SPORTS INSIGHTS
Charlotte Bobcats +10.5 over Boston Celtics
The Bobcats took a few steps forward last season, fighting for the last playoff spot in the East until the very end and generally showing some Larry Brown-style gumption. They also rose to the occasion in a few big games, including two wins against the Lakers and one double-overtime loss in Boston. Tonight, they'll face a Celtics team coming off a huge opening-night win in Cleveland. Kevin Garnett looked solid after last year's mysterious knee injury, and they even got a solid contribution off the bench from newcomer Rasheed Wallace.
After last night's primetime victory, the Celtics have received 71% of spread bets and 87% of parlays. Yet the line has dropped from where it opened - 10.5 at both CRIS and Pinnacle - to -10 almost across the board. That reverse line movement indicates sharp bettors coming in on Charlotte, and indeed we've seen a Smart Money play on the Bobcats. It's too early to tell exactly which books will rise to the top of our Betting Systems' rankings this NBA season, but Cata/VegasVic was on the right side of the Mavericks/Wizards game last night, and we'll follow them here. You can find an extra half-point at bodog.
Charlotte Bobcats +10.5 (bodog)
Sacramento Kings +7 over Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City made even bigger strides than Charlotte did last season, and with a young nucleus of Kevin Durant, Jeff Green and Russell Westbrook, many are expecting the future in OKC to be very bright. Their only significant weakness might be in the frontcourt, and that's where the Kings match up with them the best. Everyone knows the guard combo of rookie Tyreke Evans and All-Star Kevin Martin will put points on the board, but young big men Jason Thompson and Spencer Hawes are both animals on the glass.
The Thunder opened at -7.5 and, despite the franchise's dearth of results the past few years, are getting a stout 61% of spread bets, as well as 74% of parlay wagers. The public support isn't impressing the Bookmakers, however, as the line has dropped to -6.5 at most sportsbooks. A full-point move is significant this early in the season, and when it goes against the betting percentages, it can be even more persuasive. Move quickly, and you can find the Kings getting 7 points with low juice!
Sacramento Kings +7/-105 (Grande)
Charlotte Bobcats +10.5 over Boston Celtics
The Bobcats took a few steps forward last season, fighting for the last playoff spot in the East until the very end and generally showing some Larry Brown-style gumption. They also rose to the occasion in a few big games, including two wins against the Lakers and one double-overtime loss in Boston. Tonight, they'll face a Celtics team coming off a huge opening-night win in Cleveland. Kevin Garnett looked solid after last year's mysterious knee injury, and they even got a solid contribution off the bench from newcomer Rasheed Wallace.
After last night's primetime victory, the Celtics have received 71% of spread bets and 87% of parlays. Yet the line has dropped from where it opened - 10.5 at both CRIS and Pinnacle - to -10 almost across the board. That reverse line movement indicates sharp bettors coming in on Charlotte, and indeed we've seen a Smart Money play on the Bobcats. It's too early to tell exactly which books will rise to the top of our Betting Systems' rankings this NBA season, but Cata/VegasVic was on the right side of the Mavericks/Wizards game last night, and we'll follow them here. You can find an extra half-point at bodog.
Charlotte Bobcats +10.5 (bodog)
Sacramento Kings +7 over Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City made even bigger strides than Charlotte did last season, and with a young nucleus of Kevin Durant, Jeff Green and Russell Westbrook, many are expecting the future in OKC to be very bright. Their only significant weakness might be in the frontcourt, and that's where the Kings match up with them the best. Everyone knows the guard combo of rookie Tyreke Evans and All-Star Kevin Martin will put points on the board, but young big men Jason Thompson and Spencer Hawes are both animals on the glass.
The Thunder opened at -7.5 and, despite the franchise's dearth of results the past few years, are getting a stout 61% of spread bets, as well as 74% of parlay wagers. The public support isn't impressing the Bookmakers, however, as the line has dropped to -6.5 at most sportsbooks. A full-point move is significant this early in the season, and when it goes against the betting percentages, it can be even more persuasive. Move quickly, and you can find the Kings getting 7 points with low juice!
Sacramento Kings +7/-105 (Grande)
Oct. 28th, 2009 - 10:35 pm NBA 1.0 Houston Rockets +6.5 (-110)
Oct. 28th, 2009 - 8:05 pm NBA 1.0 Detroit Pistons / Memphis Grizzlies Over 191.5 (-110)
Oct. 28th, 2009 - 7:35 pm NBA 1.0 Charlotte Bobcats / Boston Celtics Under 183.0 (-110)
Oct. 28th, 2009 - 7:05 pm NBA 1.0 Indiana Pacers / Atlanta Hawks Under 205.0 (-110)
Spartan
[COLOR=#000000! important]spartan | MLB Money Line Wed, 10/28/09 - 7:55 PM
double-dime bet ml 951 PHI (+150) BetUs vs 952 NYY
Analysis: Most certainly going to be in the minority again here but that never does sway or influence me. My clients who have been with me for some time know full and well I don't play the contrarian card just for the hell of it. In this case the squares are lining up to wager on the mighty Yankees. I still suspect they will likely take the Series but there is something else not getting much attention. The Phillies are still the champs and will not roll over at the site of the pinstripes or be intimidated by Yankee Stadium. If Cliff Lee is on top of his game, and let's hope the veteran is exactly that I can see the Phillies shocking the home guys and jumping out in front in this series. I have the world of respect for the way CC has been pitching but sometimes you get a gut feeling and as a gambler you either trust it or you don't. Logic tells me New York, but something tells me the Phillies come out focused and intent on defending their crown. This has been a very long layoff so any momentum coming in by either club ha®s been negated. I see real value here with the Phillies at this price. I'm going firmly against the herd and taking Charlie Manuels guys to get it done in the series opener.[/COLOR]
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[COLOR=#000000! important]spartan | MLB Money Line Wed, 10/28/09 - 7:55 PM
double-dime bet ml 951 PHI (+150) BetUs vs 952 NYY
Analysis: Most certainly going to be in the minority again here but that never does sway or influence me. My clients who have been with me for some time know full and well I don't play the contrarian card just for the hell of it. In this case the squares are lining up to wager on the mighty Yankees. I still suspect they will likely take the Series but there is something else not getting much attention. The Phillies are still the champs and will not roll over at the site of the pinstripes or be intimidated by Yankee Stadium. If Cliff Lee is on top of his game, and let's hope the veteran is exactly that I can see the Phillies shocking the home guys and jumping out in front in this series. I have the world of respect for the way CC has been pitching but sometimes you get a gut feeling and as a gambler you either trust it or you don't. Logic tells me New York, but something tells me the Phillies come out focused and intent on defending their crown. This has been a very long layoff so any momentum coming in by either club ha®s been negated. I see real value here with the Phillies at this price. I'm going firmly against the herd and taking Charlie Manuels guys to get it done in the series opener.[/COLOR]
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