Kevin from MLB Prediction
5 Star Pick = SEATTLE MARINERS TO WIN (-132)
These two met last night with the Baltimore Orioles taking it 7-6 in 13 inning with a walk off win. Tonight the Mariners send their ace Felix Hernandez to the mound to face the Orioles. Hernandez is 4-2 this season with a 3.02 ERA and 1.11 WHIP, while batters are hitting just .230 against him. Felix has managed to strike out 51 batters in his 8 starts, while walking just 15. Chris Tillman takes the rubber for the Orioles, and he is just 1-3 on the year with a 7.16 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. Batters are hitting .316 against Tillman. His last outing against the Royals was his worst of the year, as he allowed 10 hits and 8 earned runs over just 3.2 innings of work. Note that the Orioles are just 8-11 at home, where they are giving up an average of 5.16 runs per game while only scoring 3.89 themselves. The Seattle Mariners are 8-9 on the road this season and 6-2 in their last 8 road games. Seattle is 7-3 in their last 10 games vs a right-handed starter, and 11-5 in Hernandez's last 16 starts. The Orioles are 3-7 in Tillman's last 10 starts vs a team with a losing record, and 0-4 in Tillman's last 4 starts with 5 days of rest. Also note that Hernadez has only given up more than 2 runs in one of his starts this season, while Tillman has only allowed 2 or fewer runs in 2 of his starts.
Give me Felix and the Mariners at generous odds tonight as a 5 Star MLB selection.