POINTWISE:
OVERALL: 5-10
1*: 1-1
2* :0-1
3*: 0-1
4*; 2-2
5*: 0-3
6*: 2-2
What a story the Vandals of Idaho were, through the first 7 games of this year.
Six wins, including five outright upsets, while covering all seven. However,
their spectacular run came to a screeching halt with a 70-45 loss to Nevada,
while allowing 484 RYs to that peerless Wolf Pack overland unit. Led by QB
Enderle, who finished the season ranked 7th in the land in passing efficiency
(2,666 yds, 62.3%, 18/9), RBs Woolridge & McCarty (1,459 yds &19 TDs), &
WR Komar (1,026 yds, 10 TDs), they own the 10th spot in the nation in total
"O". Defensively, it is another matter, as they allowed an improbable 50 ppg
in their final 5 contests, with a 35-34 win over LaTech preventing an 0-5 SU
slide. They lost all 5 ATS, but by just 5 ppg. Thus, through the whole of this
turbulent season, they more than played to the level of their competition. So
a bowl reward for the 1st time since '98 (42-35 upset of SoMiss, as 17½ pt
dogs), for a squad which had a combined 18-76 record the previous 8 years.
For the Falcons of Bowling Green, this marks their 4th bowl appearance in
the last 7 years, with just one losing season since 2000. Led by QB Sheehan,
their season is just about the exact opposite of Idaho, as they opened at 1-4,
before winning 6 of their final 7, while going 4-0 ATS down the stretch. And
they scored 30+ pts in 7 of their final 8. Sheehan ranks 7th in the nation in
total "O" (3,665 PYs, 64%, 23/6), with scores in 21 straight tilts. WR Barnes
leads the nation with 138 catches & 16 TDs, & is 3rd in receiving yds (1,551).
Thus, the month interim had to be a huge plus for the Vandals, as is the site
for this game. The last team with the ball wins it, in a true scoreboard lighter.
PROPHECY: IDAHO 45 - Bowling Green 40 RATING: 6
These 2 meet for just the 3rd time, with their last matchup coming in this exact
bowl eleven years ago. The Wildcats of Arizona prevailed in that one, 23-20,
as FG dogs. That win secured the 'Cats' finest record in school-history (12-1)
& a #4 ranking in the final polls. The key to that win was holding the 'Huskers'
storied option attack to just 87 RYs (NU entered at 254 RYpg). But following
that win, 'Zona was not to taste the rewards of a bowl campaign until LY's spot
in the Las Vegas Bowl (31-21 win over BYU). The progress under 6-yr head
coach, Mike Stoops, has been steady, with this year's 8 regular season wins
the most since that '98 campaign. Led by soph QB Foles (66%, 2,438 yds, &
19/8), & RB Grigsby (7.5 ypr), the 'Cats have scored at a 34.7 ppg clip in 21 of
their last 23 games. Defensively, however, they've been stung for >31 pts 4
times. But note that 3 of those 4 came vs the 7th, 10th, & 22nd scoring units
in the land. Their 4 losses have come by a combined 24 pts. Ditto their foes
here, as the Cornhuskers of Nebraska enter with a similar 4 losses, & by a
total of 25 pts. However, 3 of those 4 came by 2 pts or less, including their
heartstopping 13-12 loss to #2 Texas in the Big12 title game, when they were
just 1 second from the upset. The nation got a ringside seat in observing the
awesome ability of the most dominant defensive lineman in the country, in the
person of Ndamukong Suh. This season: 82 tackles, 12 sacks, 23 tackles for
loss, 27 QB hurries, 10 pass breakups, 3 blocked kicks. Obviously, Nebraska
lives on its 11 ppg "D" (#1), as QB Lee is just 13/10, altho RB Helu is at 1,139
yds. The psyche edge owned by the 'Cats. Call another Holiday Bowl thriller.
PROPHECY: NEBRASKA 19 - Arizona 17 RATING: 6