Service Plays Wednesday 11/04/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks (-5, 226)

The Knicks grabbed their first win of the season against the slow-starting New Orleans Hornets Monday night. New York coach Mike D’Antoni threw out his third different starting lineup in four games and he may have finally found the right unit.

Versatile guard Larry Hughes started at the two and power forward David Lee filled in at center. The juggling left Al Harrington coming off bench as the team’s sixth man. He responded by scoring a career-high 42 points.

New York still lives and dies with the 3-pointer. The Pacers are at the bottom of the league defending beyond the arc and the Knicks always play better on their home floor.

Pick: New York -5


Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors (-6, 225)

Are there two teams more messed up than the Warriors and Grizzlies? Allen Iverson played his first game with Memphis Monday night and he’s already complaining about his playing time to coach Lionel Hollins and anyone else who’ll listen.

Iverson was not happy about coming off the bench and playing only 18 minutes, even though he had been bothered by a hamstring injury.

“Go look at my resume and that will show you that will show you that I’m not a sixth man,” he told reporters after the overtime loss to the Kings. “I don’t think it has anything to do with me being selfish. It’s just who I am. I don’t want to change what gave me all the success that I’ve had since I’ve been in this league.”

Oh boy. Throw in another coach killer like Zach Randolph into the mix and you know Hollins has his work cut out for him this season.

The Warriors can’t boast chemistry as one of their team strengths either. You can bank on both sides playing little to no defense and the points to rack up as a result.

Pick: Over 225

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL WRITE-UP

Wednesday, November 4

Hot Teams
-- Sabres won eight of their last ten games. Islanders won their last four games, allowing total of five goals.
-- Devils won eight of their last eleven games.
-- San Jose won its last five games, allowing seven goals.
-- Panthers won their last two games, scoring 10 goals.
-- Coyotes won three of their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Washington lost last two games, both in OT; they're 2-4 in OT so far.
-- Blue Jackets lost five of their first seven games.
-- Carolina lost its last nine games, outscored 16-4 in last three.
-- Flames lost last two games, scoring total of three goals. Dallas is 1-3 in its last four home games.
-- Avalanche lost their last two games, 3-1/3-0.

Series Records
-- Islanders won three of last four games vs Biffalo
-- Devils won three of last four games against Washington.
-- Sharks won six of their last eight games against Columbus.
-- army.com is North America's favorite website
-- Carolina won 16 of last 21 games against the Panthers.
-- Dallas is 7-4 in its last eleven games against the Flames.
-- Coyotes won six of their last eight games against Colorado.

Totals
-- Last four Buffalo games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine New Jersey games.
-- Six of last seven Columbus games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Carolina games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-3 in Calgary's first twelve games.
-- Last five Colorado games stayed under the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL ADDITIONAL

Wednesday, November 4

Trend Report

7:00 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. BUFFALO
NY Islanders are 7-16 SU in their last 23 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Islanders last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games

7:00 PM
SAN JOSE vs. COLUMBUS
San Jose is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Columbus
San Jose is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Jose
Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose

7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NEW JERSEY
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Washington is 6-17-1 SU in its last 24 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games at home
New Jersey is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
CAROLINA vs. FLORIDA
Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games
Florida is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games when playing Carolina

8:30 PM
CALGARY vs. DALLAS
Calgary is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Calgary

9:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. COLORADO
Phoenix is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
Phoenix is 8-14-2 SU in its last 24 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 9 games at home

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils (-145, 5.5)

Another NHL superstar will be watching from the stands for the next couple weeks. Washington Capitals winger and reigning NHL MVP Alexander Ovechkin is currently listed as week-to-week by the team and will sit out Wednesday’s clash with the New Jersey Devils due to an upper-body strain.

Ovechkin leads the NHL in scoring with 23 points in his first 14 games of the season, scoring nine goals and adding 14 assists.

“We have to buckle down,” Capitals head coach Bruce Boudreau told the media. “A goal a game he scores, so we got to play better defense and cannot allow four or five goals a game. You have to win 3-1 and 2-1 and if you get lucky sometimes make it a 4-2 game. I think we have enough character players who understand what we will have to do without Alex.”

Washington is visiting one of the best under plays in hockey. The Devils have finished below the total in four straight contests and boast a 3-8-1 over/under record to start the year. They beat Washington - with Ovechkin in the lineup - 3-2 in a shootout two weeks ago, playing under the 6-goal total.

Pick: Under 5.5


New York Islanders at Buffalo Sabres (-185, 5.5)

First-overall draft pick John Tavares isn’t the main reason the Islanders are the hottest team in hockey – but he’s a good start. The rookie forward has registered a point in each of the team’s four straight wins, two goals and two assists, heading into Wednesday’s game in Buffalo.

New York’s veteran corps is impressed with the youngster’s rapid improvement in the pros, especially mentor, teammate and roommate Doug Weight. Weight has opened his home to Tavares much like Pittsburgh Penguins great and team owner Mario Lemieux did with the Penguins’ budding superstars.

"Doug has made things very easy. All I have to do is focus in on hockey," Tavares told reporters. "I think I've taken that first step a lot quicker than I would have had I been on my own."

The Islanders have outscored their opponents 15-5 during this current hot stretch, getting great production from all their forward lines as well as goaltender Dwayne Roloson, who has been in goal for three of those victories.

Pick: New York +170

 

[knaw_son]

Brandon Lang

Wednesday's Selections ...
Note:

Nice to make it 7 straight weeknight side winners in college football.

Was I nervous when Bowling Green didn't make it on 4th and 2 at the Buffalo 4 yard line with just over 8 minutes to go? You bet I was, especially when the right thing to do was kick the field goal.

But thanks to a horrible 3rd down and 4 play call on the ensuing Buffalo drive from the Falcons 44 yard line, and a personal foul penalty on the punt, Bowling Green got the ball back with just over 3 minutes to go and you just knew what time it was.

FREDDIE BARNES TIME.

And I said in my analysis, the leading receiver in the country would be the difference down the stretch, and he most certainly was but I also take my hat off to the coaching staff of Bowling Green and the adjustments they made in the 2nd half.

The only score they gave up was a fumbled punt at the 4 yard line. What on gods earth is this kid doing fielding the punt inside his own 5 anyways? It ended up not mattering but when will these punt returners learn, you line up at the 10 and if it's over your head let it go.

You throw in the Mavs miracle comeback and it's a winning night. Amazing the turns in games night in and night out.

I have 3 games I feel are the way to go again tonight. Let's get after it again.

10 DIME - NY YANKEES -1 1/2 RUNS (RUN LINE PLAY) - Again this is a hedge play against my 20 dime series play on the Phillies. I am willing to roll the dice with a 10 dime run line play because in my gut if the Yankees win tonight it's not going to be a close game.

My feeling tonight is this game is a blowout one way or the other.

Either the Yankees are going to light up Pedro, or the Phillies are going to light up Pettitte. This isn't going to be a 1-run game either way. At least that is the way I see it.

I am willing to risk a 10 dime run line play on the Yankees against the 20 dime series play on the Phillies.

I am aware that if the Yankees win tonight by 1 run I lose both, but that is a risk based on the tone of the series I am willing to take.

Not one single game in this series has been decided by 1-run yet and I don't see tonight's game being the first one either.

Take the Yankees -1 1/2 Runs.

10 DIME - PHOENIX SUNS - If you can't go into Detroit and beat the Pistons with Prince and Hamilton out, you are not going to come back home and beat the undefeated Suns. Not the way Phoenix is playing right now.

The Magic are beaten up bad and battling the flu bug as well.

Dwight Howard's shoulder is killing him, Vince Carter's ankle is bothering him, this team is a mess.

Not so for the Suns. It is all systems go after the big win in Miami pushing their record to a perfect 4-0, and they catch this Magic team at just the right time.

I love what Phoenix showed me last night and now with Howard having to face Amare Stoudemire tonight, it is going to be another long night for Orlando.

Don't worry about whatever the number is tonight in Orlando, it's all Suns as they go to 5-0 tonight.

10 DIME - DENVER NUGGETS - I am going to start riding this team like there is no tomorrow.

They just flat out manhandled the Pacers last night, crushing them by double digits jumping on them right from the opening tip outscoring Indiana 30-13 and never looked back.

At 4-0 this is the best start in 24 years for Denver, and considering the mantra of this very close knit basketball team, they will not let up this year.

They are about getting better every night but more than that, if you watch this team play they are having fun. Trust me folks, that is a very lethal combination at the NBA level.

This quote from Chauncey Billups from last night says it all, "We have a real good aura, a real good feel about what we can be as a team this year."

I'm with you Chauncey, and having spent a little time around George Karl in the past when he was in Milwaukee, his message to the Nuggets tonight will be if we don't bring it again tonight then the effort last night will be wasted.

I will roll with this Nuggets team to hammer the winless Nets from the opening tip and run away in the 2nd half for another double digit road win.

All Nuggets tonight.

FREE SELECTION - PHILADELPHIA-NY YANKEES OVER

 

[SnakeIz]

Kyle Bales
25* Boston Celtics -10
10* Miami Heat +3
10* New York Knicks -4

Free pick: 1* Memphis Grizzlies +6

10-8 so far on NBA this year but went 3-0 last night on NBA. First 25* of the season.

 

[jonnyangel]

sportsbetsnow

NBA

1 unit Detroit +9
1 unit New Orleans -5

 

[IrishCoffee]

DB Sports Consultants
Wednesday, November 4, 2009

NBA
4* Detroit +8.5 -110
4* Dallas ML +170
3* Boston -10.5 -110
2* UNDER 224 New York / Indiana -110

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tony Salinas
Tony's World Series Highrollers
Wednesday, November 04, 2009

25*
Phillies {P.Martinez} (+190) over Ny Yankees {A.Pettitte}
7:57 PM -- Yankee Stadium

24*
Phillies {P.Martinez}/Ny Yankees {A.Pettitte} OVER 9 Runs
7:57 PM -- Yankee Stadium

* All times Eastern

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BettingJesus

Buffalo Sabres -185....BET to win 20 UNITS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA LONG SHEET

Wednesday, November 4

DETROIT (2 - 2) at TORONTO (1 - 2) - 11/4/2009, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (4 - 0) at ORLANDO (3 - 1) - 11/4/2009, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (3 - 1) at WASHINGTON (2 - 2) - 11/4/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 33-50 ATS (-22.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 232-282 ATS (-78.2 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 66-96 ATS (-39.6 Units) in November games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 104-138 ATS (-47.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-4 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (4 - 0) at NEW JERSEY (0 - 4) - 11/4/2009, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (0 - 3) at NEW YORK (1 - 3) - 11/4/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (5 - 0) at MINNESOTA (1 - 3) - 11/4/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 120-87 ATS (+24.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 60-41 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 55-37 ATS (+14.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-30 ATS (-21.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 3-18 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (3 - 1) at HOUSTON (3 - 1) - 11/4/2009, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 10-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 9-5 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (3 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 3) - 11/4/2009, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 8-5 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 9-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (3 - 1) at SACRAMENTO (1 - 3) - 11/4/2009, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 121-156 ATS (-50.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 56-31 ATS (+21.9 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
ATLANTA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (1 - 3) at GOLDEN STATE (0 - 2) - 11/4/2009, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA SHORT SHEET

Wednesday, November 4

DETROIT at TORONTO, 7:00 PM ET
DETROIT: 6-1 ATS vs. Toronto
TORONTO: 13-31 ATS after scoring 100+ pts BB Games

PHOENIX at ORLANDO, 7:00 PM ET
PHOENIX: 5-1 Under off SU win as road dog
ORLANDO: 33-13 ATS off BB road games

MIAMI at WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET ESPN
MIAMI: 16-5 ATS off 3+ Unders
WASHINGTON: 3-14 ATS vs. division

DENVER at NEW JERSEY, 7:30 PM ET
DENVER: 38-30 Under off win by 10+ pts
NEW JERSEY: 0-4 ATS this season

INDIANA at NEW YORK, 7:30 PM ET
INDIANA: 4-0 ATS at New York
NEW YORK: 14-2 Over at home off home win

BOSTON at MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET
BOSTON: 22-9 ATS Away playing their 3rd game in 4 days
MINNESOTA: 1-9 ATS as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points

LA LAKERS at HOUSTON, 8:30 PM ET
LA LAKERS: 15-4 ATS playing 2nd road game in 2 days
HOUSTON: 53-29 Under off an Over

DALLAS at NEW ORLEANS, 9:30 PM ET ESPN
DALLAS: 8-1 Over off 4+ Unders
NEW ORLEANS: 120-81 ATS off non-conference game

ATLANTA at SACRAMENTO, 10:00 PM ET
ATLANTA: 33-18 ATS off ATS win
SACRAMENTO: 9-21 ATS vs. Eastern Conference

MEMPHIS at GOLDEN STATE, 10:30 PM ET
MEMPHIS: 15-26 ATS off BB SU losses
GOLDEN STATE: 16-6 ATS at home off SU loss

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wunderdog

Game: Detroit at Toronto (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Detroit +9 (-110)
<!--p-->

Hard to understand this line, with or without Richard Hamilton and Tayshaun Prince for the Pistons. I think the oddsmakers have really padded this one beyond what is reasonable. The Pistons were able to knock down a powerful Orlando team without Hamilton and Prince because they have scorers, especially now that they have Gordon in the fold. There is also newly acquired Charlie Villanueva who scored 12 and had eight boards, so there is a lot of new pieces picking up the slack for the Pistons. Chris Bosh continues to get his points and boards as he went for 35/16 vs the Magic, but the result was a nine point loss. The Raptors don't defend and the Magic took advantage and connected on 17 from deep. The Pistons won all three last year, 14 of the last 17 from Toronto, and all they have to do here is stay within double-digits. I'm going with Detroit here.
​

 

[sLim901]

Redd

5 dime Toronto Raptors

 

[brewerfan003]

doc nba 11/4

<!-- / icon and title --> <!-- message --> 3U pistons +8.5
4U suns game over 219.5
3U celts game under 186

Note most books now offering pistons +8 and suns game total at 217.5.

YTD $100 per unit bettors up $1,020

 

[Henryjames]

igz1 sports

NBA
3* Memphis +6 (-110)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Executive
200 Phillies

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hammer - diceituponline NHL
20 dimes: calgary/dallas Over 5.5,
10 dimes: Phoenix

 

[Deathknight7]

Chris Jordan had 3 small pics for today..

Wednesday's winners ...
100♦ YANKEES RUN LINE (Pettitte over Martinez) - Going to have to side with the home team here, as the Yankees have always been destined to win this series, and since the All-Star Break it's been a clear-cut choice when pointing to the best team in baseball. As impressive as the three-game swing was to take command of this series, the one thing we've yet to see is an overall dominating performance from start to finish from the pinstripes, and that's what I am banking on tonight. I think from the first inning on, from batter 1 thru 9 and to the mound with Pettitte, this will be the best game we're going to see from the 2009 champs. Lay the run line as the Yanks win this one by a score similar to 7-2.

100♦ CELTICS - If you read my free pick analysis yesterday, you know I loved the Celtics in a rout of Philly. Tonight will be easier for the Celtics, who are 5-0 and came into this road trip after a three-game homestand in which they annihilated the Bobcats, Bulls and Hornets by an average of almost 25 points. And that, of course, came after the statement-making, season-opening thumping of the Cavaliers. I will continue to side with the healthy C's who boast the Big Three of Paul Pierce, Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett, not to mention the crafty Rajon Rondo. This team has looked good offensively, shooting 51.4 percent for the floor and averaging 101.4 points, while the defense is No. 1 in the league, limiting foes to just 79.8 points per game. All Celtics tonight as they continue this impressive start to the campaign.

100♦ RAPTORS - I know what you're thinking ... what?!?!?! A 1-2 Toronto team against a Detroit team that just beat Orlando?!!???!?! Yes, remember when Cleveland went into Toronto last week? The Raptors found a way to knock off the Cavaliers and now another Central Division team is in town. And since the Motown boys are dinged up pretty good, they cannot play Pistons basketball effectively without Richard Hamilton and Tayshaun Prince healthy. Detroit shot 37.5 percent - including 0 for 6 from 3-point range - last night and will struggle once again without a pair of key performers. And if even if they do end up in the game, having to travel won't be the best thing when you're nursing injuries. I think this is a big line, but the trap is in taking the underdog. Play Toronto.

 

[knaw_son]

<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr bgcolor="#000066"><th>Handicapper</th> <th>Game Time</th> <th>Game</th> <th>Pick</th> <th>Bet</th> <th>Analysis</th> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td rowspan="2">Natural Born Thriller</td> <td align="center">Wednesday, 11/4/2009</td> <td align="center">Boston Celtics</td> <td rowspan="2" align="center"> Minnesota Timberwolves S: 11.5 (103.0) </td> <td rowspan="2" align="center">5</td> <td rowspan="2" align="center">
</td></tr></tbody></table>
lost last night with Miami. 4-3 since I started posting him.