Service Plays Wednesday 11/18/09

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DCI
Season
Straight Up: 109-38 (.741)
ATS: 93-63 (.596)


ATLANTA 98, Miami 91
INDIANA 116, New York 106
ORLANDO 102, Oklahoma City 89
PHILADELPHIA 92, Charlotte 88
Cleveland 101, WASHINGTON 90
BOSTON 115, Golden State 101
MEMPHIS 101, L.A. Clippers 94
MILWAUKEE 100, New Jersey 93
Houston 102, MINNESOTA 92
UTAH 107, Toronto 101
DALLAS 100, San Antonio 93
PORTLAND 95, Detroit 83
 
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DUNKEL
Phoenix at Minnesota

The Wild look to build on their 8-2 record in their last 10 home games. Minnesota is the pick (-150) according to Dunkel, which has the Wild favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-150). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 18
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 1-2: Florida at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 12.199; Buffalo 12.212
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-215); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-215); Over

Game 3-4: Dallas at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.454; Detroit 12.591
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-170); Over

Game 5-6: Phoenix at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 10.630; Minnesota 11.063
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-150); Under

Game 7-8: Colorado at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 10.858; Edmonton 10.677
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+125); Over

Game 9-10: Philadelphia at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 12.624; Los Angeles 12.474
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-110); Over
 
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DUNKEL
Central Michigan at Ball State

The Chippewas look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10 1/2 points or more. Central Michigan is the pick (-14 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Chippewas favored by 19 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-14 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 18
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 301-302: Central Michigan at Ball State
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 90.497; Ball State 70.994
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 19 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 14 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-14 1/2); Over

Game 303-304: Buffalo at Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 76.016; Miami (OH) 72.892
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 3; 49 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 4; 51
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+3); Under
 
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DUNKEL
New York at Indiana

The Pacers look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games with 0 days of rest. Indiana is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Pacers favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 18
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 501-502: Cleveland at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 123.761; Washington 117.205
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 6 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 4 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-4 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Miami at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 117.399; Atlanta 129.023
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 11 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 7 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-7 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Charlotte at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 115.256; Philadelphia 113.654
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 1 1/2; 178
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 4; 182
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+4); Under

Game 507-508: New York at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: New York 111.741; Indiana 121.181
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 9 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 214
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-6 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: Oklahoma City at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 118.152; Orlando 125.116
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 7; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 11 1/2; 190
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+11 1/2); Under

Game 511-512: Golden State at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 113.397; Boston 124.043
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 10 1/2; 192 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 513-514: LA Clippers at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 111.711; Memphis 113.453
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 1 1/2; 205 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 4 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+4 1/2); Over

Game 515-516: Houston at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.576; Minnesota 113.091
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 7 1/2; 208 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 6 1/2; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6 1/2); Over

Game 517-518: New Jersey at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 110.764; Milwaukee 120.988
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 10; 215 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 519-520: Toronto at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 115.819; Utah 121.303
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 5 1/2; 219
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 8 1/2; 214 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+8 1/2); Over

Game 521-522: San Antonio at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 118.755; Dallas 126.247
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 7 1/2; 189 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 523-524: Detroit at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 116.333; Portland 128.355
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 12; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 10 1/2; 179
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-10 1/2); Over
 
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Wunderdog

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units). Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).
Game: Florida at Buffalo (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Buffalo -210 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 1.4)

The Sabres are out of the gate fast and have caught fire as they have raced to three straight wins, and have won seven of their last nine at home. They have been playing great defense, and getting superb net play as the Sabres have allowed two goals or less in 12 of their 17 games thus far. The Panthers have played three straight shootouts, losing the most recent one, and already own a 5-2 setback at home to the Sabres this season, which runs the losing skid against Buffalo to four straight. Overall, they have just one win to show for their last seven trips to Buffalo. The Sabres have it going, and this foe has not proved to be on their level of late. Buffalo gets the call here.
Game: Dallas at Detroit (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Dallas +150 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 4.5)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 5.5 +100 (risk 3 to win 3)

The Red Wings are no easy out at home as they stand at 71-1 for the season, with the only loss a game that was deemed a home game in Sweden. The Stars however, seem to find a way of staying in the game against everyone, with five games already ending via the shootout and three others decided in OT. Lately that has been ringing even more true with each of the last five being decided by a single goal. The games have all been tight, not allowing more than three in any of them, or scoring more than three. What the Stars have going for them is that they have been a thorn in Detroit's side as Dallas has won five of the last seven meetings between these two, so they will come here with confidence. They have played good, crisp hockey of late with all five of their last five games going UNDER. Detroit is 19-9-4 to the UNDER off of three or more days rest in their last 32. I like Dallas and the UNDER here.
Game: Dallas at Detroit (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Dallas +1.5 goals -205 (puckline) (risk 5 to win 2.4)

The Dallas Stars have been playing tight games all season long, and even more so lately with all five of their most recent games decided by a single goal. They have also done as well as anyone against Detroit as they have won five of the last seven meetings outright, and that includes all three played between these clubs last year. Getting the plus side of the puckline in this situation carries some value, so the Stars get the call on the puckline.
Game: Phoenix at Minnesota (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Minnesota -140 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.1)

The Minnesota Wild certainly need to get themselves straightened out on the road where they are a disappointing 2-9-2. They take on a completely different look at home where they stand at 5-2. The scoring has been awful on the road where they have averaged just over two goals per game, but at home they have elevated that by just about a full goal scoring three per contest. The Coyotes started very fast, but their recent play has not been on the same level. This is a team that has gone from outscoring their first 13 opponents by 10 goals, to one that has been outscored by eight in their last seven. That is almost a two-goal change in team performance. The Wild has been a bear at home as their last 12 on home ice as a favorite has produced 10 wins, so I'll go with Minnesota here.
Game: Colorado at Edmonton (9:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Edmonton -130 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.3)

The Avalanche has been the early surprise in the NHL. After finishing dead last in the Western Conference with 69 points a year ago, they opened this season with a bang, but have decidedly slipped back to '08-09 form recently. The Avalanche has now dropped three of four for the first time all season, and has allowed 18 goals in the process. When they were playing with the hot-hand, they handed Edmonton a 3-0 loss on the road, but the start of the slide began with a loss at home to Edmonton 5-3. The Avalanche certainly hasn't taken advantage of playing a team with a losing record at just 9-22 in their last 31. The Oilers meanwhile, are taking the money as a favorite from -110 to -150 to a 27-10 mark in their last 37. Edmonton gets the call.
Game: Philadelphia at Los Angeles (10:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Philadelphia -120 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.5)
Pick: 5 units on Game Total UNDER 5.5 +105 (risk 5 to win 5.3)

The Flyers went flat for awhile after opening the season with three wins, but are surging now having dropped just a 3-2 decision to Buffalo in their last seven games. The three goals allowed to Buffalo represent the only team able to wiggle more than two pucks through the net during the seven-game stretch. The Kings have had to fight for everything they have gotten lately with a pair of shootout wins in their last two outings, but this is a team that has lost by two goals or more in three of their last six. The offense has been flat producing just 13 in the six games, or just about two per night. This is the Kings fourth game in six days, and they have played UNDER in four of the last five in that situation, and four of the last five in this series have as well. One team is getting great net play, the other is struggling to score. I'll go with Philadelphia and the UNDER.
 

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malinsaky oklahoma city 12.5 4*
 

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LuckyDaySports.com

Take Washington +8 in the Wizards/Cavaliers game.

No paid plays today, check back Thursday.
 
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NBA SHORT SHEET


Wednesday, 11/18/2009

CLEVELAND at WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET ESPN
CLEVELAND: 26-13 Under if the total is between 190 and 199.5
WASHINGTON: 21-42 ATS playing with revenge

MIAMI at ATLANTA, 7:00 PM ET
MIAMI: 99-66 Under off SU loss as favorite
ATLANTA: 10-1 ATS this season

CHARLOTTE at PHILADELPHIA, 7:00 PM ET
CHARLOTTE: 35-17 ATS off ATS win
PHILADELPHIA: 22-11 Under as home favorite

NEW YORK at INDIANA, 7:00 PM ET
NEW YORK: 13-4 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points
INDIANA: 16-6 Over off BB ATS wins

OKLAHOMA CITY at ORLANDO, 7:00 PM ET
OKLAHOMA CITY: 13-4 Over Away playing on BB days
ORLANDO: 9-1 ATS revenging loss by 10 or more

GOLDEN STATE at BOSTON, 7:30 PM ET
GOLDEN STATE: 1-9 ATS off 3+ ATS losses
BOSTON: 37-20 ATS playing only their 2nd game in 5 days

LA CLIPPERS at MEMPHIS, 8:00 PM ET
LA CLIPPERS: 9-24 ATS playing their 3rd game in 4 days
MEMPHIS: 26-10 Under revenging road loss

HOUSTON at MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET
HOUSTON: 13-3 ATS off SU loss as favorite
MINNESOTA: 9-25 ATS as home underdog

NEW JERSEY at MILWAUKEE, 8:00 PM ET
NEW JERSEY: 9-2 Under this season
MILWAUKEE: 1-5 ATS off home loss by 3pts or less

TORONTO at UTAH, 9:00 PM ET
TORONTO: 35-52 ATS as underdog
UTAH: 16-3 ATS at home off non-conf game

SAN ANTONIO at DALLAS, 9:30 PM ET ESPN
SAN ANTONIO: 13-29 ATS off BB home games
DALLAS: 6-0 ATS off road game

DETROIT at PORTLAND, 10:00 PM ET
DETROIT: 1-10 ATS off 3+ Overs
PORTLAND: 30-14 Under off an Over
 
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NBA WRITE-UP

Wednesday, November 18

Hot Teams
-- Cavaliers won four in row, seven of last eight games.
-- Hawks won their last five games (4-0-1 vs spread). Miami won seven of its first ten games.
-- Pacers won, covered their last five games.
-- Magic won five of their last seven games. Thunder won three of its last four games.
-- Warriors covered their last three road games.
-- Houston is 4-0 vs spread in game following a loss.
-- Bucks won four of their last five games.
-- Mavericks won eight of their last ten games.
-- Portland won, covered six of its last seven games.

Cold Teams
-- Wizards lost their last six games (0-6 vs spread).
-- Knicks lost their last six games (1-5 vs spread).
-- 76ers lost four of their last five games. Bobcats lost last five games (are 2-3 vs spread in those games).
-- Warriors lost seven of their first ten games. Celtics lost three of their last five games, losing last two by 11-9 points.
-- Minnesota lost its last ten games (0-6 vs spread in last six).
-- Nets are 0-11 but covered four of last six games.
-- Grizzlies lost seven of their last eight games. Clippers lost four of last five games, covered two of last ten.
-- Jazz is 3-5 in last eight games (2-2 at home). Raptors lost four of last six games (3-4 vs spread on road).
-- Spurs are 0-3 on road, losing by 14-12-3 points.
-- Pistons lost four of their last five road games.

Totals
-- Seven of nine Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Miami games stayed under the total; six of last seven Atlanta games went over.
-- Last three Charlotte road games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Five of six Orlando home games went over the total.
-- Five of Warriors' last six games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Memphis games.
-- Six of last eight Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Last five New Jersey games stayed under the total; Bucks last three games all went over.
-- Three of last four Toronto games stayed under the total; last three Utah games all went over.
-- Four of last six San Antonio games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Detroit games went over the total; nine of 12 Portland ganes stayed under.
 
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NCAAB SHORT SHEET


Wednesday, 11/18/2009

RHODE ISLAND at BROWN, 7:30 PM ET
RHODE ISLAND: 18-7 ATS vs. non-conference
BROWN: 1-11 ATS if underdog last game

VA COMMONWEALTH at W MICHIGAN, 7:00 PM ET
VA COMMONWEALTH: 13-8 Under after allowing 55 points or less
W MICHIGAN: 1-8 ATS as underdog

IL-CHICAGO at C MICHIGAN, 7:00 PM ET
IL-CHICAGO: 25-12 ATS Away when the line is +3 to -3
C MICHIGAN: 6-1 Over as a home underdog of 6 points or less

TOLEDO at CINCINNATI, 7:30 PM ET
TOLEDO: 3-11 ATS in road games
CINCINNATI: 13-2 ATS on Wednesdays

CORNELL at MASSACHUSETTS, 7:30 PM ET
CORNELL: 16-5 ATS in road games
MASSACHUSETTS: 1-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3

KENT ST at YOUNGSTOWN ST, 7:35 PM ET
KENT ST: 0-10 ATS off 3 straight non-conf games
YOUNGSTOWN ST: 13-3 ATS after allowing 55 points or less

BUTLER at NORTHWESTERN, 8:00 PM ET
BUTLER: 17-7 ATS in non-conf games
NORTHWESTERN: 11-3 Over on Wednesday

UTAH ST at UTAH, 8:00 PM ET
UTAH ST: 27-45 ATS in 2nd of BB road games
UTAH: 41-22 ATS in 2nd of BB home games

NEBRASKA at SAINT LOUIS, 8:00 PM ET
NEBRASKA: 19-38 ATS Away off DD win
SAINT LOUIS: 5-0 Over off win by 15+ points

NEVADA at UNLV, 10:30 PM ET
NEVADA: 4-15 ATS off SU win
UNLV: 98-70 ATS off SU win

UC-IRVINE at LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT, 11:00 PM ET
UC-IRVINE: 15-3 ATS off road loss
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT: 6-16 ATS off road loss

Added Games

GA SOUTHERN at FLORIDA, 7:00 PM ET
GA SOUTHERN: 4-13 ATS as an underdog
FLORIDA: 81-56 ATS as home favorite

MANHATTAN at PRINCETON, 7:00 PM ET
MANHATTAN: 7-1 ATS off DD win
PRINCETON: 10-5 ATS off SU win

ARKANSAS ST at SE MISSOURI ST, 8:00 PM ET
ARKANSAS ST: 32-16 Over as favorite
SE MISSOURI ST: 6-17 ATS at home off DD road loss

W CAROLINA at TEXAS, 9:00 PM ET
W CAROLINA: 30-48 ATS off SU win
TEXAS: 16-8 Under as home favorite
 
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NCAAB WRITE-UP


Wednesday, November 18

-- Brown (+12) lost 76-74 at Rhode Island LY, after leading by four at half; Bears beat St Francis by 4, lost at Va Tech by 14. URI has three starters back from 23-11 team; this their season opener. Ivy road dogs are 5-3 against the spread. Atlantic 14 favorites are 7-1, 5-1 at home.

-- Western Michigan (+4) lost its opener 86-80 at Detoit, as Titans shot 51% from floor; Broncos (+12) lost 79-62 at VCU last year. MAC dogs are 2-3 vs spread, 0-1 at home. VCU has four starters back from 24-10 team; they do have a new coach. CAA favorites are 0-1 against spread.

-- Central Michigan (+11) lost 75-65 at Ill-Chicago LY, game Chippewas led by hoop at half; CMU has three starters back from 12-19 team that went 7-9 in MAC- they lost opener to Princeton. UIC has three starters back from 16-15 team. Horizon road teams are 2-8 against the spread.

-- Cincinnati struggled to beat Prairie View 69-62 in opener; they've got four starters back from 18-14 team (8-10 in Big East). Toeldo brought in seven new players to help three departed starters from LY's 7-25 wreck. Big East home favorites are 4-8 vs spread. MAC road dogs are 2-2.

-- Cornell has all five starters back from LY's 21-10 Ivy champ; Big Red won 71-67 (+7) at Alabama Saturday, making 10-18 from arc, shooting 50% for game. UMass (+3.5) lost opener 84-67 at Central Florida, with Knights shooting 55%. A-14 teams are 10-3 against spread this season.

-- Kent State lost three starters from 19-15 team (10-6 in MAC); they beat Youngstown 82-74 LY, after being down 7 at half. This is already fourth game for Kent (2-1 last weekend, losing in OT Sunday). Penguins have four starters back from 11-19 teamp- they lost by 26 at Xavier.

-- Northwestern's best player is out for year; they won opener 77-55 vs No. Illinois (-14), still have three starters back from 14-17 team (8-10 in Big 11). Wildcats lost 57-53 at Butler LY. Bulldogs have all five starters back from 26-6 team-- they won season opener by 12 over Davidson.

-- Utah lost its opener 94-87 at home to Idaho (Vandals shot 10-21 from arc, 22-33 from line); Utes lost by hoop at Utah State LY. Aggies won 66-60 at Weber State in opener (-4), holding Wildcats to 33% from floor. WAC home favorites are 1-3. Utes have eight new players this season.

-- Nebraska (-10) beat Saint Louis 71-57 LY in Lincoln; Huskers return only one of top five scorers from LY, with nine players who have never played a D-I game before last week. Billikens beat SE Missouri 59-41 in opener, holding SEMo to 27% shooting. A-14 teams are 10-3 vs spread.

-- UNLV (-1) won 64-57 at Nevada LY after being down hoop at half; Rebels lost three starters back from 21-11 team that went 4-7 in last 11 games. Nevada shot 53% in opener, beating Montana State by 14- they have three starters back from LY (21-13). WAC underdogs are 2-3.

-- Cal-Irvine has three starters back from 12-19 team that started season 1-9; Anteaters lost by 47 at Texas Sunday, shooting 27%, getting beat on boards by 21. LMU (+10) lost opener 90-87 at Boise, then lost by a point at Montana (64-63), despite outrebounding the Grizzlies by 14.

-- Georgia Southern has three starters back from 8-22 team that got LY's coach fired; Eagles allowed 78 ppg LY. Florida has three starters back from 25-11 team that missed NCAAs for second year in row; they beat Stetson by 28 in opener. SoCon road underdogs are 6-4 against spread.

-- Manhattan (-10.5) beat Princeton 76-66 LY; Jaspers have three of the starters back from 16-14 team (8-8 in MAAC)- they beat NJIT 70-58 in opener. MAAC road underdogs are 4-1 against spread. Princeton has all five starters back from 13-14 team, an improvement over '08's 6-23.

-- SE Missouri coach Nutt used to be coach at Arkansas State (189-186 in 14 years); this is his first year with SEMo (lost by 18 at Saint Louis in opener). ASU lost three starters from 13-17 team that lost its last 10 games. They have solid recruiting class, but only five returnees.
 
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NHL WRITE-UP


Wednesday, November 18

Hot Teams
-- Sabres won last three games, allowing four goals. Panthers won three of their last four road games.
-- Red Wings won six of their last seven games.
-- Flyers won six of their last seven games. Los Angeles won three of its last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Dallas lost five of its last seven games.
-- Minnesota lost its last three games: 4-3/3-1/5-4. Penguins lost their last three road games, outscored 13-2.
-- Edmonton lost four games in row and seven of last eight. Colorado lost three of its last four games.

Totals
-- Eight of last ten Buffalo games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Eight of last eleven Colorado games stayed under the total.
-- Three of Kings' last four games went over the total; three of Flyers' last four games stayed under.

Series Records
-- Sabres won their last four games against Florida.
-- Minnesota won 10 of last 11 games against Phoenix.
-- Dallas won five of last seven games against Detroit.
-- Road team won both Colorado-Edmonton games this season.
-- Flyers won three oflast four games against Los Angeles.
 
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Wunderdog Horse Selections

AQUEDUCT Race #4 at 1:50 PM Eastern

Top pick: #7 (DISTANT STRIKE) - Runs second back off a layoof and at a new low in price. Speed/stalker is working well and gets "blinkers off" this afternoon. The top pick.​
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2nd pick: #5 (Peacefields) - Logical contender has finished second in his last pair at this tag in "switched" contests. It's Mott and Dominguez combining and this colt looks well meant.​
3rd pick: #9 (Tramezzini) - Runs second off a Steve Asmussen claim and a subsequent nine month break. Well-bet in both starts he comes back quickly (19 days) for his second back off the long break.​
4th pick: #3 (Verveitup) - Goes second off a 70-day layoff and moves back to the turf. Blinkers are added and think he'll do well at nice odds.​
 

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Kyle Bales

NCAAFB

Buffalo Bulls at Miami (OH) Redhawks

Write-up:

We played against this Buffalo team their last game (15* Ohio Bobcats
+3.5 and 10* ML +110), WR Naaman Roosevelt, their leading receiver,
had 165 yards in the game and scored three touchdowns. He will be out
for the Bulls tonight and I don't see this offense going anywhere. The
Miami (OH) Redhawks are ranked 90 on offense, averaging 339.7 yards
per game, 68.3 yards rushing and 271.5 yards passing so far this
season. Redhawks QB Zac Dysert simply had a bad game last week. Dysert
turned the ball over four times in the game, including three
interceptions. However Dysert was coming off a great three-game
stretch. In his previous game, he passed for 426 yards in a loss Nov.
5 at Temple. The only player at Miami to throw for more yards in a
game was Ben Roethlisberger, who did it three times. Dysert threw for
1,118 yards, seven touchdowns and one interception in his three
previous games coming into the Bowling Green contest. Against Temple,
he led Miami from an 18-point deficit in the fourth quarter to take a
lead before the Owls rallied to win. Miami’s defensive in the loss
last week was credible despite the lopsided score. The RedHawks held
the Falcons to 349 yards of total offense and recovered two fumbles.
Bowling Green’s offense came into the game averaging almost 400 yards
a game. Don't get me wrong, both of these teams are bad. But with
Buffalo's main weapon out, I love the Redhawks at home tonight!

Prediciton:

Buffalo - 17

Miami (OH) - 24

Play On:

15* Miami (OH) +3.5

10* Miami ML +160


Honorable Mention:

Ball St. +14.5
 

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Central Michigan (8-2) at Ball State (1-9)




The Sports Network

DATE & TIME: Wednesday, November 18th, 8:00 p.m. (et)

FACTS & STATS: Site: Scheumann Stadium (22,500) -- Muncie, Indiana. Television: ESPN2. Home Record: CMU 4-0, Ball State 0-5. Away Record: CMU 4-2, Ball State 1-4. Neutral Record: CMU 0-0, Ball State 0-0. Conference Record: CMU 6-0, Ball State 1-5. Series Record: Central Michigan leads, 23-19-1.

GAME NOTES: The Central Michigan Chippewas will try to remain perfect in Mid- American Conference action when they take on the Ball State Cardinals Wednesday evening at Scheumann Stadium.

After suffering a 31-10 setback to Boston College on Halloween, the Chippewas rebounded in their next matchup by pounding Toledo, 56-28. With the victory over the Rockets, the Chippewas are now 6-0 in MAC play and with a win this Wednesday Central Michigan will move to 7-0 in league action for the first time since the 1979 season. Since taking over at Central Michigan, Butch Jones has led the Chippewas to an outstanding 19-3 mark against league foes.

As for the Cardinals, it has been a nightmare of a season, as the team has dropped nine of its 10 matchups, including two in a row. The most recent setback for Ball State was a tough, 26-20 loss to Northern Illinois. The loss to the Huskies dropped Ball State to a pathetic 1-5 in MAC action.

With respect to the all-time series, the Chippewas have a slim, 23-19-1 edge over Ball State, but the Cardinals won the most recent matchup by a 31-24 margin.

The Chippewas have one of the most dangerous offensive units in the MAC, and that is largely due to the man under center in Dan LeFevour. LeFevour has dominated league opponents for four years now, and this year has been no different, as the signal caller has completed 70.0 percent of his passes for 2,189 yards and 18 scores against five interceptions. What makes LeFevour even more valuable is that he is currently pacing the team on the ground as well, rushing for 567 yards and 13 touchdowns. As a whole, CMU is churning out a respectable 168.7 rushing ypg, and that is somewhat shocking since the team's quarterback is the top run producer, and the second best option is the team's top wideout in Antonio Brown (298 yards and two touchdowns on the ground). On top of his rushing abilities, Brown has also been the top option for LeFevour, and comes into this matchup with 69 receptions, 734 yards and eight touchdowns. In the recent win over Toledo the Chippewas were once again paced by Lefevour. The quarterback only rushed for 19 yards, but scored four rushing touchdowns, while Bryan Schroeder led the way with 105 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. LeFevour also threw for 341 yards in the contest and two scores, and one of those touchdowns went to Brown, who finished with 129 yards on 13 receptions.

Usually overlooked because of the success of offense has been the play of the CMU defense. Central Michigan is currently holding the opposition to just 18.0 ppg, and has done a tremendous job against the run, limiting teams to just 119.1 ypg on a mere 3.5 ypc. One area of concern for this unit has been its inability to force turnovers, as the team comes into this matchup with just 13 takeaways (eight interceptions and five fumbles). The team has been slightly better at getting to the quarterback though, as the team has racked up 18 sacks. The Chippewas however, made sure they would cause mistakes in their recent game against Toledo and by the final whistle the defense had forced five turnovers. Central Michigan held the Rockets to just 131 rushing yards on 3.6 yards per attempt, but the defense did allow three rushing touchdowns. Nick Bellore racked up 10 tackles in the contest and now has a team- best 98 stops on the year.

Offense has been tough to come by for Ball State, as the team heads into this matchup averaging just 20.5 ppg behind a lackluster 308.7 total ypg. The majority of the team's success has come from the ground game, which is churning out 165.0 ypg. MiQuale Lewis is currently pacing the team with 792 yards and four touchdowns, while Cory Sykes has rumbled for 404 yards and three touchdowns. Tanner Justice has started the last two games since Kelly Page was lost for the season, but he has struggled under center, completing less than 50.0 percent of his passes for just 418 yards and two touchdowns. The troubles for Ball State continued in the team's recent loss to NIU, as the Cardinals totaled just 301 yards. Skyes paced the team with 75 rushing yards, while Lewis added 68 yards on nine totes, but it was Eric Williams that scored the team's lone rushing touchdown. Although the team was defeated, Justice did not have a terrible showing, as the quarterback threw for 134 yards and one touchdown.

On top of the poor play offensively, the defense has also been a mess for Ball State, as the Cardinals head into this contest allowing 28.6 ppg behind 366.5 total ypg. The major problem for this unit has been its inability to stop the pass, as opponents are torching this defense for 211.4 ypg, and out of the 33 touchdowns surrendered by this unit, 21 have come via the pass. The last time the Cardinals were on the field the team did a tremendous job holding the Huskies to just 225 total yards, but even with the strong defensive play the Cardinals still lost. Ball State limited NIU to just 91 passing yards, but still allowed two touchdowns through the air. Charlie Todd led the way in the loss with 12 tackles, while the team's top defensive performer Davyd Jones (79 tackles), added six stops. Robert Eddins recorded a sack in the loss and now has a team-best seven on the season.

The Cardinals might be home, but that will not save Ball State against the Chippewas. Central Michigan is simply too strong and will likely move to 7-0 in league play with relative ease.

Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Central Michigan 45, Ball State 13
 

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Patron has a 25k on tonights football game. He's lost his last 7 of 8 in NFL but has been hot in college. Especially during the week.
 

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3-Unit Play #509 Take Oklahoma City +12 ½ Over Orlando (7 p.m. EST, Wednesday)




3-Unit Play #513 Take LA Clippers/Memphis OVER 199 (8 p.m. EST, Wednesday)




6-Unit Play (NBA Game of the Month) #517 Take New Jersey/Milwaukee UNDER 187 (8 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
 

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#1 Sports Selections for Wednesday, November 18th

250,000* MAC Side & Total Parlay!!!!!
Central Michigan - 14 1/2
Central Michigan/Ball State under 49 1/2

250,000* MAC Side & Total Parlay!!!!!
Miami-Ohio + 4
Buffalo/Miami-Ohio over 50 1/2

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Cleveland - 5
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