with an extended feeling-out process until they get comfortable enough to throw down. Latifi has a better chin, but he hasn't picked up a really big win yet in the division due to his striking. Latifi also has the superior ground game and could pick up a finish on the canvas, but O'Connell is no slouch there either. A finish is definitely possible in this fight, but if it happens, I expect it to take place after the midway point of the bout.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

AFC Divisional Playoff Notes

Sunday, Jan. 17

Pittsburgh at Denver (CBS, 4:40 p.m. ET)

Line Movement: Sportsbooks opened the Broncos as three-point home favorites with a total of 40. The number has jumped up to 5 ½ at this shop. CG Technology in Las Vegas is holding Denver -6 and 5Dimes.eu has Denver -7 (+120) as of Sunday morning.

Injuries: Pittsburgh has three key players knocked up and all are listed as ‘questionable’ for Sunday. QB Ben Roethlisberger (shoulder), WR Antonio Brown (concussion) and RB DeAngelo Williams (ankle). Denver QB Peyton Manning was named the starter for this game after missing six games at the end of the season.

Pittsburgh Road Record: 5-4 SU, 4-4-1 ATS
Denver Home Record: 6-2 SU, 3-5 ATS

Head-to-Head: The Steelers defeated the Broncos 34-27 in Week 15 and failed to cover as 7 ½-point home favorites. This number closed high but most books had Pittsburgh -6 and -6 ½ prior to the late rush before kickoff. Prior to this result, the most recent meeting between the pair took place in the 2012 season when they squared off against each other twice. Denver won both games at home, 31-19 in the regular season and 29-23 in the playoffs, which was Tim Tebow’s signature win. The Broncos are 7-3 SU and 5-3-2 ATS in their last 10 games versus the AFC North. The ‘over’ has gone 8-2 during this span. Despite beating Denver this season, Pittsburgh is just 5-5 in its last 10 against the AFC West and only 2-7-1 ATS in those games.

Playoff Notes: Including last week’s win over the Bengals, head coach Mike Tomlin is 6-4 SU and 5-4-1 ATS in the playoffs for Pittsburgh. The victory at Cincinnati was just the second postseason win for Tomlin away from home. Since Peyton Manning joined the Broncos, the team is 2-3 in the playoffs which includes a pedestrian 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS mark at home. The ‘under’ has gone 3-1 in those four home playoff games. Denver head coach Gary Kubiak has been to the playoffs four times with the Houston Texans and went 2-2.

Total Notes: The Steelers have watched the ‘under’ go 11-6 this season and that includes a 7-2 mark on the road. Pittsburgh enters this game with a 3-0 ‘under’ streak. Denver has been an ‘under’ (9-6-1) team as well this season, especially at home where it owns a 5-2-1 mark.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFC Divisional Playoff Notes

Sunday, Jan. 17

Seattle at Carolina (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Line Movement: The Panthers opened as 2 ½-point favorites and have moved to 3 (EVEN) at most betting shops. The total is holding steady at 43 ½ but a few outfits are holding 44.

Injuries: Seattle RB Marshawn Lynch (abdominal) didn’t make the trip to Minnesota last week and is ‘questionable’ for Sunday.

Seattle Road Record: 6-3 SU, 4-4-1 ATS
Carolina Home Record: 8-0 SU, 6-2 ATS

Head-to-Head: Carolina snapped a five-game losing streak to Seattle earlier this season with a 27-23 victory as a seven-point road underdog. In last year’s postseason, the Seahawks defeated the Panthers 31-17 in the Divisional Playoff round. In the last three games played at Carolina between the pair, Seattle has won all three but all of the games were decided by five points or less (16-12, 12-7, 13-9).

Playoff Notes: Including last week’s win, Seattle is now 7-2 in the postseason with Russell Wilson at quarterback and that includes a 3-2 record away from home. Carolina is 1-2 in the playoffs with Cam Newton under center and is 0-3 in its last three postseason games played in the Divisional Playoff round, two of those setbacks coming at home and all the losses were by double digits.

Total Notes: Seattle has watched the ‘under’ go 10-7 this season and the ‘under’ is on a 5-0 run headed into this week’s game. Carolina has the second best ‘over’ mark (10-5-1) this season and was 5-2-1 to the ‘over’ at home. The ‘over’ has cashed in the last two meetings between the pair, both of those games were played at Seattle. In the previous three games played at Carolina, the ‘under’ cashed in all three.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Don't miss your window to get the most from these NFL Divisional Round bets
By AAA SPORTS

Each week during the pro football season, Art Aronson of AAA Sports looks at the NFL odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later and and which total to watch as the week plays out.

Total to watch

Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers (44)

It’s all about the style and show for Cam Newton, so don’t expect the flamboyant QB to morph into an Alex Smith-type game manager now that the spotlight is squaring on him. Newton is going to want to let it fly and that might be a problem, because Newton has shown a tendency to give the ball up.

In three previous playoff games he has five interceptions and a lost fumble – numbers which no doubt the Seahawks are aware of (of course, that Newton and the current MVP-edition Newton are 180-degree different). A wild game should produce more than its share of points. On the other side, be aware that five straight Seahawks games have gone Under.