Service Plays Wednesday 11/18/09

[mp5070]

Win-or-lose

NCAA Football
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
301 C Mich -14 -105 $9

National Football League
Rot# Team Spread/Type Line Wager
Last week we went 12 - 3 - 1
*** No Games

National Hockey League
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
1 FL +1.5 -174 $7
1 FL ML +179 $3
4 DET ML -160 $5
6 MIN ML -135 $12
8 ED ML -125 $10
9 PHIL ML -115 $15
10 PHL / LA UN 5.5 +100 $7

 

[mp5070]

Ferringo

3.5-Unit Play. Take #541 Nebraska (-1) over St. Louis (8 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 18)


2.5-Unit Play. Take #537 Butler (-4.5) over Northwestern (8 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 18)


2-Unit Play. Take #551 Arkansas State (-5) over SE Missouri State (8 p.m., Wed., Nov. 18)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #539 Utah State (+3) over Utah (8 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 18)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #527 VCU (-6.5) over Western Michigan (7 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 18)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #535 Kent State (-3) over Youngstown State (7:30 p.m., Wed., Nov. 18)


1-Unit Play. Take #533 Cornell (-3) over Massachusetts (7:30 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 18)


2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #527 VCU (-1.5) over Western Michigan (7 p.m.) AND Take #543 UNLV (-1.5) over Nevada (10:30 p.m.)


1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #539 Utah State (+8) over Utah (8 p.m.) AND Take #537 Butler (+0.5) over Northwestern (8 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 18)

 

[mp5070]

Randall the Handle

NHL

MINNESOTA -½ +1.15 over Phoenix Pinnacle
The Wild return home from a four-game trip but unlike years gone by, teams returning home from a trip are not coming up lame and the Wild are in no position to take a night off after losing three straight. Two of those games went into OT and as a result of that the Wild have picked up points in six of its last eight games. Furthermore, they own the Coyotes at the Excel Energy Center, as they’ve beaten Phoenix seven straight games there and have outscored them 27-9 over that stretch dating back to ’06. Against the Wild, Ilya Bryzgalov has a 1-7 record, a GAA of 3.42 and a save percentage of .891. As for the Coyotes, well, they’re in somewhat of a funk with just two wins in its last eight and a slew of significant injuries. The Coyotes have three of its top defensemen out and not only do they lose their talents but they lose their grit as well. The Wild have always been a damn good home team and in fact, they’ve won eight of its last 10 at home. Minnesota is playing a lot better these days despite the three-game losing streak. They come to play almost every night and after a brutal first period against the Canes and falling victim to the Canes, one would expect a big bounce back tonight. Play: Minnesota -½ +1.15 (Risking 2 units).


NBA

MEMPHIS –5 over L.A. Clippers Pinnacle
One really has to wonder how the Clip Joint is going to compete tonight. They appeared gassed and completely subdued last night after losing to the Hornets for the second time in eight days. Now they’ll travel again to play its third game in four nights and the tail end of back-to-backs. Furthermore, they lost Kareem Rush and he joins guards Eric Gordon and Blake Griffin and now the Clippers have nobody to run the offense. This team is mentally and physically fatigued and they’ll play a rested Memphis team that’s coming off a win. One win does wonders to team moral and the Iverson distraction is now a thing of the past as well. What you can count on is a Grizz team that should absolutely dominate the boards and play to its potential. This is a highly talented team off to a bad start and they couldn’t have handpicked a better opponent to make it two straight. Play: Memphis –5 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).

MILWAUKEE/New Jersey under 189 Pinnacle
Focus for the Bucks could be way off tonight after facing Denver, Dallas and Golden State and then playing an 0-11 team at home. The Bucks have won five of six and this looks like a “breather” game for them and might be treated as such. Furthermore, after playing that trio of very up-tempo games in which all three games exceeded this total by 20 points or more, the line here is a bit enticing but be very cautious. You see, Dallas, Denver and the Warriors play a run and gun style so it’s no surprise those three games went over. In fact, the books posted a total of 193 against Dallas and now this game is just four points lower? The Nets can barely hit 80 points against anyone and they’re very aware that they’re not going to outscore anyone in an up-tempo game; no way, no how. So either the books were way off in their Dallas/Milwaukee total or they’re way off here. You make the call. Play: Milwaukee/New Jersey under 189 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

 

[nhanweezy]

can someone post Tony George NBA play?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lang write up
20 dime Cmichigan
5 dime Atlanta

Wednesday's Selections ... 20 DIME - CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS - (if line is 14 1/2, you buy the 1/2 and only lay 14.) - Going to ride the Chippewas again tonight.

First of all, love the line move here as this line opened CMU -17, and has moved all the way down to 14. My guess is the public is jumping on Ball State because of their impressive effort last week versus Northern Illinois.

Trust me folks, NIU is not to be confused with Central Michigan.

NIU is one dimensional. The rely on the run, and are not known for putting up big points and forcing you to open up your offense. Fact of the matter is, Ball State matched up really well with NIU.

They don't match up at all with CMU.

Last week after falling behind Toledo 14-7 on the opening play of the 2nd quarter on National TV, Central Michigan exploded for 49 unanswered points for a 56-28 rout.

I am talking about a Toledo team that has the 22nd overall offense in the country coming in and they couldn't keep up with this CMU offense.

So my question tonight is this. How is Ball State going to match points with the 109th ranked offense because trust me folks they are not going to shut down CMU.

CMU is smart enough to force Ball State to throw to beat them and for my dollar I don't think Tanner Justice is up for the task tonight.

Ball State was thrilled with his 11 of 19 performance for 139 yards last week at Northern Illinois, but that isn't going to be enough to get it done here.

I really feel people are missing this game because they feel Northern Illinois and Central Michigan are about even since they will be playing next week for the MAC West title, but quite frankly that is like comparing apples to oranges.

Unlike Northern Illinois, CMU is an offensive juggernaut right now, peaking at just the right time playing their best football of the entire year.

CMU has covered every game this year with exception to their 20-13 road win at Buffalo laying 9 1/2 and at Boston College as a 5 1/2 point dog losing 31-10.

This is the class of the entire MAC conference playing an inferior opponent who has one win this year against Eastern Michigan. For the life of me I can't see Ball State staying within 21 points of Central Michigan tonight.

I have a Central Michigan offense that has put up over 400 yards total offense in all 6 of their MAC games this year and in 3 of those they put up over 500 yards total offense against Akron, Eastern Michigan and Toledo.

The bottom line is Ball State will not be able to hold up defensively for 60 minutes in this game against CMU and they are going to have to match points and they don't have the offense to do that against a pretty darn good CMU stop unit.

CMU is ranked 33rd stopping the run, 21st in scoring defense and that does not bode well for a average at best Ball State offense.

I will jump all over CMU tonight, go against the line move and look for a 3 touchdown win for Central tonight.

5 DIME - ATLANTA HAWKS - I said on Monday, you don't start rolling into Boston as a double-digit road dog, and beat the Celtics by double digits unless you are playing your best basketball of the year.

I jumped on the Hawks against the Blazers on Monday night and they got it done for me in OT, and I will come right back with them here against the Heat.

I said going into Monday that Atlanta was on a tear since their double digit loss at Charlotte, a game I had the Bobcats as a 5 dime winner.

With exception of that no show by Atlanta, they have now covered every single game this year. Think about that folks.

Atlanta has won their 4 home games this year by 11 over the Pacers, 11 over the Wizards, 25 over Denver, 23 over the Hornets and covering the 3 1/2 over the Blazers.

Now they catch the Heat off a home loss to the Thunder and playing only their 3rd road game of the year, the fewest among any NBA team this year.

Perfect set up for the Hawks as they roll to a double digit win.

5 DIME - UTAH STATE AGGIES - Ok, so let me get this straight...

Idaho goes into Utah as a 10 point underdog and beats the Utes outright 94-87 and now Utah is laying 3 1/2 to the best team in the WAC in Utah State?

Utah lost their starting center in Nevill along with their other 3 top scorers, so as you can see, not an easy task losing your top 4 scorers from a year ago as you can see from their outright loss to Idaho.

Just like the Vandals, Utah State returns 4 starters from last years squad that combined for 186 starts and 239 games played as a group in their Utah State careers.

Plus they get back 6' 8" sophmore Nate Bendall, who played for the Aggies his freshman year, went on a mission and now comes back home.

He spent a year at Salt Lake Community College where he led them to the NJCAA National championship. The kid can flat out play.

The leader of this crew is senior point guard Jared Quayle, who scored in double digits in 24 of their final 28 games last year and along with Tyler Newbold won't miss a beat in the backcourt.

In their season opener they rolled into Weber State as a 3 point road favorite and delivered a 66-60 win and now off that tune up game get a crack at their in-state rival Utah.

There is no doubt in my mind that for one of the few times Utah State is flat out the better team and I fully expect them to do just as Idaho did, deliver the outright win.

FREE SELECTION - BUFFALO-MIAMI-OHIO OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hammer's NHL Picks (11/18)
10 Dimes: Florida/Buffalo Under 5.5 -115
10 Dimes: Dallas/Detroit Over 5.5 -120
10 Dimes: Philadelphia Flyers -120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Morrison NHL system 11/18
[A] Florida Panthers 11/18/09 Wed @Buffalo
[A] Philadelphia Flyers 11/18/09 Wed @Los Angeles

ADDED PLAY

John Morrison's pick(s) for November 18 2009
Ball State +16 This game is against Central Michigan at 8:00 PM ET

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LT Profits

CFB

Buffalo/Miami-Ohio OVER 52 -110
Buffalo -2.5 -110 (First Half)
Buffalo/Miami-Ohio OVER 25.5 -110 (First Half)

NBA

Knicks/Pacers OVER 217.5 -105

CBB

Cornell -2.5 -108

 

[golfball]

Goodfella has his NBA GOW going tonight. 18-8 last 26 GOW plays

Dwayne Bryant has Monster NBA Best Bet tonight. 12-3 All sports run.

Please post if you get them. I'll give you Spartans NBA plays:

1* Ind -6.5
1* Mem -5
1* Hou -6

 

[spartyon]

ATS LOCK CLUB AND TOTALS
3 on Ball St +15.5
3 on the over 52 Buf/mia gm

 

[cantlose+]

Copied from Joey Torelli's site

Couldnt hit with the Sharks yesterday but tonight we'll be cashing in a 10* Premium Wise Guy Play!!! 10* Premiums are very rare plays. Look for a mismatch!!!

We have a Bonus Play also...
3* C. Michigan at Ball State Under 50

 

[cork999]

Jeff Benton
Wednesday's College Football winner ... 15 Dime: BALL STATE (plus the points vs. Central Michigan)


Ball State

Don’t be fooled by Ball State’s 1-9 record. The Cardinals have been playing much better football since the start of October. They were competitive in losses to Toledo (37-30 at home), Temple (24-19 on the road), Ohio (20-17 at home) and Northern Illinois (26-20 on the road), covering the pointspread in the latter three. Keep in mind that Temple (8-2 overall, 6-0 in the MAC) and Ohio (7-3, 5-1 in the MAC) are the top two teams in the MAC’s East Division, while Northern Illinois (7-3, 5-1 in the MAC) is second to Central Michigan in the West Division. So Ball State lost to three of the league’s top four teams by a total of 14 points, and two of those games were on the road … and tonight, the Cardinals are catching that exact number (two touchdowns) at home against the MAC’s best team, Central Michigan.

Now, ordinarily, I’d still have tough time going against Central Michigan even at this price, simply because the Chippewas are very clearly the class of the MAC. But this is a very unique situation, and here’s why: Next week, Central Michigan hosts Northern Illinois, and no matter happens in this game tonight, the Chippewas at the very least will be playing for the division title next week. And if Northern Illinois loses at Ohio on Saturday – a very distinct possibility – then a simple victory tonight gives Central Michigan the division crown.

The point: There’s a very, very good chance that the Chippewas sleepwalk through this game tonight – or at the very least, play things close to the vest and make sure they leave Ball State healthy just in case next week’s game against Northern Illinois does have meaning. At the same time, is there any reason to think the Cardinals won’t come to play? Just like they came to play against Temple, Northern Illinois and Ohio? Of course they’ll come to play. After all, it’s Ball State’s final home game … it’s on national TV … it’s against the league’s best team … and it is, basically, the Cardinals’ bowl game. You better believe they’re showing up fully focused, fully motivated and with a throw-caution-to-the-wind game plan.

One more to factor to consider: Central Michigan is hitting the road for the fourth time in its last five games, fifth time in its last seven games and the seventh time in 11 games this season. In those six previous road outings, the Chippewas have four wins and two losses. The two losses were double-digit defeats, while the four victories came by 2, 7, 11 and 14 points. Doesn’t seem all that far-fetched that Ball State can stay within two touchdowns, now does it?

Throw in the fact that the Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games when catching 10½ points or more and 4-0 ATS in their last four as a home underdog in that price range, and this pointspread becomes even more enticing.

Bottom line: I know the records suggest otherwise, but because of the unique circumstances – a meaningless game for Central Michigan; a fired-up Ball State team playing its final home game on national TV – I have little doubt this is going to be a competitive ball game from start to finish. And while I do believe Central Michigan will pull away late walk off with a win, I’m also certain Ball State will stay within this spread the entire way. Take the points.


BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED----GL GUYS

 

[Pepi]

Deano's Agent Plays

he's doing very well with these, so here ya go


HRC Smart Choice* Your Best Bets Agent-November 18th

Thank You for your Purchase!

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

-=HIGH ROLLER CLUB AGENT ADVISERY=-


*Figure In Juice*
=============================
(♦) = % of bankroll and/or Units Recomended
=============================
*******************************
Pick: FLYERS (-115) || -------------
Class: -=Methodical=-
B. Type: Straight
Amount: 2♦
*******************************

Estimate: +44♦

 

[mp5070]

ADDED PLAYS

WIN OR LOSE

National Basketball Association (Remember we are Buying 2 Points)
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
508 IND -4.5 -150 $13
510 ORL -9 -150 $8
523 DET +11.5 -150 $19

NCAA Basketball (We are buying 2 points on each game)
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
527 Vir Common -4.5 -150 $7
554 Texas -23.5 -150 $10
Reply With Quote

 

[hoop121]

NM, I figured it out.

RAS

1* Loyola Marymount
1* SE Missouri St
1* Central Michigan (basketball)

He's 9-8-1 in college basketball so far

 

[Born2Booze]

Mac monster

15* ball st + 14.5

 

[SMITTYWANTSWINNERS]

NM, I figured it out.

RAS

1* Loyola Marymount
1* SE Missouri St
1* Central Michigan (basketball)

He's 9-8-1 in college basketball so far

It's 2 units on LMU

 

[marfa5]

Stephen Nover

Wednesday night ...
25 Dime WIZARDS
20 Dime OVER Buffalo/Miami-O


25 Dime WIZARDS - The standings show Washington with one of the worst records in the league at 2-7. Cleveland, of course, is an elite team. There's no finer player than LeBron James.

But the Wizards are a very live 'dog in this spot. This is a rare nationally televised game for Washington being on ESPN. It's the season debut of Antawn Jamison, who has missed every game because of a shoulder injury. Jamison is the heart of the Wizards. The team will get a huge boost from his being back. Also back is key backup guard Randy Foye. It's the first time this season the Wizards will have their entire core group of players healthy.

The Wizards have been idle since Saturday. Cleveland played a sloppy game last night against Golden State. The Cavaliers got stuck playing Golden State's up-tempo style and couldn't put away the Warriors until the final two minutes. The Cavaliers committed 17 turnovers and were outplayed during the final period.

The Cavaliers enter this matchup extremely banged-up. Shaquille O'Neal is out with a strained shoulder. Anderson Varejao, another of the Cavaliers big men, is questionable with a bruised hip as is guard Jamario Moon, who had to leave last night's game with an ankle injury.

Washington's 2-7 record is somewhat deceiving. The Wizards have been sloppy. Gilbert Arenas has been up-and-down since coming back from knee surgery. But the team has desperately missed Jamison and has played maybe the most difficult schedule in the league so far.

The Wizards have already faced seven playoff teams from last season with five of their first nine games occurring on the road. They've already gone against four division leaders - Cleveland, Atlanta, Phoenix and Dallas. If you discount the 0-11 Nets, the Wizards have played opponents that have a .702 winning percentage.

The Wizards usually play the Cavaliers tough at home. Cleveland is 4-19 in its last 23 regular-season away contests versus the Wizards. Washington has won four in a row at home against the Cavaliers. Washington has covered four of the last five times it has met Cleveland.

"I'd be surprised if we didn't play well," Wizards coach Flip Saunders was quoted as saying.

20 Dime OVER Buffalo/Miami-O - What do you figure is going to happen when two bad Mid-American Conference teams with terrible defenses get together for a Wednesday night nationally televised game?

Points, that's what. There are going to be a ton of points racked up in this matchup.

Buffalo's season is lost, but the Bulls' offense has gotten into gear late in the year. The Bulls are averaging 28 points and 464.3 yards of total offense during their last three games. Buffalo has been doing plenty of damage on the ground, averaging 200.3 rushing yards and 5.3 yards per rush in its last three games.

Miami of Ohio has trouble stopping the run, allowing 195.3 yards rushing in its last three games. The Redhawks rank 100th in run defense and 107th in scoring defense allowing an average of 33.5 points per game.

Buffalo quarterback Zack Maynard isn't the sharpest quarterback out there, but he'll be able to pick his spots off play-action with Miami of Ohio having to respect the run. The Redhawks don't put heat on a quarterback. They have six sacks in their last three games.

The Redhawks have only one interception in their last three games. During this time frame they've allowed opposing quarterback to connect on 60.5 percent of their throws.

Buffalo doesn't present much of a pass rush either. The Redhawks are a passing team behind quarterback Zac Dysert, who has averaged 344 yards passing in the last four games with seven touchdown throws.

Dysert should have success against a Buffalo defense that has allowed 30.3 points in the last three games, 5.8 yards per play and 416.7 yards of total offense.

The two teams have gone over in four of their past five head-to-head games.

Confirmed.
GL!

 

[knaw_son]

Cstars Sports Picks- 11/18

1000 Units Minnesota/Houston under the total
1000 Units Ball State/Central Michigan over the total
1000 Units Loyola Marymount minus the points over UC Irvine

 

[knaw_son]

LOL @ this shit. Stu Finer is the man huh?

<table class="narrow" align="center"><tbody><tr><td colspan="7" class="title" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">All Leagues Combined


(minimum 25 picks - view all)</td></tr><tr><td class="title" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">Handicapper</td><td class="title" align="center">Wins</td><td class="title" align="center">Losses</td><td class="title" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">Net Units</td><td class="title" align="center">ROI</td></tr><tr><td nowrap="nowrap">Patrick GPW Clinton</td><td>26</td><td>21</td><td>+515021.95</td><td>+81.25%</td></tr><tr><td nowrap="nowrap">Stu Feiner</td><td>20</td><td>18</td><td>+861551.54</td><td>+62.34%</td></tr><tr><td nowrap="nowrap">TD Club</td><td>24</td><td>9</td><td>+110.65</td><td>+52.30%</td></tr><tr><td nowrap="nowrap">John Harrison</td><td>43</td><td>36</td><td>+610066.60</td><td>+51.57%</td></tr><tr><td nowrap="nowrap">Tommy Gunn</td><td>23</td><td>7</td><td>+15.40</td><td>+46.81%</td></tr><tr><td nowrap="nowrap">Bookie Bill</td><td>26</td><td>12</td><td>+22</td><td>+43.74%</td></tr><tr><td nowrap="nowrap">Lucky Day Sports</td><td>19</td><td>7</td><td>+11.50</td><td>+39.52%</td></tr><tr><td nowrap="nowrap">The King Maker</td><td>15</td><td>11</td><td>+52.80</td><td>+32.46%</td></tr><tr><td nowrap="nowrap">Solid Gold Pick</td><td>26</td><td>13</td><td>+13.79</td><td>+29.08%</td></tr><tr><td nowrap="nowrap">Harry Bondi</td><td>18</td><td>10</td><td>+28.45</td><td>+28.68%</td></tr></tbody></table>