Michael Greedy's 10k Lock of His Life
Michael Greedy
$10,000 Guaranteed Lock of my Life
Take Arizona +3 over Nebraska
It's Arizona's Spread Offense Against Nebraska. The winner of this match up will be the on that controls the tempo. I will tell you why Nebraska will LOSE this battle and this game.
I know all the talk is about Nebraska's Defense. We have heard how great Nebraska Defense is the last couple weeks. It's been all about Hiesman Trophy finalist Ndamukong Suh, Nebraska's dominate defensive tackle. You know his name after Nebraska almost took down Texas. I am not going to dispute that this defensive line is great. They are more than just Suh. This defensive line is dominate throughout. But that doesn't matter as much as you will think it will.
Arizona has only allowed 11 sacks this entire season!! They Played USC 41th Best D, 0 Sacks. They played the 12th best Defense in the country in Arizona State and gave up just 1 Sack. This is where the advantage lies for the Wildcats. The passing game. They can and will protect their QB. This is why I am so sure of my selection. If I can notice it, I hope Coach Stoops of Arizona can notice it. The Wildcats can beat Nebraska by exploiting the passing game.
The Wildcats offense is lead by Nick Foles, a transfer from Michigan St. He has been very impressive after taking the starting spot in the 4th game. Since being named starter, Foles has averaged 267 yards per game, 2 TD's, less than 1 interception and less than 1 sack per game. Foles does not make mistakes, he does not hold the ball too long. He is going be to able to get the ball to the receivers.
If you think Nebraska will be able to shut down the Wildcats receivers, please tell me who they will zero in on. The Wildcats could have FIVE receivers with 40 or more receptions on the season. This is a very, very impressive number. Arizona spreads the ball around and will toss it to the open man. Nebraska will not be able to max cover every one. Unlike Texas, where Nebraska could focus on Shipley, Arizona has multiple weapons. If we had to pick the best, it would be Criner the 6'4 wideout that averages 13 yards per reception. I don't know which wideout will have a big game, but I know Arizona will be able to move the ball through the air.
Once the Wildcats come out firing, I expect the running game to open up some. Arizona absolutely can run the ball. This will be a challenge against Nebraska's defensive line, but for the first time in a long while, Arizona will have it's top 2 backs healthy. Nicholas Grisby will finally be healthy after dealing with a shoulder injury. He will have fresh legs after only have 75 carries this season. In his career, Grigsby has 450 carries for 2416 yards. Do the math, that is 5.4 yards per carry! This is back that can do it all, and Arizona will benefit having him back, although, the run game is not the reason Arizona wins this game.
I told you the key to this match up is Arizona's ability to throw the ball. If I had to pick a 2nd key, it would be how horrific Nebraska's offense truly is. Against top 15 opponents Virginia Tech and Texas, the Cornhuskers produced ZERO touchdowns and nine field goals in eight quarters of play. Nebraska ranks 102nd nation in total offense. They had FEWER than 270 yards in in 4 of there 5 final games. This is just ridiculously bad, and it is the reason why Nebraska will simply not be able to keep up with Arizona scoring. Allow me to tribute Madden: If you didn't know, the team that scores the most, will win the game. Nebraska simply cannot outscore Arizona.
Arizona's Coach Stoops has successful rebuilt this franchise. This is Arizona's biggest game since its 1998 Season. Arizona played in the Holiday Bowl against Nebraska. Nebraska was a 3 point favorite, much like today, and lost outright. I expect the same, exact outcome tonight. Arizona actually opened up this game as a 1 point favorite. Vegas thought they should of been a favorite, but all the national attention that Nebraska has gotten has drove the public and the line to +3. I will take the field goal, and I will watch this Arizona team win us $10,000.
Michael Greedy's $10,000 Guaranteed Winner:
Arizona +3