Dwayne Bryant
Bet: #702 Charlotte Bobcats -4
Bottom line: We have a home team that is hot, plays very good defense, and is playing with rest. And we have a road team playing without rest and coming off a huge 30-point home win. I'll take the home team, thank you. Take Charlotte.
confirmed
Bet: #702 Charlotte Bobcats -4
Bottom line: We have a home team that is hot, plays very good defense, and is playing with rest. And we have a road team playing without rest and coming off a huge 30-point home win. I'll take the home team, thank you. Take Charlotte.
confirmed
OC Dooley:
“1 UNIT” NATIONAL-TV COLLEGE SYSTEM TOTAL (Wake Forest at North Carolina OVER 156’ in a 7:05 eastern tipoff broadcast on ESPN): Ever since Roy Williams arrived in 2004 as head coach North Carolina has never lost 3 consecutive games outright but due to serious offensive problems that are in danger of doing just that tonight. North Carolina is coming of consecutive defeats against a pair of opponents (Clemson, Georgia Tech) who at the time had national Top 25 rankings. To put in proper perspective how much the Tarheels offense struggled in those contests they combined to make only ONE three-pointer from behind the arc. With the Heels actually playing below the posted total 5 times in the past 7 outings one has to wonder why the oddsmakers continue to post inflated spots like tonight’s figure. One of the main reasons has to do with the defensive woes of visiting Wake Forest who this past Sunday at Duke allowed a massive 90 POINTS in an ugly setback. In the past five games Wake Forest has allowed on average 80 points per pop so it comes as no shock that 4 of those 5 contests have soared OVER the total. I will admit there is some risk to taking the OVER since both teams have had offensive problems including Wake Forest who lost both of last year’s top scorers to the first-round of the NBA draft. The Deacons are led in scoring by 6’9” center Al-Farouq Amims but opposing teams recently have been double-teaming the big man. As mentioned earlier North Carolina is also having offensive struggles in part due to the recent loss of forward Tyler Zeller who is out for at least one month and possibly 6 weeks due to serious injury. Despite their recent offensive woes my database research indicates that North Carolina is a whopping 9-1 OVER when cast as a “short home favorite” of 6-or-less points which is the case tonight. North Carolina who has played SEVEN IN A ROW OVER AT HOME when off an upset conference setback where they were cast as a favorite. Here is a solid 65-PERCENT SYSTEM (71-40 past five years in a battle of “winning” opponents) which takes teams like North Carolina off consecutive conference losses OVER a high posted total in the 150’s which is the case in this early evening ESPN televised special
“1 UNIT” NATIONAL-TV COLLEGE SYSTEM TOTAL (Wake Forest at North Carolina OVER 156’ in a 7:05 eastern tipoff broadcast on ESPN): Ever since Roy Williams arrived in 2004 as head coach North Carolina has never lost 3 consecutive games outright but due to serious offensive problems that are in danger of doing just that tonight. North Carolina is coming of consecutive defeats against a pair of opponents (Clemson, Georgia Tech) who at the time had national Top 25 rankings. To put in proper perspective how much the Tarheels offense struggled in those contests they combined to make only ONE three-pointer from behind the arc. With the Heels actually playing below the posted total 5 times in the past 7 outings one has to wonder why the oddsmakers continue to post inflated spots like tonight’s figure. One of the main reasons has to do with the defensive woes of visiting Wake Forest who this past Sunday at Duke allowed a massive 90 POINTS in an ugly setback. In the past five games Wake Forest has allowed on average 80 points per pop so it comes as no shock that 4 of those 5 contests have soared OVER the total. I will admit there is some risk to taking the OVER since both teams have had offensive problems including Wake Forest who lost both of last year’s top scorers to the first-round of the NBA draft. The Deacons are led in scoring by 6’9” center Al-Farouq Amims but opposing teams recently have been double-teaming the big man. As mentioned earlier North Carolina is also having offensive struggles in part due to the recent loss of forward Tyler Zeller who is out for at least one month and possibly 6 weeks due to serious injury. Despite their recent offensive woes my database research indicates that North Carolina is a whopping 9-1 OVER when cast as a “short home favorite” of 6-or-less points which is the case tonight. North Carolina who has played SEVEN IN A ROW OVER AT HOME when off an upset conference setback where they were cast as a favorite. Here is a solid 65-PERCENT SYSTEM (71-40 past five years in a battle of “winning” opponents) which takes teams like North Carolina off consecutive conference losses OVER a high posted total in the 150’s which is the case in this early evening ESPN televised special
axiumsports
January 20th 2009
*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*
Current Bankroll=$3,030.54
Pick #5-England League 2 Soccer-Macclesfield Town/Northampton Town UNDER 2.5 +101
Pick #6-NCAAB-James Madison +7.5 OVER Drexel -104
Pick #7-NCAAB-UNLV -6 OVER Colorado State -105
January 20th 2009
*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*
Current Bankroll=$3,030.54
Pick #5-England League 2 Soccer-Macclesfield Town/Northampton Town UNDER 2.5 +101
Pick #6-NCAAB-James Madison +7.5 OVER Drexel -104
Pick #7-NCAAB-UNLV -6 OVER Colorado State -105
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
INDIANA PACERS +11.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the large visiting dog:
Indiana has lost 16 of 18 on the road, with the lone wins in that span coming at Washington and New Jersey - the East’s other two last-place clubs.
Indiana arrives in Orlando following Tuesday’s 113-83 loss at Miami, its second straight defeat following a three-game winning streak; I expect a "rebound" this evening.
Despite the loss last night, Indiana is 4-2 ATS its last six overall.
On the other side of the court: After a 106-94 win over Minnesota on New Year’s Day, the Magic (26-15) opened a three-game Southeast Division lead over Atlanta and moved within one game of Eastern Conference-leading Cleveland.
The Magic have since lost seven of nine to drop to fourth in the East, five games back of the Cavaliers. They now trail the Hawks by one-half game in the division. During the disappointing stretch, the Magic fell 97-90 on Jan. 5 at 13th-place Indiana (14-27).
The Magic had a chance to win Monday at Los Angeles, but went nearly six minutes without a field goal in a crucial stretch of the fourth quarter en route to a 98-92 loss.
Not only are the Magic just 3-6 ATS their last nine overall, they are also a poor 2-7 SU their last nine.
Bottom line: Look for INDIANA to improve to 2-0 ATS this year as a road dog of 9 1/2 to 12 points and for Orlando to fall to 5-8 ATS when revenging a loss vs. an opponent!
*6* PACERS.[/FONT]
INDIANA PACERS +11.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the large visiting dog:
Indiana has lost 16 of 18 on the road, with the lone wins in that span coming at Washington and New Jersey - the East’s other two last-place clubs.
Indiana arrives in Orlando following Tuesday’s 113-83 loss at Miami, its second straight defeat following a three-game winning streak; I expect a "rebound" this evening.
Despite the loss last night, Indiana is 4-2 ATS its last six overall.
On the other side of the court: After a 106-94 win over Minnesota on New Year’s Day, the Magic (26-15) opened a three-game Southeast Division lead over Atlanta and moved within one game of Eastern Conference-leading Cleveland.
The Magic have since lost seven of nine to drop to fourth in the East, five games back of the Cavaliers. They now trail the Hawks by one-half game in the division. During the disappointing stretch, the Magic fell 97-90 on Jan. 5 at 13th-place Indiana (14-27).
The Magic had a chance to win Monday at Los Angeles, but went nearly six minutes without a field goal in a crucial stretch of the fourth quarter en route to a 98-92 loss.
Not only are the Magic just 3-6 ATS their last nine overall, they are also a poor 2-7 SU their last nine.
Bottom line: Look for INDIANA to improve to 2-0 ATS this year as a road dog of 9 1/2 to 12 points and for Orlando to fall to 5-8 ATS when revenging a loss vs. an opponent!
*6* PACERS.[/FONT]
Tony George
TEXAS TECH -3
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Look for the Red Raiders on their home court to bounce back after getting pounded by Kansas on Saturday. Iowa State is just 2-8-1 ATS on the road their last 11 games, and while the Cyclones are a decent team, once again Lubbock is a brutal place to play and Texas Tech is looking to exact some revenge here after a poor showing on national TV this past Saturday, plus the fact Tech has dropped 3 straight games and this is a MUST WIN home game.
[/FONT]
TEXAS TECH -3
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Look for the Red Raiders on their home court to bounce back after getting pounded by Kansas on Saturday. Iowa State is just 2-8-1 ATS on the road their last 11 games, and while the Cyclones are a decent team, once again Lubbock is a brutal place to play and Texas Tech is looking to exact some revenge here after a poor showing on national TV this past Saturday, plus the fact Tech has dropped 3 straight games and this is a MUST WIN home game.
[/FONT]
GoodFella
WASHINGTON WIZARDS +5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Dallas is playing their 3rd road game in 4 days & are coming off a 9 pt win AT Boston on Monday night--in a game that was on TNT & most people saw that game & will immediately jump all over the Mavs here. Dallas was just 1-3 SU before that win & tonight is a clear let down spot for the Mavs. Washington is coming off a come from behind win over Portland on Monday (97-92) and they have won two straight games coming into tonight---as new starting Poing Guard Randy Foye has been playing great and taking full advantage of his shot to running a ballclub & establishing himself as a starter in the leage. I really like this spot for Washington tonight, and I wouldn't be surprised at all with the outright win from the Wizards tonight either. Grab the points with the Wizards tonight guys.[/FONT]
WASHINGTON WIZARDS +5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Dallas is playing their 3rd road game in 4 days & are coming off a 9 pt win AT Boston on Monday night--in a game that was on TNT & most people saw that game & will immediately jump all over the Mavs here. Dallas was just 1-3 SU before that win & tonight is a clear let down spot for the Mavs. Washington is coming off a come from behind win over Portland on Monday (97-92) and they have won two straight games coming into tonight---as new starting Poing Guard Randy Foye has been playing great and taking full advantage of his shot to running a ballclub & establishing himself as a starter in the leage. I really like this spot for Washington tonight, and I wouldn't be surprised at all with the outright win from the Wizards tonight either. Grab the points with the Wizards tonight guys.[/FONT]
Lenny Del Genio
NEW ORLEANS HORNETS -3.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Western Conference is rapidly becoming an easy conference to handicap. All but two teams (Minnesota and Golden State) have winning records at home while only Dallas, the Lakers and Oklahoma City have winning records on the road. Until the oddsmakers begin to adjust for this home/road dichotomy, we have no choice but to continue to back hosts in the Western Conference matchups and tonight it's no different when New Orleans hosts Memphis. These two squads act as glaring examples of this home/road dichotomy. The Hornets are 15-4 at home and 6-15 on the road. Memphis is 15-5 at home and 7-13 on the road. Note that each of Memphis' last four losses have come on the road, two by double-digits to Atlanta and Utah. They have lost eight straight times here at the New Orleans Arena. Short number we can take advantage of here. Take New Orleans.[/FONT]
NEW ORLEANS HORNETS -3.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Western Conference is rapidly becoming an easy conference to handicap. All but two teams (Minnesota and Golden State) have winning records at home while only Dallas, the Lakers and Oklahoma City have winning records on the road. Until the oddsmakers begin to adjust for this home/road dichotomy, we have no choice but to continue to back hosts in the Western Conference matchups and tonight it's no different when New Orleans hosts Memphis. These two squads act as glaring examples of this home/road dichotomy. The Hornets are 15-4 at home and 6-15 on the road. Memphis is 15-5 at home and 7-13 on the road. Note that each of Memphis' last four losses have come on the road, two by double-digits to Atlanta and Utah. They have lost eight straight times here at the New Orleans Arena. Short number we can take advantage of here. Take New Orleans.[/FONT]
Ferrigno a bit cleaner, CPAW- feel free to cut and paste into your post and delete this one
Robert Ferringo
4.5-Unit Play. Take #808 Mississippi (-8) over South Carolina (9 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20, Game of the Week)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #747 Eastern Michigan (+6) over Central Michigan (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #817 Appalachian State (-3.5) over Georgia Southern (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #794 LSU (-3.5) over Auburn (8 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
1-Unit Play. Take #735 Old Dominion (-14) over Delaware (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
1-Unit Play. Take #787 LaSalle (-9.5) over Penn (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
1-Unit Play. Take #781 Bradley (+7) over Southern Illinois (8 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
1-Unit Play. Take #758 Massachusetts (-2) over St. Bonaventure (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
1-Unit Play. Take #789 UTEP (+9) over Memphis (8 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
1-Unit Play. Take #805 Colorado (+10) over Oklahoma State (9 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
1-Unit Play. Take #812 Colorado State (+6) over UNLV (10 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
0.5-Unit Play. Take 3751 Northern Illinois (-5) over Toledo (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
These are 5-point teasers:
1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #787 LaSalle (-4.5) over Penn (7 p.m.) AND Take #808 Mississippi (-3) over South Carolina (9 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #796 Wisconsin (-3) over Michigan (8:30 p.m.) AND Take Xavier (+8) over Temple (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #815 Western Carolina (+9) over Davidson (7 p.m.) AND Take #747 Eastern Michigan (+11) over Central Michigan (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #729 St. John’s (+14) over Connecticut (7 p.m.) AND Take #812 Colorado State (+11) over UNLV (10 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #801 Duke (-6) over N.C. State (9 p.m.) AND Take #787 LaSalle (-4.5) over Penn (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #797 Marquette (-8) over DePaul (9 p.m.) AND Take #803 Baylor (+19.5) over Kansas (9 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #765 Duquesne (+16.5) over Rhode Island (7 p.m.) AND Take #759 Northeastern (-4.5) over Towson (7 p.m.)
Robert Ferringo
4.5-Unit Play. Take #808 Mississippi (-8) over South Carolina (9 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20, Game of the Week)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #747 Eastern Michigan (+6) over Central Michigan (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #817 Appalachian State (-3.5) over Georgia Southern (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #794 LSU (-3.5) over Auburn (8 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
1-Unit Play. Take #735 Old Dominion (-14) over Delaware (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
1-Unit Play. Take #787 LaSalle (-9.5) over Penn (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
1-Unit Play. Take #781 Bradley (+7) over Southern Illinois (8 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
1-Unit Play. Take #758 Massachusetts (-2) over St. Bonaventure (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
1-Unit Play. Take #789 UTEP (+9) over Memphis (8 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
1-Unit Play. Take #805 Colorado (+10) over Oklahoma State (9 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
1-Unit Play. Take #812 Colorado State (+6) over UNLV (10 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
0.5-Unit Play. Take 3751 Northern Illinois (-5) over Toledo (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 20)
These are 5-point teasers:
1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #787 LaSalle (-4.5) over Penn (7 p.m.) AND Take #808 Mississippi (-3) over South Carolina (9 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #796 Wisconsin (-3) over Michigan (8:30 p.m.) AND Take Xavier (+8) over Temple (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #815 Western Carolina (+9) over Davidson (7 p.m.) AND Take #747 Eastern Michigan (+11) over Central Michigan (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #729 St. John’s (+14) over Connecticut (7 p.m.) AND Take #812 Colorado State (+11) over UNLV (10 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #801 Duke (-6) over N.C. State (9 p.m.) AND Take #787 LaSalle (-4.5) over Penn (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #797 Marquette (-8) over DePaul (9 p.m.) AND Take #803 Baylor (+19.5) over Kansas (9 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #765 Duquesne (+16.5) over Rhode Island (7 p.m.) AND Take #759 Northeastern (-4.5) over Towson (7 p.m.)
The Duke's Sports
*Best Bet* Bowling Green (-1) for 3.5 Units
Good value with the Falcons on a pretty strong home floor. And although the Falcons got beat at home earlier in the season by Wisconsin Milwaukee,which is in a strong Horizon League, and lost to good traveling Buffalo, they should pose problems for the slipping Bobcats; after all, Ohio has gone just 2-5 SU since late December,is 0-7 ATS as a small road dog, and will not have G Steve Coleman (undisclosed) who averages 11 ppg, 4.2 rpg, and 2.5 apg. Furthermore, BG at home plays better defense,rebounds better, and shoots better than Ohio does on the road. Technically, the home team is 5-1 ATS in this series and the favorite is 9-2 ATS. BG is 5-1 ATS as a small home favorite, 5-0 ATS on Wednesday, and 4-1 ATS off a SU win. We don't see a letdown here for BG after a solid road win Sunday at Kent State.
*Best Bet* Bowling Green (-1) for 3.5 Units
Good value with the Falcons on a pretty strong home floor. And although the Falcons got beat at home earlier in the season by Wisconsin Milwaukee,which is in a strong Horizon League, and lost to good traveling Buffalo, they should pose problems for the slipping Bobcats; after all, Ohio has gone just 2-5 SU since late December,is 0-7 ATS as a small road dog, and will not have G Steve Coleman (undisclosed) who averages 11 ppg, 4.2 rpg, and 2.5 apg. Furthermore, BG at home plays better defense,rebounds better, and shoots better than Ohio does on the road. Technically, the home team is 5-1 ATS in this series and the favorite is 9-2 ATS. BG is 5-1 ATS as a small home favorite, 5-0 ATS on Wednesday, and 4-1 ATS off a SU win. We don't see a letdown here for BG after a solid road win Sunday at Kent State.
