SPORTS WAGERS
St. Louis –1½ +127 over HOUSTON
The Cardinals lead the majors with a combined BA on the road of .320. They’ll face a very unreliable J.A. Happ here. Happ has a whole slew of very disturbing numbers. His control or lack thereof is the first warning. In 23 frames this season, Happ was walked 12 and struck out 15. His groundball/fly-ball ratio is one of the worst in the business at 28%/54%. In his last start vs the Mets, a team batting .196 against southpaws, Happ was hammered to the tune of six runs in 4.2 innings. Current Cardinals are hitting .375 against him with 12 hits in 32 AB’s. It’s a small sample size but Happ has been living a charmed life for two years now and it’s finally caught up to him. This year his ERA is 6.94 and his skills verify that it’s not bad luck. He’s simply a very poor starter. Meanwhile, Kyle Lohse has ace-like stats after his first 31 IP: 2.01 ERA, 0.73 WHIP. The key for him has been pinpoint control with four walks and 22 K’s. While the Dave Duncan Effect might be playing some role in his skill resurrection, right now he’s on fire and has a strong groundball tilt to go along with that elite control. Having said that, this one is all about playing against Happ, a pitcher that the Cardinals should be able to punish. Play: St. Louis –1½ +127 (Risking 2 units).
Tampa Bay +122 over PITTSBURGH
In terms of playing favorites and laying juice, the Pens are a risky proposition because of their lack of offense and just recently, their instability in net with Marc Andre Fleury’s shaky play. The Lightning somehow woke up and have been really taking it to the Pens over the past few games. Their defense has tightened up and they’ve gotten a lot more physical. They have the blueprint for beating the Pens and it’s not a complex one. Match them physically and you’re very likely to outscore them. The Bolts have won two games in Pittsburgh already this series by scores of 5-1 and 8-2. Pittsburgh is 1 for 30 on the PP this series while the Bolts are 8 for 25. Tampa has been getting better goaltending and they are clearly superior offensively, Tampa’s special teams have dominated and they have momentum. We’re also getting a tag. Play: Tampa Bay +122 (Risking 2 units).
BOSTON -½ +100 over Montreal
Typical Habs win last night. They get badly outplayed. They have a five-minute power-play in the second period and a 5-3 PP in that same frame and still get outshot in the period. They did not score a goal five-on-five and they didn’t score a goal five-on-four either. The Canadiens scored on two five-on-three PP’s and ended up winning 2-1. The Bruins only scored once but they were buzzing around the Habs net all game long. The Habs will not get the benefit of penalties tonight in Boston like they did in a frenzied Bell Center in Montreal. Give the Habs credit for being opportunistic and somehow winning three games in this series in much the same fashion they did in last year’s miracle playoff run. However, you simply can’t keep winning games and series by being the second best team on the ice every game. Can the Canadiens pull another rabbit out of their hats tonight? Of course they can with Carey Price stealing games but the B’s are clearly the better squad, they’re at home and they’ll leave nothing on the table tonight. Play: Boston -½ +100 (Risking 2 units).