Try to look at this objectively, at least let me do that for the group here. I dont do anything with these plays so no issue either way to me.
Winners is one you usually get day in day out. They're run is 14-9. Lets assume avg juice per play is 150 (Im pretty sure it would be higher if we went back over all 23 plays). Betting 100 per game. Thats 9 loss at $150 = $1350. 14 win at 100 = $1400. Up 50 gross, minus $25 x 23 picks = $575. So you owuld be down $525 playing each play in that run.
Win percentage isnt what it appears to mean when betting baseball. You can do the same math on the others. To their defense, they have had some good straight win streaks on a short term basis.
Potentially can be smoke and mirrors if you do not give units won and units lost, and how much smoke and how much mirror depends on how much of a difference between the two records. Not long ago I posted that Winners Inc had a units winning % of 60% using his won/loss record and net units and assuming all of the winners were favorites. I think his won/loss record was around 65%. In this case the smoke and mirrors amounted to around 5%.
06-25-2008, 01:37 PM #46
crazykind
RX Junior
Join Date: May 2008
Location: now
Posts: 143
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The Vegas Snitch
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do you know what is his website is?
Try to look at this objectively, at least let me do that for the group here. I dont do anything with these plays so no issue either way to me.
Winners is one you usually get day in day out. They're run is 14-9. Lets assume avg juice per play is 150 (Im pretty sure it would be higher if we went back over all 23 plays). Betting 100 per game. Thats 9 loss at $150 = $1350. 14 win at 100 = $1400. Up 50 gross, minus $25 x 23 picks = $575. So you owuld be down $525 playing each play in that run.
Win percentage isnt what it appears to mean when betting baseball. You can do the same math on the others. To their defense, they have had some good straight win streaks on a short term basis.
Wow good LT record keeping . Is the $2775 and $2500 cost of picks respectively accounted for?
With all this talk of hot cappers, it's only a matter of time before everyone here is talking about Wunderdog - Kewell has been posting his picks (thanks!) and records - very impressive!
Interesting note on Minny tonite - the Twins will be facing their 4th Cy Young winner in 5 games tonight (that's crazy!)
<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td class="rotationBox">921</td><td class="teamsBox">BAL ORIOLES, Pitcher: M ALBERS-R</td><td class="oddsBox"><input name="game" value="750629_5_0_1.5_-130_MLB" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">+1½-130 </td><td class="oddsBox"><input name="game" value="750629_5_2_-10.5_-115_MLB" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">o10½-115 </td><td class="oddsBox"><input name="game" value="750629_5_4_0_155_MLB" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">+155</td></tr><tr><td class="rotationBox">922</td><td class="teamsBox">CHI CUBS, Pitcher: T LILLY-L</td><td class="oddsBox"><input name="game" value="750629_5_1_-1.5_110_MLB" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">-1½+110 </td><td class="oddsBox"><input name="game" value="750629_5_3_10.5_-105_MLB" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">u10½-105 </td><td class="oddsBox"><input name="game" value="750629_5_5_0_-175_MLB" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">-175</td></tr></tbody></table>CUBS/BALT change for Balt. ALBERS pitching
While were on the Minn topic
<TABLE class=datac cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahl2 width="13%">MIN
SD </TD><TD class=datacell width="87%">MIN are 9-0 in their last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>