Service Plays Wednesday 10/28/09

[brewerfan003]

langer banger




Here you go guys

20 DIME - PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES IN THE SERIES

15 DIME - PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES - The Phillies will beat Sabathia tonight.

I don't care how good he has been this post season, the Phillies know how to beat this guy and they will do it again tonight.Last year in the NLDS, Sabathia was on a roll only to watch the Phillies rock him for 5 earned in just over 4 innings highlighted by a grand slam by Shane Victorino. Now I know it was on 3 days rest, but in 4 career starts versus Philadelphia he is 1-2 with an ERA of 5.55. The Phillies were great against lefties all year and furthermore, they were great on the road. Lee won the first game at the new Yankee Stadium with the Indians 10-2, beating Sabathia that night and I feel he will beat them here. He is 2-0 this post season with a 0.74 ERA over 24 innings and what makes this an even better play other than the great price you are getting with the Phillies is their record in Lee's 15 starts for them this year. Try on 11-4 for size. I like that size and I like it tonight. Great value, great price with the defending champs to take game one. For the series, I like the Phillies as well. I like the matchup of Lee, Hamels and Pedro over Sabathia, Burnett and Pettitte. I like the offense of the Phillies more than the Yankees as I feel the Phillies will be able to manufacture more runs with their lineup. Small ball suits the Phillies. I like the defense of the Phillies more than the Yankees, and middle relief also favors the Phillies. Rolling with the Phillies to repeat as your world champions.

5 DIME - ORLANDO MAGIC - Going to keep this short and sweet.

The Magic took their preseason very seriously as evidenced by their perfect 8-0 mark winning every game by an average of 18 points.They catch a Sixers team opening up on the road with a new coach, a new point guard and an unproven lineup from head to toe.Lou Williams is going to be good but trust me folks, he doesn't bring the veteran presence you had from Andre Miller, who will be sorely missed. This is a statement game right out of the box for the Magic, and I believe it will end in a double digit win. Wire-to-wire here, as the Magic take their momentum from the preseason and carry it over to game one for them here in 2009. Love the addition of Vince Carter and with Dwight Howard commanding double teams...watch out rim! Carter hasn't had a low post presence like this to play off of in his career. ESPN highlight reel get ready. I am laying the wood with the Magic tonight.

FREE SELECTION - PHILADELPHIA-NY YANKEES OVER

 

[brewerfan003]

street rosenthal:


Thank you for your Purchase
Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends
21-10-1 in his last 32 MLB picks

*200 New York Yankees -163
I am taking the Yankees at Home in game one. The Yankees starting Pitcher CC Sabathia has been hot and I think he keeps his streak going. I have CC Sabathia as 14-1 SU when he starts as a favorite and his opponent's starting pitcher pitched more than 6 innings in his last start. I also have Sabathia as 9-0 SU when he starts as a favorite of -140 to -265 and his team led for more than 5 innings in their last game. Take the Yankees for the win.

 

[brewerfan003]

Diceituponline - Fireman's MLB PLays 10/28


Tonight's World Series Pick:

Over 7.5 Yanks/Phils = 10 Dimes
Phillies Series +165 = 5 Dimes

 

[brewerfan003]

Diceituponline - Hammer's NHL Picks (10/28)


Hammer's NHL Picks (10/28)
10 Dimes: St. Louis Blues +110
10 Dimes: Nashville Predators +135
10 Dimes: Colorado/Calgary Over 5.5 (-130)

 

[brewerfan003]

randall the handle

Buffalo +1.04 over NEW JERSEY (REG) Pinnacle
The Sabres are playing too good to ignore as a pooch and it’s not a fluke either. They’re getting tremendous contributions from everywhere. Ryan Miller is at the top of his game and when he’s on he’s one of the best. The defense, led by veteran Craig Rivet and youngsters Chris Butler and Tyler Myers gives the Sabres one of the best groups of top-3 d-men in the league. Up front, the Sabres are balanced and they’re scoring plenty. Buffalo has played just eight games, the least in the league, thus, they’re rested, healthy, confident and hungry. Incidentally, they also have the best winning percentage in the league. The Devils were just 3-3 before they went on an impressive three-game winning streak that included wins at the Rangers and Penguins. However, they’ve won just once in four home games and that was a hard-fought 2-0 win over Carolina. The Devils scored an empty-netter in that one. Bottom line is they’re struggling miserably at home and will come into this contest minus two more key players in Paul Martin and Jay Pandolfo. The Devils are always tough but again, the Sabres are about as sweet a dog as any on the board and are most certainly worthy of a wager. Play: Buffalo +1.04 (Risking 2 units).

FLORIDA +1.14 over Ottawa (REG) Pinnacle
The Panthers are about the least recognizable team on ice, as nobody cares, not even the locals, whether the Panthers win, lose or even play. However, this is a very decent hockey team that is very capable of winning on almost any night with a slew of good young talent (Horton, Frolik, Kulimov, Weiss, and Olesz to name a few). They’re also experienced and well represented on the blue-line. Yeah, they’re 2-6 but they started the year in Europe by splitting two games with Chicago and its last four games came against the Flyers twice, the Sabres and the Penguins. They beat the Flyers in Florida 4-2 and they lost 3-2 in OT in Pittsburgh. Now they’ll take a step down in class when facing the Sens. Ottawa is playing tough, make no mistake about that. However, politics has come into play, as the Sens sent down its prized rookie, Erik Karlsson, because if a junior plays 10 games his contract kicks in and he also becomes a free agent a year earlier. Yes, it’s a business but this move cannot be sitting well with the rest of the team, as they’ve played their hearts out thus far and this is a bit of a slap in the face. The Sens may respond well but we’ll have to wait and see. Furthermore, it appears as though Brian Elliot will make his first start of the year in net while Pascal Leclaire recovers from the flu. In the best of circumstances the Sens would be in tough here but this is anything but that. Give the Panthers a great chance to pick up its third win of the year. Play: Florida +1.14 (Risking 2 units).

Toronto +1.80 over DALLAS (REG) Pinnacle
The Leafs finally got off the mattress with a very nice win in Anaheim. Toronto deserved the win, as they outplayed the Ducks in the final 50 minutes. Perhaps more important than that was the goaltending of rookie Jonas Gustavsson, who came up with some outstanding saves early in the game and the Leafs responded. That’s key, as the Leafs have been desperate for somebody to step it up in net for about five years. Despite losing two of its last three, Toronto has played extremely well over that stretch, as they deserved better against both Vancouver and the Rangers. Meanwhile, the Stars return home from a three-game trip to L.A, Anaheim and St. Louis. The Stars have performed a whole lot better on the road than at home where they have just one win in four tries. We get some good value on this guest, as Dallas is not in a favorable spot here, that being returning home from a trip and not playing well at home. The Leafs have strung together three strong games in a row and finally were able to savior the sweet taste of victory. Chances are good they’ll play another strong game tonight. Play: Toronto +1.80 (Risking 2 units).

 

[Barney44]

Rocketman

4 star Carolina Gl to all. Hope someone gets Rocco v today in ice as well.

 

[brewerfan003]

burns


5* Big Chalk Blowout - Calgary
5* Annihilator - Yankees
9* TOW - Nuggets/Jazz under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DUNKEL
NBA

Sacramento at Oklahoma City

The Kings look to build on their 17-5 ATS record in their last 22 games as an underdog between 5 and 10 1/2 points. Sacramento is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by only 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 28
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST
Game 701-702: Philadelphia at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 118.081; Orlando 126.053
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 8; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 9 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+9 1/2); Under

Game 703-704: Indiana at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 116.253; Atlanta 124.750
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 8 1/2; 216 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 6 1/2; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-6 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Cleveland at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 127.688; Toronto 117.728
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 10; 184 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 5 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-5 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: Charlotte at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 111.551; Boston 124.156
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 12 1/2; 183 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 10 1/2; 185
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-10 1/2); Under

Game 709-710: New York at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: New York 116.930; Miami 121.073
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 4; 213 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 6; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+6); Over

Game 711-712: Detroit at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 119.195; Memphis 115.031
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 4; 195 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 2 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-2 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Sacramento at Oklahoma City
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 108.006; Oklahoma City 111.556
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 7 1/2; 205
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+7 1/2); Over

Game 715-716: New Orleans at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 114.043; San Antonio 121.533
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 192 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 8 1/2; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+8 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: New Jersey at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 113.453; Minnesota 116.966
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 199 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 2; 198
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-2); Over

Game 719-720: Utah at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 120.316; Denver 123.458
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 3; 216 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 6 1/2; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+6 1/2); Over

Game 721-722: Houston at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 116.757; Golden State 124.653
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 8; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 6 1/2; 216 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-6 1/2); Under

Game 723-724: Phoenix at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 115.713; LA Clippers 117.802
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2; 215 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 1; 223
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-1); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Killer Sports

3-STAR - Phoenix and LA Clippers Over - These two teams have gone over the total their last four matchups. In the last two they combined for 240 and 261 points. With a rest Phoenix team and a youthful on Clippers squad playing the equivalent of a back-to-back at home, expect a similar total tonight. Last night the Clippers fought the Lakers hard in a 99-92 defeat. In that game, the Clippers had some trouble with turning over the ball and the Lakers grabbed 13 steals. The League is 23-1 OU (11.0 ppg) since January 27, 2009 in the regular season as a home favorite after a game in which their opponent stole the ball at least twelve times.The Clippers just couldn’t get to the free throw line in that game, losing the free throw differential by 21 and making 11-of-16 attempts. The Clippers are 9-0 OU (19.4 ppg) since January 09, 2009 after a road loss in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.Finally Baron Davis had an off-game, going just 1-10 for two points. The Clippers are 7-0 OU (22.6 ppg) since January 30, 2009 after a loss in which Baron Davis scored fewer than 10 points.SBB PREDICTION: Phoenix 118, LA CLIPPERS 113
Today’s Games
SBB’s NBA Newsletter Play

 

[brewerfan003]

Tony Salinas
Tony's World Series Highrollers
Wednesday, October 28, 2009
25*
Ny Yankees {C.Sabathia} (-165) over Phillies {C.Lee}
7:57 PM -- Yankee Stadium
26*
Phillies {C.Lee}/Ny Yankees {C.Sabathia} UNDER 7½ Runs
7:57 PM -- Yankee Stadium

 

[brewerfan003]

doc nba

Bobcats +10.5 for 5 units

 

[jeffw]

Chris Jordan Wednesday's winner ...
600♦ N.Y. YANKEES RUN LINE (LIST Sabathia and Lee) - I did a lot of pondering with this one, knowing how well both hurlers can throw, knowing how powerful C.C. Sabathia is and knowing the heat Cliff Lee brings every inning he is in the game.

But you know, when I weigh the pros and cons of both, there is more reason to side with Sabathia than there is to taking Lee in Yankees Stadium in Game 1 of the World Series. Honestly, as much as I believe the Yankees win this series – but would never lay 2-to-1 odds against the defending World Series champs – I also believe this is the must-win game for the Bombers right off the bat.

“Beat Cliff Lee bad, own the series!” That should be the mantra.

Lee, admittedly, has improved his delivery each season. And being in the National League, he’s much more impressive. But where he is going to struggle is with his aggressiveness. He cannot do the same types of things he did against the Rockies and Dodgers, in the World Series against the Yankees. I know he can attack the strike zone with four solid pitches, and I know that change fades nicely from right-handed batters; but the fact is, prior to the postseason, Lee was 2-4 with a no decision over his last seven starts.

And if I go back to when he was pitching against American League teams regularly, I see he was 7-9 with six no-decisions; and the Indians were 1-5 in those no-decisions, which means Cleveland was 8-14 in his 22 starts this season. And if you’re wondering, the answer is YES, Lee did face the Bombers once this season. On May 29 he lasted six innings and gave up three earned runs in Cleveland in a 3-1 loss.

Hey, I agree that Lee has been a spark to this rotation. I agree it’s uncanny the two best pitchers in the postseason were teammates just a season and a half ago and are now facing one another tonight. But let’s be real … the Dodgers’ hitters even compare to the Yankees? What about the Rockies? And that 2-4 stretch over his last seven starts, you know who the wins came against? The lowly Washington Nationals. And in D.C., he was pelted for 10 hits and four earned runs. His ERA since Aug. 29 is 4.07.

Sorry, but his fast-paced pitching style is going to be tempered nicely by New York’s veteran lineup, and the Yankees sluggers are going to work him over nicely tonight.

As for Sabathia, well, he brings that long three-quarters overhead arm action that is enhanced with a slight hesitation over the rubber. It’s a deceptive delivery because he hides the ball well and it’s extremely tough to gauge when he’s bringing heat, not to mention playing catch up with it because he varies the speed between 91 and 96 miles per hour. His heater has very good life, and he’s found a knack for jamming the crossbreed of a cut fastball and a slider up and in on right-handed hitters. I mean it comes in perfectly right at the hands, and it’s devastating to power hitters. He also has a flair for opening up the strike zone with a wicked slurve to batters on the left side of the dish. And when he really decides to get nasty, his overpowering presence employs good arm speed to fire a circle change at hitters.

I think the Phils are a capable bunch, with their American League-like lineup, but tonight is not their night. I just don’t see it. You know who might do well, because he can utilize his bat speed and power from either side of the plate … Shane Victorino. But he’s going to be left on base one too many times tonight. Ryan Howard you say? He’s going to have problems in Game 1. That’s my feeling.

Look, this is going to be a great series, don’t get me wrong; but tonight this is going to be a run-line gift. Look for the Yanks to win by a score of something like 5- or 6-2.


Paid and confirmed by me

 

[sLim901]

Redd

Wednesday's Card
5-Dime Magic

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Benjamin lee Eckstein

Ben lee won on Sunday with the Yankees -$180/Angles.

For Wednesday Game 1 "Mr Chalk" likes the Yankees -$170/Phillies.

"Mr Chalk" is 8-5 +$210 for the MLB postseason.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lance's Lock


Pick: The Spurs -8'

Overall: 864-749-32

Current Streak: 1 win

 

[zags]

st bernadines sports advisors - 10/28

john keelan(abats computer simulator) - 2**Atlanta -7.5(no write ups)

lillefty -
1* atlanta/indiana over 203.5
Indiana made the transition to an up tempo team last year and forgot to add that defense creates offense. They gave up 106ppg last year. To remedy this they signed Dahantay Jones. While this will help with the defensive intensity, the pacers will need a lot better rotations and this still makes them defensive liabilities overall. Offensively there are no such worries as the Pacers had the 5th highest scoring team last year. Led by the ever improving Danny Granger and Energizer bunny Troy Murphy.

The hawks will be solid offensively at all times on the floor due to the fact that they have added Jamal Crawford as their 6th man. He brings some firepower to a bench that was sorely lacking it last year. With another year for a young team like the Hawks to develop, I look for much more polished offensive sets from the Hawks.
I can see both teams putting up 105+ here and that sends this game flying over.

if randy throws a play up will post.

let's cash!!
Zags

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Winning Points

Yankees -170

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

jimmy boyd

MLB Baseball Premium Picks
MLB | Oct 28 '09 (7:55p)
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees New York Yankees
-166 at 5dimes
3* World Series Game 1 SMASH (FOX) on Yankees -166
The Yankees are a ridiculous 41-10 in their last 51 home games and a dominant 7-0 in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite. On top of that, the Yankees have won 10 of their last 11 home games with Sabathia hurling and his last 6 starts when priced as a favorite of -151 to -200. With the majority of Philly's power bats being left-handed, I look for Sabathia to have the edge in this duel with Cliff Lee tonight. The Phillies have hit lefty starters well on the season, don't get me wrong, but not like the Yankees have, who are hitting .287 against them and scoring 5.6 runs per game. I'll take the Bronx Bombers at home tonight.

 

[cpprcppr]

Wunderdog MLB 10/28

Game: Philadelphia at New York Yankees (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on New York Yankees -170 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 1.8)

The Philadelphia Phillies begin their quest to repeat as baseball's World Champions against the NY Yankees at the Stadium in game one. The Phillies will wheel out Cliff Lee, who has come up big since they acquired him from the Indians, but he will face off against a pitcher that is at the top of his game right now in CC Sabathia. Sabathia has been impossible to beat and aside from a season ending tuneup against Tampa Bay, the Yankees are now 14-0 in his last 14 starts and the last 13 have all been quality starts. Sabathia, discounting the meaningless finale against Tampa Bay, has pitched to an 0.74 ERA in his last five starts with opposing hitters batting .165. Lee has been tough in the post-season, but the Yankees lineup has a way of making a starter throw a lot of pitches and making an early exit because of pitch counts. The Yanks have the advantage here in many ways. They have been lights out at home where they have not only gone 5-0 in the playoffs, they have won their last 13 here vs teams with a winning record with the last loss occurring over two months ago. They have the starting pitching edge here, as well as the better pen and closer for game one. I'm going with the Yankees here.
Game: Philadelphia at New York Yankees (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total OVER 7.5 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)

The Yankees have played nine post-season games and have yet to be held under four runs. They have scored 23 in their last three and have averaged 5.3 runs a game. The playoffs are supposed to take away the long ball with the strong pitching, but that hasn't slowed the Bombers who have slugged 14 in the nine games. The Phillies have been similar as they have plated four runs or more in eight of their nine games and have averaged over six runs a game. That makes for two teams that have each reached the four run mark in 17 out of 18 possibilities. The Phillies have matched the Yankees home run total of 14, so combined they have 28 HR's in 18 games and the Stadium has allowed more HR's than any park in baseball. The last 14 starts Sabathia has made with a total of 7-8.5 has seen 11 of the 14 go OVER. The Phillies have also played to an 18-6-2 OVER mark in their last 26. I like this one to go OVER the total.

 

[brewerfan003]

trushel
20* Featured Play: Charlotte +11