Soriano12 MLB 2014

[Soriano12]

21-14 --> +5.5 units

Still confident OAK will come back down to earth pretty soon, Griffin seems to be lost for the year now and Chavez got hit today and never even got close to 100IP in a major league season since he mostly worked in relief. So once he or Kazmir goes down, their record should take a serious hit (plus Chavez got hit today by HOU, so maybe the magic is starting to wear off already).
I have a similar opinion on NYY: Nova already done for the season, Kuroda is looking way worse than last year, CC had b2b decent outings but is just mediocre at best nowadays imo and lets wait and see how much movement Pineda has on his pitches after his suspension and if he still has the same control. Either way the rotation is extremely thin because they already have to use Vidal Nuno to replace Nova and any other injury would make Phelps a regular starter...they have absolutely no depth and moving Nuno + Phelps into the rotation will hurt their bullpen. Just don't see how they are going to win 88+ games with a rotation of Tanaka, Kuroda, CC, Nuno, Pineda, at least 3 of those are legit candidates for a 4.XX+ ERA when things are said and done and they will need lots of IP from their bullpen.
Only season long bets I really don't like and which are def. in bad shape are ATL, who get Minor back, and the most obvious one, ARI.

 

[Soriano12]

COL +0 1st 5 innings +116 2units
PHI +0 1st 5 innings -141 2units

 

[Akillies]

do u think there is something wrong with bronson arroyo or does he just suck like malholm


lots of time left for atl to return to normalcy

 

[Soriano12]

I think he is declining, but also still bothered by his back injury that kept him out of spring training for most part...just doesn't have the control he absolutely needs to have with his stuff & velocity: He has already walked 7 in just 18IP after walking just 34 in 202IP last season. And it's not just the balls, but a lot more missed spots, less quality strikes and more hanging pitches that catch far too much plate.
Plus Lee has dominated the DBacks last year.

 

[Akillies]

Rob Biertempfel ‏<s>@</s>BiertempfelTrib <small class="time"> 1h </small> This is shaping up as worst 24-hr period for injuries in past few years for <s>#</s>Pirates: closer, catcher and now Opening Day starter go down.

 

[Soriano12]

21-16 --> +1.5 units

TB Rays under 3.5 Team Total -133 2units

 

[Soriano12]

MIL under 3 team total -110 2units
SF under 3 team total -105 2units

Tampa offense still struggling, esp. vs RHP, didn't even hit Lackey who they consistently beat up on in the past. 1st time vs Tanaka, who has been awesome so far and today gets the gigantic strike zone of Doug Eddings, poor Tampa probably striking out like 10+ times...
Cueto might have been the best pitcher overall so far, 5 out of 6 starts opponents scored 2 or less, MIL without Braun, Ramirez not 100% and only scored 1 1 3 2 1 runs in the 5 starts made by Cueto since 2012.
SF no offensive powerhouse, Fagan rather pitcher friendly umpire, scored 3 and 0 runs vs Teheran last year and Teheran has advanced big time as a pitcher over the last year. 5 out of 6 were under this year.

 

[Soriano12]

BAL -1 +103 2units


Better starting pitcher, better h2h stats, better offense, BAL getting into form at the plate and finally have Machado back, while MIN struggled vs Chen last year and vs LHP in general this year, also after a red hot start cooling off at the plate lately. Bullpen advantage goes to BAL, too, same with defense.

 

[Akillies]

good to see your back

 

[Soriano12]

2-1-1 for the day, Tanaka a bit lucky since he didn't really have command for like the first five innings, push on SF on the other hand a bit unlucky, pretty much every contact they make sails over the fence...Cueto dominant like always, BAL just a bad bet, didn't get anything going vs Correia.

23-17-1 --> +2.82

 

[Soriano12]

good to see your back

You're not the first one telling me that I have a nice back :toast:
Will be posting on & off the next few days weeks because of some travelling, world cup preparation and some other stuff that needs to be sorted out in May

 

[Akillies]

well looks like the market has caught up to kazmir, now he is at an unplayable level. Could lose it, faster than he found it, based on his past.

 

[Soriano12]

If he stays healthy, I don't see him losing much as long as he keeps throwing strikes (even though his ERA should go to the mid/high 2.XX range and his WHIP trend toward 1.10). Very good control so far shown by Kaz with one off-day vs a rather patient lineup @MIN.

 

[Soriano12]

LA Angels -0.5 (1st 5 Inn) +100 1unit

Going against Kuroda, not nearly as good as he was the last 2 season, got shelled by LAA just 2 starts ago and Wilson has dominated the Yankees in their last 2 encounters.

 

[thekeyman]

​good luck pal

 

[Akillies]

now is no time to be taking a break, too much $ to be made, and everyday is party time for you.
man i wish i was there, u could send pics, [of the waves]. seriously you are killin it now.

Atl is garbage, market is catching on.
lots of injuries; josh hamilton, beltre, alex gordon [maybe] all very important. tori hunter.
ventura as good as the hype, if that was even possible, some said he is the best pitching prospect they ever saw. 6 inn 6 k's no runs, effortless 99mph. best part no walks and less than 30% balls. incredible
maybe i was wrong on Milw, O's breakout finally, when i am not on em, they were killin me.

Atlanta has scored one run or less in six of its last 10 games. Over that span they are batting .204 and are a major league worst in many categories including runs scored (17), hits (66) and slugging % (.313). Atlanta has just one win over its last nine games

 

[Akillies]

remember a month ago, when the yankees looked like a contender?